MEGA

MegaETH · Megaeth · gru_s1

token id: #156
symbol: MEGA
variant: –
chain: Megaeth
address: 0x28b7e77f82b25b95953825f1e3ea0e36c1c29861
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 498

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

165

of 166 predictions shown

direction hit

61.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0324

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0040

actual -0.0071

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04289	0.042736	-0.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-20	oos	0.043355	0.043204	-0.35%	0.04289	-1.07%	0.0028	✓	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.04405	0.043893	-0.36%	0.043355	-1.58%	0.0329	✓	1.54
2026-10-18	oos	0.043835	0.043663	-0.39%	0.04405	+0.49%	0.0120	✗	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.045285	0.0451	-0.41%	0.043835	-3.20%	0.0402	✓	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.046835	0.046607	-0.49%	0.045285	-3.31%	0.0265	✓	1.53
2026-10-15	oos	0.04549	0.04525	-0.53%	0.046835	+2.96%	0.0463	✗	1.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.04571	0.045489	-0.48%	0.04549	-0.48%	0.0106	✓	1.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.04441	0.044212	-0.45%	0.04571	+2.93%	0.0631	✗	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.04366	0.043453	-0.47%	0.04441	+1.72%	0.0046	✓	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.04673	0.046361	-0.79%	0.04366	-6.57%	0.0237	✓	1.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.04303	0.042799	-0.54%	0.04673	+8.60%	0.0741	✗	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.04147	0.041255	-0.52%	0.04303	+3.76%	0.0355	✗	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.041015	0.040819	-0.48%	0.04147	+1.11%	0.0003	✓	1.49
2026-10-07	oos	0.044345	0.044093	-0.57%	0.041015	-7.51%	0.0444	✓	1.46
2026-10-06	oos	0.04624	0.04597	-0.58%	0.044345	-4.10%	0.0031	✓	1.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.05004	0.049673	-0.73%	0.04624	-7.59%	0.0680	✓	1.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.049155	0.048819	-0.68%	0.05004	+1.80%	0.0376	✗	1.46
2026-10-03	oos	0.049975	0.049576	-0.80%	0.049155	-1.64%	0.0390	✓	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.04632	0.045946	-0.81%	0.049975	+7.89%	0.0799	✗	1.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.050135	0.049315	-1.64%	0.04632	-7.61%	0.0567	✓	1.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.04177	0.041507	-0.63%	0.050135	+20.03%	0.1672	✗	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.04198	0.041719	-0.62%	0.04177	-0.50%	0.0027	✓	1.45
2026-09-28	oos	0.042205	0.041926	-0.66%	0.04198	-0.53%	0.0018	✓	1.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.0439	0.043609	-0.66%	0.042205	-3.86%	0.0155	✓	1.44
2026-09-26	oos	0.04483	0.044542	-0.64%	0.0439	-2.07%	0.0153	✓	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.046525	0.04617	-0.76%	0.04483	-3.64%	0.0350	✓	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.04491	0.044603	-0.68%	0.046525	+3.60%	0.0473	✗	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.04363	0.043349	-0.64%	0.04491	+2.93%	0.0353	✗	1.46
2026-09-22	oos	0.046545	0.046159	-0.83%	0.04363	-6.26%	0.0248	✓	1.48
2026-09-21	oos	0.045275	0.044862	-0.91%	0.046545	+2.81%	0.0438	✗	1.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.04299	0.042713	-0.64%	0.045275	+5.32%	0.0434	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.042385	0.042086	-0.71%	0.04299	+1.43%	0.0227	✗	1.56
