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2022-06-04 · +1d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 170 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2565
170 of 170 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.93%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
63.5%
in alpha space · 59.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.20%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (170 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010860.000010889+0.26%0.00001078-0.74%0.0128✗1.43957k2022-06-05
LUNATerraTerra 20.000092240.000092459+0.24%0.000079-14.35%0.1637✗3.252.8M2022-06-05
XVGVergenative0.004690.004696+0.12%0.00493+5.12%0.0455✓1.63753k2022-06-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12980.129914+0.09%0.1403+8.09%0.0750✓0.98295k2022-06-05
FTTFTXEthereum25.9926.0104+0.08%26.13+0.54%0.0027✓0.999.6M2022-06-05
QNTQuantEthereum65.5365.5619+0.05%64.76-1.18%0.0146✗1.182.4M2022-06-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.17760.177681+0.05%0.1822+2.59%0.0222✓1.49220k2022-06-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.053.0514+0.05%3.38+10.82%0.1002✓1.09642k2022-06-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,564.987,568.02+0.04%7,431.12-1.77%0.0208✗1.303.9M2022-06-05
SCSiacoinnative0.005470.005472+0.04%0.00559+2.19%0.0180✓1.69261k2022-06-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.370.370134+0.04%0.387+4.59%0.0421✓1.24970k2022-06-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0816670.081694+0.03%0.081039-0.77%0.0105✗1.231.7M2022-06-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12760.127639+0.03%0.1274-0.16%0.0043✗1.2413k2022-06-05
BANDBandEthereum1.6411.6413+0.02%1.629-0.73%0.0109✗1.70353k2022-06-05
BTTCBTTC0.000001070.00000107+0.02%0.00000109+1.87%0.0166✓0.897.2M2022-06-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum11.8611.8615+0.01%11.72-1.18%0.0140✗1.02434k2022-06-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5010.501051+0.01%0.504+0.60%0.0023✓1.82683k2022-06-05
MANADecentralandEthereum0.980250.980307+0.01%0.97643-0.39%0.0074✗1.77855k2022-06-05
SOLSolanaSolana38.9938.9889-0.00%38.49-1.28%0.0159✓1.55114.5M2022-06-05
KSMKusamaHydration68.6768.6645-0.01%67.69-1.43%0.0169✓1.341.6M2022-06-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32110.321052-0.01%0.3423+6.60%0.0610✗1.5835k2022-06-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6230.622904-0.02%0.63+1.12%0.0082✗1.62170k2022-06-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012740.001274-0.02%0.001262-0.94%0.0125✓1.641.8M2022-06-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07040.070387-0.02%0.068-3.41%0.0380✓1.791.9M2022-06-05
UOSUltraEthereum0.360170.360084-0.02%0.36717+1.94%0.0167✗1.44606k2022-06-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.60780.607653-0.02%0.6064-0.23%0.0049✓1.463.6M2022-06-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0152220.015218-0.02%0.015252+0.20%0.0001✓1.192.8M2022-06-05
STXStacksnative0.52810.527951-0.03%0.5329+0.91%0.0071✗1.16165k2022-06-05
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8460.84576-0.03%0.837-1.06%0.0138✓1.73622k2022-06-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.731.7294-0.04%1.72-0.58%0.0092✓1.91580k2022-06-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.4527.4493-0.04%7.358-1.26%0.0153✓1.533.1M2022-06-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.5724.561-0.04%24.15-1.71%0.0201✓1.6352.5M2022-06-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020350.020343-0.04%0.01983-2.56%0.0302✓2.3837.4M2022-06-05
MOVRMoonriverBase20.639620.632-0.04%20.9153+1.34%0.0105✗1.58239k2022-06-05
ORCAOrcaSolana0.820.819652-0.04%0.85+3.66%0.0342✗1.1383k2022-06-05
WOOWOOEthereum0.1580.157912-0.06%0.1601+1.33%0.0108✗1.501,8812022-06-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.2469.2403-0.06%9.166-0.87%0.0110✓1.5017.0M2022-06-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.6863.6387-0.06%63.1-0.91%0.0110✓1.3018.9M2022-06-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.011490.011482-0.07%0.01146-0.26%0.0041✓1.121.7M2022-06-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7511.7498-0.07%1.742-0.51%0.0077✓1.6682k2022-06-05
