8=======>

2022-06-02 · +1d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 169 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.1053
169 of 169 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-4.70%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
46.7%
in alpha space · 64.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.51%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (169 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.8411.8465+0.30%1.733-5.87%0.0213✗1.66110k2022-06-03
GALAGALAEthereum0.07630.076464+0.22%0.0734-3.80%0.0076✓1.91159k2022-06-03
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,580.117,594.34+0.19%7,417.33-2.15%0.0099✓1.323.9M2022-06-03
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.6324.6698+0.16%22.97-6.74%0.0302✗1.6253.9M2022-06-03
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.398850.399483+0.16%0.37809-5.20%0.0201✗1.38147k2022-06-03
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8872.8915+0.16%2.83-1.97%0.0217✓1.70271k2022-06-03
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8740.875331+0.15%0.844-3.43%0.0076✓1.73710k2022-06-03
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001120.000011215+0.14%0.00001081-3.48%0.0004✓1.441.0M2022-06-03
AVTAventusEthereum1.051.0514+0.13%1.03-1.90%0.0031✓0.93168k2022-06-03
COMPCompoundEthereum57.457.4738+0.13%56.92-0.84%0.0296✓1.5532k2022-06-03
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009470.00948+0.11%0.0093-1.80%0.0094✓1.13943k2022-06-03
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.6299.6393+0.11%9.177-4.69%0.0107✗1.5117.6M2022-06-03
MOVRMoonriverBase21.639721.6613+0.10%20.6845-4.41%0.0058✗1.59239k2022-06-03
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.2551.2562+0.10%1.173-6.53%0.0332✗1.396.8M2022-06-03
DIADIAEthereum0.442370.442803+0.10%0.45866+3.68%0.0522✓0.67165k2022-06-03
NMRNumeraireEthereum11.9811.9916+0.10%11.56-3.51%0.0106✗1.03446k2022-06-03
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.2212.2311+0.09%11.98-1.96%0.0117✓1.28563k2022-06-03
BANDBandEthereum1.681.6815+0.09%1.612-4.05%0.0010✓1.70389k2022-06-03
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6510.651569+0.09%0.609-6.45%0.0265✗1.62190k2022-06-03
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004160.004164+0.08%0.00413-0.72%0.0226✓1.212.2M2022-06-03
DASHDashDash59.8359.8795+0.08%58.15-2.81%0.0026✓1.261.0M2022-06-03
WOOWOOEthereum0.16080.160923+0.08%0.1528-4.98%0.0144✗1.471,8812022-06-03
NANOnanopayBase1.16821.1691+0.07%1.1198-4.15%0.0091✗1.34174k2022-06-03
LCXLCXEthereum0.06720.067245+0.07%0.0636-5.36%0.0254✗1.19410k2022-06-03
SOLSolanaSolana40.8240.8472+0.07%38.23-6.34%0.0269✗1.55117.0M2022-06-03
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.15220.152295+0.06%0.1475-3.09%0.0110✓1.696.6M2022-06-03
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.737.7346+0.06%7.374-4.61%0.0089✗1.533.3M2022-06-03
ZECZcashZcash91.291.2529+0.06%90.17-1.13%0.0219✓1.334.6M2022-06-03
XVGVergenative0.004990.004993+0.06%0.00467-6.41%0.0256✗1.63793k2022-06-03
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3740.374208+0.06%0.364-2.67%0.0038✓1.241.0M2022-06-03
LTCLitecoinLitecoin64.3864.4156+0.06%62.54-2.86%0.0034✓1.3019.8M2022-06-03
ORCAOrcaSolana0.830.830427+0.05%0.83+0.00%0.0286✓1.1591k2022-06-03
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum30,442.4030,456.47+0.05%29,681.70-2.50%0.0010✗0.9777k2022-06-03
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash188.75188.8269+0.04%182.82-3.14%0.0002✓1.274.7M2022-06-03
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12830.128342+0.03%0.1244-3.04%0.0001✓1.2314k2022-06-03
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08740.087421+0.02%0.0859-1.72%0.0014✓0.75299k2022-06-03
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008480.008482+0.02%0.00861+1.53%0.0368✓0.86180k2022-06-03
UMAUMAEthereum3.1733.1736+0.02%3.067-3.34%0.0022✓1.431.6M2022-06-03
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.13260.132624+0.02%0.1283-3.24%0.0001✓1.30997k2022-06-03
BTTCBTTC0.000001090.00000109+0.02%0.00000107-1.83%0.0040✓0.897.6M2022-06-03
