MEGA

MegaETH · Megaeth · gru_s1

token id: #156
symbol: MEGA
variant: –
chain: Megaeth
address: 0x28b7e77f82b25b95953825f1e3ea0e36c1c29861
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 498

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

136

of 166 predictions shown

direction hit

75.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1663

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0613

actual -0.1624

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04289	0.039924	-6.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-20	oos	0.043355	0.04041	-6.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.04405	0.040939	-7.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-18	oos	0.043835	0.040768	-7.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.045285	0.041902	-7.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.046835	0.043162	-7.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-15	oos	0.04549	0.041972	-7.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.04571	0.041949	-8.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.04441	0.040732	-8.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.04366	0.039739	-8.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.04673	0.042548	-8.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.04303	0.039048	-9.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.04147	0.037444	-9.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.041015	0.036909	-10.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-07	oos	0.044345	0.03987	-10.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-06	oos	0.04624	0.041638	-9.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.05004	0.044997	-10.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.049155	0.044178	-10.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-03	oos	0.049975	0.044836	-10.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.04632	0.041591	-10.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.050135	0.045236	-9.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.04177	0.037624	-9.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.04198	0.037874	-9.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-28	oos	0.042205	0.038209	-9.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.0439	0.039867	-9.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-09-26	oos	0.04483	0.040776	-9.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.046525	0.042527	-8.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.04491	0.04127	-8.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.04363	0.040382	-7.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-22	oos	0.046545	0.043333	-6.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-09-21	oos	0.045275	0.042416	-6.32%	0.04289	-5.27%	0.0812	✗	1.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.04299	0.039913	-7.16%	0.043355	+0.85%	0.0487	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.042385	0.039557	-6.67%	0.04405	+3.93%	0.0960	✗	1.56
2026-09-18	oos	0.04088	0.038428	-6.00%	0.043835	+7.23%	0.1104	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.03529	0.033488	-5.11%	0.045285	+28.32%	0.2123	✗	1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.03452	0.032959	-4.52%	0.046835	+35.67%	0.2575	✗	1.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.03408	0.032595	-4.36%	0.04549	+33.48%	0.2273	✗	1.28
