CAP
Cap · Ethereum · gru_s1
- token id
- #71
- symbol
- CAP
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x99991c6aabba5a096f24f250b73580f5179b9999
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-26
- predictions
- 330
Track record at +7d
assessed
103
of 110 predictions shown
direction hit
34.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2554
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0314
actual +0.1228
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.069027 | 0.067387 | -2.37% | – | pending | – | – | -0.47 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.06897 | 0.067375 | -2.31% | – | pending | – | – | -0.53 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.068735 | 0.06721 | -2.22% | – | pending | – | – | -0.57 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.066889 | 0.065511 | -2.06% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.070477 | 0.068868 | -2.28% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.073935 | 0.07215 | -2.41% | – | pending | – | – | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.072748 | 0.071067 | -2.31% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.07849 | 0.07645 | -2.60% | 0.069027 | -12.06% | 0.0865 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.073752 | 0.072123 | -2.21% | 0.06897 | -6.49% | 0.0261 | ✓ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.088248 | 0.085719 | -2.87% | 0.068735 | -22.11% | 0.2223 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.097059 | 0.093449 | -3.72% | 0.066889 | -31.08% | 0.3335 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.092361 | 0.089515 | -3.08% | 0.070477 | -23.69% | 0.2565 | ✓ | -0.86 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.092402 | 0.089102 | -3.57% | 0.073935 | -19.99% | 0.2036 | ✓ | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.086635 | 0.084023 | -3.02% | 0.072748 | -16.03% | 0.1558 | ✓ | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.073139 | 0.07143 | -2.34% | 0.07849 | +7.31% | 0.0990 | ✗ | -0.90 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.07128 | 0.069649 | -2.29% | 0.073752 | +3.47% | 0.0377 | ✗ | -0.94 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.087975 | 0.084428 | -4.03% | 0.088248 | +0.31% | 0.0105 | ✓ | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.073941 | 0.072049 | -2.56% | 0.097059 | +31.27% | 0.2422 | ✗ | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.065278 | 0.064063 | -1.86% | 0.092361 | +41.49% | 0.3288 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.069035 | 0.067427 | -2.33% | 0.092402 | +33.85% | 0.2911 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.074028 | 0.071605 | -3.27% | 0.086635 | +17.03% | 0.1647 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.069846 | 0.067642 | -3.15% | 0.073139 | +4.72% | 0.0374 | ✗ | -1.08 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069306 | 0.06706 | -3.24% | 0.07128 | +2.85% | 0.0573 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.059839 | 0.058071 | -2.96% | 0.087975 | +47.02% | 0.4406 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.056407 | 0.054748 | -2.94% | 0.073941 | +31.08% | 0.3330 | ✗ | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.053595 | 0.052182 | -2.64% | 0.065278 | +21.80% | 0.2529 | ✗ | -1.21 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.051578 | 0.050221 | -2.63% | 0.069035 | +33.85% | 0.3228 | ✗ | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.052128 | 0.050646 | -2.84% | 0.074028 | +42.01% | 0.3853 | ✗ | -1.17 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.049949 | 0.048527 | -2.85% | 0.069846 | +39.83% | 0.3705 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.053106 | 0.051421 | -3.17% | 0.069306 | +30.50% | 0.2871 | ✗ | -1.16 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.046809 | 0.045544 | -2.70% | 0.059839 | +27.84% | 0.2399 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.045872 | 0.044672 | -2.62% | 0.056407 | +22.97% | 0.1927 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.044741 | 0.043462 | -2.86% | 0.053595 | +19.79% | 0.2597 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.047769 | 0.046084 | -3.53% | 0.051578 | +7.97% | 0.1614 | ✗ | -1.27 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.05581 | 0.05387 | -3.48% | 