ALIGN
Aligned · Ethereum · gru_s1
- token id
- #369
- symbol
- ALIGN
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x50614cc8e44f7814549c223aa31db9296e58057c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-20
- predictions
- 162
Track record at +1d
assessed
53
of 54 predictions shown
direction hit
66.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0433
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0064
actual -0.0158
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.004775 | 0.004734 | -0.87% | – | pending | – | – | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.004405 | 0.004384 | -0.49% | 0.004775 | +8.40% | 0.0837 | ✗ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.004435 | 0.004412 | -0.52% | 0.004405 | -0.68% | 0.0070 | ✗ | -0.64 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.004845 | 0.004803 | -0.88% | 0.004435 | -8.46% | 0.0810 | ✓ | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.004885 | 0.004848 | -0.76% | 0.004845 | -0.82% | 0.0045 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.005015 | 0.004964 | -1.03% | 0.004885 | -2.59% | 0.0169 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.004595 | 0.004576 | -0.41% | 0.005015 | +9.14% | 0.0869 | ✗ | -0.61 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00456 | 0.004543 | -0.38% | 0.004595 | +0.77% | 0.0157 | ✗ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004635 | 0.004616 | -0.40% | 0.00456 | -1.62% | 0.0239 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004785 | 0.004763 | -0.47% | 0.004635 | -3.13% | 0.0168 | ✓ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.004985 | 0.004958 | -0.54% | 0.004785 | -4.01% | 0.0510 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.00511 | 0.005081 | -0.56% | 0.004985 | -2.45% | 0.0131 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005055 | 0.005025 | -0.60% | 0.00511 | +1.09% | 0.0198 | ✗ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.00526 | 0.00522 | -0.76% | 0.005055 | -3.90% | 0.0252 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.00572 | 0.005673 | -0.82% | 0.00526 | -8.04% | 0.0896 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.00581 | 0.005775 | -0.61% | 0.00572 | -1.55% | 0.0295 | ✓ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.005875 | 0.005837 | -0.65% | 0.00581 | -1.11% | 0.0065 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.005995 | 0.005953 | -0.70% | 0.005875 | -2.00% | 0.0197 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.006145 | 0.006096 | -0.79% | 0.005995 | -2.44% | 0.0011 | ✓ | -0.76 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00596 | 0.005918 | -0.71% | 0.006145 | +3.10% | 0.0398 | ✗ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.005915 | 0.005875 | -0.68% | 0.00596 | +0.76% | 0.0114 | ✗ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00622 | 0.006168 | -0.83% | 0.005915 | -4.90% | 0.0306 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.006257 | -0.84% | 0.00622 | -1.43% | 0.0066 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.006435 | 0.00638 | -0.86% | 0.00631 | -1.94% | 0.0094 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006467 | -0.81% | 0.006435 | -1.30% | 0.0137 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.006415 | 0.006362 | -0.82% | 0.00652 | +1.64% | 0.0249 | ✗ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.006405 | 0.006351 | -0.84% | 0.006415 | +0.16% | 0.0127 | ✗ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006453 | -1.02% | 0.006405 | -1.76% | 0.0100 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.00623 | 0.006181 | -0.78% | 0.00652 | +4.65% | 0.0534 | ✗ | -0.70 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006759 | -1.04% | 0.00623 | -8.78% | 0.0985 | ✓ | -0.80 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.00686 | 0.006783 | -1.12% | 0.00683 | -0.44% | 0.0032 | ✓ | -0.79 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.0068 | 0.006745 | -0.81% | 0.00686 | +0.88% | 0.0914 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.00702 | 0.006955 | -0.93% | 0.0068 | -3.13% | 0.0236 | ✓ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.006925 | 0.006857 | -0.98% | 0.00702 | +1.37% | 0.0190 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006784 | -0.68% | 0.006925 | +1.39% | 0.0370 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.00675 | 0.006705 | -0.66% | 0.00683 | +1.19% | 0.0158 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.007965 | 0.00778 | -2.32% | 0.00675 | -15.25% | 0.1494 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.005885 | 0.005866 | -0.33% | 0.007965 | +35.34% | 0.3396 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.006125 | 0.006115 | -0.17% | 0.005885 | -3.92% | 0.0560 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.006325 | 0.006318 | -0.10% | 0.006125 | -3.16% | 0.0251 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.006635 | 0.006624 | -0.16% | 0.006325 | -4.67% | 0.0469 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.00694 | 0.006922 | -0.25% | 0.006635 | -4.39% | 0.0512 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.00705 | 0.007036 | -0.20% | 0.00694 | -1.56% | 0.0088 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.00798 | 0.007947 | -0.42% | 0.00705 | -11.65% | 0.1176 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.00801 | 0.007967 | -0.54% | 0.00798 | -0.37% | 0.0098 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.007945 | 0.007904 | -0.52% | 0.00801 | +0.82% | 0.0290 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.008195 | 0.008166 | -0.35% | 0.007945 | -3.05% | 0.0338 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.00829 | 0.008261 | -0.35% | 0.008195 | -1.15% | 0.0100 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.0083 | 0.008275 | -0.30% | 0.00829 | -0.12% | 0.0216 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.00927 | 0.009234 | -0.39% | 0.0083 | -10.46% | 0.1565 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.009765 | 0.009725 | -0.41% | 0.00927 | -5.07% | 0.0468 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.010555 | 0.010509 | -0.43% | 0.009765 | -7.48% | 0.0585 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.01074 | 0.010694 | -0.43% | 0.010555 | -1.72% | 0.0245 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.01105 | 0.011004 | -0.41% | 0.01074 | -2.81% | 0.0170 | ✓ | 1.00 |