2026-09-14	oos	0.03571	0.034202	-4.22%	0.04571	+28.00%	0.2362	✗	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.03547	0.03393	-4.34%	0.04441	+25.20%	0.1682	✗	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.037075	0.035486	-4.29%	0.04366	+17.76%	0.1360	✗	1.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.037625	0.036088	-4.08%	0.04673	+24.20%	0.1573	✗	1.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.036865	0.035418	-3.93%	0.04303	+16.72%	0.0862	✗	1.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.038645	0.037693	-2.46%	0.04147	+7.31%	0.0241	✓	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.042145	0.040927	-2.89%	0.041015	-2.68%	0.0535	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.04017	0.039449	-1.79%	0.044345	+10.39%	0.0442	✗	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.03958	0.03926	-0.81%	0.04624	+16.83%	0.0725	✗	1.45
2026-09-05	oos	0.04015	0.039752	-0.99%	0.05004	+24.63%	0.1267	✗	1.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.03859	0.038576	-0.04%	0.049155	+27.38%	0.1204	✗	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.04007	0.040403	+0.83%	0.049975	+24.72%	0.1504	✓	1.48
2026-09-02	oos	0.03669	0.036195	-1.35%	0.04632	+26.25%	0.1146	✗	1.48
2026-09-01	oos	0.03744	0.036897	-1.45%	0.050135	+33.91%	0.1695	✗	1.49
2026-08-31	oos	0.03794	0.037654	-0.75%	0.04177	+10.09%	0.0158	✗	1.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.036695	0.036128	-1.55%	0.04198	+14.40%	0.0477	✗	1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.03841	0.037912	-1.30%	0.042205	+9.88%	0.0193	✗	1.36
2026-08-28	oos	0.03741	0.036829	-1.55%	0.0439	+17.35%	0.0645	✗	1.36
2026-08-27	oos	0.03913	0.039406	+0.70%	0.04483	+14.57%	0.0602	✓	1.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.03951	0.039454	-0.14%	0.046525	+17.75%	0.0793	✗	1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.0389	0.038846	-0.14%	0.04491	+15.45%	0.0453	✗	1.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.04019	0.040404	+0.53%	0.04363	+8.56%	0.0136	✗	1.37
2026-08-23	oos	0.04286	0.042744	-0.27%	0.046545	+8.60%	0.0621	✓	1.42
2026-08-22	oos	0.04024	0.040238	-0.01%	0.045275	+12.51%	0.0465	✓	1.41
2026-08-21	oos	0.04248	0.043125	+1.52%	0.04299	+1.20%	0.0527	✗	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.03781	0.037254	-1.47%	0.042385	+12.10%	0.0136	✓	1.34
2026-08-19	oos	0.03489	0.03356	-3.81%	0.04088	+17.17%	0.0088	✓	1.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.03205	0.030221	-5.71%	0.03529	+10.11%	0.0669	✓	1.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.0322	0.030278	-5.97%	0.03452	+7.20%	0.0917	✓	1.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.03155	0.029374	-6.90%	0.03408	+8.02%	0.1000	✓	1.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.03123	0.029002	-7.13%	0.03571	+14.35%	0.0829	✓	1.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.03115	0.028866	-7.33%	0.03547	+13.87%	0.0622	✓	1.35
2026-08-13	oos	0.032655	0.030148	-7.68%	0.037075	+13.54%	0.0625	✓	1.36
2026-08-12	oos	0.03322	0.030511	-8.16%	0.037625	+13.26%	0.0602	✓	1.37
2026-08-11	oos	0.03314	0.030311	-8.54%	0.036865	+11.24%	0.0591	✓	1.37
2026-08-10	oos	0.0364	0.033168	-8.88%	0.038645	+6.17%	0.1255	✓	1.37
2026-08-09	oos	0.03598	0.032748	-8.98%	0.042145	+17.13%	0.0161	✓	1.41
2026-08-08	oos	0.036165	0.032873	-9.10%	0.04017	+11.07%	0.0791	✓	1.41
2026-08-07	oos	0.03528	0.031971	-9.38%	0.03958	+12.19%	0.0871	✓	1.41
2026-08-06	oos	0.03555	0.032071	-9.79%	0.04015	+12.94%	0.0832	✓	1.42
2026-08-05	oos	0.03607	0.032507	-9.88%	0.03859	+6.99%	0.1269	✓	1.42
2026-08-04	oos	0.03584	0.032278	-9.94%	0.04007	+11.80%	0.1232	✓	1.43
2026-08-03	oos	0.03669	0.033016	-10.01%	0.03669	+0.00%	0.1769	✓	1.43
2026-08-02	oos	0.03651	0.03288	-9.94%	0.03744	+2.55%	0.1542	✓	1.43
