CAP

Cap · Ethereum · gru_s1

token id: #71
symbol: CAP
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x99991c6aabba5a096f24f250b73580f5179b9999
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-26
predictions: 327

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

108

of 109 predictions shown

direction hit

38.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0828

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0079

actual +0.0133

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.066581	0.066411	-0.25%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-20	oos	0.068735	0.068546	-0.28%	0.066581	-3.13%	0.0308	✓	-0.57
2026-10-19	oos	0.066889	0.066737	-0.23%	0.068735	+2.76%	0.0374	✗	-0.59
2026-10-18	oos	0.070477	0.070285	-0.27%	0.066889	-5.09%	0.0508	✓	-0.62
2026-10-17	oos	0.073935	0.073702	-0.31%	0.070477	-4.68%	0.0402	✓	-0.60
2026-10-16	oos	0.072748	0.072545	-0.28%	0.073935	+1.63%	0.0181	✗	-0.59
2026-10-15	oos	0.07849	0.078187	-0.39%	0.072748	-7.32%	0.0768	✓	-0.62
2026-10-14	oos	0.073752	0.073576	-0.24%	0.07849	+6.42%	0.0689	✗	-0.63
2026-10-13	oos	0.088248	0.08787	-0.43%	0.073752	-16.43%	0.1890	✓	-0.74
2026-10-12	oos	0.097059	0.09605	-1.04%	0.088248	-9.08%	0.0729	✓	-0.72
2026-10-11	oos	0.092361	0.09186	-0.54%	0.097059	+5.09%	0.0349	✗	-0.86
2026-10-10	oos	0.092402	0.091447	-1.03%	0.092361	-0.04%	0.0184	✗	-0.92
2026-10-09	oos	0.086635	0.08603	-0.70%	0.092402	+6.66%	0.0755	✗	-0.92
2026-10-08	oos	0.073139	0.072824	-0.43%	0.086635	+18.45%	0.1830	✗	-0.90
2026-10-07	oos	0.07128	0.070985	-0.42%	0.073139	+2.61%	0.0118	✗	-0.94
2026-10-06	oos	0.087975	0.086455	-1.73%	0.07128	-18.98%	0.2244	✓	-1.17
2026-10-05	oos	0.073941	0.073535	-0.55%	0.087975	+18.98%	0.1765	✗	-1.17
2026-10-04	oos	0.065278	0.065063	-0.33%	0.073941	+13.27%	0.1181	✗	-1.12
2026-10-03	oos	0.069035	0.068731	-0.44%	0.065278	-5.44%	0.0289	✓	-1.10
2026-10-02	oos	0.074028	0.073251	-1.05%	0.069035	-6.74%	0.0562	✓	-1.10
2026-10-01	oos	0.069846	0.069177	-0.96%	0.074028	+5.99%	0.0634	✗	-1.08
2026-09-30	oos	0.069306	0.068651	-0.94%	0.069846	+0.78%	0.0344	✗	-1.12
2026-09-29	oos	0.059839	0.059322	-0.86%	0.069306	+15.82%	0.1544	✗	-1.12
2026-09-28	oos	0.056407	0.055889	-0.92%	0.059839	+6.09%	0.0709	✗	-1.20
2026-09-27	oos	0.053595	0.053209	-0.72%	0.056407	+5.25%	0.0439	✗	-1.21
2026-09-26	oos	0.051578	0.051221	-0.69%	0.053595	+3.91%	0.0460	✗	-1.20
2026-09-25	oos	0.052128	0.051679	-0.86%	0.051578	-1.05%	0.0025	✓	-1.17
2026-09-24	oos	0.049949	0.049509	-0.88%	0.052128	+4.36%	0.0475	✗	-1.15
2026-09-23	oos	0.053106	0.052379	-1.37%	0.049949	-5.94%	0.0474	✓	-1.16
2026-09-22	oos	0.046809	0.046405	-0.86%	0.053106	+13.45%	0.1114	✗	-1.10
2026-09-21	oos	0.045872	0.045501	-0.81%	0.046809	+2.04%	0.0233	✗	-1.10
2026-09-20	oos	0.044741	0.044436	-0.68%	0.045872	+2.53%	0.1133	✗	-1.26
2026-09-19	oos	0.047769	0.047145	-1.31%	0.044741	-6.34%	0.0535	✓	-1.27
2026-09-18	oos	0.05581	0.055339	-0.85%	0.047769	-14.41%	0.1415	✓	-1.26