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.1917.1922+0.02%6.847-4.78%0.0115✗1.4926.4M2022-06-03
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5210.521069+0.01%0.496-4.80%0.0030✗1.82739k2022-06-03
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06870.068707+0.01%0.0654-4.80%0.0039✗1.791.9M2022-06-03
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.39470.394737+0.01%0.3809-3.50%0.0007✗1.3818.0M2022-06-03
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.55112.5513+0.01%2.4133-5.40%0.0207✗1.3781k2022-06-03
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14130.14131+0.01%0.1369-3.11%0.0118✓1.713.8M2022-06-03
ZENHorizenBase20.7620.7612+0.01%19.8-4.62%0.0056✗1.6591k2022-06-03
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.15140.151407+0.00%0.1252-17.31%0.1658✗0.96307k2022-06-03
AMPAmpEthereum0.011840.011841+0.00%0.01141-3.63%0.0086✗1.121.9M2022-06-03
SCSiacoinnative0.005730.00573-0.00%0.00545-4.89%0.0073✓1.69291k2022-06-03
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00460.0046-0.01%0.00466+1.30%0.0455✗1.289,1402022-06-03
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.143.1397-0.01%3.06-2.55%0.0018✗1.09642k2022-06-03
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012670.001267-0.01%0.001257-0.79%0.0342✗1.651.8M2022-06-03
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.889.8789-0.01%9.365-5.21%0.0153✓1.5014.7M2022-06-03
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.02090.020897-0.01%0.02105+0.72%0.0237✗0.65516k2022-06-03
CELLCellframeEthereum0.33850.338455-0.01%0.3272-3.34%0.0063✗1.5836k2022-06-03
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03930.039294-0.02%0.03786-3.66%0.0005✓1.4422k2022-06-03
STXStacksnative0.5670.566893-0.02%0.5357-5.52%0.0270✓1.17197k2022-06-03
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03530.035293-0.02%0.0341-3.40%0.0061✗1.59276k2022-06-03
ETHEthereumEthereum1,832.451,832.08-0.02%1,773.25-3.23%0.0049✓1.09393.0M2022-06-03
KSMKusamaHydration73.5773.5541-0.02%67.99-7.58%0.0449✓1.331.7M2022-06-03
FTTFTXEthereum27.1527.1435-0.02%25.97-4.35%0.0190✓0.9910.2M2022-06-03
QTUMQtumQtum3.97323.9722-0.03%3.8179-3.91%0.0078✓1.2558k2022-06-03
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.810.797-0.03%10.49-2.87%0.0220✗2.00252k2022-06-03
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0155150.01551-0.03%0.01546-0.35%0.0274✗1.213.1M2022-06-03
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.821.8194-0.03%1.72-5.49%0.0075✓1.92602k2022-06-03
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.31810.317977-0.04%0.3183+0.06%0.0357✗1.37392k2022-06-03
XEMNEMnative0.0515340.051512-0.04%0.049645-3.67%0.0020✗1.5342k2022-06-03
XTZTezosTezos1.9841.9829-0.05%1.9041-4.03%0.0067✓1.331.0M2022-06-03
STORJStorjEthereum0.594720.594381-0.06%0.57064-4.05%0.0004✓1.5968k2022-06-03
MANADecentralandEthereum1.03751.0369-0.06%0.9797-5.57%0.0116✓1.78958k2022-06-03
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.261.2591-0.07%1.2-4.76%0.0191✓1.1499k2022-06-03
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.35660.35634-0.07%0.3465-2.83%0.0076✗1.407.3M2022-06-03
XVSVenusEthereum4.94.8962-0.08%4.57-6.73%0.0211✓1.891.8M2022-06-03
CHZChilizEthereum0.12470.124595-0.08%0.1219-2.25%0.0148✗1.451.1M2022-06-03
QNTQuantEthereum68.3268.2621-0.08%65.24-4.51%0.0151✓1.192.5M2022-06-03
CVCCivicEthereum0.18010.179945-0.09%0.175-2.83%0.0101✗1.49260k2022-06-03
UNIUniswapEthereum5.2985.2934-0.09%5.067-4.36%0.0070✓1.452.6M2022-06-03
ETCEthereum Classicnative22.4222.4002-0.09%21.82-2.68%0.0074✗1.333.4M2022-06-03
CTSICartesiEthereum0.19810.197923-0.09%0.2103+6.16%0.1009✗1.59493k2022-06-03
GTGateEthereum5.45045.4453-0.09%5.3737-1.41%0.0014✗0.584.1M2022-06-03
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.209530.209333-0.09%0.19437-7.24%0.0273✓1.85298k2022-06-03
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.94614.9413-0.10%4.9002-0.93%0.0002✓0.34289k2022-06-03
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.63370.633088-0.10%0.6072-4.18%0.0045✓1.473.7M2022-06-03
