HMM

Thinking Cat · Robinhood · gru_s1

token id: #766
symbol: HMM
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-12
predictions: 186

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 62 predictions shown

direction hit

67.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2578

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0503

actual -0.1284

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00679	0.006611	-2.64%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.006935	0.006733	-2.92%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.006911	0.006727	-2.66%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.007476	0.00725	-3.03%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.008448	0.008149	-3.54%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-16	oos	0.008892	0.008547	-3.88%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-15	oos	0.008617	0.008277	-3.95%	–	pending	–	–	3.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.009034	0.008646	-4.29%	0.00679	-24.83%	0.2882	✓	3.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.008849	0.008436	-4.66%	0.006935	-21.63%	0.1891	✓	3.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.008725	0.00835	-4.30%	0.006911	-20.79%	0.1932	✓	3.48
2026-10-11	oos	0.009124	0.008669	-4.99%	0.007476	-18.06%	0.0764	✓	3.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.010989	0.010364	-5.70%	0.008448	-23.13%	0.1378	✓	3.58
2026-10-09	oos	0.010006	0.009457	-5.49%	0.008892	-11.13%	0.0160	✓	3.58
2026-10-08	oos	0.008488	0.008132	-4.20%	0.008617	+1.52%	0.0393	✓	3.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.010855	0.010212	-5.92%	0.009034	-16.78%	0.0516	✓	3.43
2026-10-06	oos	0.012157	0.011334	-6.77%	0.008849	-27.22%	0.1482	✓	3.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.011895	0.011061	-7.02%	0.008725	-26.65%	0.0720	✓	3.45
2026-10-04	oos	0.013768	0.012728	-7.55%	0.009124	-33.73%	0.2196	✓	3.41
2026-10-03	oos	0.014797	0.013652	-7.73%	0.010989	-25.73%	0.1411	✓	3.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.013097	0.012123	-7.43%	0.010006	-23.60%	0.1101	✓	3.48
2026-10-01	oos	0.014907	0.013635	-8.53%	0.008488	-43.06%	0.3431	✓	3.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.011815	0.011001	-6.89%	0.010855	-8.13%	0.0019	✓	3.38
2026-09-29	oos	0.012816	0.011774	-8.14%	0.012157	-5.14%	0.0436	✓	3.37
2026-09-28	oos	0.010778	0.010121	-6.09%	0.011895	+10.37%	0.0695	✗	3.40
2026-09-27	oos	0.011668	0.010852	-6.99%	0.013768	+17.99%	0.1568	✗	3.39
2026-09-26	oos	0.014306	0.013105	-8.40%	0.014797	+3.43%	0.1085	✗	3.36
2026-09-25	oos	0.013554	0.012371	-8.73%	0.013097	-3.38%	0.0406	✓	3.36
2026-09-24	oos	0.009953	0.009383	-5.72%	0.014907	+49.77%	0.4438	✗	3.50
2026-09-23	oos	0.009004	0.008639	-4.06%	0.011815	+31.22%	0.3477	✗	3.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.009465	0.009015	-4.76%	0.012816	+35.41%	0.4608	✗	3.61
2026-09-21	oos	0.012424	0.011474	-7.64%	0.010778	-13.25%	0.0671	✓	3.51
2026-09-20	oos	0.01087	0.010383	-4.47%	0.011668	+7.35%	0.0288	✓	3.65
2026-09-19	oos	0.011822	0.011232	-4.99%	0.014306	+21.02%	0.1023	✗	3.63
2026-09-18	oos	0.016224	0.014864	-8.38%	0.013554	-16.46%	0.2330	✓	3.61
2026-09-17	oos	0.011992	0.011536	-3.80%	0.009953	-17.00%	0.4747	✓	3.27
2026-09-16	oos	0.012992	0.012365	-4.82%	0.009004	-30.70%	0.6521	✓	3.26
2026-09-15	oos	0.011416	0.011084	-2.91%	0.009465	-17.09%	0.5843	✓	3.25
2026-09-14	oos	0.009685	0.009615	-0.72%	0.012424	+28.27%	0.1455	✓	3.93
2026-09-13	oos	0.008004	0.008146	+1.78%	0.01087	+35.81%	0.0778	✓	3.82
2026-09-12	oos	0.010047	0.010047	+0.00%	0.011822	+17.66%	0.0235	✗	3.71
2026-09-11	oos	0.01206	0.01182	-1.99%	0.016224	+34.53%	0.1464	✗	3.67
2026-09-10	oos	0.010417	0.010394	-0.22%	0.011992	+15.13%	0.1455	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.0096	0.009639	+0.41%	0.012992	+35.34%	0.3263	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.012026	0.011823	-1.69%	0.011416	-5.07%	0.0022	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.012792	0.01244	-2.75%	0.009685	-24.28%	0.2386	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.015676	0.015039	-4.06%	0.008004	-48.95%	0.5857	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.022874	0.021765	-4.85%	0.010047	-56.08%	0.7403	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.018372	0.017547	-4.49%	0.01206	-34.36%	0.3436	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.024546	0.023297	-5.09%	0.010417	-57.56%	0.7450	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.019138	0.018245	-4.67%	0.0096	-49.84%	0.6547	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.021014	0.019985	-4.90%	0.012026	-42.77%	0.5214	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.025262	0.023894	-5.41%	0.012792	-49.36%	0.6315	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.026994	0.025104	-7.00%	0.015676	-41.93%	0.5047	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.022167	0.020735	-6.46%	0.022874	+3.19%	0.0779	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.014283	0.013741	-3.80%	0.018372	+28.63%	0.2671	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.016661	0.016014	-3.88%	0.024546	+47.33%	0.4148	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.02285	0.021571	-5.60%	0.019138	-16.25%	0.0977	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.019711	0.018757	-4.84%	0.021014	+6.61%	0.1281	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.018916	0.017984	-4.93%	0.025262	+33.55%	0.3451	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.01615	0.015411	-4.58%	0.026994	+67.15%	0.5614	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.013719	0.01321	-3.71%	0.022167	+61.58%	0.5025	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.013329	0.012837	-3.69%	0.014283	+7.16%	0.1130	✗	1.00