ALIGN
Aligned · Ethereum · gru_s1
- token id
- #369
- symbol
- ALIGN
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x50614cc8e44f7814549c223aa31db9296e58057c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-20
- predictions
- 165
Track record at +1d
assessed
54
of 55 predictions shown
direction hit
63.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0425
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0040
actual -0.0165
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.004485 | 0.004465 | -0.44% | – | pending | – | – | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.00452 | 0.004494 | -0.57% | 0.004485 | -0.77% | 0.0006 | ✓ | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.004405 | 0.004386 | -0.43% | 0.00452 | +2.61% | 0.0383 | ✗ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.004435 | 0.004415 | -0.45% | 0.004405 | -0.68% | 0.0063 | ✗ | -0.64 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.004845 | 0.004813 | -0.66% | 0.004435 | -8.46% | 0.0832 | ✓ | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.004885 | 0.004855 | -0.61% | 0.004845 | -0.82% | 0.0029 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.005015 | 0.004979 | -0.72% | 0.004885 | -2.59% | 0.0200 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.004595 | 0.004579 | -0.34% | 0.005015 | +9.14% | 0.0862 | ✗ | -0.61 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00456 | 0.004545 | -0.32% | 0.004595 | +0.77% | 0.0151 | ✗ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004635 | 0.004619 | -0.34% | 0.00456 | -1.62% | 0.0246 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004785 | 0.004767 | -0.38% | 0.004635 | -3.13% | 0.0177 | ✓ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.004985 | 0.004963 | -0.44% | 0.004785 | -4.01% | 0.0520 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.00511 | 0.005087 | -0.45% | 0.004985 | -2.45% | 0.0142 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005055 | 0.005031 | -0.47% | 0.00511 | +1.09% | 0.0185 | ✗ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.00526 | 0.005228 | -0.60% | 0.005055 | -3.90% | 0.0269 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.00572 | 0.005682 | -0.67% | 0.00526 | -8.04% | 0.0911 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.00581 | 0.005778 | -0.55% | 0.00572 | -1.55% | 0.0301 | ✓ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.005875 | 0.005841 | -0.58% | 0.00581 | -1.11% | 0.0072 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.005995 | 0.005958 | -0.62% | 0.005875 | -2.00% | 0.0206 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.006145 | 0.006103 | -0.68% | 0.005995 | -2.44% | 0.0023 | ✓ | -0.76 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00596 | 0.005923 | -0.62% | 0.006145 | +3.10% | 0.0389 | ✗ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.005915 | 0.00588 | -0.59% | 0.00596 | +0.76% | 0.0105 | ✗ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00622 | 0.006177 | -0.69% | 0.005915 | -4.90% | 0.0321 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.006266 | -0.71% | 0.00622 | -1.43% | 0.0080 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.006435 | 0.006387 | -0.74% | 0.00631 | -1.94% | 0.0106 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006472 | -0.73% | 0.006435 | -1.30% | 0.0145 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.006415 | 0.006369 | -0.72% | 0.00652 | +1.64% | 0.0239 | ✗ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.006405 | 0.006359 | -0.73% | 0.006415 | +0.16% | 0.0116 | ✗ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006467 | -0.81% | 0.006405 | -1.76% | 0.0121 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.00623 | 0.006186 | -0.70% | 0.00652 | +4.65% | 0.0526 | ✗ | -0.70 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006769 | -0.89% | 0.00623 | -8.78% | 0.1001 | ✓ | -0.80 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.00686 | 0.006795 | -0.94% | 0.00683 | -0.44% | 0.0015 | ✓ | -0.79 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.0068 | 0.006746 | -0.80% | 0.00686 | +0.88% | 0.0912 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.00702 | 0.006958 | -0.88% | 0.0068 | -3.13% | 0.0241 | ✓ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.006925 | 0.006865 | -0.87% | 0.00702 | +1.37% | 0.0179 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006791 | -0.57% | 0.006925 | +1.39% | 0.0381 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.00675 | 0.006715 | -0.52% | 0.00683 | +1.19% | 0.0143 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.007965 | 0.007837 | -1.60% | 0.00675 | -15.25% | 0.1567 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.005885 | 0.005898 | +0.22% | 0.007965 | +35.34% | 0.3342 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.006125 | 0.006152 | +0.45% | 0.005885 | -3.92% | 0.0622 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.006325 | 0.00636 | +0.55% | 0.006125 | -3.16% | 0.0316 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.006635 | 0.00667 | +0.53% | 0.006325 | -4.67% | 0.0539 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.00694 | 0.006975 | +0.51% | 0.006635 | -4.39% | 0.0587 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.00705 | 0.007088 | +0.53% | 0.00694 | -1.56% | 0.0015 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.00798 | 0.007991 | +0.14% | 0.00705 | -11.65% | 0.1232 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.00801 | 0.00802 | +0.13% | 0.00798 | -0.37% | 0.0031 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.007945 | 0.007956 | +0.14% | 0.00801 | +0.82% | 0.0224 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.008195 | 0.008211 | +0.20% | 0.007945 | -3.05% | 0.0393 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.00829 | 0.008308 | +0.21% | 0.008195 | -1.15% | 0.0156 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.0083 | 0.008311 | +0.13% | 0.00829 | -0.12% | 0.0173 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.00927 | 0.009265 | -0.05% | 0.0083 | -10.46% | 0.1599 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.009765 | 0.009751 | -0.14% | 0.00927 | -5.07% | 0.0494 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.010555 | 0.010529 | -0.25% | 0.009765 | -7.48% | 0.0604 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.01074 | 0.010711 | -0.27% | 0.010555 | -1.72% | 0.0262 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.01105 | 0.011018 | -0.29% | 0.01074 | -2.81% | 0.0182 | ✓ | 1.00 |