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2022-06-07 · +1d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 170 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1148
170 of 170 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.04%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
14.7%
in alpha space · 68.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.99%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (170 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000063240.000063881+1.01%0.00004747-24.94%0.1997✗3.202.5M2022-06-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010730.000010757+0.25%0.00001058-1.40%0.0282✓1.47957k2022-06-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3610.361209+0.06%0.349-3.32%0.0036✓1.251.0M2022-06-08
XVGVergenative0.00490.004903+0.06%0.00484-1.22%0.0370✓1.64747k2022-06-08
QNTQuantEthereum64.4564.4855+0.06%64.34-0.17%0.0341✓1.202.2M2022-06-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.080340.08037+0.04%0.079297-1.30%0.0250✓1.271.5M2022-06-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1290.129042+0.03%0.1277-1.01%0.0283✓1.2811k2022-06-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4770.477096+0.02%0.456-4.40%0.0119✓1.88683k2022-06-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum11.6611.6605+0.00%11.68+0.17%0.0339✓1.06342k2022-06-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,602.197,602.21+0.00%7,431.85-2.24%0.0169✓1.313.9M2022-06-08
FTTFTXEthereum27.0627.0591-0.00%28.1+3.84%0.0685✗1.019.6M2022-06-08
BTTCBTTC0.000001080.00000108-0.01%0.00000106-1.85%0.0087✗0.906.7M2022-06-08
KSMKusamaHydration67.2567.2343-0.02%66.16-1.62%0.0245✗1.341.4M2022-06-08
SCSiacoinnative0.005650.005648-0.03%0.00554-1.95%0.0333✗1.73259k2022-06-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06870.068679-0.03%0.0692+0.73%0.0621✗1.801.8M2022-06-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6260.625746-0.04%0.618-1.28%0.0383✗1.67153k2022-06-08
MANADecentralandEthereum1.02111.0206-0.04%0.97809-4.21%0.0132✗1.84918k2022-06-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.60690.606622-0.05%0.6019-0.82%0.0367✗1.472.9M2022-06-08
BANDBandEthereum1.7081.7072-0.05%1.666-2.46%0.0286✗1.75342k2022-06-08
SOLSolanaSolana39.2839.2595-0.05%38.79-1.25%0.0370✗1.61117.0M2022-06-08
MOVRMoonriverBase20.159420.1487-0.05%20.3659+1.02%0.0593✗1.60239k2022-06-08
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7492.7474-0.06%2.814+2.36%0.0768✗1.74263k2022-06-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0149540.014946-0.06%0.015221+1.79%0.0553✗1.222.4M2022-06-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum19.6919.6788-0.06%19.46-1.17%0.0400✗1.693.0M2022-06-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.3227.3174-0.06%7.178-1.97%0.0286✗1.582.7M2022-06-08
ORCAOrcaSolana0.820.819468-0.06%0.8-2.44%0.0118✗1.1878k2022-06-08
BRISEBitgertEthereum5.34e-75.34e-7-0.07%5.27e-7-1.35%0.0184✗1.03961k2022-06-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.0712.0609-0.08%12.31+1.99%0.0590✗1.27541k2022-06-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.5624.5409-0.08%24.49-0.29%0.0492✗1.6954.6M2022-06-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.781.7785-0.08%1.82+2.25%0.0825✗1.96603k2022-06-08
CELLCellframeEthereum0.33580.335506-0.09%0.3209-4.44%0.0014✗1.5132k2022-06-08
AAVEAaveEthereum99.1999.1006-0.09%96.35-2.86%0.0276✗1.848.9M2022-06-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012380.001237-0.09%0.0012-3.07%0.0213✗1.701.8M2022-06-08
ETHEthereumEthereum1,811.891,810.20-0.09%1,790.72-1.17%0.0226✗1.10363.3M2022-06-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.7763.7104-0.09%61.34-3.81%0.0018✗1.3118.4M2022-06-08
STXStacksnative0.54210.541559-0.10%0.5504+1.53%0.0523✗1.19180k2022-06-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.1879.1775-0.10%8.753-4.72%0.0010✓1.5315.2M2022-06-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.2149.2045-0.10%8.995-2.38%0.0235✗1.5313.8M2022-06-08
UMAUMAEthereum3.0173.0139-0.10%2.966-1.69%0.0282✗1.461.3M2022-06-08