2026-08-01	oos	0.0365	0.03293	-9.78%	0.03794	+3.95%	0.1811	✓	1.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.03654	0.033073	-9.49%	0.036695	+0.42%	0.2002	✓	1.43
2026-07-30	oos	0.037	0.033722	-8.86%	0.03841	+3.81%	0.1420	✓	1.44
2026-07-29	oos	0.036395	0.033251	-8.64%	0.03741	+2.79%	0.1522	✓	1.37
2026-07-28	oos	0.03957	0.036321	-8.21%	0.03913	-1.11%	0.2403	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03972	0.036555	-7.97%	0.03951	-0.53%	0.2186	✓	1.37
2026-07-26	oos	0.04325	0.040152	-7.16%	0.0389	-10.06%	0.2788	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.042525	0.039549	-7.00%	0.04019	-5.49%	0.2594	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.04349	0.040569	-6.72%	0.04286	-1.45%	0.2040	✓	1.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.043165	0.040682	-5.75%	0.04024	-6.78%	0.2412	✓	1.36
2026-07-22	oos	0.04369	0.041655	-4.66%	0.04248	-2.77%	0.2134	✓	1.37
2026-07-21	oos	0.04336	0.041605	-4.05%	0.03781	-12.80%	0.2239	✓	1.38
2026-07-20	oos	0.04278	0.040995	-4.17%	0.03489	-18.44%	0.2449	✓	1.38
2026-07-19	oos	0.04405	0.042199	-4.20%	0.03205	-27.24%	0.2751	✓	1.39
2026-07-18	oos	0.04448	0.04279	-3.80%	0.0322	-27.61%	0.2775	✓	1.39
2026-07-17	oos	0.0433	0.04169	-3.72%	0.03155	-27.14%	0.2558	✓	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0461	0.044301	-3.90%	0.03123	-32.26%	0.3333	✓	1.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.048025	0.04634	-3.51%	0.03115	-35.14%	0.3596	✓	1.38
2026-07-14	oos	0.04904	0.047485	-3.17%	0.032655	-33.41%	0.3409	✓	1.38
2026-07-13	oos	0.04726	0.045499	-3.73%	0.03322	-29.71%	0.3400	✓	1.39
2026-07-12	oos	0.046095	0.044747	-2.92%	0.03314	-28.11%	0.2955	✓	1.45
2026-07-11	oos	0.04668	0.045562	-2.40%	0.0364	-22.02%	0.2277	✓	1.45
2026-07-10	oos	0.04743	0.046516	-1.93%	0.03598	-24.14%	0.2731	✓	1.45
2026-07-09	oos	0.04796	0.047044	-1.91%	0.036165	-24.59%	0.3027	✓	1.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.04733	0.046424	-1.91%	0.03528	-25.46%	0.3356	✓	1.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.05032	0.049213	-2.20%	0.03555	-29.35%	0.3467	✓	1.45
2026-07-06	oos	0.04941	0.048413	-2.02%	0.03607	-27.00%	0.3080	✓	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.05132	0.050196	-2.19%	0.03584	-30.16%	0.3477	✓	1.48
2026-07-04	oos	0.05242	0.051148	-2.43%	0.03669	-30.01%	0.3411	✓	1.49
2026-07-03	oos	0.05103	0.049846	-2.32%	0.03651	-28.45%	0.3342	✓	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.04957	0.04842	-2.32%	0.0365	-26.37%	0.3126	✓	1.46
2026-07-01	oos	0.04514	0.044408	-1.62%	0.03654	-19.05%	0.2587	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.04523	0.044519	-1.57%	0.037	-18.20%	0.3250	✓	1.39
2026-06-29	oos	0.04809	0.046923	-2.43%	0.036395	-24.32%	0.3373	✓	1.38
2026-06-28	oos	0.04569	0.044671	-2.23%	0.03957	-13.39%	0.2166	✓	1.34
2026-06-27	oos	0.04725	0.045983	-2.68%	0.03972	-15.94%	0.2281	✓	1.34
2026-06-26	oos	0.04671	0.04538	-2.85%	0.04325	-7.41%	0.1622	✓	1.34
2026-06-25	oos	0.04651	0.045082	-3.07%	0.042525	-8.57%	0.1571	✓	1.33
2026-06-24	oos	0.05069	0.0487	-3.93%	0.04349	-14.20%	0.1775	✓	1.30
2026-06-23	oos	0.05551	0.052739	-4.99%	0.043165	-22.24%	0.2475	✓	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.055825	0.052847	-5.33%	0.04369	-21.74%	0.2325	✓	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.05648	0.05336	-5.52%	0.04336	-23.23%	0.2729	✓	1.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.0547	0.051674	-5.53%	0.04278	-21.79%	0.2093	✓	1.33
2026-06-19	oos	0.05704	0.053689	-5.88%	0.04405	-22.77%	0.2236	✓	1.37