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8020.801174-0.10%0.786-2.00%0.0120✗1.232.4M2022-06-03
BTCBitcoinBitcoin30,433.7530,401.69-0.11%29,670.85-2.51%0.0011✓1.00749.9M2022-06-03
APEApeCoinEthereum6.3966.3885-0.12%6.122-4.28%0.0149✗2.2631.4M2022-06-03
API3Api3Ethereum1.6361.6338-0.13%1.505-8.01%0.0394✓1.681.1M2022-06-03
LSKLiskEthereum1.38641.3845-0.14%1.3256-4.39%0.0133✓1.1952k2022-06-03
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020920.02089-0.14%0.01977-5.50%0.0054✗2.3841.1M2022-06-03
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum21.1121.0793-0.15%19.94-5.54%0.0139✓1.643.1M2022-06-03
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.8612.8568-0.15%2.754-3.74%0.0078✓1.1463k2022-06-03
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.16e-77.15e-7-0.15%6.99e-7-2.39%0.0022✗0.981.1M2022-06-03
AAVEAaveEthereum110.87110.7026-0.15%107.05-3.45%0.0120✗1.799.0M2022-06-03
SUSHISushiEthereum1.681.6775-0.15%1.53-8.93%0.0485✓1.721.8M2022-06-03
XECeCashnative0.000049190.000049115-0.15%0.00004773-2.97%0.0081✗1.443.9M2022-06-03
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09490.09475-0.16%0.0937-1.26%0.0364✗1.87468k2022-06-03
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.772.7656-0.16%2.73-1.44%0.0403✗2.10311k2022-06-03
UOSUltraEthereum0.37410.373486-0.16%0.36301-2.96%0.0084✗1.45681k2022-06-03
COTICOTIEthereum0.1240.123789-0.17%0.1216-1.94%0.0261✗1.731.3M2022-06-03
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08270.082557-0.17%0.0827+0.00%0.0407✗1.54166k2022-06-03
LRCLoopringEthereum0.55520.554201-0.18%0.5152-7.20%0.0311✓1.65193k2022-06-03
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4790.478113-0.19%0.477-0.42%0.0297✗1.2620k2022-06-03
XLMStellarStellar0.1429830.142716-0.19%0.146016+2.12%0.0539✗1.2211.9M2022-06-03
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21353.2072-0.20%3.1525-1.90%0.0243✗1.646.1M2022-06-03
RADRadworksEthereum2.082.0759-0.20%2.07-0.48%0.0293✗1.27233k2022-06-03
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.311.2773-0.20%10.83-4.16%0.0078✗1.905.4M2022-06-03
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.7480.746471-0.20%0.708-5.35%0.0095✓1.711.5M2022-06-03
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.37.2845-0.21%7.21-1.23%0.0024✗0.501.3M2022-06-03
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.345.3287-0.21%5.25-1.69%0.0053✗0.802.6M2022-06-03
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.011940.011915-0.21%0.01206+1.01%0.0543✗1.6620.9M2022-06-03
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.30020.299552-0.22%0.2805-6.56%0.0308✓1.38318k2022-06-03
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.3481.3451-0.22%1.291-4.23%0.0103✗2.02467k2022-06-03
ADACardanoCardano0.5870.585714-0.22%0.5595-4.68%0.0056✓1.5849.8M2022-06-03
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9961.9916-0.22%1.871-6.26%0.0144✓1.89390k2022-06-03
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.536.5149-0.23%6.3-3.52%0.0047✗1.51427k2022-06-03
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.90953.7794-0.24%55.269+2.52%0.0544✗1.071.2M2022-06-03
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.4933.4844-0.25%3.416-2.20%0.0037✗0.931.7M2022-06-03
KCSKuCoinnative17.52117.4777-0.25%17.046-2.71%0.0017✓1.056.9M2022-06-03
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.027860.027791-0.25%0.02712-2.66%0.0014✓1.02188k2022-06-03
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.374.3591-0.25%4.32-1.14%0.0118✗0.82824k2022-06-03
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0827090.082498-0.25%0.080237-2.99%0.0035✗1.231.9M2022-06-03
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.17280.172356-0.26%0.1632-5.56%0.0150✓1.5693k2022-06-03
XMRMoneroMonero201.25200.5911-0.33%193.73-3.74%0.0070✓1.092.5M2022-06-03
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.920.916973-0.33%0.88-4.35%0.0024✓1.72274k2022-06-03
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.640.637879-0.33%0.602-5.94%0.0135✓1.759,1622022-06-03
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06850.068267-0.34%0.06624-3.30%0.0265✗2.232.8M2022-06-03
