KAIO

KAIO · Ethereum · gru_s1

token id: #324
symbol: KAIO
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x00bac91fd8f5b4a0dc03c8021139b76f6549ee7e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-06
predictions: 483

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

154

of 161 predictions shown

direction hit

49.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1737

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0078

actual -0.0452

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.029719	0.028572	-3.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-21	oos	0.029335	0.028194	-3.89%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.030499	0.029331	-3.83%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.029365	0.028282	-3.69%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.029598	0.028569	-3.48%	–	pending	–	–	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.034899	0.033659	-3.56%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.036292	0.034722	-4.33%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.03372	0.032119	-4.75%	0.029719	-11.86%	0.0756	✓	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.031919	0.030509	-4.42%	0.029335	-8.09%	0.0368	✓	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.028875	0.027716	-4.01%	0.030499	+5.63%	0.0957	✗	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.027404	0.026336	-3.90%	0.029365	+7.16%	0.1089	✗	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.025037	0.024202	-3.33%	0.029598	+18.22%	0.2030	✗	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.025012	0.02406	-3.81%	0.034899	+39.53%	0.3739	✗	0.11
2026-10-09	oos	0.025199	0.02418	-4.04%	0.036292	+44.02%	0.4074	✗	0.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.024821	0.02379	-4.16%	0.03372	+35.85%	0.3483	✗	0.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.020707	0.020009	-3.37%	0.031919	+54.14%	0.4717	✗	0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.022712	0.021921	-3.48%	0.028875	+27.13%	0.2801	✗	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	0.026838	0.025501	-4.98%	0.027404	+2.11%	0.0796	✗	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	0.020323	0.019485	-4.13%	0.025037	+23.20%	0.2598	✗	0.27
2026-10-03	oos	0.019305	0.018559	-3.87%	0.025012	+29.56%	0.3039	✗	0.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.022008	0.021028	-4.45%	0.025199	+14.50%	0.1870	✗	0.26
2026-10-01	oos	0.021486	0.020566	-4.28%	0.024821	+15.52%	0.1978	✗	0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.024146	0.022943	-4.98%	0.020707	-14.24%	0.1017	✓	0.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.026617	0.02505	-5.89%	0.022712	-14.67%	0.1036	✓	0.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.033197	0.030456	-8.26%	0.026838	-19.16%	0.1322	✓	0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.014683	0.013929	-5.13%	0.020323	+38.41%	0.3622	✗	0.65
2026-09-26	oos	0.01501	0.014159	-5.67%	0.019305	+28.62%	0.3075	✗	0.65
2026-09-25	oos	0.013481	0.012904	-4.28%	0.022008	+63.25%	0.5307	✗	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	0.01323	0.012697	-4.03%	0.021486	+62.40%	0.5225	✗	0.65
2026-09-23	oos	0.01364	0.013072	-4.17%	0.024146	+77.02%	0.6200	✗	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.013553	0.013022	-3.92%	0.026617	+96.40%	0.7337	✗	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.01374	0.013203	-3.91%	0.033197	+141.61%	0.9460	✗	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.01351	0.012987	-3.88%	0.014683	+8.68%	0.0924	✗	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.013822	0.013302	-3.76%	0.01501	+8.60%	0.0918	✗	0.75
