KAIO

KAIO · Ethereum · gru_s1

token id: #324
symbol: KAIO
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x00bac91fd8f5b4a0dc03c8021139b76f6549ee7e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-06
predictions: 480

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

130

of 160 predictions shown

direction hit

62.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4093

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0212

actual -0.2225

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.030038	0.027605	-8.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.030499	0.028034	-8.08%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.029365	0.026968	-8.16%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.029598	0.027199	-8.11%	–	pending	–	–	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.034899	0.03186	-8.71%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.036292	0.033094	-8.81%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.03372	0.030834	-8.56%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.031919	0.029159	-8.65%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.028875	0.02661	-7.84%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.027404	0.025209	-8.01%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.025037	0.023278	-7.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.025012	0.023255	-7.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-09	oos	0.025199	0.023361	-7.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.024821	0.022905	-7.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.020707	0.019364	-6.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.022712	0.021436	-5.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	0.026838	0.025191	-6.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	0.020323	0.019324	-4.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-03	oos	0.019305	0.018248	-5.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.022008	0.020737	-5.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-01	oos	0.021486	0.02031	-5.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.024146	0.022615	-6.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.026617	0.024763	-6.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.033197	0.02989	-9.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.014683	0.014246	-2.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-26	oos	0.01501	0.014502	-3.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-25	oos	0.013481	0.013013	-3.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	0.01323	0.012772	-3.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-23	oos	0.01364	0.013188	-3.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.013553	0.013152	-2.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.01374	0.013376	-2.65%	0.030038	+118.62%	0.8389	✗	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.01351	0.013104	-3.01%	0.030499	+125.75%	0.8283	✗	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.013822	0.013412	-2.96%	0.029365	+112.46%	0.7781	✗	0.75
2026-09-18	oos	0.01351	0.013161	-2.59%	0.029598	+119.08%	0.8002	✗	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.013894	0.013376	-3.73%	0.034899	+151.18%	0.9032	✗	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.013951	0.013446	-3.62%	0.036292	+160.14%	0.9328	✗	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.013095	0.012614	-3.67%	0.03372	+157.49%	0.9074	✗	0.91
2026-09-14	oos	0.013015	0.012669	-2.66%	0.031919	+145.24%	0.8829	✗	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.013244	0.01287	-2.82%	0.028875	+118.02%	0.7312	✗	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.01399	0.013616	-2.68%	0.027404	+95.89%	0.6455	✗	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.013969	0.013631	-2.42%	0.025037	+79.24%	0.5330	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.013893	0.013561	-2.39%	0.025012	+80.03%	0.5369	✗	0.94
2026-09-09	oos	0.013968	0.013857	-0.80%	0.025199	+80.41%	0.5472	✗	0.96
2026-09-08	oos	0.014179	0.014149	-0.21%	0.024821	+75.06%	0.5249	✗	0.92
2026-09-07	oos	0.014925	0.015045	+0.80%	0.020707	+38.74%	0.2728	✓	0.91
2026-09-06	oos	0.015738	0.016072	+2.12%	0.022712	+44.31%	0.2901	✓	0.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.015695	0.016016	+2.05%	0.026838	+71.00%	0.4520	✓	0.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.016369	0.01681	+2.69%	0.020323	+24.16%	0.1257	✓	0.78
2026-09-03	oos	0.016792	0.01748	+4.10%	0.019305	+14.97%	0.0691	✓	0.72
2026-09-02	oos	0.0174	0.017634	+1.35%	0.022008	+26.48%	0.1299	✓	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.017791	0.018196	+2.28%	0.021486	+20.77%	0.0704	✓	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.018144	0.018796	+3.59%	0.024146	+33.08%	0.1915	✓	0.96