2026-09-18	oos	0.04088	0.040572	-0.75%	0.042385	+3.68%	0.0370	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.03529	0.035243	-0.13%	0.04088	+15.84%	0.0676	✗	1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.03452	0.034503	-0.05%	0.03529	+2.23%	0.0189	✗	1.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.03408	0.034086	+0.02%	0.03452	+1.29%	0.0032	✓	1.28
2026-09-14	oos	0.03571	0.035693	-0.05%	0.03408	-4.56%	0.0035	✓	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.03547	0.035481	+0.03%	0.03571	+0.68%	0.0163	✗	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.037075	0.037076	+0.00%	0.03547	-4.33%	0.0367	✗	1.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.037625	0.037622	-0.01%	0.037075	-1.46%	0.0155	✓	1.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.036865	0.036878	+0.03%	0.037625	+2.06%	0.0082	✓	1.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.038645	0.038667	+0.06%	0.036865	-4.61%	0.0173	✗	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.042145	0.042087	-0.14%	0.038645	-8.30%	0.0824	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.04017	0.040188	+0.05%	0.042145	+4.92%	0.0591	✓	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.03958	0.039631	+0.13%	0.04017	+1.49%	0.0362	✓	1.45
2026-09-05	oos	0.04015	0.040183	+0.08%	0.03958	-1.42%	0.0243	✗	1.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.03859	0.038644	+0.14%	0.04015	+4.04%	0.0353	✓	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.04007	0.040099	+0.07%	0.03859	-3.69%	0.0091	✗	1.48
2026-09-02	oos	0.03669	0.036718	+0.08%	0.04007	+9.21%	0.0133	✓	1.48
2026-09-01	oos	0.03744	0.037443	+0.01%	0.03669	-2.00%	0.0186	✗	1.49
2026-08-31	oos	0.03794	0.037939	-0.00%	0.03744	-1.32%	0.0080	✗	1.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.036695	0.036674	-0.06%	0.03794	+3.39%	0.0181	✗	1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.03841	0.038368	-0.11%	0.036695	-4.46%	0.0346	✓	1.36
2026-08-28	oos	0.03741	0.037354	-0.15%	0.03841	+2.67%	0.0210	✗	1.36
2026-08-27	oos	0.03913	0.039076	-0.14%	0.03741	-4.40%	0.0015	✓	1.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.03951	0.039415	-0.24%	0.03913	-0.96%	0.0288	✓	1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.0389	0.038791	-0.28%	0.03951	+1.57%	0.0096	✗	1.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.04019	0.040049	-0.35%	0.0389	-3.21%	0.0212	✓	1.37
2026-08-23	oos	0.04286	0.042618	-0.56%	0.04019	-6.23%	0.0814	✓	1.42
2026-08-22	oos	0.04024	0.040037	-0.50%	0.04286	+6.51%	0.0558	✗	1.41
2026-08-21	oos	0.04248	0.04214	-0.80%	0.04024	-5.27%	0.0233	✓	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.03781	0.037543	-0.71%	0.04248	+12.35%	0.0297	✗	1.34
2026-08-19	oos	0.03489	0.034695	-0.56%	0.03781	+8.37%	0.0163	✗	1.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.03205	0.031899	-0.47%	0.03489	+8.86%	0.0027	✓	1.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.0322	0.032016	-0.57%	0.03205	-0.47%	0.0032	✓	1.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.03155	0.031374	-0.56%	0.0322	+2.06%	0.0087	✓	1.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.03123	0.03108	-0.48%	0.03155	+1.02%	0.0189	✗	1.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.03115	0.031008	-0.46%	0.03123	+0.26%	0.0062	✗	1.35
2026-08-13	oos	0.032655	0.032468	-0.57%	0.03115	-4.61%	0.0317	✓	1.36
2026-08-12	oos	0.03322	0.033001	-0.66%	0.032655	-1.70%	0.0108	✓	1.37
2026-08-11	oos	0.03314	0.03294	-0.60%	0.03322	+0.24%	0.0111	✗	1.37
2026-08-10	oos	0.0364	0.036131	-0.74%	0.03314	-8.96%	0.0782	✓	1.37
2026-08-09	oos	0.03598	0.035713	-0.74%	0.0364	+1.17%	0.0396	✗	1.41
2026-08-08	oos	0.036165	0.03591	-0.71%	0.03598	-0.51%	0.0033	✓	1.41
2026-08-07	oos	0.03528	0.035022	-0.73%	0.036165	+2.51%	0.0317	✗	1.41
2026-08-06	oos	0.03555	0.035273	-0.78%	0.03528	-0.76%	0.0135	✓	1.42