0.052128 | -6.60% | 0.0164 | ✓ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.054984 | 0.053134 | -3.36% | 0.049949 | -9.16% | 0.0784 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.060022 | 0.057633 | -3.98% | 0.053106 | -11.52% | 0.0621 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.057324 | 0.055111 | -3.86% | 0.046809 | -18.34% | 0.0218 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.064413 | 0.060703 | -5.76% | 0.045872 | -28.78% | 0.1128 | ✓ | -1.64 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.047068 | 0.046275 | -1.69% | 0.044741 | -4.94% | 0.0659 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.044869 | 0.044507 | -0.81% | 0.047769 | +6.46% | 0.1607 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.04448 | 0.044383 | -0.22% | 0.05581 | +25.47% | 0.3124 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.045466 | 0.045521 | +0.12% | 0.054984 | +20.93% | 0.1845 | ✓ | -1.79 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.047448 | 0.047066 | -0.81% | 0.060022 | +26.50% | 0.1910 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.046785 | 0.046613 | -0.37% | 0.057324 | +22.53% | 0.1368 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.046622 | 0.04638 | -0.52% | 0.064413 | +38.16% | 0.3064 | ✗ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.042957 | 0.042909 | -0.11% | 0.047068 | +9.57% | 0.0085 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.044706 | 0.044371 | -0.75% | 0.044869 | +0.37% | 0.0497 | ✓ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.045241 | 0.044761 | -1.06% | 0.04448 | -1.68% | 0.0649 | ✓ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.04878 | 0.047769 | -2.07% | 0.045466 | -6.79% | 0.1679 | ✓ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.072695 | 0.070301 | -3.29% | 0.047448 | -34.73% | 0.3758 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.070557 | 0.068277 | -3.23% | 0.046785 | -33.69% | 0.3595 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.068387 | 0.066152 | -3.27% | 0.046622 | -31.83% | 0.3406 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.068164 | 0.065894 | -3.33% | 0.042957 | -36.98% | 0.3810 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.069214 | 0.066822 | -3.46% | 0.044706 | -35.41% | 0.3735 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.069928 | 0.067448 | -3.55% | 0.045241 | -35.30% | 0.3666 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.066045 | 0.063752 | -3.47% | 0.04878 | -26.14% | 0.2504 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.070614 | 0.06798 | -3.73% | 0.072695 | +2.95% | 0.0367 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.069435 | 0.066842 | -3.74% | 0.070557 | +1.62% | 0.0341 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.068823 | 0.066243 | -3.75% | 0.068387 | -0.63% | 0.0245 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.069367 | 0.066685 | -3.87% | 0.068164 | -1.73% | 0.0208 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.070097 | 0.06736 | -3.91% | 0.069214 | -1.26% | 0.0482 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.067073 | 0.064493 | -3.85% | 0.069928 | +4.26% | 0.0723 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.064753 | 0.062178 | -3.98% | 0.066045 | +2.00% | 0.2317 | ✗ | -1.81 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.067798 | 0.064953 | -4.20% | 0.070614 | +4.15% | 0.3328 | ✗ | -1.90 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.068975 | 0.066202 | -4.02% | 0.069435 | +0.67% | 0.5308 | ✗ | -2.49 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.070634 | 0.067513 | -4.42% | 0.068823 | -2.56% | 0.5233 | ✗ | -2.48 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.067132 | 0.064359 | -4.13% | 0.069367 | +3.33% | 0.6534 | ✗ | -2.72 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.062121 | 0.059579 | -4.09% | 0.070097 | +12.84% | 0.7055 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.065324 | 0.061726 | -5.51% | 0.067073 | +2.68% | 0.6725 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.056743 | 0.054218 | -4.45% | 0.064753 | +14.12% | 0.5458 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.055292 | 0.052747 | -4.60% | 0.067798 | +22.62% | 0.4833 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.054776 | 0.051776 | -5.48% | 0.068975 | +25.92% | 0.3338 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.046134 | 0.043671 | -5.34% | 0.070634 | +53.11% | 0.5030 | ✗ | -2.52 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.039386 | 0.037735 | -4.19% | 0.067132 | +70.45% | 0.5026 | ✗ | -2.33 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.036911 | 0.035342 | -4.25% | 0.062121 | +68.30% | 0.4956 | ✗ | -2.32 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.035967 | 0.034378 | -4.42% | 0.065324 | +81.62% | 0.5726 | ✗ | -2.31 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.030811 | 0.029491 | -4.28% | 0.056743 | +84.16% | 0.6221 | ✗ | -2.45 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.02783 | 0.026863 | -3.47% | 0.055292 | +98.68% | 0.6774 | ✗ | -2.39 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.025369 | 0.024565 | -3.17% | 0.054776 | +115.92% | 0.7818 | ✗ | -2.47 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.027598 | 0.026636 | -3.48% | 0.046134 | +67.17% | 0.5662 | ✗ | -2.42 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.029535 | 0.028368 | -3.95% | 0.039386 | +33.36% | 0.3794 | ✗ | -2.44 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.027282 | 0.026327 | -3.50% | 0.036911 | +35.30% | 0.4238 | ✗ | -2.55 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.039226 | 0.03696 | -5.78% | 0.035967 | -8.31% | 0.0584 | ✓ | -2.65 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.034526 | 0.032639 | -5.46% | 0.030811 | -10.76% | 0.0753 | ✓ | -2.50 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.026065 | 0.025096 | -3.72% | 0.02783 | +6.77% | 0.1354 | ✗ | -2.91 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.027298 | 0.026174 | -4.12% | 0.025369 | -7.07% | 0.0220 | ✓ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.024081 | 0.023224 | -3.56% | 0.027598 | +14.60% | 0.1620 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.022534 | 0.021833 | -3.11% | 0.029535 | +31.07% | 0.2177 | ✗ | -2.95 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.020987 | 0.02037 | -2.94% | 0.027282 | +29.99% | 0.3163 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.02708 | 0.025954 | -4.16% | 0.039226 | +44.85% | 0.4328 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.023588 | 0.022779 | -3.43% | 0.034526 | +46.37% | 0.4210 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.021176 | 0.020572 | -2.85% | 0.026065 | +23.09% | 0.2704 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.019997 | 0.019475 | -2.61% | 0.027298 | +36.51% | 0.3787 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.02103 | 0.020409 | -2.95% | 0.024081 | +14.51% | 0.1890 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.018488 | 0.018002 | -2.63% | 0.022534 | +21.89% | 0.2144 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.018888 | 0.018398 | -2.59% | 0.020987 | +11.12% | 0.1394 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.018668 | 0.018193 | -2.54% | 0.02708 | +45.06% | 0.3948 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.018416 | 0.017957 | -2.49% | 0.023588 | +28.08% | 0.2528 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.018352 | 0.017907 | -2.43% | 0.021176 | +15.39% | 0.1467 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.016452 | 0.016101 | -2.14% | 0.019997 | +21.55% | 0.1935 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.019108 | 0.01865 | -2.40% | 0.02103 | +10.06% | 0.0739 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.017007 | 0.016646 | -2.12% | 0.018488 | +8.71% | 0.0902 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.015945 | 0.015636 | -1.94% | 0.018888 | +18.46% | 0.1730 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.019616 | 0.019201 | -2.11% | 0.018668 | -4.83% | 0.0245 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.021747 | 0.021251 | -2.28% | 0.018416 | -15.32% | 0.1526 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.022573 | 0.022027 | -2.42% | 0.018352 | -18.70% | 0.2216 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.020944 | 0.020487 | -2.18% | 0.016452 | -21.45% | 0.2453 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.02124 | 0.02076 | -2.26% | 0.019108 | -10.04% | 0.0554 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.023265 | 0.022672 | -2.55% | 0.017007 | -26.90% | 0.2900 | ✓ | 1.00 |