KAIO

KAIO · Ethereum · gru_s1

token id: #324
symbol: KAIO
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x00bac91fd8f5b4a0dc03c8021139b76f6549ee7e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-06
predictions: 480

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

159

of 160 predictions shown

direction hit

56.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0680

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0047

actual -0.0086

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.030038	0.029843	-0.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.030499	0.030289	-0.69%	0.030038	-1.51%	0.0083	✓	-0.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.029365	0.029151	-0.73%	0.030499	+3.86%	0.0454	✗	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.029598	0.029436	-0.55%	0.029365	-0.79%	0.0026	✓	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.034899	0.034618	-0.81%	0.029598	-15.19%	0.1561	✓	-0.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.036292	0.035672	-1.71%	0.034899	-3.84%	0.0220	✓	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.03372	0.033047	-2.00%	0.036292	+7.63%	0.0931	✗	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.031919	0.031383	-1.68%	0.03372	+5.64%	0.0724	✗	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.028875	0.028531	-1.19%	0.031919	+10.54%	0.1120	✗	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.027404	0.027055	-1.28%	0.028875	+5.36%	0.0653	✗	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.025037	0.024854	-0.73%	0.027404	+9.46%	0.0997	✗	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.025012	0.024691	-1.28%	0.025037	+0.10%	0.0129	✗	0.11
2026-10-09	oos	0.025199	0.024812	-1.54%	0.025012	-0.74%	0.0075	✓	0.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.024821	0.024378	-1.79%	0.025199	+1.52%	0.0320	✗	0.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.020707	0.02057	-0.66%	0.024821	+19.87%	0.1923	✗	0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.022712	0.022525	-0.82%	0.020707	-8.83%	0.0799	✓	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	0.026838	0.026084	-2.81%	0.022712	-15.37%	0.1380	✓	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	0.020323	0.020051	-1.34%	0.026838	+32.06%	0.2940	✗	0.27
2026-10-03	oos	0.019305	0.01916	-0.75%	0.020323	+5.27%	0.0537	✗	0.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.022008	0.021682	-1.48%	0.019305	-12.28%	0.1168	✓	0.26
2026-10-01	oos	0.021486	0.021247	-1.11%	0.022008	+2.43%	0.0362	✗	0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.024146	0.023751	-1.63%	0.021486	-11.02%	0.1043	✓	0.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.026617	0.026022	-2.23%	0.024146	-9.28%	0.0746	✓	0.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.033197	0.031526	-5.03%	0.026617	-19.82%	0.1697	✓	0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.014683	0.014492	-1.30%	0.033197	+126.09%	0.8366	✗	0.65
2026-09-26	oos	0.01501	0.014739	-1.81%	0.014683	-2.18%	0.0041	✓	0.65
2026-09-25	oos	0.013481	0.013394	-0.65%	0.01501	+11.34%	0.1115	✗	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	0.01323	0.013164	-0.50%	0.013481	+1.90%	0.0260	✗	0.65
2026-09-23	oos	0.01364	0.013573	-0.49%	0.01323	-3.01%	0.0257	✓	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.013553	0.013484	-0.50%	0.01364	+0.65%	0.0248	✗	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.01374	0.013661	-0.58%	0.013553	-1.36%	0.0050	✓	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.01351	0.013449	-0.45%	0.01374	+1.70%	0.0279	✓	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.013822	0.013762	-0.43%	0.01351	-2.25%	0.0177	✓	0.75