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8570.856101-0.10%0.84-1.98%0.0357✗1.80622k2022-06-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.14960.149435-0.11%0.1592+6.42%0.0939✗1.01286k2022-06-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.2981.2966-0.11%1.26-2.93%0.0342✗2.07399k2022-06-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.011590.011577-0.11%0.01113-3.97%0.0044✓1.151.6M2022-06-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.5321.5053-0.11%21.32-0.98%0.0325✗1.363.1M2022-06-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.20170.201465-0.12%0.1882-6.69%0.0213✓1.54199k2022-06-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.8286.8197-0.12%6.502-4.77%0.0056✗1.7610.9M2022-06-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004290.004285-0.12%0.0043+0.23%0.0409✗1.232.1M2022-06-08
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8110.809959-0.13%0.834+2.84%0.0667✗1.231.9M2022-06-08
NANOnanopayBase1.17381.1722-0.13%1.1534-1.73%0.0249✗1.35151k2022-06-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6841.6818-0.13%1.657-1.60%0.0369✗1.7079k2022-06-08
DASHDashDash58.3358.2521-0.13%58.04-0.50%0.0349✗1.27907k2022-06-08
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4650.464375-0.13%0.491+5.59%0.0957✗1.3216k2022-06-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.31.2982-0.14%1.29-0.77%0.0285✗1.1574k2022-06-08
XMRMoneroMonero187.45187.1905-0.14%186.67-0.42%0.0321✗1.152.3M2022-06-08
UOSUltraEthereum0.375990.375465-0.14%0.36868-1.94%0.0268✗1.48546k2022-06-08
API3Api3Ethereum1.4771.4749-0.14%1.456-1.42%0.0394✗1.72826k2022-06-08
APEApeCoinEthereum6.0286.0195-0.14%5.7-5.44%0.0130✗2.2223.4M2022-06-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1871.1853-0.14%1.158-2.44%0.0201✗1.435.8M2022-06-08
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9521.9491-0.15%2.009+2.92%0.0884✗1.92291k2022-06-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.35260.352056-0.15%0.3492-0.96%0.0355✗1.446.5M2022-06-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.197310.197-0.16%0.1917-2.84%0.0292✗1.86298k2022-06-08
COMPCompoundEthereum57.1257.0294-0.16%55.94-2.07%0.0279✗1.5636k2022-06-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin31,106.9031,057.01-0.16%30,177.00-2.99%0.0016✗1.00656.1M2022-06-08
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00470.004692-0.16%0.00455-3.19%0.0090✗1.316,8092022-06-08
ZECZcashZcash93.4793.3122-0.17%96.29+3.02%0.0718✗1.334.3M2022-06-08
GALAGALAEthereum0.07810.077964-0.17%0.0749-4.10%0.0217✗2.04154k2022-06-08
STORJStorjEthereum0.584970.583932-0.18%0.57244-2.14%0.0297✗1.6368k2022-06-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.13060.130362-0.18%0.1282-1.84%0.0238✗1.34951k2022-06-08
UNIUniswapEthereum5.2115.2014-0.18%5.077-2.57%0.0209✗1.492.6M2022-06-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.392790.392026-0.19%0.39491+0.54%0.0507✗1.43125k2022-06-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.09050.090324-0.19%0.0897-0.88%0.0150✗0.72323k2022-06-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.12320.122958-0.20%0.1199-2.68%0.0193✗1.47996k2022-06-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.12680.126551-0.20%0.1367+7.81%0.1308✗1.771.2M2022-06-08
ZENHorizenBase19.819.761-0.20%19.35-2.27%0.0301✗1.6878k2022-06-08
SUSHISushiEthereum1.561.5569-0.20%1.5-3.85%0.0158✗1.751.4M2022-06-08
TRXTRONTron0.0819950.081831-0.20%0.080519-1.80%0.0110✗0.90907k2022-06-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.30170.301095-0.20%0.2886-4.34%0.0019✓1.46432k2022-06-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023410.023363-0.20%0.02062-11.92%0.0500✓2.4740.1M2022-06-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.38391.3809-0.21%1.3742-0.70%0.0322✗1.2254k2022-06-08
XEMNEMnative0.0521310.052018-0.22%0.0501-3.90%0.0102✗1.5754k2022-06-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009050.00903-0.22%0.00872-3.65%0.0001✓1.15917k2022-06-08
WOOWOOEthereum0.17970.179303-0.22%0.17-5.40%0.0056✓1.572,8762022-06-08
KCSKuCoinnative16.18916.1532-0.22%15.968-1.37%0.0208✗1.076.9M2022-06-08
