ALIGN
Aligned · Ethereum · gru_s1
- token id
- #369
- symbol
- ALIGN
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x50614cc8e44f7814549c223aa31db9296e58057c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-20
- predictions
- 162
Track record at +30d
assessed
24
of 54 predictions shown
direction hit
100.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3556
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0800
actual -0.4357
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.004775 | 0.004788 | +0.28% | – | pending | – | – | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.004405 | 0.004377 | -0.63% | – | pending | – | – | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.004435 | 0.004362 | -1.64% | – | pending | – | – | -0.64 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.004845 | 0.004725 | -2.48% | – | pending | – | – | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.004885 | 0.004753 | -2.70% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.005015 | 0.004872 | -2.85% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.004595 | 0.004434 | -3.50% | – | pending | – | – | -0.61 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00456 | 0.004387 | -3.79% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004635 | 0.00444 | -4.21% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004785 | 0.004572 | -4.45% | – | pending | – | – | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.004985 | 0.004744 | -4.83% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.00511 | 0.00485 | -5.08% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005055 | 0.004798 | -5.09% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.00526 | 0.004985 | -5.23% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.00572 | 0.005389 | -5.78% | – | pending | – | – | -0.73 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.00581 | 0.005459 | -6.04% | – | pending | – | – | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.005875 | 0.005512 | -6.18% | – | pending | – | – | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.005995 | 0.005617 | -6.31% | – | pending | – | – | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.006145 | 0.005737 | -6.64% | – | pending | – | – | -0.76 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00596 | 0.00556 | -6.71% | – | pending | – | – | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.005915 | 0.00551 | -6.85% | – | pending | – | – | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00622 | 0.005778 | -7.10% | – | pending | – | – | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.005848 | -7.31% | – | pending | – | – | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.006435 | 0.005947 | -7.59% | – | pending | – | – | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006006 | -7.89% | – | pending | – | – | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.006415 | 0.005901 | -8.01% | – | pending | – | – | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.006405 | 0.005881 | -8.18% | – | pending | – | – | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.00597 | -8.44% | – | pending | – | – | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.00623 | 0.005712 | -8.32% | – | pending | – | – | -0.70 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006205 | -9.16% | – | pending | – | – | -0.80 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.00686 | 0.006217 | -9.38% | 0.004775 | -30.39% | 0.3001 | ✓ | -0.79 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.0068 | 0.006173 | -9.23% | 0.004405 | -35.22% | 0.3125 | ✓ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.00702 | 0.006346 | -9.60% | 0.004435 | -36.82% | 0.3498 | ✓ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.006925 | 0.006274 | -9.40% | 0.004845 | -30.04% | 0.2724 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006246 | -8.55% | 0.004885 | -28.48% | 0.3096 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.00675 | 0.006187 | -8.35% | 0.005015 | -25.70% | 0.2779 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.007965 | 0.007178 | -9.88% | 0.004595 | -42.31% | 0.5290 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.005885 | 0.005434 | -7.66% | 0.00456 | -22.51% | 0.2179 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.006125 | 0.00564 | -7.92% | 0.004635 | -24.33% | 0.2751 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.006325 | 0.005813 | -8.10% | 0.004785 | -24.35% | 0.2509 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.006635 | 0.006088 | -8.24% | 0.004985 | -24.87% | 0.2804 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.00694 | 0.006362 | -8.33% | 0.00511 | -26.37% | 0.2992 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.00705 | 0.00647 | -8.22% | 0.005055 | -28.30% | 0.2999 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.00798 | 0.007305 | -8.46% | 0.00526 | -34.09% | 0.3689 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.00801 | 0.007367 | -8.03% | 0.00572 | -28.59% | 0.3046 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.007945 | 0.007338 | -7.64% | 0.00581 | -26.87% | 0.2962 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.008195 | 0.007584 | -7.45% | 0.005875 | -28.31% | 0.3269 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.00829 | 0.007721 | -6.87% | 0.005995 | -27.68% | 0.3352 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.0083 | 0.007788 | -6.16% | 0.006145 | -25.96% | 0.2789 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.00927 | 0.008651 | -6.68% | 0.00596 | -35.71% | 0.4616 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.009765 | 0.009171 | -6.08% | 0.005915 | -39.43% | 0.5305 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.010555 | 0.010008 | -5.18% | 0.00622 | -41.07% | 0.5372 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.01074 | 0.010216 | -4.87% | 0.00631 | -41.25% | 0.5560 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.01105 | 0.010601 | -4.06% | 0.006435 | -41.76% | 0.5638 | ✓ | 1.00 |