HMM
Thinking Cat · Robinhood · gru_s1
- token id
- #766
- symbol
- HMM
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-12
- predictions
- 186
Track record at +30d
assessed
32
of 62 predictions shown
direction hit
100.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3624
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1209
actual -0.4716
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.00679 | 0.006278 | -7.55% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.006935 | 0.006393 | -7.82% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006911 | 0.006371 | -7.82% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.007476 | 0.00685 | -8.38% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.008448 | 0.007668 | -9.24% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.008892 | 0.008011 | -9.91% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.008617 | 0.007732 | -10.26% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.009034 | 0.008045 | -10.95% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.008849 | 0.007822 | -11.60% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.008725 | 0.007718 | -11.54% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.009124 | 0.007955 | -12.81% | – | pending | – | – | 3.55 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.010989 | 0.009501 | -13.54% | – | pending | – | – | 3.58 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.010006 | 0.008654 | -13.52% | – | pending | – | – | 3.58 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.008488 | 0.007437 | -12.38% | – | pending | – | – | 3.54 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.010855 | 0.009239 | -14.89% | – | pending | – | – | 3.43 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.012157 | 0.010201 | -16.09% | – | pending | – | – | 3.44 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.011895 | 0.009892 | -16.84% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.013768 | 0.011385 | -17.30% | – | pending | – | – | 3.41 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.014797 | 0.012262 | -17.13% | – | pending | – | – | 3.47 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.013097 | 0.010791 | -17.60% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014907 | 0.012234 | -17.93% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.011815 | 0.009786 | -17.18% | – | pending | – | – | 3.38 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.012816 | 0.010515 | -17.96% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.010778 | 0.009003 | -16.47% | – | pending | – | – | 3.40 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.011668 | 0.009607 | -17.66% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.014306 | 0.01162 | -18.78% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.013554 | 0.011025 | -18.66% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.009953 | 0.008357 | -16.04% | – | pending | – | – | 3.50 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.009004 | 0.007681 | -14.69% | – | pending | – | – | 3.53 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.009465 | 0.007986 | -15.62% | – | pending | – | – | 3.61 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.012424 | 0.010137 | -18.40% | 0.00679 | -45.34% | 0.2388 | ✓ | 3.51 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.01087 | 0.009194 | -15.41% | 0.006935 | -36.20% | 0.3611 | ✓ | 3.65 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.011822 | 0.009911 | -16.16% | 0.006911 | -41.54% | 0.3875 | ✓ | 3.63 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.016224 | 0.01327 | -18.21% | 0.007476 | -53.92% | 0.6238 | ✓ | 3.61 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.011992 | 0.010285 | -14.24% | 0.008448 | -29.55% | 0.4053 | ✓ | 3.27 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.012992 | 0.011064 | -14.84% | 0.008892 | -31.55% | 0.4401 | ✓ | 3.26 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.011416 | 0.009901 | -13.27% | 0.008617 | -24.52% | 0.4082 | ✓ | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.009685 | 0.008503 | -12.20% | 0.009034 | -6.73% | 0.1063 | ✓ | 3.93 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.008004 | 0.007182 | -10.27% | 0.008849 | +10.56% | 0.0922 | ✓ | 3.82 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.010047 | 0.00894 | -11.02% | 0.008725 | -13.16% | 0.2336 | ✓ | 3.71 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.01206 | 0.010614 | -11.99% | 0.009124 | -24.34% | 0.4466 | ✓ | 3.67 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.010417 | 0.009299 | -10.73% | 0.010989 | +5.50% | 0.0871 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.0096 | 0.008595 | -10.46% | 0.010006 | +4.23% | 0.0990 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.012026 | 0.010669 | -11.29% | 0.008488 | -29.42% | 0.2692 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.012792 | 0.01125 | -12.06% | 0.010855 | -15.14% | 0.0872 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.015676 | 0.013702 | -12.59% | 0.012157 | -22.45% | 0.1823 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.022874 | 0.02027 | -11.38% | 0.011895 | -47.99% | 0.6045 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.018372 | 0.016162 | -12.03% | 0.013768 | -25.06% | 0.2426 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.024546 | 0.021894 | -10.81% | 0.014797 | -39.72% | 0.4337 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.019138 | 0.016853 | -11.94% | 0.013097 | -31.57% | 0.3412 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.021014 | 0.018498 | -11.97% | 0.014907 | -29.06% | 0.3077 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.025262 | 0.022304 | -11.71% | 0.011815 | -53.23% | 0.6970 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.026994 | 0.023716 | -12.14% | 0.012816 | -52.52% | 0.6895 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.022167 | 0.019839 | -10.50% | 0.010778 | -51.38% | 0.6748 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.014283 | 0.012988 | -9.07% | 0.011668 | -18.31% | 0.1888 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.016661 | 0.015278 | -8.30% | 0.014306 | -14.13% | 0.1160 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.02285 | 0.020709 | -9.37% | 0.013554 | -40.68% | 0.4860 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.019711 | 0.018083 | -8.26% | 0.009953 | -49.51% | 0.6690 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.018916 | 0.017578 | -7.08% | 0.009004 | -52.40% | 0.7351 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.01615 | 0.015148 | -6.20% | 0.009465 | -41.39% | 0.5737 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.013719 | 0.013016 | -5.13% | 0.012424 | -9.44% | 0.1633 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.013329 | 0.012863 | -3.49% | 0.01087 | -18.45% | 0.2040 | ✓ | 1.00 |