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.1343.1269-0.23%3.1124-0.69%0.0330✗1.244.4M2022-06-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.526.505-0.23%6.7+2.76%0.0767✗1.55420k2022-06-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.028430.028363-0.24%0.02761-2.88%0.0049✗1.05170k2022-06-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6990.697302-0.24%0.668-4.43%0.0107✗1.771.1M2022-06-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.425.4067-0.24%5.48+1.11%0.0385✗0.821.7M2022-06-08
DIADIAEthereum0.467930.466769-0.25%0.46566-0.49%0.0177✗0.66215k2022-06-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.423.4115-0.25%3.57+4.39%0.0790✗1.11663k2022-06-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.5343.5252-0.25%3.68+4.13%0.0724✗0.971.5M2022-06-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8450.842863-0.25%0.816-3.43%0.0032✗1.17423k2022-06-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.39890.397889-0.25%0.4164+4.39%0.0891✗1.4414.9M2022-06-08
GTGateEthereum5.47365.4597-0.25%5.5231+0.90%0.0300✗0.613.7M2022-06-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.722.7131-0.26%2.636-3.09%0.0325✗2.023.1M2022-06-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.15470.154289-0.27%0.149-3.68%0.0182✗1.756.4M2022-06-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.06230.062133-0.27%0.0591-5.14%0.0041✗1.7940k2022-06-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash181.8181.309-0.27%176.62-2.85%0.0122✗1.264.8M2022-06-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.31430.313422-0.28%0.306-2.64%0.0169✗1.35286k2022-06-08
XLMStellarStellar0.1402330.139836-0.28%0.139941-0.21%0.0369✗1.1911.2M2022-06-08
XTZTezosTezos2.06792.062-0.28%2.0863+0.89%0.0532✗1.37928k2022-06-08
XYMSymbolnative0.0579760.05781-0.29%0.056825-1.99%0.0077✗0.8292k2022-06-08
LRCLoopringEthereum0.52910.527537-0.30%0.5183-2.04%0.0357✗1.76188k2022-06-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.63272.6248-0.30%2.6512+0.70%0.0526✗1.4068k2022-06-08
QTUMQtumQtum4.00013.9881-0.30%3.9293-1.77%0.0241✗1.2945k2022-06-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.31875.3026-0.30%5.3523+0.63%0.0190✗0.32279k2022-06-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008550.008524-0.31%0.00849-0.70%0.0224✗0.87228k2022-06-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05420.054033-0.31%0.0523-3.51%0.0118✗1.46498k2022-06-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.10720.106868-0.31%0.1025-4.38%0.0154✗1.88455k2022-06-08
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5840.58217-0.31%0.555-4.97%0.0062✗1.785,3382022-06-08
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.16380.163282-0.32%0.1588-3.05%0.0209✗1.6176k2022-06-08
GMTGMTEthereum0.9580.954954-0.32%0.968+1.04%0.0835✗2.302.2M2022-06-08
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9690.965883-0.32%0.956-1.34%0.0477✗1.913.0M2022-06-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.06660.066385-0.32%0.0686+3.00%0.0712✗1.26396k2022-06-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum31,177.9031,076.16-0.33%30,360.20-2.62%0.0063✗0.9865k2022-06-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4084220.407084-0.33%0.397631-2.64%0.0225✗1.522.4M2022-06-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.82.7906-0.33%3.11+11.07%0.1725✗2.11294k2022-06-08
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.15470.154174-0.34%0.1503-2.84%0.0281✗1.763,2022022-06-08
GITCOINGITCOIN2.92.8898-0.35%3.101+6.93%0.1358✗2.1515k2022-06-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.51542.5065-0.35%2.5435+1.12%0.0472✗1.073.3M2022-06-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.9311.8874-0.36%11.38-4.61%0.0168✗1.993.8M2022-06-08
BORABORAKlay Token0.409510.408038-0.36%0.40101-2.08%0.0306✗1.5818k2022-06-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.7058.6727-0.37%8.696-0.10%0.0486✗1.5132.1M2022-06-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0149670.014911-0.37%0.015019+0.35%0.0314✗0.80268k2022-06-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.012230.012184-0.37%0.01184-3.19%0.0176✗1.5216.2M2022-06-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.49457.2767-0.38%56.869-1.09%0.0249✗1.061.2M2022-06-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0284410.02833-0.39%0.027978-1.63%0.0235✗1.1912k2022-06-08