2026-09-18	oos	0.01351	0.013452	-0.44%	0.013822	+2.30%	0.0238	✗	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.013894	0.013812	-0.59%	0.01351	-2.76%	0.0725	✓	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.013951	0.013786	-1.18%	0.013894	-0.41%	0.0054	✓	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.013095	0.013058	-0.29%	0.013951	+6.53%	0.0594	✗	0.91
2026-09-14	oos	0.013015	0.012989	-0.20%	0.013095	+0.62%	0.0407	✗	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.013244	0.013217	-0.20%	0.013015	-1.73%	0.0327	✓	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.01399	0.01396	-0.22%	0.013244	-5.33%	0.0469	✓	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.013969	0.01394	-0.20%	0.01399	+0.15%	0.0029	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.013893	0.013868	-0.18%	0.013969	+0.54%	0.0010	✓	0.94
2026-09-09	oos	0.013968	0.01395	-0.13%	0.013893	-0.54%	0.0176	✗	0.96
2026-09-08	oos	0.014179	0.014164	-0.10%	0.013968	-1.48%	0.0120	✓	0.92
2026-09-07	oos	0.014925	0.014919	-0.04%	0.014179	-5.00%	0.0435	✓	0.91
2026-09-06	oos	0.015738	0.015736	-0.01%	0.014925	-5.17%	0.0390	✓	0.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.015695	0.015694	-0.01%	0.015738	+0.27%	0.0029	✓	0.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.016369	0.016368	-0.01%	0.015695	-4.12%	0.0435	✓	0.78
2026-09-03	oos	0.016792	0.016795	+0.02%	0.016369	-2.52%	0.0114	✗	0.72
2026-09-02	oos	0.0174	0.017386	-0.08%	0.016792	-3.50%	0.0862	✓	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.017791	0.017776	-0.08%	0.0174	-2.20%	0.0202	✓	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.018144	0.018125	-0.10%	0.017791	-1.95%	0.0043	✓	0.96
2026-08-30	oos	0.017735	0.017712	-0.13%	0.018144	+2.31%	0.0121	✗	1.04
2026-08-29	oos	0.017556	0.01754	-0.09%	0.017735	+1.02%	0.0195	✗	1.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.017912	0.017884	-0.15%	0.017556	-1.98%	0.0244	✓	1.18
2026-08-27	oos	0.01779	0.017777	-0.07%	0.017912	+0.68%	0.0473	✗	1.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.017253	0.017242	-0.07%	0.01779	+3.11%	0.0113	✗	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.018184	0.018156	-0.15%	0.017253	-5.12%	0.0592	✓	1.30
2026-08-24	oos	0.018718	0.01867	-0.26%	0.018184	-2.86%	0.0186	✓	1.34
2026-08-23	oos	0.020346	0.02021	-0.67%	0.018718	-8.00%	0.0995	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.0182	0.018158	-0.23%	0.020346	+11.79%	0.1015	✗	1.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.017552	0.017527	-0.14%	0.0182	+3.69%	0.0611	✗	1.43
2026-08-20	oos	0.017291	0.017256	-0.20%	0.017552	+1.51%	0.0919	✓	1.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.016853	0.016814	-0.23%	0.017291	+2.60%	0.0524	✓	1.54
2026-08-18	oos	0.015957	0.015923	-0.21%	0.016853	+5.62%	0.0566	✓	1.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01766	0.017605	-0.31%	0.015957	-9.64%	0.1034	✓	1.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.01777	0.017714	-0.32%	0.01766	-0.62%	0.0453	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.017905	0.017851	-0.30%	0.01777	-0.75%	0.0002	✓	1.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.017855	0.017806	-0.27%	0.017905	+0.28%	0.0044	✗	1.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.017485	0.017445	-0.23%	0.017855	+2.12%	0.0356	✗	1.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.01726	0.017232	-0.16%	0.017485	+1.30%	0.0142	✗	1.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.01843	0.018383	-0.25%	0.01726	-6.35%	0.0601	✓	1.55
2026-08-10	oos	0.018025	0.017987	-0.21%	0.01843	+2.25%	0.0339	✗	1.61
2026-08-09	oos	0.01724	0.017208	-0.19%	0.018025	+4.55%	0.0711	✗	1.70