2026-09-17	oos	0.054984	0.054527	-0.83%	0.05581	+1.50%	0.1040	✗	-1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.060022	0.05923	-1.32%	0.054984	-8.39%	0.0706	✓	-1.40
2026-09-15	oos	0.057324	0.056641	-1.19%	0.060022	+4.71%	0.0684	✗	-1.41
2026-09-14	oos	0.064413	0.062336	-3.22%	0.057324	-11.01%	0.1389	✓	-1.64
2026-09-13	oos	0.047068	0.046906	-0.34%	0.064413	+36.85%	0.3492	✗	-1.80
2026-09-12	oos	0.044869	0.044787	-0.18%	0.047068	+4.90%	0.0389	✗	-1.80
2026-09-11	oos	0.04448	0.044428	-0.12%	0.044869	+0.87%	0.0111	✗	-1.80
2026-09-10	oos	0.045466	0.045425	-0.09%	0.04448	-2.17%	0.0053	✓	-1.79
2026-09-09	oos	0.047448	0.047351	-0.20%	0.045466	-4.18%	0.0831	✓	-1.88
2026-09-08	oos	0.046785	0.046712	-0.16%	0.047448	+1.42%	0.0117	✗	-1.88
2026-09-07	oos	0.046622	0.046534	-0.19%	0.046785	+0.35%	0.0101	✓	-1.89
2026-09-06	oos	0.042957	0.042961	+0.01%	0.046622	+8.53%	0.0526	✓	-1.86
2026-09-05	oos	0.044706	0.044721	+0.04%	0.042957	-3.91%	0.0285	✗	-1.86
2026-09-04	oos	0.045241	0.045253	+0.03%	0.044706	-1.18%	0.0085	✗	-1.86
2026-09-03	oos	0.04878	0.048721	-0.12%	0.045241	-7.25%	0.1131	✓	-1.98
2026-09-02	oos	0.072695	0.072176	-0.71%	0.04878	-32.90%	0.3229	✓	-1.38
2026-09-01	oos	0.070557	0.070102	-0.64%	0.072695	+3.03%	0.0347	✗	-1.38
2026-08-31	oos	0.068387	0.067977	-0.60%	0.070557	+3.17%	0.0166	✗	-1.38
2026-08-30	oos	0.068164	0.06775	-0.61%	0.068387	+0.33%	0.0253	✗	-1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.069214	0.068777	-0.63%	0.068164	-1.52%	0.0192	✓	-1.41
2026-08-28	oos	0.069928	0.069458	-0.67%	0.069214	-1.02%	0.0036	✓	-1.40
2026-08-27	oos	0.066045	0.065652	-0.59%	0.069928	+5.88%	0.0195	✗	-1.41
2026-08-26	oos	0.070614	0.070091	-0.74%	0.066045	-6.47%	0.0378	✓	-1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.069435	0.068949	-0.70%	0.070614	+1.70%	0.0326	✗	-1.38
2026-08-24	oos	0.068823	0.068333	-0.71%	0.069435	+0.89%	0.0080	✗	-1.39
2026-08-23	oos	0.069367	0.068822	-0.79%	0.068823	-0.78%	0.0222	✗	-1.39
2026-08-22	oos	0.070097	0.069521	-0.82%	0.069367	-1.04%	0.0099	✗	-1.38
2026-08-21	oos	0.067073	0.066485	-0.88%	0.070097	+4.51%	0.0303	✗	-1.38
2026-08-20	oos	0.064753	0.064216	-0.83%	0.067073	+3.58%	0.1705	✗	-1.81
2026-08-19	oos	0.067798	0.067141	-0.97%	0.064753	-4.49%	0.0628	✗	-1.90
2026-08-18	oos	0.068975	0.068352	-0.90%	0.067798	-1.71%	0.1636	✗	-2.49
2026-08-17	oos	0.070634	0.069664	-1.37%	0.068975	-2.35%	0.0021	✓	-2.48
2026-08-16	oos	0.067132	0.066332	-1.19%	0.070634	+5.22%	0.1329	✗	-2.72
2026-08-15	oos	0.062121	0.061485	-1.02%	0.067132	+8.07%	0.0801	✗	-2.70
2026-08-14	oos	0.065324	0.063554	-2.71%	0.062121	-4.90%	0.0209	✓	-2.70
2026-08-13	oos	0.056743	0.056013	-1.29%	0.065324	+15.12%	0.1351	✗	-2.62
2026-08-12	oos	0.055292	0.054544	-1.35%	0.056743	+2.62%	0.0401	✗	-2.62
2026-08-11	oos	0.054776	0.053507	-2.32%	0.055292	+0.94%	0.0279	✗	-2.62
2026-08-10	oos	0.046134	0.045125	-2.19%	0.054776	+18.73%	0.1788	✗	-2.52