2026-08-05	oos	0.03607	0.03579	-0.78%	0.03555	-1.44%	0.0007	✓	1.42
2026-08-04	oos	0.03584	0.035584	-0.71%	0.03607	+0.64%	0.0013	✓	1.43
2026-08-03	oos	0.03669	0.036408	-0.77%	0.03584	-2.32%	0.0288	✓	1.43
2026-08-02	oos	0.03651	0.036246	-0.72%	0.03669	+0.49%	0.0129	✗	1.43
2026-08-01	oos	0.0365	0.036264	-0.65%	0.03651	+0.03%	0.0100	✓	1.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.03654	0.036328	-0.58%	0.0365	-0.11%	0.0061	✗	1.43
2026-07-30	oos	0.037	0.036768	-0.63%	0.03654	-1.24%	0.0365	✗	1.44
2026-07-29	oos	0.036395	0.036207	-0.52%	0.037	+1.66%	0.0041	✓	1.37
2026-07-28	oos	0.03957	0.039316	-0.64%	0.036395	-8.02%	0.0783	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03972	0.039515	-0.52%	0.03957	-0.38%	0.0019	✓	1.37
2026-07-26	oos	0.04325	0.043023	-0.53%	0.03972	-8.16%	0.0456	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.042525	0.042323	-0.47%	0.04325	+1.70%	0.0001	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.04349	0.043278	-0.49%	0.042525	-2.22%	0.0220	✓	1.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.043165	0.042978	-0.43%	0.04349	+0.75%	0.0322	✗	1.36
2026-07-22	oos	0.04369	0.043525	-0.38%	0.043165	-1.20%	0.0133	✗	1.37
2026-07-21	oos	0.04336	0.043222	-0.32%	0.04369	+0.76%	0.0197	✗	1.38
2026-07-20	oos	0.04278	0.042653	-0.30%	0.04336	+1.36%	0.0108	✓	1.38
2026-07-19	oos	0.04405	0.043924	-0.29%	0.04278	-2.88%	0.0377	✓	1.39
2026-07-18	oos	0.04448	0.044347	-0.30%	0.04405	-0.97%	0.0043	✓	1.39
2026-07-17	oos	0.0433	0.043201	-0.23%	0.04448	+2.73%	0.0099	✗	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0461	0.045955	-0.32%	0.0433	-6.07%	0.0622	✓	1.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.048025	0.047865	-0.33%	0.0461	-4.01%	0.0173	✓	1.38
2026-07-14	oos	0.04904	0.048836	-0.42%	0.048025	-2.07%	0.0110	✓	1.38
2026-07-13	oos	0.04726	0.047115	-0.31%	0.04904	+3.77%	0.0196	✓	1.39
2026-07-12	oos	0.046095	0.046005	-0.20%	0.04726	+2.53%	0.0609	✗	1.45
2026-07-11	oos	0.04668	0.0466	-0.17%	0.046095	-1.25%	0.0102	✓	1.45
2026-07-10	oos	0.04743	0.047353	-0.16%	0.04668	-1.58%	0.0062	✓	1.45
2026-07-09	oos	0.04796	0.047886	-0.15%	0.04743	-1.11%	0.0315	✓	1.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.04733	0.047271	-0.12%	0.04796	+1.33%	0.0074	✓	1.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.05032	0.050218	-0.20%	0.04733	-5.94%	0.0342	✓	1.45
2026-07-06	oos	0.04941	0.049318	-0.19%	0.05032	+1.84%	0.0357	✗	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.05132	0.051203	-0.23%	0.04941	-3.72%	0.0453	✓	1.48
2026-07-04	oos	0.05242	0.052261	-0.30%	0.05132	-2.10%	0.0298	✓	1.49
2026-07-03	oos	0.05103	0.050897	-0.26%	0.05242	+2.72%	0.0162	✗	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.04957	0.049456	-0.23%	0.05103	+2.95%	0.0070	✗	1.46
2026-07-01	oos	0.04514	0.045128	-0.03%	0.04957	+9.81%	0.0596	✗	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.04523	0.045239	+0.02%	0.04514	-0.20%	0.0359	✗	1.39
2026-06-29	oos	0.04809	0.04804	-0.10%	0.04523	-5.95%	0.0221	✓	1.38
2026-06-28	oos	0.04569	0.045689	-0.00%	0.04809	+5.25%	0.0357	✗	1.34
2026-06-27	oos	0.04725	0.047231	-0.04%	0.04569	-3.30%	0.0228	✓	1.34
2026-06-26	oos	0.04671	0.046702	-0.02%	0.04725	+1.16%	0.0132	✗	1.34
2026-06-25	oos	0.04651	0.046518	+0.02%	0.04671	+0.43%	0.0025	✗	1.33
2026-06-24	oos	0.05069	0.050627	-0.13%	0.04651	-8.25%	0.0573	✓	1.30
2026-06-23	oos	0.05551	0.055344	-0.30%	0.05069	-8.68%	0.0541	✓	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.055825	0.055629	-0.35%	0.05551	-0.56%	0.0244	✗	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.05648	0.056277	-0.36%	0.055825	-1.16%	0.0226	✓	1.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.0547	0.054524	-0.32%	0.05648	+3.25%	0.0559	✗	1.33