GALAGALAEthereum0.07450.074449-0.07%0.0746+0.13%0.0017✓1.90146k2022-06-05
ETHEthereumEthereum1,803.351,802.10-0.07%1,804.70+0.07%0.0007✓1.09363.3M2022-06-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum20.5920.5745-0.08%20.08-2.48%0.0275✓1.643.0M2022-06-05
CTKShentuOsmosis0.790.789391-0.08%0.796+0.76%0.0060✗1.212.4M2022-06-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.231.2291-0.08%1.26+2.44%0.0226✗1.1484k2022-06-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.4112.4-0.08%12.33-0.64%0.0081✓1.27551k2022-06-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.6942.6918-0.08%2.722+1.04%0.0090✗1.1463k2022-06-05
API3Api3Ethereum1.4941.4926-0.09%1.508+0.94%0.0070✗1.66932k2022-06-05
APEApeCoinEthereum6.1956.1893-0.09%6.092-1.66%0.0203✓2.2629.0M2022-06-05
XVSVenusEthereum4.694.6856-0.09%4.53-3.41%0.0375✓1.891.7M2022-06-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.449.4311-0.09%9.339-1.07%0.0128✓1.5113.8M2022-06-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037910.037873-0.10%0.03855+1.69%0.0149✗1.4521k2022-06-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.28190.281619-0.10%0.294+4.29%0.0403✗1.38318k2022-06-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08630.086212-0.10%0.088+1.97%0.0191✗0.75274k2022-06-05
XECeCashnative0.000048340.00004829-0.10%0.00004817-0.35%0.0053✓1.443.5M2022-06-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin29,843.1829,811.14-0.11%29,901.54+0.20%0.0011✗1.00674.4M2022-06-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.3131.3116-0.11%1.371+4.42%0.0404✗2.02423k2022-06-05
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9812.9777-0.11%2.813-5.64%0.0602✓1.70271k2022-06-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.9621.936-0.11%21.8-0.73%0.0088✓1.323.1M2022-06-05
NANOnanopayBase1.1661.1647-0.11%1.1647-0.11%0.0026✓1.33170k2022-06-05
UMAUMAEthereum3.0913.0875-0.11%3.077-0.45%0.0062✓1.421.5M2022-06-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.12240.122261-0.11%0.1188-2.94%0.0321✓1.721.2M2022-06-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.380660.380223-0.11%0.382+0.35%0.0020✗1.37141k2022-06-05
COMPCompoundEthereum56.3556.2837-0.12%58.45+3.73%0.0348✗1.5331k2022-06-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.6210.6072-0.12%10.3-3.01%0.0333✓1.99197k2022-06-05
DASHDashDash58.6658.5881-0.12%58.53-0.22%0.0034✓1.25976k2022-06-05
STORJStorjEthereum0.561610.560918-0.12%0.57798+2.91%0.0269✗1.5968k2022-06-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.44852.4455-0.13%2.4897+1.68%0.0153✗1.3768k2022-06-05
UNIUniswapEthereum5.1195.1124-0.13%5.092-0.53%0.0068✓1.442.6M2022-06-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1781.1765-0.13%1.209+2.63%0.0246✗1.396.3M2022-06-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004460.004454-0.14%0.00419-6.05%0.0634✓1.202.2M2022-06-05
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4770.476349-0.14%0.477+0.00%0.0011✓1.2519k2022-06-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34940.348912-0.14%0.3487-0.20%0.0033✓1.397.0M2022-06-05
LSKLiskEthereum1.321.3181-0.14%1.3849+4.92%0.0470✗1.2150k2022-06-05
XEMNEMnative0.0505770.050506-0.14%0.051007+0.85%0.0069✗1.5437k2022-06-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004680.004673-0.14%0.00487+4.06%0.0387✗1.278,3852022-06-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.199690.199405-0.14%0.20206+1.19%0.0096✗1.86298k2022-06-05
ZECZcashZcash90.4390.293-0.15%90.36-0.08%0.0018✓1.324.3M2022-06-05
XMRMoneroMonero189.06188.7636-0.16%187.77-0.68%0.0074✓1.092.4M2022-06-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.860.85865-0.16%0.87+1.16%0.0098✗1.71240k2022-06-05
AAVEAaveEthereum106.84106.6717-0.16%103.57-3.06%0.0330✓1.798.9M2022-06-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09320.093051-0.16%0.1129+21.14%0.1897✗1.85445k2022-06-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.4067.394-0.16%7.64+3.16%0.0298✗1.4927.1M2022-06-05
XTZTezosTezos1.90761.9043-0.17%1.9503+2.24%0.0212✗1.33928k2022-06-05