2026-09-18	oos	0.01351	0.013055	-3.38%	0.013481	-0.22%	0.0032	✓	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.013894	0.013532	-2.61%	0.01323	-4.78%	0.1101	✓	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.013951	0.013564	-2.77%	0.01364	-2.23%	0.0852	✓	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.013095	0.013099	+0.03%	0.013553	+3.49%	0.0861	✗	0.91
2026-09-14	oos	0.013015	0.013064	+0.38%	0.01374	+5.57%	0.0484	✗	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.013244	0.013378	+1.01%	0.01351	+2.01%	0.0439	✗	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.01399	0.014119	+0.92%	0.013822	-1.20%	0.0693	✗	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.013969	0.014203	+1.68%	0.01351	-3.28%	0.0932	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.013893	0.01424	+2.50%	0.013894	+0.01%	0.0223	✓	0.94
2026-09-09	oos	0.013968	0.014465	+3.56%	0.013951	-0.12%	0.0096	✓	0.96
2026-09-08	oos	0.014179	0.014738	+3.94%	0.013095	-7.64%	0.0840	✗	0.92
2026-09-07	oos	0.014925	0.015511	+3.93%	0.013015	-12.80%	0.1649	✗	0.91
2026-09-06	oos	0.015738	0.01639	+4.14%	0.013244	-15.85%	0.1731	✗	0.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.015695	0.016372	+4.31%	0.01399	-10.86%	0.1278	✗	0.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.016369	0.017064	+4.25%	0.013969	-14.66%	0.1757	✗	0.78
2026-09-03	oos	0.016792	0.01756	+4.58%	0.013893	-17.26%	0.1909	✗	0.72
2026-09-02	oos	0.0174	0.017802	+2.31%	0.013968	-19.72%	0.2555	✗	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.017791	0.018254	+2.60%	0.014179	-20.31%	0.2667	✗	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.018144	0.01866	+2.84%	0.014925	-17.74%	0.2298	✗	0.96
2026-08-30	oos	0.017735	0.018142	+2.29%	0.015738	-11.26%	0.1774	✗	1.04
2026-08-29	oos	0.017556	0.017896	+1.94%	0.015695	-10.60%	0.1546	✗	1.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.017912	0.018138	+1.27%	0.016369	-8.61%	0.1301	✗	1.18
2026-08-27	oos	0.01779	0.01805	+1.46%	0.016792	-5.61%	0.0881	✗	1.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.017253	0.017453	+1.16%	0.0174	+0.85%	0.0251	✓	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.018184	0.018291	+0.59%	0.017791	-2.16%	0.0089	✗	1.30
2026-08-24	oos	0.018718	0.018759	+0.22%	0.018144	-3.07%	0.0262	✗	1.34
2026-08-23	oos	0.020346	0.020154	-0.94%	0.017735	-12.83%	0.1267	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.0182	0.018216	+0.09%	0.017556	-3.54%	0.0582	✗	1.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.017552	0.01764	+0.50%	0.017912	+2.05%	0.0242	✓	1.43
2026-08-20	oos	0.017291	0.017267	-0.14%	0.01779	+2.89%	0.1172	✓	1.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.016853	0.016714	-0.83%	0.017253	+2.37%	0.1706	✓	1.54
2026-08-18	oos	0.015957	0.015739	-1.37%	0.018184	+13.96%	0.1743	✓	1.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01766	0.017319	-1.93%	0.018718	+5.99%	0.2473	✓	1.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.01777	0.017397	-2.10%	0.020346	+14.50%	0.1919	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.017905	0.017534	-2.07%	0.0182	+1.65%	0.2969	✓	1.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.017855	0.017501	-1.99%	0.017552	-1.70%	0.3594	✓	1.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.017485	0.017199	-1.64%	0.017291	-1.11%	0.2380	✓	1.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.01726	0.017017	-1.41%	0.016853	-2.36%	0.1494	✓	1.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.01843	0.018133	-1.61%	0.015957	-13.42%	0.1556	✓	1.55
2026-08-10	oos	0.018025	0.017789	-1.31%	0.01766	-2.02%	0.0215	✓	1.61
2026-08-09	oos	0.01724	0.01709	-0.87%	0.01777	+3.07%	0.0927	✗	1.70
