LONGXIA

? · · gru_s1

token id: #185
symbol: LONGXIA
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 141

Track record at +1d

assessed

46

of 47 predictions shown

direction hit

56.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2338

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0145

actual -0.0313

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.02189	0.021839	-0.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.021195	0.021176	-0.09%	0.02189	+3.28%	0.0371	✗	1.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.020355	0.020397	+0.21%	0.021195	+4.13%	0.0206	✓	1.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.02088	0.020936	+0.27%	0.020355	-2.51%	0.0254	✗	1.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.02746	0.027386	-0.27%	0.02088	-23.96%	0.2823	✓	1.44
2026-10-16	oos	0.029085	0.028988	-0.33%	0.02746	-5.59%	0.0520	✓	1.44
2026-10-15	oos	0.029995	0.029879	-0.39%	0.029085	-3.03%	0.0161	✓	1.43
2026-10-14	oos	0.029625	0.029568	-0.19%	0.029995	+1.25%	0.0046	✗	1.43
2026-10-13	oos	0.04862	0.047817	-1.65%	0.029625	-39.07%	0.4616	✓	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.040295	0.039954	-0.85%	0.04862	+20.66%	0.1837	✗	0.77
2026-10-11	oos	0.04401	0.043513	-1.13%	0.040295	-8.44%	0.0613	✓	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.04627	0.045721	-1.19%	0.04401	-4.88%	0.0445	✓	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.046	0.045451	-1.19%	0.04627	+0.59%	0.0148	✗	0.69
2026-10-08	oos	0.05196	0.051038	-1.77%	0.046	-11.47%	0.1120	✓	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.04116	0.040844	-0.77%	0.05196	+26.24%	0.2611	✗	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.06616	0.064036	-3.21%	0.04116	-37.79%	0.4354	✓	0.25
2026-10-05	oos	0.04544	0.044867	-1.26%	0.06616	+45.60%	0.3892	✗	0.34
2026-10-04	oos	0.04529	0.044729	-1.24%	0.04544	+0.33%	0.0188	✗	0.34
2026-10-03	oos	0.049945	0.049156	-1.58%	0.04529	-9.32%	0.0919	✓	0.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.03919	0.039003	-0.48%	0.049945	+27.44%	0.2460	✗	0.46
2026-10-01	oos	0.110175	0.103992	-5.61%	0.03919	-64.43%	0.9756	✓	0.07
2026-09-30	oos	0.0359	0.035957	+0.16%	0.110175	+206.89%	1.1345	✓	-0.96
2026-09-29	oos	0.068975	0.068583	-0.57%	0.0359	-47.95%	0.6483	✓	-1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.070225	0.069841	-0.55%	0.068975	-1.78%	0.0102	✓	-1.05
2026-09-27	oos	0.08775	0.086945	-0.92%	0.070225	-19.97%	0.2291	✓	-1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.1038	0.10265	-1.11%	0.08775	-15.46%	0.1561	✓	-1.31
2026-09-25	oos	0.130175	0.127808	-1.82%	0.1038	-20.26%	0.2119	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.10344	0.102261	-1.14%	0.130175	+25.85%	0.2448	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.16812	0.164719	-2.02%	0.10344	-38.47%	0.4653	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.139465	0.137632	-1.31%	0.16812	+20.55%	0.2214	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.234285	0.229866	-1.89%	0.139465	-40.47%	0.4951	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.238305	0.232905	-2.27%	0.234285	-1.69%	0.0589	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.226335	0.220973	-2.37%	0.238305	+5.29%	0.0764	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.22224	0.217028	-2.35%	0.226335	+1.84%	0.0376	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.23069	0.223145	-3.27%	0.22224	-3.66%	0.0617	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.21309	0.206052	-3.30%	0.23069	+8.26%	0.1103	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.195995	0.188532	-3.81%	0.21309	+8.72%	0.1151	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.16108	0.15625	-3.00%	0.195995	+21.68%	0.2603	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.14472	0.140638	-2.82%	0.16108	+11.30%	0.1180	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.154585	0.146349	-5.33%	0.14472	-6.38%	0.0052	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.07052	0.069169	-1.92%	0.154585	+119.21%	0.8035	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.03809	0.038073	-0.04%	0.07052	+85.14%	0.6076	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.049155	0.049067	-0.18%	0.03809	-22.51%	0.2307	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05884	0.058687	-0.26%	0.049155	-16.46%	0.1751	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05455	0.054462	-0.16%	0.05884	+7.86%	0.0855	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.0741	0.073927	-0.23%	0.05455	-26.38%	0.2883	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.08774	0.08725	-0.56%	0.0741	-15.55%	0.1697	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.