2026-08-30	oos	0.017735	0.018348	+3.46%	0.026617	+50.08%	0.2947	✓	1.04
2026-08-29	oos	0.017556	0.018246	+3.93%	0.033197	+89.09%	0.5239	✓	1.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.017912	0.01874	+4.62%	0.014683	-18.02%	0.3401	✗	1.18
2026-08-27	oos	0.01779	0.018936	+6.44%	0.01501	-15.63%	0.2971	✗	1.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.017253	0.018291	+6.01%	0.013481	-21.86%	0.3845	✗	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.018184	0.019332	+6.31%	0.01323	-27.24%	0.4726	✗	1.30
2026-08-24	oos	0.018718	0.020061	+7.17%	0.01364	-27.13%	0.4742	✗	1.34
2026-08-23	oos	0.020346	0.021547	+5.90%	0.013553	-33.39%	0.6114	✗	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.0182	0.019166	+5.31%	0.01374	-24.51%	0.4963	✗	1.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.017552	0.018665	+6.34%	0.01351	-23.03%	0.3741	✗	1.43
2026-08-20	oos	0.017291	0.017703	+2.39%	0.013822	-20.07%	0.4130	✗	1.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.016853	0.016946	+0.55%	0.01351	-19.83%	0.4646	✗	1.54
2026-08-18	oos	0.015957	0.015811	-0.92%	0.013894	-12.93%	0.4017	✓	1.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01766	0.01735	-1.76%	0.013951	-21.00%	0.4845	✓	1.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.01777	0.017377	-2.21%	0.013095	-26.31%	0.5855	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.017905	0.017593	-1.74%	0.013015	-27.31%	0.6596	✓	1.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.017855	0.01762	-1.32%	0.013244	-25.82%	0.6152	✓	1.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.017485	0.017452	-0.19%	0.01399	-19.99%	0.5623	✓	1.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.01726	0.017282	+0.13%	0.013969	-19.07%	0.5227	✗	1.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.01843	0.018397	-0.18%	0.013893	-24.62%	0.5690	✓	1.55
2026-08-10	oos	0.018025	0.018114	+0.50%	0.013968	-22.51%	0.5860	✗	1.61
2026-08-09	oos	0.01724	0.017554	+1.82%	0.014179	-17.76%	0.5376	✗	1.70
2026-08-08	oos	0.017	0.017379	+2.23%	0.014925	-12.21%	0.4882	✗	1.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01781	0.018085	+1.54%	0.015738	-11.63%	0.5046	✗	1.71
2026-08-06	oos	0.01824	0.018434	+1.07%	0.015695	-13.95%	0.5332	✗	1.72
2026-08-05	oos	0.018525	0.018648	+0.66%	0.016369	-11.64%	0.4871	✗	1.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.018385	0.01837	-0.08%	0.016792	-8.67%	0.5303	✓	1.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.01727	0.017267	-0.02%	0.0174	+0.75%	0.3521	✓	1.82
2026-08-02	oos	0.01601	0.016032	+0.14%	0.017791	+11.12%	0.2553	✗	1.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.014815	0.014927	+0.76%	0.018144	+22.47%	0.2037	✗	1.78
2026-07-31	oos	0.015205	0.015351	+0.96%	0.017735	+16.64%	0.2323	✗	1.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.017	0.017188	+1.10%	0.017556	+3.27%	0.3094	✗	1.74
2026-07-29	oos	0.01538	0.015446	+0.43%	0.017912	+16.46%	0.1850	✗	1.69
2026-07-28	oos	0.01431	0.0143	-0.07%	0.01779	+24.32%	0.1652	✓	1.68
2026-07-27	oos	0.01352	0.013519	-0.00%	0.017253	+27.61%	0.1142	✓	1.66
2026-07-26	oos	0.0173	0.017137	-0.94%	0.018184	+5.11%	0.2193	✓	1.52
2026-07-25	oos	0.01305	0.01307	+0.15%	0.018718	+43.44%	0.0877	✓	1.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.014115	0.014086	-0.20%	0.020346	+44.14%	0.1106	✗	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.013615	0.013617	+0.02%	0.0182	+33.68%	0.0582	✓	1.37
2026-07-22	oos	0.01306	0.0131	+0.30%	0.017552	+34.40%	0.0523	✓	1.41
2026-07-21	oos	0.013	0.013019	+0.15%	0.017291	+33.01%	0.1514	✓	1.42
2026-07-20	oos	0.01512	0.015086	-0.22%	0.016853	+11.46%	0.0167	✗	1.55
2026-07-19	oos	0.015995	0.016026	+0.19%	0.015957	-0.24%	0.0043	✗	1.56
2026-07-18	oos	0.01561	0.015737	+0.81%	0.01766	+13.13%	0.1230	✓	1.56
2026-07-17	oos	0.016175	0.016386	+1.31%	0.01777	+9.86%	0.1074	✓	1.58
2026-07-16	oos	0.01902	0.019273	+1.33%	0.017905	-5.86%	0.0546	✗	1.61
2026-07-15	oos	0.01949	0.019788	+1.53%	0.017855	-8.39%	0.0587	✗	1.62
2026-07-14	oos	0.02091	0.021142	+1.11%	0.017485	-16.38%	0.1506	✗	1.62
2026-07-13	oos	0.020185	0.020271	+0.43%	0.01726	-14.49%	0.1906	✗	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.02075	0.020847	+0.47%	0.01843	-11.18%	0.1178	✗	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.02053	0.020636	+0.52%	0.018025	-12.20%	0.1389	✗	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.02095	0.021053	+0.49%	0.01724	-17.71%	0.2183	✗	1.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.020245	0.020364	+0.59%	0.017	-16.03%	0.2246	✗	1.63
2026-07-08	oos	0.019995	0.020105	+0.55%	0.01781	-10.93%	0.1886	✗	1.61
2026-07-07	oos	0.021025	0.021054	+0.14%	0.01824	-13.25%	0.1674	✗	1.62