ZENHorizenBase19.919.8653-0.17%19.72-0.90%0.0106✓1.6581k2022-06-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.13110.13087-0.18%0.1294-1.30%0.0138✓1.30951k2022-06-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.7377.7234-0.18%7.34-5.13%0.0542✓1.709.4M2022-06-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03470.034637-0.18%0.0341-1.73%0.0187✓1.59257k2022-06-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.556.5373-0.19%6.47-1.22%0.0133✓1.50414k2022-06-05
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0452.041-0.19%1.946-4.84%0.0514✓1.90338k2022-06-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.2010.200604-0.20%0.2192+9.05%0.0856✗1.54501k2022-06-05
SUSHISushiEthereum1.581.5769-0.20%1.54-2.53%0.0270✓1.721.6M2022-06-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.51620.515173-0.20%0.5059-2.00%0.0214✓1.65159k2022-06-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.38830.387491-0.21%0.3914+0.80%0.0073✗1.3816.6M2022-06-05
QTUMQtumQtum3.8573.8489-0.21%3.8688+0.31%0.0027✗1.2557k2022-06-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.00920.00918-0.21%0.00895-2.72%0.0276✓1.10917k2022-06-05
AVTAventusEthereum1.051.0477-0.21%1.05+0.00%0.0004✓0.92160k2022-06-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.6832.6771-0.22%2.609-2.76%0.0298✓2.073.4M2022-06-05
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8192.8128-0.22%2.731-3.12%0.0337✓2.1314k2022-06-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6920.690466-0.22%0.73+5.49%0.0524✗1.701.1M2022-06-05
PROPropyEthereum0.930.927907-0.23%1.23+32.26%0.2801✗0.86187k2022-06-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.027380.027317-0.23%0.02841+3.76%0.0373✗1.01184k2022-06-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.9810.9541-0.24%11.05+0.64%0.0050✗1.904.6M2022-06-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.1280.127698-0.24%0.1262-1.41%0.0146✓1.41996k2022-06-05
XYMSymbolnative0.0569080.056774-0.24%0.05681-0.17%0.0010✓0.82104k2022-06-05
DIADIAEthereum0.457670.456577-0.24%0.44367-3.06%0.0299✓0.64190k2022-06-05
HIVEHivenative0.53630.535019-0.24%0.551+2.74%0.0267✗1.401.4M2022-06-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14070.140364-0.24%0.1408+0.07%0.0002✓1.693.6M2022-06-05
GTGateEthereum5.40215.3891-0.24%5.401-0.02%0.0011✓0.583.9M2022-06-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.99814.9856-0.25%5.1091+2.22%0.0238✗0.34279k2022-06-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.99e-76.98e-7-0.25%6.49e-7-7.24%0.0747✓1.03961k2022-06-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008470.008449-0.25%0.00902+6.49%0.0638✗0.83180k2022-06-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3947260.393722-0.25%0.407448+3.22%0.0314✗1.472.5M2022-06-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.485.466-0.25%5.42-1.09%0.0100✓0.802.3M2022-06-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,796.6029,719.81-0.26%29,859.60+0.21%0.0028✗0.9875k2022-06-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8680.865761-0.26%0.858-1.15%0.0113✓1.16566k2022-06-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash188.78188.292-0.26%179.67-4.83%0.0493✓1.274.5M2022-06-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.23093.2225-0.26%3.1878-1.33%0.0140✓1.615.6M2022-06-05
TRXTRONTron0.0803770.080164-0.27%0.081368+1.23%0.0132✗0.861.4M2022-06-05
KCSKuCoinnative16.77916.734-0.27%16.331-2.67%0.0264✓1.056.9M2022-06-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05340.053256-0.27%0.0534+0.00%0.0001✓1.44593k2022-06-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.06230.062131-0.27%0.0607-2.57%0.0266✓1.7152k2022-06-05
GMTGMTEthereum0.9990.996278-0.27%0.936-6.31%0.0670✓2.332.8M2022-06-05
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.16060.160145-0.28%0.1655+3.05%0.0298✗1.5676k2022-06-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.31920.31827-0.29%0.3297+3.29%0.0326✗1.35345k2022-06-05
ADACardanoCardano0.56620.56453-0.29%0.5669+0.12%0.0011✓1.5846.8M2022-06-05
XLMStellarStellar0.1434410.143015-0.30%0.143326-0.08%0.0002✓1.2111.8M2022-06-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.832.8214-0.30%2.73-3.53%0.0370✓2.08282k2022-06-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.06630.066098-0.30%0.0646-2.56%0.0253✓1.19398k2022-06-05