2026-08-09	oos	0.039386	0.039	-0.98%	0.046134	+17.13%	0.1341	✗	-2.33
2026-08-08	oos	0.036911	0.036517	-1.07%	0.039386	+6.70%	0.0735	✗	-2.32
2026-08-07	oos	0.035967	0.035489	-1.33%	0.036911	+2.62%	0.0399	✗	-2.31
2026-08-06	oos	0.030811	0.030367	-1.44%	0.035967	+16.74%	0.1930	✗	-2.45
2026-08-05	oos	0.02783	0.027621	-0.75%	0.030811	+10.71%	0.0968	✗	-2.39
2026-08-04	oos	0.025369	0.025232	-0.54%	0.02783	+9.70%	0.1192	✗	-2.47
2026-08-03	oos	0.027598	0.02742	-0.64%	0.025369	-8.08%	0.0555	✓	-2.42
2026-08-02	oos	0.029535	0.029252	-0.96%	0.027598	-6.56%	0.0595	✓	-2.44
2026-08-01	oos	0.027282	0.027135	-0.54%	0.029535	+8.26%	0.1145	✗	-2.55
2026-07-31	oos	0.039226	0.038352	-2.23%	0.027282	-30.45%	0.3432	✓	-2.65
2026-07-30	oos	0.034526	0.033739	-2.28%	0.039226	+13.61%	0.0763	✗	-2.50
2026-07-29	oos	0.026065	0.025858	-0.79%	0.034526	+32.46%	0.3264	✗	-2.91
2026-07-28	oos	0.027298	0.026972	-1.20%	0.026065	-4.52%	0.0320	✓	-2.92
2026-07-27	oos	0.024081	0.023876	-0.85%	0.027298	+13.36%	0.1409	✗	-2.92
2026-07-26	oos	0.022534	0.02239	-0.64%	0.024081	+6.87%	0.0025	✓	-2.95
2026-07-25	oos	0.020987	0.020887	-0.48%	0.022534	+7.37%	0.0598	✗	1.00
2026-07-24	oos	0.02708	0.026719	-1.33%	0.020987	-22.50%	0.2448	✓	1.00
2026-07-23	oos	0.023588	0.023362	-0.96%	0.02708	+14.81%	0.1627	✗	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.021176	0.021038	-0.65%	0.023588	+11.39%	0.1302	✗	1.00
2026-07-21	oos	0.019997	0.019886	-0.56%	0.021176	+5.90%	0.0693	✗	1.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.02103	0.020876	-0.73%	0.019997	-4.91%	0.0628	✓	1.00
2026-07-19	oos	0.018488	0.018394	-0.50%	0.02103	+13.75%	0.1257	✗	1.00
2026-07-18	oos	0.018888	0.018792	-0.51%	0.018488	-2.12%	0.0146	✓	1.00
2026-07-17	oos	0.018668	0.018576	-0.49%	0.018888	+1.18%	0.0027	✓	1.00
2026-07-16	oos	0.018416	0.018325	-0.50%	0.018668	+1.37%	0.0166	✗	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.018352	0.018255	-0.53%	0.018416	+0.35%	0.0235	✗	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.016452	0.016395	-0.35%	0.018352	+11.55%	0.1170	✗	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.019108	0.019017	-0.47%	0.016452	-13.90%	0.1877	✓	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.017007	0.016953	-0.32%	0.019108	+12.35%	0.1431	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.015945	0.015911	-0.21%	0.017007	+6.66%	0.0671	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.019616	0.019555	-0.31%	0.015945	-18.71%	0.1985	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.021747	0.021655	-0.43%	0.019616	-9.80%	0.1139	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.022573	0.022445	-0.57%	0.021747	-3.66%	0.0465	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.020944	0.020861	-0.39%	0.022573	+7.78%	0.0962	✗	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.02124	0.021125	-0.54%	0.020944	-1.39%	0.0020	✓	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.023265	0.023059	-0.89%	0.02124	-8.70%	0.0887	✓	1.00