ALIGN
Aligned · Ethereum · gru_s1
- token id
- #369
- symbol
- ALIGN
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x50614cc8e44f7814549c223aa31db9296e58057c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-20
- predictions
- 162
Track record at +7d
assessed
47
of 54 predictions shown
direction hit
87.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1094
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0257
actual -0.1189
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.004775 | 0.004668 | -2.24% | – | pending | – | – | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.004405 | 0.00433 | -1.70% | – | pending | – | – | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.004435 | 0.004349 | -1.95% | – | pending | – | – | -0.64 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.004845 | 0.004711 | -2.76% | – | pending | – | – | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.004885 | 0.00476 | -2.57% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.005015 | 0.004866 | -2.97% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.004595 | 0.004504 | -1.99% | – | pending | – | – | -0.61 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00456 | 0.004472 | -1.94% | 0.004775 | +4.71% | 0.0742 | ✗ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004635 | 0.004536 | -2.13% | 0.004405 | -4.96% | 0.0306 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004785 | 0.004677 | -2.26% | 0.004435 | -7.31% | 0.0524 | ✓ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.004985 | 0.004858 | -2.56% | 0.004845 | -2.81% | 0.0159 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.00511 | 0.004976 | -2.62% | 0.004885 | -4.40% | 0.0308 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005055 | 0.00492 | -2.67% | 0.005015 | -0.79% | 0.0107 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.00526 | 0.005107 | -2.91% | 0.004595 | -12.64% | 0.1022 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.00572 | 0.00554 | -3.14% | 0.00456 | -20.28% | 0.2099 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.00581 | 0.005641 | -2.91% | 0.004635 | -20.22% | 0.2180 | ✓ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.005875 | 0.005696 | -3.04% | 0.004785 | -18.55% | 0.2099 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.005995 | 0.005804 | -3.19% | 0.004985 | -16.85% | 0.1768 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.006145 | 0.005939 | -3.36% | 0.00511 | -16.84% | 0.1668 | ✓ | -0.76 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00596 | 0.005768 | -3.22% | 0.005055 | -15.18% | 0.1496 | ✓ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.005915 | 0.005723 | -3.25% | 0.00526 | -11.07% | 0.1125 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00622 | 0.005999 | -3.55% | 0.00572 | -8.04% | 0.0501 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.006084 | -3.59% | 0.00581 | -7.92% | 0.0296 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.006435 | 0.006201 | -3.63% | 0.005875 | -8.70% | 0.0342 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.00628 | -3.68% | 0.005995 | -8.05% | 0.0291 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.006415 | 0.006173 | -3.77% | 0.006145 | -4.21% | 0.0018 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.006405 | 0.00616 | -3.82% | 0.00596 | -6.95% | 0.0296 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.00625 | -4.15% | 0.005915 | -9.28% | 0.0511 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.00623 | 0.005999 | -3.70% | 0.00622 | -0.16% | 0.0293 | ✓ | -0.70 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006529 | -4.41% | 0.00631 | -7.61% | 0.0582 | ✓ | -0.80 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.00686 | 0.006547 | -4.57% | 0.006435 | -6.20% | 0.0463 | ✓ | -0.79 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.0068 | 0.006549 | -3.70% | 0.00652 | -4.12% | 0.0414 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.00702 | 0.006737 | -4.03% | 0.006415 | -8.62% | 0.0049 | ✓ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.006925 | 0.006653 | -3.92% | 0.006405 | -7.51% | 0.0771 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006642 | -2.75% | 0.00652 | -4.54% | 0.1186 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.00675 | 0.006578 | -2.55% | 0.00623 | -7.70% | 0.1570 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.007965 | 0.007528 | -5.49% | 0.00683 | -14.25% | 0.2287 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.005885 | 0.005828 | -0.97% | 0.00686 | +16.57% | 0.0607 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.006125 | 0.006095 | -0.50% | 0.0068 | +11.02% | 0.0543 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.006325 | 0.0063 | -0.39% | 0.00702 | +10.99% | 0.0580 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.006635 | 0.006596 | -0.59% | 0.006925 | +4.37% | 0.0023 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.00694 | 0.006887 | -0.76% | 0.00683 | -1.59% | 0.0059 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.00705 | 0.007 | -0.70% | 0.00675 | -4.26% | 0.0087 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.00798 | 0.007866 | -1.43% | 0.007965 | -0.19% | 0.0497 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.00801 | 0.007884 | -1.58% | 0.005885 | -26.53% | 0.2807 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.007945 | 0.007833 | -1.41% | 0.006125 | -22.91% | 0.2009 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.008195 | 0.008102 | -1.14% | 0.006325 | -22.82% | 0.2148 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.00829 | 0.008199 | -1.10% | 0.006635 | -19.96% | 0.1802 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.0083 | 0.008221 | -0.95% | 0.00694 | -16.39% | 0.1094 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.00927 | 0.009146 | -1.34% | 0.00705 | -23.95% | 0.2728 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.009765 | 0.009631 | -1.37% | 0.00798 | -18.28% | 0.2016 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.010555 | 0.010412 | -1.36% | 0.00801 | -24.11% | 0.2690 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.01074 | 0.010591 | -1.39% | 0.007945 | -26.02% | 0.3213 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.01105 | 0.010905 | -1.31% | 0.008195 | -25.84% | 0.3059 | ✓ | 1.00 |