2026-06-19	oos	0.05704	0.056807	-0.41%	0.0547	-4.10%	0.0538	✓	1.37
2026-06-18	oos	0.06217	0.061724	-0.72%	0.05704	-8.25%	0.0924	✓	1.42
2026-06-17	oos	0.05711	0.056844	-0.46%	0.06217	+8.86%	0.1284	✗	1.58
2026-06-16	oos	0.05749	0.057163	-0.57%	0.05711	-0.66%	0.0280	✗	1.61
2026-06-15	oos	0.06028	0.059808	-0.78%	0.05749	-4.63%	0.0235	✓	1.60
2026-06-14	oos	0.06287	0.062062	-1.28%	0.06028	-4.12%	0.0432	✓	1.63
2026-06-13	oos	0.06271	0.061626	-1.73%	0.06287	+0.26%	0.0123	✓	1.65
2026-06-12	oos	0.04665	0.046581	-0.15%	0.06271	+34.43%	0.2786	✗	1.34
2026-06-11	oos	0.04609	0.046039	-0.11%	0.04665	+1.22%	0.0137	✗	1.33
2026-06-10	oos	0.04252	0.042613	+0.22%	0.04609	+8.40%	0.0383	✓	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.04721	0.047251	+0.09%	0.04252	-9.93%	0.1009	✗	1.19
2026-06-08	oos	0.0501	0.050047	-0.11%	0.04721	-5.77%	0.0322	✓	1.18
2026-06-07	oos	0.04848	0.048509	+0.06%	0.0501	+3.34%	0.0367	✓	1.18
2026-06-06	oos	0.0446	0.044795	+0.44%	0.04848	+8.70%	0.0410	✓	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.04611	0.046317	+0.45%	0.0446	-3.27%	0.0349	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.05057	0.050702	+0.26%	0.04611	-8.82%	0.0549	✗	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.05429	0.0544	+0.20%	0.05057	-6.85%	0.0697	✗	0.90
2026-06-02	oos	0.05456	0.05464	+0.15%	0.05429	-0.49%	0.0378	✓	1.10
2026-06-01	oos	0.05913	0.059017	-0.19%	0.05456	-7.73%	0.0117	✗	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.06097	0.060789	-0.30%	0.05913	-3.02%	0.0207	✗	1.55
2026-05-30	oos	0.06306	0.062843	-0.34%	0.06097	-3.31%	0.0261	✓	1.55
2026-05-29	oos	0.061625	0.061491	-0.22%	0.06306	+2.33%	0.0197	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.0634	0.063247	-0.24%	0.061625	-2.80%	0.0240	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.06753	0.067325	-0.30%	0.0634	-6.12%	0.0492	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0677	0.06748	-0.32%	0.06753	-0.25%	0.0209	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.073915	0.073556	-0.49%	0.0677	-8.41%	0.0644	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.07738	0.076994	-0.50%	0.073915	-4.48%	0.0444	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.08015	0.079714	-0.54%	0.07738	-3.46%	0.0340	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08032	0.079945	-0.47%	0.08015	-0.21%	0.0133	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.087	0.086238	-0.88%	0.08032	-7.68%	0.0436	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.081605	0.081161	-0.54%	0.087	+6.61%	0.0685	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.08112	0.080787	-0.41%	0.081605	+0.60%	0.0009	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.086	0.085584	-0.48%	0.08112	-5.67%	0.0513	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.08994	0.089504	-0.49%	0.086	-4.38%	0.0339	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.09273	0.092278	-0.49%	0.08994	-3.01%	0.0167	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.10026	0.099684	-0.57%	0.09273	-7.51%	0.0602	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.10538	0.1047	-0.65%	0.10026	-4.86%	0.0181	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10337	0.102816	-0.54%	0.10538	+1.94%	0.0023	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.10977	0.109142	-0.57%	0.10337	-5.83%	0.0394	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.11857	0.117815	-0.64%	0.10977	-7.42%	0.0554	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12692	0.125974	-0.75%	0.11857	-6.58%	0.0548	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.12551	0.124576	-0.74%	0.12692	+1.12%	0.0003	✓	1.00