2026-08-08	oos	0.017	0.01696	-0.24%	0.01724	+1.41%	0.0179	✗	1.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01781	0.017766	-0.25%	0.017	-4.55%	0.0445	✓	1.71
2026-08-06	oos	0.01824	0.01817	-0.39%	0.01781	-2.36%	0.0366	✓	1.72
2026-08-05	oos	0.018525	0.018427	-0.53%	0.01824	-1.54%	0.0013	✓	1.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.018385	0.018263	-0.66%	0.018525	+0.76%	0.0017	✓	1.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.01727	0.017158	-0.65%	0.018385	+6.46%	0.0524	✗	1.82
2026-08-02	oos	0.01601	0.015971	-0.25%	0.01727	+7.87%	0.0792	✗	1.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.014815	0.014795	-0.13%	0.01601	+8.07%	0.0582	✗	1.78
2026-07-31	oos	0.015205	0.015172	-0.22%	0.014815	-2.56%	0.0220	✓	1.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.017	0.016849	-0.89%	0.015205	-10.56%	0.0508	✓	1.74
2026-07-29	oos	0.01538	0.015302	-0.50%	0.017	+10.53%	0.0835	✗	1.69
2026-07-28	oos	0.01431	0.014238	-0.50%	0.01538	+7.48%	0.0759	✗	1.68
2026-07-27	oos	0.01352	0.013486	-0.25%	0.01431	+5.84%	0.0553	✗	1.66
2026-07-26	oos	0.0173	0.017073	-1.31%	0.01352	-21.85%	0.1946	✓	1.52
2026-07-25	oos	0.01305	0.013032	-0.14%	0.0173	+32.57%	0.2620	✗	1.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.014115	0.014079	-0.25%	0.01305	-7.55%	0.0803	✓	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.013615	0.013592	-0.17%	0.014115	+3.67%	0.0583	✗	1.37
2026-07-22	oos	0.01306	0.013042	-0.14%	0.013615	+4.25%	0.0654	✗	1.41
2026-07-21	oos	0.013	0.012989	-0.08%	0.01306	+0.46%	0.0146	✗	1.42
2026-07-20	oos	0.01512	0.0151	-0.13%	0.013	-14.02%	0.1803	✓	1.55
2026-07-19	oos	0.015995	0.015978	-0.11%	0.01512	-5.47%	0.0680	✓	1.56
2026-07-18	oos	0.01561	0.015602	-0.05%	0.015995	+2.47%	0.0276	✗	1.56
2026-07-17	oos	0.016175	0.016173	-0.01%	0.01561	-3.49%	0.0576	✓	1.58
2026-07-16	oos	0.01902	0.018996	-0.13%	0.016175	-14.96%	0.1639	✓	1.61
2026-07-15	oos	0.01949	0.019466	-0.12%	0.01902	-2.41%	0.0007	✓	1.62
2026-07-14	oos	0.02091	0.020867	-0.21%	0.01949	-6.79%	0.0615	✓	1.62
2026-07-13	oos	0.020185	0.020159	-0.13%	0.02091	+3.59%	0.0333	✓	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.02075	0.020719	-0.15%	0.020185	-2.72%	0.0128	✗	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.02053	0.020501	-0.14%	0.02075	+1.07%	0.0129	✗	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.02095	0.020913	-0.18%	0.02053	-2.00%	0.0093	✓	1.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.020245	0.020213	-0.16%	0.02095	+3.48%	0.0114	✗	1.63
2026-07-08	oos	0.019995	0.019972	-0.11%	0.020245	+1.25%	0.0106	✓	1.61
2026-07-07	oos	0.021025	0.020984	-0.19%	0.019995	-4.90%	0.0203	✓	1.62
2026-07-06	oos	0.02209	0.022012	-0.35%	0.021025	-4.82%	0.0286	✓	1.62
2026-07-05	oos	0.02136	0.021285	-0.35%	0.02209	+3.42%	0.0267	✗	1.59
2026-07-04	oos	0.020275	0.020257	-0.09%	0.02136	+5.35%	0.0408	✗	1.55
2026-07-03	oos	0.02124	0.021217	-0.11%	0.020275	-4.54%	0.0596	✓	1.57
2026-07-02	oos	0.022865	0.02283	-0.15%	0.02124	-7.11%	0.0996	✓	1.64
2026-07-01	oos	0.02291	0.022882	-0.12%	0.022865	-0.20%	0.0424	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.02383	0.023771	-0.25%	0.02291	-3.86%	0.0791	✓	1.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.026745	0.026677	-0.25%	0.02383	-10.90%	0.0661	✓	1.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.026145	0.026097	-0.18%	0.026745	+2.29%	0.0054	✗	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.025275	0.02525	-0.10%	0.026145	+3.44%	0.0477	✗	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.02648	0.02643	-0.19%	0.025275	-4.55%	0.0428	✓	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	0.02528	0.025265	-0.06%	0.02648	+4.75%	0.0388	✗	1.64
