LONGXIA

? · · gru_s1

token id: #185
symbol: LONGXIA
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 144

Track record at +30d

assessed

18

of 48 predictions shown

direction hit

94.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

1.1893

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.1675

actual -1.3308

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.02106	0.018304	-13.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-21	oos	0.021215	0.018482	-12.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.021195	0.018563	-12.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.020355	0.017987	-11.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.02088	0.01856	-11.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.02746	0.024295	-11.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-16	oos	0.029085	0.025746	-11.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-15	oos	0.029995	0.026537	-11.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-14	oos	0.029625	0.026295	-11.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-13	oos	0.04862	0.041144	-15.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.040295	0.034802	-13.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-11	oos	0.04401	0.037309	-15.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.04627	0.038877	-15.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.046	0.038424	-16.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-08	oos	0.05196	0.0429	-17.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.04116	0.03445	-16.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.06616	0.052162	-21.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-05	oos	0.04544	0.037146	-18.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-04	oos	0.04529	0.03645	-19.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-03	oos	0.049945	0.039939	-20.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.03919	0.03122	-20.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-10-01	oos	0.110175	0.085076	-22.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.07
2026-09-30	oos	0.0359	0.029201	-18.66%	–	pending	–	–	-0.96
2026-09-29	oos	0.068975	0.057603	-16.49%	–	pending	–	–	-1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.070225	0.0576	-17.98%	–	pending	–	–	-1.05
2026-09-27	oos	0.08775	0.070391	-19.78%	–	pending	–	–	-1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.1038	0.0819	-21.10%	–	pending	–	–	-1.31
2026-09-25	oos	0.130175	0.103988	-20.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.10344	0.080161	-22.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.16812	0.134648	-19.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.139465	0.108379	-22.29%	0.02106	-84.90%	1.6150	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.234285	0.187348	-20.03%	0.021215	-90.94%	2.1481	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.238305	0.189969	-20.28%	0.021195	-91.11%	2.2148	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.226335	0.180422	-20.29%	0.020355	-91.01%	2.1894	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.22224	0.176797	-20.45%	0.02088	-90.60%	2.1501	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.23069	0.182454	-20.91%	0.02746	-88.10%	1.9576	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.21309	0.169056	-20.66%	0.029085	-86.35%	1.8280	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.195995	0.15633	-20.24%	0.029995	-84.70%	1.7339	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.16108	0.131922	-18.10%	0.029625	-81.61%	1.5361	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.14472	0.119694	-17.29%	0.04862	-66.40%	0.9798	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.154585	0.127053	-17.81%	0.040295	-73.93%	1.2047	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.07052	0.063354	-10.16%	0.04401	-37.59%	0.4448	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.03809	0.033779	-11.32%	0.04627	+21.48%	0.2347	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.049155	0.044647	-9.17%	0.046	-6.42%	0.0232	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05884	0.054375	-7.59%	0.05196	-11.69%	0.0860	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05455	0.05019	-7.99%	0.04116	-24.55%	0.2499	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.0741	0.070456	-4.92%	0.06616	-10.72%	0.1256	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.08774	0.083986	-4.28%	0.04544	-48.21%	0.6858	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.