2026-08-08	oos	0.017	0.016851	-0.88%	0.017905	+5.32%	0.1109	✗	1.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01781	0.017621	-1.06%	0.017855	+0.25%	0.0645	✗	1.71
2026-08-06	oos	0.01824	0.017986	-1.39%	0.017485	-4.14%	0.0056	✓	1.72
2026-08-05	oos	0.018525	0.018215	-1.67%	0.01726	-6.83%	0.0222	✓	1.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.018385	0.018035	-1.91%	0.01843	+0.24%	0.0367	✗	1.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.01727	0.01698	-1.68%	0.018025	+4.37%	0.0470	✗	1.82
2026-08-02	oos	0.01601	0.015838	-1.08%	0.01724	+7.68%	0.0467	✗	1.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.014815	0.014713	-0.69%	0.017	+14.75%	0.0848	✗	1.78
2026-07-31	oos	0.015205	0.015075	-0.86%	0.01781	+17.13%	0.1093	✗	1.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.017	0.016705	-1.74%	0.01824	+7.29%	0.1002	✗	1.74
2026-07-29	oos	0.01538	0.015242	-0.90%	0.018525	+20.45%	0.1765	✗	1.69
2026-07-28	oos	0.01431	0.014267	-0.30%	0.018385	+28.48%	0.2483	✗	1.68
2026-07-27	oos	0.01352	0.013537	+0.12%	0.01727	+27.74%	0.2495	✓	1.66
2026-07-26	oos	0.0173	0.017018	-1.63%	0.01601	-7.46%	0.0177	✓	1.52
2026-07-25	oos	0.01305	0.013103	+0.41%	0.014815	+13.52%	0.1546	✓	1.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.014115	0.014116	+0.01%	0.015205	+7.72%	0.1007	✓	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.013615	0.013644	+0.21%	0.017	+24.86%	0.2269	✓	1.37
2026-07-22	oos	0.01306	0.01311	+0.38%	0.01538	+17.76%	0.2074	✓	1.41
2026-07-21	oos	0.013	0.013057	+0.44%	0.01431	+10.08%	0.1498	✓	1.42
2026-07-20	oos	0.01512	0.015116	-0.03%	0.01352	-10.58%	0.0751	✓	1.55
2026-07-19	oos	0.015995	0.015981	-0.09%	0.0173	+8.16%	0.0634	✗	1.56
2026-07-18	oos	0.01561	0.01562	+0.07%	0.01305	-16.40%	0.1677	✗	1.56
2026-07-17	oos	0.016175	0.016179	+0.03%	0.014115	-12.74%	0.1412	✗	1.58
2026-07-16	oos	0.01902	0.018975	-0.23%	0.013615	-28.42%	0.3639	✓	1.61
2026-07-15	oos	0.01949	0.019447	-0.22%	0.01306	-32.99%	0.4320	✓	1.62
2026-07-14	oos	0.02091	0.02082	-0.43%	0.013	-37.83%	0.5085	✓	1.62
2026-07-13	oos	0.020185	0.020124	-0.30%	0.01512	-25.09%	0.3614	✓	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.02075	0.020691	-0.29%	0.015995	-22.92%	0.2818	✓	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.02053	0.020491	-0.19%	0.01561	-23.96%	0.2985	✓	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.02095	0.020895	-0.26%	0.016175	-22.79%	0.2500	✓	1.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.020245	0.020226	-0.10%	0.01902	-6.05%	0.0767	✓	1.63
2026-07-08	oos	0.019995	0.019999	+0.02%	0.01949	-2.53%	0.0888	✗	1.61
2026-07-07	oos	0.021025	0.020999	-0.12%	0.02091	-0.55%	0.0462	✓	1.62
2026-07-06	oos	0.02209	0.022001	-0.40%	0.020185	-8.62%	0.0417	✓	1.62
2026-07-05	oos	0.02136	0.021304	-0.26%	0.02075	-2.86%	0.0303	✓	1.59
2026-07-04	oos	0.020275	0.020309	+0.17%	0.02053	+1.26%	0.0060	✗	1.55
2026-07-03	oos	0.02124	0.021269	+0.13%	0.02095	-1.37%	0.0550	✗	1.57
2026-07-02	oos	0.022865	0.022839	-0.11%	0.020245	-11.46%	0.1651	✓	1.64
2026-07-01	oos	0.02291	0.022908	-0.01%	0.019995	-12.72%	0.1979	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.02383	0.023767	-0.27%	0.021025	-11.77%	0.2596	✓	1.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.026745	0.026545	-0.75%	0.02209	-17.41%	0.2884	✓	1.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.026145	0.026004	-0.54%	0.02136	-18.30%	0.3080	✓	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.025275	0.025221	-0.21%	0.020275	-19.78%	0.3040	✓	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.02648	0.026343	-0.52%	0.02124	-19.79%	0.2842	✓	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	0.02528	0.025264	-0.06%	0.022865	-9.55%	0.1479	✓	1.64
