CAP
Cap · Ethereum · gru_s1
- token id
- #71
- symbol
- CAP
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x99991c6aabba5a096f24f250b73580f5179b9999
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-26
- predictions
- 327
Track record at +30d
assessed
79
of 109 predictions shown
direction hit
13.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.7278
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0744
actual +0.6198
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.066581 | 0.062881 | -5.56% | – | pending | – | – | -0.52 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.068735 | 0.065003 | -5.43% | – | pending | – | – | -0.57 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.066889 | 0.063176 | -5.55% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.070477 | 0.066347 | -5.86% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.073935 | 0.069365 | -6.18% | – | pending | – | – | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.072748 | 0.068286 | -6.13% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.07849 | 0.073703 | -6.10% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.073752 | 0.069219 | -6.15% | – | pending | – | – | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.088248 | 0.082943 | -6.01% | – | pending | – | – | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.097059 | 0.091518 | -5.71% | – | pending | – | – | -0.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.092361 | 0.087453 | -5.31% | – | pending | – | – | -0.86 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.092402 | 0.087608 | -5.19% | – | pending | – | – | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.086635 | 0.082232 | -5.08% | – | pending | – | – | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.073139 | 0.06974 | -4.65% | – | pending | – | – | -0.90 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.07128 | 0.068453 | -3.97% | – | pending | – | – | -0.94 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.087975 | 0.084661 | -3.77% | – | pending | – | – | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.073941 | 0.071487 | -3.32% | – | pending | – | – | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.065278 | 0.063461 | -2.78% | – | pending | – | – | -1.12 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.069035 | 0.066726 | -3.35% | – | pending | – | – | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.074028 | 0.071518 | -3.39% | – | pending | – | – | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.069846 | 0.067411 | -3.49% | – | pending | – | – | -1.08 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069306 | 0.066477 | -4.08% | – | pending | – | – | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.059839 | 0.056783 | -5.11% | – | pending | – | – | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.056407 | 0.053117 | -5.83% | – | pending | – | – | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.053595 | 0.050351 | -6.05% | – | pending | – | – | -1.21 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.051578 | 0.048113 | -6.72% | – | pending | – | – | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.052128 | 0.048626 | -6.72% | – | pending | – | – | -1.17 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.049949 | 0.046393 | -7.12% | – | pending | – | – | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.053106 | 0.049444 | -6.90% | – | pending | – | – | -1.16 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.046809 | 0.043113 | -7.90% | – | pending | – | – | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.045872 | 0.042212 | -7.98% | 0.066581 | +45.14% | 0.4051 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.044741 | 0.040937 | -8.50% | 0.068735 | +53.63% | 0.5455 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.047769 | 0.043728 | -8.46% | 0.066889 | +40.02% | 0.4344 | ✗ | -1.27 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.05581 | 0.051119 | -8.41% | 0.070477 | +26.28% | 0.3387 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.054984 | 0.050158 | -8.78% | 0.073935 | +34.47% | 0.4774 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.060022 | 0.054648 | -8.95% | 0.072748 | +21.20% | 0.3814 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.057324 | 0.052406 | -8.58% | 0.07849 | +36.92% | 0.5208 | ✗ | -1.41 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.064413 | 0.058479 | -9.21% | 0.073752 | +14.50% | 0.3015 | ✗ | -1.64 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.047068 | 0.042766 | -9.14% | 0.088248 | +87.49% | 0.8666 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.044869 | 0.040831 | -9.00% | 0.097059 | +116.32% | 0.9671 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.04448 | 0.0405 | -8.95% | 0.092361 | +107.64% | 0.9689 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.045466 | 0.041433 | -8.87% | 0.092402 | +103.23% | 0.9454 | ✗ | -1.79 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.047448 | 0.04322 | -8.91% | 0.086635 | +82.59% | 0.7951 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.046785 | 0.04263 | -8.88% | 0.073139 | +56.33% | 0.6161 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.046622 | 0.042565 | -8.70% | 0.07128 | +52.89% | 0.6131 | ✗ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.042957 | 0.039309 | -8.49% | 0.087975 | +104.80% | 0.9225 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.044706 | 0.041017 | -8.25% | 0.073941 | +65.39% | 0.7223 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.045241 | 0.041719 | -7.79% | 0.065278 | +44.29% | 0.6009 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.04878 | 0.04533 | -7.07% | 0.069035 | +41.52% | 0.5035 | ✗ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.072695 | 0.068097 | -6.32% | 0.074028 | +1.83% | 0.2064 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.070557 | 0.066026 | -6.42% | 0.069846 | -1.01% | 0.1829 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.068387 | 0.064072 | -6.31% | 0.069306 | +1.34% | 0.1638 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.068164 | 0.063765 | -6.45% | 0.059839 | -12.21% | 0.0390 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.069214 | 0.064833 | -6.33% | 0.056407 | -18.50% | 0.0484 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.069928 | 0.06554 | -6.27% | 0.053595 | -23.36% | 0.0865 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.066045 | 0.062085 | -5.99% | 0.051578 | -21.90% | 0.1143 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.070614 | 0.06617 | -6.29% | 0.052128 | -26.18% | 0.1527 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.069435 | 0.064846 | -6.61% | 0.049949 | -28.06% | 0.1616 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.068823 | 0.06426 | -6.63% | 0.053106 | -22.84% | 0.0987 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.069367 | 0.064441 | -7.10% | 0.046809 | -32.52% | 0.1762 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.070097 | 0.064829 | -7.52% | 0.045872 | -34.56% | 0.1843 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.067073 | 0.062126 | -7.38% | 0.044741 | -33.30% | 0.2791 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.064753 | 0.059373 | -8.31% | 0.047769 | -26.23% | 0.0246 | ✓ | -1.81 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.067798 | 0.061716 | -8.97% | 0.05581 | -17.68% | 0.1925 | ✗ | -1.90 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.068975 | 0.062043 | -10.05% | 0.054984 | -20.28% | 0.2922 | ✗ | -2.49 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.070634 | 0.063539 | -10.05% | 0.060022 | -15.02% | 0.3563 | ✗ | -2.48 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.067132 | 0.060178 | -10.36% | 0.057324 | -14.61% | 0.4538 | ✗ | -2.72 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.062121 | 0.055762 | -10.24% | 0.064413 | +3.69% | 0.7261 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.065324 | 0.058687 | -10.16% | 0.047068 | -27.95% | 0.3156 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.056743 | 0.051222 | -9.73% | 0.044869 | -20.93% | 0.3839 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.055292 | 0.049973 | -9.62% | 0.04448 | -19.55% | 0.3984 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.054776 | 0.049581 | -9.48% | 0.045466 | -17.00% | 0.4011 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.046134 | 0.042048 | -8.86% | 0.047448 | +2.85% | 0.6310 | ✗ | -2.52 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.039386 | 0.036139 | -8.24% | 0.046785 | +18.79% | 0.7020 | ✗ | -2.33 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.036911 | 0.033958 | -8.00% | 0.046622 | +26.31% | 0.7748 | ✗ | -2.32 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.035967 | 0.033137 | -7.87% | 0.042957 | +19.43% | 0.7536 | ✗ | -2.31 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.030811 | 0.028433 | -7.72% | 0.044706 | +45.10% | 0.9849 | ✗ | -2.45 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.02783 | 0.025683 | -7.71% | 0.045241 | +62.57% | 1.0679 | ✗ | -2.39 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.025369 | 0.023382 | -7.83% | 0.04878 | +92.28% | 1.3240 | ✗ | -2.47 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.027598 | 0.025376 | -8.05% | 0.072695 | +163.41% | 1.5303 | ✗ | -2.42 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.029535 | 0.027176 | -7.98% | 0.070557 | +138.90% | 1.4366 | ✗ | -2.44 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.027282 | 0.025083 | -8.06% | 0.068387 | +150.67% | 1.5765 | ✗ | -2.55 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.039226 | 0.035495 | -9.51% | 0.068164 | +73.77% | 1.2135 | ✗ | -2.65 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.034526 | 0.03181 | -7.87% | 0.069214 | +100.47% | 1.2518 | ✗ | -2.50 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.026065 | 0.024386 | -6.44% | 0.069928 | +168.28% | 1.6276 | ✗ | -2.91 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.027298 | 0.025506 | -6.57% | 0.066045 | +141.93% | 1.6190 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.024081 | 0.022654 | -5.93% | 0.070614 | +193.23% | 1.7673 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.022534 | 0.021387 | -5.09% | 0.069435 | +208.14% | 1.7203 | ✗ | -2.95 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.020987 | 0.019888 | -5.24% | 0.068823 | +227.92% | 1.0357 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.02708 | 0.025381 | -6.27% | 0.069367 | +156.16% | 0.8124 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.023588 | 0.022379 | -5.13% | 0.070097 | +197.18% | 0.9724 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.021176 | 0.020216 | -4.53% | 0.067073 | +216.74% | 1.0294 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.019997 | 0.019125 | -4.36% | 0.064753 | +223.81% | 1.1264 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.02103 | 0.020031 | -4.75% | 0.067798 | +222.39% | 1.1585 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.018488 | 0.017574 | -4.94% | 0.068975 | +273.09% | 1.3673 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.018888 | 0.017991 | -4.75% | 0.070634 | +273.96% | 1.3726 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.018668 | 0.017772 | -4.80% | 0.067132 | +259.62% | 1.3457 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.018416 | 0.017531 | -4.80% | 0.062121 | +237.32% | 1.2770 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.018352 | 0.017504 | -4.62% | 0.065324 | +255.95% | 1.3442 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.016452 | 0.015664 | -4.79% | 0.056743 | +244.90% | 1.3115 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.019108 | 0.018189 | -4.81% | 0.055292 | +189.36% | 1.0936 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.017007 | 0.016188 | -4.81% | 0.054776 | +222.08% | 1.2222 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.015945 | 0.015152 | -4.97% | 0.046134 | +189.33% | 1.1112 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.019616 | 0.018809 | -4.11% | 0.039386 | +100.79% | 0.7279 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.021747 | 0.020882 | -3.98% | 0.036911 | +69.73% | 0.5426 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.022573 | 0.021636 | -4.15% | 0.035967 | +59.34% | 0.4665 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.020944 | 0.020111 | -3.98% | 0.030811 | +47.11% | 0.4118 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.02124 | 0.020449 | -3.72% | 0.02783 | +31.02% | 0.2988 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.023265 | 0.022343 | -3.96% | 0.025369 | +9.04% | 0.1197 | ✗ | 1.00 |