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0870.086653-0.40%0.0842-3.22%0.0131✗1.38162k2022-06-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15690.156271-0.40%0.1456-7.20%0.0184✓1.733.6M2022-06-08
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06950.069218-0.41%0.06599-5.05%0.0181✗2.172.4M2022-06-08
ADACardanoCardano0.61360.611065-0.41%0.6405+4.38%0.0968✗1.6449.8M2022-06-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.023890.023787-0.43%0.02386-0.13%0.0217✗0.62608k2022-06-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.1093.0956-0.43%3.273+5.28%0.0900✗1.1372k2022-06-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.950.945809-0.44%0.9-5.26%0.0033✓1.74232k2022-06-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.2672.2569-0.45%2.296+1.28%0.0488✗1.043.5M2022-06-08
GLMGolemEthereum0.29520.293878-0.45%0.2871-2.74%0.0170✗1.33107k2022-06-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.010190.010144-0.46%0.00992-2.65%0.0115✗1.112,4432022-06-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.89631.8877-0.46%1.8734-1.21%0.0345✗1.392.5M2022-06-08
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2311.2253-0.46%1.208-1.87%0.0188✗1.091.2M2022-06-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.039150.038968-0.46%0.03811-2.66%0.0237✗1.5120k2022-06-08
PROPropyEthereum1.041.035-0.48%1.01-2.88%0.0006✓0.78187k2022-06-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.754.727-0.48%4.94+4.00%0.0711✗0.89893k2022-06-08
FLOWFlownative2.4332.4211-0.49%2.387-1.89%0.0161✗1.00671k2022-06-08
HIVEHivenative0.59830.595365-0.49%0.5614-6.17%0.0155✓1.431.6M2022-06-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.457.4117-0.51%7.61+2.15%0.0459✗0.641.7M2022-06-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.064.039-0.52%4.37+7.64%0.1070✗0.931.3M2022-06-08
CBKCobakEthereum1.30311.2963-0.52%1.2699-2.54%0.0164✗1.226,7502022-06-08
DODODODOEthereum0.17980.178862-0.52%0.185+2.89%0.0854✗1.702.9M2022-06-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070190.069814-0.54%0.06914-1.50%0.0290✗1.2737k2022-06-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2680.266561-0.54%0.27+0.75%0.0731✗1.991.4M2022-06-08
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.053670.053379-0.54%0.05271-1.79%0.0201✗1.084,6802022-06-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03910.038884-0.55%0.0381-2.56%0.0295✗1.64257k2022-06-08
XECeCashnative0.000055710.0000554-0.56%0.00005352-3.93%0.0103✗1.483.4M2022-06-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.06180.061455-0.56%0.06191+0.18%0.0425✗1.1615k2022-06-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.23530.233923-0.59%0.2358+0.21%0.0557✗1.57664k2022-06-08
STEEMSteemnative0.26140.259808-0.61%0.2544-2.68%0.0249✗1.51585k2022-06-08
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9292.9103-0.64%2.881-1.64%0.0455✗1.83109k2022-06-08
XVSVenusEthereum5.815.7721-0.65%4.92-15.32%0.1010✓1.931.6M2022-06-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.364.3315-0.65%4.67+7.11%0.0987✗0.771.5M2022-06-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8092.7904-0.66%4.1+45.96%0.4136✗0.952.0M2022-06-08
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3111.3019-0.69%1.291-1.53%0.0219✗1.001.2M2022-06-08
RADRadworksEthereum2.312.2939-0.70%2.26-2.16%0.0242✗1.29275k2022-06-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.837120.829277-0.94%0.79127-5.48%0.0205✗2.223.0M2022-06-08
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.50771.4932-0.96%1.4694-2.54%0.0063✓0.744,7612022-06-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6774.6267-1.08%4.741+1.37%0.0451✗0.686.4M2022-06-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.2414.0663-1.22%12.43-12.71%0.0621✓2.03252k2022-06-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.0823.0433-1.26%3.792+23.04%0.2423✗0.742.6M2022-06-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7731.7466-1.49%1.69-4.68%0.0160✗1.615.0M2022-06-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.8051.7429-3.44%1.246-30.97%0.2701✓2.163.2M2022-06-08
AVTAventusEthereum2.32.2184-3.55%1.88-18.26%0.1377✓0.91152k2022-06-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.