2026-06-24	oos	0.02414	0.024215	+0.31%	0.02291	-5.10%	0.0262	✗	1.73
2026-06-23	oos	0.02557	0.025552	-0.07%	0.02383	-6.80%	0.0495	✗	1.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.029675	0.029332	-1.16%	0.026745	-9.87%	0.0105	✓	1.68
2026-06-21	oos	0.03032	0.029939	-1.26%	0.026145	-13.77%	0.0317	✓	1.69
2026-06-20	oos	0.03034	0.029958	-1.26%	0.025275	-16.69%	0.0508	✓	1.73
2026-06-19	oos	0.02745	0.027392	-0.21%	0.02648	-3.53%	0.0569	✗	1.61
2026-06-18	oos	0.02631	0.026383	+0.28%	0.02528	-3.91%	0.0380	✓	1.56
2026-06-17	oos	0.02856	0.028456	-0.36%	0.02414	-15.48%	0.0789	✓	1.55
2026-06-16	oos	0.02937	0.029193	-0.60%	0.02557	-12.94%	0.0594	✓	1.58
2026-06-15	oos	0.02962	0.029435	-0.63%	0.029675	+0.19%	0.0650	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.03074	0.030506	-0.76%	0.03032	-1.37%	0.0553	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.032005	0.031742	-0.82%	0.03034	-5.20%	0.0398	✓	1.66
2026-06-12	oos	0.03101	0.030919	-0.29%	0.02745	-11.48%	0.1174	✓	1.60
2026-06-11	oos	0.03033	0.030344	+0.05%	0.02631	-13.25%	0.1257	✗	1.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.031025	0.031187	+0.52%	0.02856	-7.95%	0.1680	✗	1.68
2026-06-09	oos	0.03148	0.03169	+0.67%	0.02937	-6.70%	0.1791	✗	1.67
2026-06-08	oos	0.0324	0.032506	+0.33%	0.02962	-8.58%	0.1785	✗	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.03466	0.034648	-0.03%	0.03074	-11.31%	0.1840	✓	1.73
2026-06-06	oos	0.03785	0.037972	+0.32%	0.032005	-15.44%	0.2991	✗	2.24
2026-06-05	oos	0.02799	0.029324	+4.76%	0.03101	+10.79%	0.0260	✓	2.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.03417	0.034874	+2.06%	0.03033	-11.24%	0.1358	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.03762	0.03819	+1.52%	0.031025	-17.53%	0.1664	✗	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.03679	0.037277	+1.32%	0.03148	-14.43%	0.0915	✗	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.04181	0.041145	-1.59%	0.0324	-22.51%	0.1160	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.05	0.047897	-4.21%	0.03466	-30.68%	0.1731	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.06753	0.062119	-8.01%	0.03785	-43.95%	0.3029	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.03825	0.039219	+2.53%	0.02799	-26.82%	0.1532	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.03677	0.038229	+3.97%	0.03417	-7.07%	0.0294	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.03918	0.04057	+3.55%	0.03762	-3.98%	0.0733	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.04436	0.04517	+1.83%	0.03679	-17.06%	0.0763	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.051465	0.051249	-0.42%	0.04181	-18.76%	0.1236	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.05471	0.054356	-0.65%	0.05	-8.61%	0.0383	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.05338	0.053685	+0.57%	0.06753	+26.51%	0.2677	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.056	0.056486	+0.87%	0.03825	-31.70%	0.3619	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.053555	0.054097	+1.01%	0.03677	-31.34%	0.3327	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.05371	0.054322	+1.14%	0.03918	-27.05%	0.2851	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.062095	0.06196	-0.22%	0.04436	-28.56%	0.3218	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.061165	0.060945	-0.36%	0.051465	-15.86%	0.1730	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.07421	0.072827	-1.86%	0.05471	-26.28%	0.2804	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0765	0.074874	-2.12%	0.05338	-30.22%	0.3196	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.09405	0.09156	-2.65%	0.056	-40.46%	0.4448	✓	1.00