RADRadworksEthereum2.042.0337-0.31%2.11+3.43%0.0343✗1.26233k2022-06-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.16460.164084-0.31%0.156-5.22%0.0538✓1.706.4M2022-06-05
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9630.959916-0.32%0.977+1.45%0.0141✗1.803.4M2022-06-05
BORABORAKlay Token0.414870.413538-0.32%0.41162-0.78%0.0078✓1.6118k2022-06-05
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6110.609037-0.32%0.596-2.45%0.0251✓1.757,0732022-06-05
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.15310.152591-0.33%0.1483-3.14%0.0305✓1.003,0542022-06-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.028270.028174-0.34%0.028859+2.08%0.0217✗1.1611k2022-06-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.012160.012119-0.34%0.01211-0.41%0.0039✓1.6319.7M2022-06-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.009770.009736-0.35%0.009685-0.87%0.0074✓1.122,4432022-06-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.6793.6657-0.36%3.53-4.05%0.0395✓0.921.8M2022-06-05
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.068250.068-0.37%0.06666-2.33%0.0243✓2.232.6M2022-06-05
DODODODOEthereum0.16760.166984-0.37%0.1652-1.43%0.0140✓1.652.6M2022-06-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV56.93956.722-0.38%56.443-0.87%0.0070✓1.051.2M2022-06-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0159020.015841-0.39%0.01482-6.80%0.0680✓0.70198k2022-06-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.564.5417-0.40%4.51-1.10%0.0086✓0.82830k2022-06-05
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2171.2119-0.42%1.207-0.82%0.0062✓1.101.2M2022-06-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.53642.5257-0.42%2.5379+0.06%0.0028✓1.043.1M2022-06-05
STEEMSteemnative0.25960.258477-0.43%0.3016+16.18%0.1512✗1.59585k2022-06-05
CBKCobakEthereum1.27251.2666-0.46%1.3104+2.99%0.0317✗1.186,7502022-06-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.99781.9882-0.48%1.9583-1.98%0.0178✓1.373.1M2022-06-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.27852.2674-0.49%2.3523+3.24%0.0348✗1.013.7M2022-06-05
GLMGolemEthereum0.30590.304378-0.50%0.3001-1.90%0.0168✓1.35116k2022-06-05
FLOWFlownative2.4762.4636-0.50%2.437-1.58%0.0128✓1.00724k2022-06-05
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.09160.091123-0.52%0.0869-5.13%0.0504✓1.53172k2022-06-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3711.3636-0.54%1.424+3.87%0.0403✗1.545.0M2022-06-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.527.4789-0.55%7.43-1.20%0.0075✓0.511.4M2022-06-05
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8282.8123-0.56%2.825-0.11%0.0026✓1.00124k2022-06-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.069050.068618-0.63%0.0666-3.55%0.0322✓1.2318k2022-06-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.194.1636-0.63%4.12-1.67%0.0120✓0.761.2M2022-06-05
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2951.2868-0.63%1.299+0.31%0.0075✗1.001.3M2022-06-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.053110.052758-0.66%0.05212-1.86%0.0142✓1.064,6802022-06-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.023.9932-0.67%4.07+1.24%0.0173✗0.911.1M2022-06-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.290.288034-0.68%0.273-5.86%0.0573✓1.911.3M2022-06-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.51281.5014-0.75%1.4874-1.68%0.0108✓0.764,7612022-06-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6454.6032-0.90%4.537-2.33%0.0158✓0.665.1M2022-06-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.065590.064964-0.95%0.06424-2.06%0.0134✓1.1415k2022-06-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.846760.836961-1.16%0.82431-2.65%0.0194✓2.161.2M2022-06-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8812.8473-1.17%2.754-4.41%0.0346✓0.652.1M2022-06-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8550.843866-1.30%0.804-5.96%0.0524✓2.072.5M2022-06-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.029490.02899-1.69%0.0255-13.53%0.1295✓0.64452k2022-06-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.283.2206-1.81%2.923-10.88%0.0987✓0.911.3M2022-06-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.