2026-06-24	oos	0.02414	0.024142	+0.01%	0.02528	+4.72%	0.0827	✓	1.73
2026-06-23	oos	0.02557	0.025542	-0.11%	0.02414	-5.59%	0.0093	✓	1.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.029675	0.029549	-0.42%	0.02557	-13.83%	0.1099	✓	1.68
2026-06-21	oos	0.03032	0.030175	-0.48%	0.029675	-2.13%	0.0357	✓	1.69
2026-06-20	oos	0.03034	0.03015	-0.63%	0.03032	-0.07%	0.0324	✗	1.73
2026-06-19	oos	0.02745	0.027395	-0.20%	0.03034	+10.53%	0.0832	✗	1.61
2026-06-18	oos	0.02631	0.026292	-0.07%	0.02745	+4.33%	0.0284	✗	1.56
2026-06-17	oos	0.02856	0.028498	-0.22%	0.02631	-7.88%	0.0417	✓	1.55
2026-06-16	oos	0.02937	0.029284	-0.29%	0.02856	-2.76%	0.0034	✗	1.58
2026-06-15	oos	0.02962	0.029537	-0.28%	0.02937	-0.84%	0.0103	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.03074	0.030647	-0.30%	0.02962	-3.64%	0.0479	✓	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.032005	0.031909	-0.30%	0.03074	-3.95%	0.0698	✓	1.66
2026-06-12	oos	0.03101	0.03096	-0.16%	0.032005	+3.21%	0.0110	✗	1.60
2026-06-11	oos	0.03033	0.030306	-0.08%	0.03101	+2.24%	0.0236	✗	1.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.031025	0.031028	+0.01%	0.03033	-2.24%	0.0796	✗	1.68
2026-06-09	oos	0.03148	0.031491	+0.04%	0.031025	-1.45%	0.0084	✗	1.67
2026-06-08	oos	0.0324	0.032391	-0.03%	0.03148	-2.84%	0.0094	✗	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.03466	0.034608	-0.15%	0.0324	-6.52%	0.0594	✓	1.73
2026-06-06	oos	0.03785	0.037695	-0.41%	0.03466	-8.43%	0.1725	✓	2.24
2026-06-05	oos	0.02799	0.028106	+0.41%	0.03785	+35.23%	0.3037	✓	2.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.03417	0.034216	+0.13%	0.02799	-18.09%	0.1564	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.03762	0.037635	+0.04%	0.03417	-9.17%	0.0929	✗	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.03679	0.036805	+0.04%	0.03762	+2.26%	0.0620	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.04181	0.04166	-0.36%	0.03679	-12.01%	0.0568	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.05	0.049515	-0.97%	0.04181	-16.38%	0.1379	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.06753	0.064935	-3.84%	0.05	-25.96%	0.2587	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.03825	0.038207	-0.11%	0.06753	+76.55%	0.5641	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.03677	0.036789	+0.05%	0.03825	+4.03%	0.0409	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.03918	0.039178	-0.01%	0.03677	-6.15%	0.0526	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.04436	0.044269	-0.21%	0.03918	-11.68%	0.1020	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.051465	0.051229	-0.46%	0.04436	-13.81%	0.1254	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.05471	0.054437	-0.50%	0.051465	-5.93%	0.0597	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.05338	0.053172	-0.39%	0.05471	+2.49%	0.0243	✗	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.056	0.055743	-0.46%	0.05338	-4.68%	0.0592	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.053555	0.053358	-0.37%	0.056	+4.57%	0.0758	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.05371	0.053566	-0.27%	0.053555	-0.29%	0.0011	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.062095	0.061883	-0.34%	0.05371	-13.50%	0.1508	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.061165	0.060989	-0.29%	0.062095	+1.52%	0.0203	✗	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.07421	0.073932	-0.38%	0.061165	-17.58%	0.1836	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0765	0.076234	-0.35%	0.07421	-2.99%	0.0179	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.09405	0.093375	-0.72%	0.0765	-18.66%	0.1872	✓	1.00