2026-06-18	oos	0.06217	0.057906	-6.86%	0.04448	-28.45%	0.3066	✓	1.42
2026-06-17	oos	0.05711	0.053539	-6.25%	0.0433	-24.18%	0.1987	✓	1.58
2026-06-16	oos	0.05749	0.053728	-6.54%	0.0461	-19.81%	0.1072	✓	1.61
2026-06-15	oos	0.06028	0.055964	-7.16%	0.048025	-20.33%	0.1148	✓	1.60
2026-06-14	oos	0.06287	0.058014	-7.72%	0.04904	-22.00%	0.1502	✓	1.63
2026-06-13	oos	0.06271	0.057648	-8.07%	0.04726	-24.64%	0.1425	✓	1.65
2026-06-12	oos	0.04665	0.044215	-5.22%	0.046095	-1.19%	0.0374	✓	1.34
2026-06-11	oos	0.04609	0.043592	-5.42%	0.04668	+1.28%	0.0640	✗	1.33
2026-06-10	oos	0.04252	0.040355	-5.09%	0.04743	+11.55%	0.1109	✗	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.04721	0.044454	-5.84%	0.04796	+1.59%	0.0475	✓	1.19
2026-06-08	oos	0.0501	0.046754	-6.68%	0.04733	-5.53%	0.0278	✓	1.18
2026-06-07	oos	0.04848	0.045162	-6.84%	0.05032	+3.80%	0.1078	✗	1.18
2026-06-06	oos	0.0446	0.041753	-6.38%	0.04941	+10.78%	0.1197	✗	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.04611	0.042984	-6.78%	0.05132	+11.30%	0.1378	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.05057	0.046592	-7.87%	0.05242	+3.66%	0.1281	✗	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.05429	0.049663	-8.52%	0.05103	-6.00%	0.0489	✓	0.90
2026-06-02	oos	0.05456	0.049533	-9.21%	0.04957	-9.15%	0.0900	✓	1.10
2026-06-01	oos	0.05913	0.05276	-10.77%	0.04514	-23.66%	0.0758	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.06097	0.053981	-11.46%	0.04523	-25.82%	0.1778	✗	1.55
2026-05-30	oos	0.06306	0.055701	-11.67%	0.04809	-23.74%	0.1692	✗	1.55
2026-05-29	oos	0.061625	0.054565	-11.46%	0.04569	-25.86%	0.0324	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.0634	0.05607	-11.56%	0.04725	-25.47%	0.0331	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.06753	0.059539	-11.83%	0.04671	-30.83%	0.0287	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0677	0.059634	-11.91%	0.04651	-31.30%	0.0095	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.073915	0.064891	-12.21%	0.05069	-31.42%	0.0105	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.07738	0.067955	-12.18%	0.05551	-28.26%	0.0037	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.08015	0.070426	-12.13%	0.055825	-30.35%	0.0512	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08032	0.070694	-11.98%	0.05648	-29.68%	0.0480	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.087	0.076373	-12.22%	0.0547	-37.13%	0.1452	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.081605	0.071973	-11.80%	0.05704	-30.10%	0.0332	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.08112	0.07174	-11.56%	0.06217	-23.36%	0.0564	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.086	0.076174	-11.43%	0.05711	-33.59%	0.1108	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.08994	0.079796	-11.28%	0.05749	-36.08%	0.1626	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.09273	0.082496	-11.04%	0.06028	-34.99%	0.1495	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.10026	0.089442	-10.79%	0.06287	-37.29%	0.1675	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.10538	0.094607	-10.22%	0.06271	-40.49%	0.1814	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10337	0.092477	-10.54%	0.04665	-54.87%	0.4628	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.10977	0.098672	-10.11%	0.04609	-58.01%	0.5252	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.11857	0.107207	-9.58%	0.04252	-64.14%	0.6396	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12692	0.115104	-9.31%	0.04721	-62.80%	0.6041	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.12551	0.113259	-9.76%	0.0501	-60.08%	0.5696	✓	1.00