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9890.985595-0.34%0.966-2.33%0.0260✗1.814.0M2022-06-03
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.051710.051529-0.35%0.0509-1.57%0.0147✗1.064,6802022-06-03
XYMSymbolnative0.0582130.058004-0.36%0.057486-1.25%0.0118✗0.82106k2022-06-03
HIVEHivenative0.57850.576425-0.36%0.5404-6.59%0.0291✓1.401.4M2022-06-03
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0155450.015489-0.36%0.01605+3.25%0.0536✗0.71198k2022-06-03
PROPropyEthereum0.960.956528-0.36%0.92-4.17%0.0169✓0.87195k2022-06-03
GITCOINGITCOIN2.7712.7609-0.37%2.701-2.53%0.0323✗2.1416k2022-06-03
TRXTRONTron0.0843340.083985-0.41%0.081001-3.95%0.0143✓0.861.4M2022-06-03
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.16270.162023-0.42%0.1535-5.65%0.0286✓1.003,4622022-06-03
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.46842.4581-0.42%2.4381-1.23%0.0183✗1.043.0M2022-06-03
BORABORAKlay Token0.434870.43301-0.43%0.41393-4.82%0.0042✓1.6118k2022-06-03
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.930.926013-0.43%0.87-6.45%0.0330✓1.16487k2022-06-03
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.054.0325-0.43%3.96-2.22%0.0011✓0.761.2M2022-06-03
GMTGMTEthereum1.0531.0484-0.44%1.012-3.89%0.0241✗2.343.3M2022-06-03
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.793.7723-0.47%3.83+1.06%0.0385✗0.921.0M2022-06-03
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7372.7241-0.47%2.621-4.24%0.0132✓1.00132k2022-06-03
SUNSun TokenTron0.009990.009943-0.47%0.00929-7.01%0.0397✓1.112,5562022-06-03
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.028960.028816-0.50%0.02831-2.24%0.0117✗1.1613k2022-06-03
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.26032.249-0.50%2.2381-0.98%0.0208✗1.013.6M2022-06-03
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.023.0043-0.52%2.719-9.97%0.0473✓2.073.9M2022-06-03
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4145170.412345-0.52%0.393839-4.99%0.0085✓1.472.9M2022-06-03
FLOWFlownative2.5542.5401-0.54%2.415-5.44%0.0251✓1.00872k2022-06-03
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2591.2519-0.56%1.195-5.08%0.0189✓1.091.3M2022-06-03
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.4642.4497-0.58%2.733+10.92%0.1330✗0.93953k2022-06-03
ASTRAstarEthereum0.06360.063223-0.59%0.0591-7.08%0.0242✓1.7064k2022-06-03
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum9.449.3804-0.63%7.905-16.26%0.1287✓1.679.4M2022-06-03
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.08022.0666-0.65%2.0259-2.61%0.0148✗1.374.4M2022-06-03
CBKCobakEthereum1.3381.329-0.68%1.2799-4.34%0.0076✓1.187,1582022-06-03
STEEMSteemnative0.27280.270956-0.68%0.2618-4.03%0.0062✓1.60660k2022-06-03
DODODODOEthereum0.16980.168607-0.70%0.1646-3.06%0.0181✗1.662.6M2022-06-03
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070820.070304-0.73%0.06909-2.44%0.0139✗1.2318k2022-06-03
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05450.054093-0.75%0.0541-0.73%0.0368✗1.45720k2022-06-03
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4071.3959-0.79%1.367-2.84%0.0181✗1.545.4M2022-06-03
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.6522.6275-0.92%2.827+6.60%0.0900✗0.661.6M2022-06-03
DKAdKargoEthereum0.06170.061119-0.94%0.06467+4.81%0.0858✗1.1515k2022-06-03
LUNATerraTerra 20.000101210.000100154-1.04%0.00009548-5.66%0.0352✗3.274.2M2022-06-03
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5094.4558-1.18%4.664+3.44%0.0624✗0.664.1M2022-06-03
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2940.290286-1.26%0.286-2.72%0.0336✗1.911.4M2022-06-03
GLMGolemEthereum0.33540.331145-1.27%0.3247-3.19%0.0148✗1.36116k2022-06-03
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7230.713274-1.35%1.068+47.72%0.4594✗2.192.2M2022-06-03
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.53361.5115-1.44%1.5331-0.03%0.0346✗0.804,8222022-06-03
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.846830.829453-2.05%0.81108-4.22%0.0326✗2.17498k2022-06-03
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.