HMM

Thinking Cat · Robinhood · gru_s1

token id: #766
symbol: HMM
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-12
predictions: 186

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 62 predictions shown

direction hit

55.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1385

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0113

actual -0.0145

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00679	0.006757	-0.50%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.006935	0.006895	-0.57%	0.00679	-2.08%	0.0055	✓	3.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.006911	0.006879	-0.47%	0.006935	+0.35%	0.0367	✓	3.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.007476	0.007436	-0.54%	0.006911	-7.56%	0.0664	✓	3.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.008448	0.008389	-0.70%	0.007476	-11.50%	0.1409	✓	3.36
2026-10-16	oos	0.008892	0.008822	-0.79%	0.008448	-5.00%	0.0384	✓	3.36
2026-10-15	oos	0.008617	0.008553	-0.74%	0.008892	+3.20%	0.0648	✗	3.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.009034	0.008956	-0.86%	0.008617	-4.62%	0.0617	✓	3.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.008849	0.008766	-0.94%	0.009034	+2.10%	0.0950	✗	3.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.008725	0.008657	-0.78%	0.008849	+1.42%	0.0356	✓	3.48
2026-10-11	oos	0.009124	0.009047	-0.84%	0.008725	-4.37%	0.0467	✗	3.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.010989	0.010853	-1.24%	0.009124	-16.98%	0.2065	✓	3.58
2026-10-09	oos	0.010006	0.009887	-1.18%	0.010989	+9.83%	0.0898	✗	3.58
2026-10-08	oos	0.008488	0.008434	-0.63%	0.010006	+17.88%	0.1341	✗	3.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.010855	0.010737	-1.09%	0.008488	-21.81%	0.1693	✓	3.43
2026-10-06	oos	0.012157	0.012	-1.29%	0.010855	-10.71%	0.0081	✓	3.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.011895	0.011748	-1.24%	0.012157	+2.20%	0.0427	✗	3.45
2026-10-04	oos	0.013768	0.013567	-1.46%	0.011895	-13.60%	0.1014	✓	3.41
2026-10-03	oos	0.014797	0.01453	-1.80%	0.013768	-6.95%	0.1254	✓	3.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.013097	0.012905	-1.46%	0.014797	+12.98%	0.1270	✗	3.48
2026-10-01	oos	0.014907	0.014569	-2.27%	0.013097	-12.15%	0.0925	✓	3.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.011815	0.01165	-1.40%	0.014907	+26.17%	0.1947	✗	3.38
2026-09-29	oos	0.012816	0.012535	-2.19%	0.011815	-7.81%	0.0559	✓	3.37
2026-09-28	oos	0.010778	0.010642	-1.26%	0.012816	+18.92%	0.1786	✗	3.40
2026-09-27	oos	0.011668	0.011491	-1.52%	0.010778	-7.63%	0.0235	✓	3.39
2026-09-26	oos	0.014306	0.013998	-2.16%	0.011668	-18.44%	0.1839	✓	3.36
2026-09-25	oos	0.013554	0.013201	-2.61%	0.014306	+5.55%	0.0675	✗	3.36
2026-09-24	oos	0.009953	0.0098	-1.54%	0.013554	+36.18%	0.3364	✗	3.50
2026-09-23	oos	0.009004	0.008922	-0.91%	0.009953	+10.54%	0.1091	✗	3.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.009465	0.009373	-0.97%	0.009004	-4.87%	0.0369	✗	3.61
2026-09-21	oos	0.012424	0.01217	-2.04%	0.009465	-23.81%	0.2352	✓	3.51
2026-09-20	oos	0.01087	0.010764	-0.97%	0.012424	+14.30%	0.0930	✓	3.65
2026-09-19	oos	0.011822	0.011703	-1.00%	0.01087	-8.05%	0.0706	✓	3.63
2026-09-18	oos	0.016224	0.015808	-2.56%	0.011822	-27.14%	0.3066	✓	3.61
2026-09-17	oos	0.011992	0.011886	-0.88%	0.016224	+35.29%	0.1229	✗	3.27
2026-09-16	oos	0.012992	0.012812	-1.39%	0.011992	-7.70%	0.0748	✓	3.26
2026-09-15	oos	0.011416	0.011316	-0.87%	0.012992	+13.81%	0.1141	✗	3.25
2026-09-14	oos	0.009685	0.009659	-0.28%	0.011416	+17.87%	0.2995	✗	3.93
2026-09-13	oos	0.008004	0.008037	+0.42%	0.009685	+21.02%	0.1189	✓	3.82
2026-09-12	oos	0.010047	0.010048	+0.01%	0.008004	-20.34%	0.2052	✗	3.71
2026-09-11	oos	0.01206	0.011988	-0.59%	0.010047	-16.69%	0.1792	✓	3.67
2026-09-10	oos	0.010417	0.010408	-0.08%	0.01206	+15.77%	0.1386	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.0096	0.009616	+0.17%	0.010417	+8.51%	0.1025	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.012026	0.011998	-0.23%	0.0096	-20.18%	0.2209	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.012792	0.012751	-0.32%	0.012026	-5.99%	0.0504	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.015676	0.015589	-0.56%	0.012792	-18.40%	0.1821	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.022874	0.022604	-1.18%	0.015676	-31.46%	0.3723	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.018372	0.018244	-0.69%	0.022874	+24.50%	0.2242	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.024546	0.024209	-1.37%	0.018372	-25.15%	0.2561	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.019138	0.018983	-0.81%	0.024546	+28.26%	0.2071	✗	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.021014	0.020828	-0.89%	0.019138	-8.93%	0.0834	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.025262	0.02494	-1.27%	0.021014	-16.82%	0.1564	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.026994	0.026348	-2.39%	0.025262	-6.42%	0.0536	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.022167	0.021637	-2.39%	0.026994	+21.78%	0.2285	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.014283	0.014192	-0.64%	0.022167	+55.20%	0.4409	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.016661	0.016539	-0.73%	0.014283	-14.27%	0.1158	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.02285	0.022429	-1.84%	0.016661	-27.09%	0.3130	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.019711	0.019416	-1.49%	0.02285	+15.93%	0.1565	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.018916	0.018582	-1.77%	0.019711	+4.20%	0.0648	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.01615	0.015878	-1.68%	0.018916	+17.13%	0.1591	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.013719	0.013546	-1.26%	0.01615	+17.72%	0.1671	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.013329	0.013134	-1.47%	0.013719	+2.93%	0.0600	✗	1.00