LONGXIA

? · · gru_s1

token id: #185
symbol: LONGXIA
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 141

Track record at +7d

assessed

40

of 47 predictions shown

direction hit

67.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.6054

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0697

actual -0.1668

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.02189	0.021704	-0.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.021195	0.021154	-0.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.020355	0.020562	+1.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.02088	0.021125	+1.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.02746	0.027123	-1.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-16	oos	0.029085	0.028621	-1.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-15	oos	0.029995	0.029418	-1.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-14	oos	0.029625	0.029197	-1.45%	0.02189	-26.11%	0.3076	✓	1.43
2026-10-13	oos	0.04862	0.045618	-6.18%	0.021195	-56.41%	0.7647	✓	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.040295	0.038677	-4.02%	0.020355	-49.49%	0.6428	✓	0.77
2026-10-11	oos	0.04401	0.04168	-5.29%	0.02088	-52.56%	0.6779	✓	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.04627	0.043653	-5.66%	0.02746	-40.65%	0.4506	✓	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.046	0.043326	-5.81%	0.029085	-36.77%	0.3897	✓	0.69
2026-10-08	oos	0.05196	0.048408	-6.84%	0.029995	-42.27%	0.4827	✓	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.04116	0.03918	-4.81%	0.029625	-28.02%	0.2575	✓	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.06616	0.059279	-10.40%	0.04862	-26.51%	0.1911	✓	0.25
2026-10-05	oos	0.04544	0.042667	-6.10%	0.040295	-11.32%	0.0409	✓	0.34
2026-10-04	oos	0.04529	0.042307	-6.59%	0.04401	-2.83%	0.0508	✓	0.34
2026-10-03	oos	0.049945	0.046394	-7.11%	0.04627	-7.36%	0.0079	✓	0.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.03919	0.037194	-5.09%	0.046	+17.38%	0.2233	✗	0.46
2026-10-01	oos	0.110175	0.094401	-14.32%	0.05196	-52.84%	0.5942	✓	0.07
2026-09-30	oos	0.0359	0.035141	-2.12%	0.04116	+14.65%	0.1549	✗	-0.96
2026-09-29	oos	0.068975	0.066019	-4.29%	0.06616	-4.08%	0.0259	✓	-1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.070225	0.066627	-5.12%	0.04544	-35.29%	0.3542	✓	-1.05
2026-09-27	oos	0.08775	0.081595	-7.01%	0.04529	-48.39%	0.5577	✓	-1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.1038	0.095297	-8.19%	0.049945	-51.88%	0.6410	✓	-1.31
2026-09-25	oos	0.130175	0.118778	-8.76%	0.03919	-69.89%	1.1137	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.10344	0.094218	-8.92%	0.110175	+6.51%	0.1510	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.16812	0.152963	-9.02%	0.0359	-78.65%	1.4397	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.139465	0.126282	-9.45%	0.068975	-50.54%	0.5746	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.234285	0.212695	-9.22%	0.070225	-70.03%	1.0712	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.238305	0.215603	-9.53%	0.08775	-63.18%	0.9388	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.226335	0.204491	-9.65%	0.1038	-54.14%	0.7165	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.22224	0.200679	-9.70%	0.130175	-41.43%	0.4718	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.23069	0.205898	-10.75%	0.10344	-55.16%	0.7885	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.21309	0.190339	-10.68%	0.16812	-21.10%	0.2268	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.195995	0.174276	-11.08%	0.139465	-28.84%	0.3542	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.16108	0.146001	-9.36%	0.234285	+45.45%	0.3706	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.14472	0.131966	-8.81%	0.238305	+64.67%	0.5358	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.154585	0.135562	-12.31%	0.226335	+46.41%	0.4625	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.07052	0.067157	-4.77%	0.22224	+215.14%	1.1503	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.03809	0.037614	-1.25%	0.23069	+505.64%	1.8162	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.049155	0.048368	-1.60%	0.21309	+333.51%	1.5106	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05884	0.057914	-1.57%	0.195995	+233.10%	1.2563	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05455	0.053659	-1.63%	0.16108	+195.29%	1.1109	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.0741	0.07329	-1.09%	0.14472	+95.30%	0.7254	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.08774	0.086471	-1.45%	0.154585	+76.19%	0.6136	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.