2026-07-06	oos	0.02209	0.022067	-0.11%	0.018525	-16.14%	0.1901	✓	1.62
2026-07-05	oos	0.02136	0.021326	-0.16%	0.018385	-13.93%	0.1601	✓	1.59
2026-07-04	oos	0.020275	0.020213	-0.30%	0.01727	-14.82%	0.1667	✓	1.55
2026-07-03	oos	0.02124	0.021084	-0.73%	0.01601	-24.62%	0.2997	✓	1.57
2026-07-02	oos	0.022865	0.022511	-1.55%	0.014815	-35.21%	0.4522	✓	1.64
2026-07-01	oos	0.02291	0.022547	-1.58%	0.015205	-33.63%	0.4715	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.02383	0.023312	-2.17%	0.017	-28.66%	0.4908	✓	1.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.026745	0.02571	-3.87%	0.01538	-42.49%	0.6157	✓	1.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.026145	0.025164	-3.75%	0.01431	-45.27%	0.6826	✓	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.025275	0.024385	-3.52%	0.01352	-46.51%	0.6916	✓	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.02648	0.025393	-4.11%	0.0173	-34.67%	0.5267	✓	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	0.02528	0.02434	-3.72%	0.01305	-48.38%	0.7447	✓	1.64
2026-06-24	oos	0.02414	0.023313	-3.42%	0.014115	-41.53%	0.5875	✓	1.73
2026-06-23	oos	0.02557	0.024551	-3.98%	0.013615	-46.75%	0.6557	✓	1.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.029675	0.028095	-5.33%	0.01306	-55.99%	0.8214	✓	1.68
2026-06-21	oos	0.03032	0.028615	-5.62%	0.013	-57.12%	0.8746	✓	1.69
2026-06-20	oos	0.03034	0.028595	-5.75%	0.01512	-50.16%	0.6636	✓	1.73
2026-06-19	oos	0.02745	0.026113	-4.87%	0.015995	-41.73%	0.5206	✓	1.61
2026-06-18	oos	0.02631	0.025122	-4.51%	0.01561	-40.67%	0.5226	✓	1.56
2026-06-17	oos	0.02856	0.027082	-5.18%	0.016175	-43.36%	0.5021	✓	1.55
2026-06-16	oos	0.02937	0.027797	-5.36%	0.01902	-35.24%	0.3344	✓	1.58
2026-06-15	oos	0.02962	0.028034	-5.35%	0.01949	-34.20%	0.3256	✓	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.03074	0.029056	-5.48%	0.02091	-31.98%	0.3114	✓	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.032005	0.030179	-5.70%	0.020185	-36.93%	0.3456	✓	1.66
2026-06-12	oos	0.03101	0.029359	-5.32%	0.02075	-33.09%	0.3521	✓	1.60
2026-06-11	oos	0.03033	0.028791	-5.08%	0.02053	-32.31%	0.3433	✓	1.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.031025	0.029494	-4.94%	0.02095	-32.47%	0.4137	✓	1.68
2026-06-09	oos	0.03148	0.029877	-5.09%	0.020245	-35.69%	0.4290	✓	1.67
2026-06-08	oos	0.0324	0.030622	-5.49%	0.019995	-38.29%	0.4036	✓	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.03466	0.032542	-6.11%	0.021025	-39.34%	0.4374	✓	1.73
2026-06-06	oos	0.03785	0.035328	-6.66%	0.02209	-41.64%	0.5827	✓	2.24
2026-06-05	oos	0.02799	0.026715	-4.56%	0.02136	-23.69%	0.3071	✓	2.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.03417	0.032097	-6.07%	0.020275	-40.66%	0.4480	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.03762	0.035053	-6.82%	0.02124	-43.54%	0.4769	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.03679	0.034081	-7.36%	0.022865	-37.85%	0.3183	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.04181	0.037781	-9.64%	0.02291	-45.20%	0.3268	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.05	0.044167	-11.67%	0.02383	-52.34%	0.3882	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.06753	0.057561	-14.76%	0.026745	-60.40%	0.5626	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.03825	0.034586	-9.58%	0.026145	-31.65%	0.0699	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.03677	0.033445	-9.04%	0.025275	-31.26%	0.0759	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.03918	0.035659	-8.99%	0.02648	-32.41%	0.0837	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.04436	0.040267	-9.23%	0.02528	-43.01%	0.2265	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.051465	0.04652	-9.61%	0.02414	-53.09%	0.4196	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.05471	0.04957	-9.39%	0.02557	-53.26%	0.4560	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.05338	0.048615	-8.93%	0.029675	-44.41%	0.3125	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.056	0.051119	-8.72%	0.03032	-45.86%	0.3458	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.053555	0.048954	-8.59%	0.03034	-43.35%	0.2899	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.05371	0.04923	-8.34%	0.02745	-48.89%	0.3848	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.062095	0.057107	-8.03%	0.02631	-57.63%	0.5754	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.061165	0.056377	-7.83%	0.02856	-53.31%	0.5028	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.07421	0.068572	-7.60%	0.02937	-60.42%	0.6826	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0765	0.070956	-7.25%	0.02962	-61.28%	0.7094	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.09405	0.08762	-6.84%	0.03074	-67.32%	0.8625	✓	1.00