8=======>

2022-06-01 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 169 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2083
169 of 169 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.42%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
76.9%
in alpha space · 27.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-35.37%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (169 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010870.00001205+10.85%0.00001-8.00%0.4222✓1.391.0M2022-07-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12290.134181+9.18%0.1051-14.48%0.3002✓1.2513k2022-07-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14690.160185+9.04%0.0921-37.30%0.1630✓1.647.2M2022-07-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0157120.017074+8.67%0.012076-23.14%0.1694✓1.183.1M2022-07-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.61020.661927+8.48%0.7298+19.60%0.7322✓1.453.9M2022-07-01
SOLSolanaSolana40.143.3781+8.17%32.82-18.15%0.3832✓1.52114.5M2022-07-01
MINAMina Protocolnative0.870.940994+8.16%0.607-30.23%0.2796✓1.64717k2022-07-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.6625.567+8.06%16.09-31.99%0.2120✓1.5552.8M2022-07-01
KSMKusamaHydration72.8878.7312+8.03%48.36-33.64%0.0890✓1.321.7M2022-07-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5070.547464+7.98%0.3997-21.16%0.4740✓1.81739k2022-07-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,517.308,109.55+7.88%5,458.52-27.39%0.1741✓1.313.9M2022-07-01
SCSiacoinnative0.005370.00579+7.82%0.00367-31.66%0.2543✓1.63293k2022-07-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.066440.071627+7.81%0.05579-16.03%0.2737✓1.2017k2022-07-01
XVGVergenative0.004720.005086+7.76%0.00278-41.10%0.0797✓1.57793k2022-07-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum11.5512.4366+7.68%20.56+78.01%0.9350✓0.99446k2022-07-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001230.001324+7.61%0.000932-24.23%0.3679✓1.651.9M2022-07-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.8281.965+7.49%1.344-26.48%0.3376✓1.64110k2022-07-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06680.071797+7.48%0.0457-31.59%0.2979✓1.722.0M2022-07-01
CELLCellframeEthereum0.34010.365096+7.35%0.2384-29.90%0.2685✓1.5940k2022-07-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.382930.410414+7.18%0.39987+4.42%0.5648✓1.35147k2022-07-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13580.145301+7.00%0.1095-19.37%0.4383✓1.654.3M2022-07-01
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8063.0012+6.96%2.222-20.81%0.4214✓1.65271k2022-07-01
UOSUltraEthereum0.371140.396715+6.89%0.25771-30.56%0.2001✓1.45712k2022-07-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.2671.3541+6.87%0.7454-41.17%0.0123✓1.406.8M2022-07-01
API3Api3Ethereum1.6191.7301+6.86%1.857+14.70%0.8064✓1.691.2M2022-07-01
BANDBandEthereum1.6311.7428+6.85%1.272-22.01%0.4038✓1.65401k2022-07-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.199480.213143+6.85%0.12129-39.20%0.2234✓1.80298k2022-07-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin62.6466.9215+6.84%51.13-18.37%0.2959✓1.2919.8M2022-07-01
AVTAventusEthereum1.011.0785+6.79%1.45+43.56%0.6328✓0.77168k2022-07-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.019910.02126+6.78%0.0226+13.51%1.0767✓2.3336.6M2022-07-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.16960.181084+6.77%0.1357-19.99%0.3463✓1.45242k2022-07-01
FTTFTXEthereum26.8928.6729+6.63%24.59-8.55%0.2862✓1.0110.2M2022-07-01
MANADecentralandEthereum0.982411.0475+6.63%0.83384-15.12%0.5180✓1.71958k2022-07-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.349.9571+6.61%8.074-13.55%0.4432✓1.5017.9M2022-07-01
COMPCompoundEthereum58.0261.8364+6.58%47.39-18.32%0.3964✓1.5232k2022-07-01
DIADIAEthereum0.425880.453813+6.56%0.36885-13.39%0.0874✓0.68165k2022-07-01
WOOWOOEthereum0.16340.174071+6.53%0.1616-1.10%0.5555✓1.441,8812022-07-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.692.8642+6.48%2.61-2.97%0.7970✓2.04324k2022-07-01
GALAGALAEthereum0.07350.078203+6.40%0.0516-29.80%0.3975✓1.86159k2022-07-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009220.009809+6.39%0.00657-28.74%0.0809✓1.10943k2022-07-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.063.2556+6.39%2.54-16.99%0.2122✓1.05642k2022-07-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.6532.8219+6.37%2.29-13.68%0.2682✓1.0972k2022-07-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.771.8821+6.33%1.68-5.08%0.7025✓1.87602k2022-07-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.437.8965+6.28%5.342-28.10%0.2560✓1.483.5M2022-07-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03420.036276+6.07%0.0387+13.16%0.7342✓1.53301k2022-07-01
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.15810.167573+5.99%0.105-33.59%0.0428✓0.97311k2022-07-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.4510.0107+5.93%6.743-28.65%0.2430✓1.4614.6M2022-07-01
ORCAOrcaSolana0.830.879135+5.92%0.714-13.98%0.2756✓1.1191k2022-07-01
STXStacksnative0.530.561265+5.90%0.3884-26.72%0.1324✓1.15201k2022-07-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.711.3189+5.78%10-6.54%0.7288✓1.95252k2022-07-01
XECeCashnative0.000047570.000050277+5.69%0.0000375-21.17%0.3174✓1.404.2M2022-07-01
ZECZcashZcash89.7494.8159+5.66%53.47-40.42%0.0070✓1.334.6M2022-07-01
QNTQuantEthereum66.9370.7041+5.64%52.59-21.43%0.2134✓1.172.5M2022-07-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004090.004316+5.53%0.002578-36.97%0.0031✓1.192.2M2022-07-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.638.0504+5.51%5.224-31.53%0.2755✓1.628.8M2022-07-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.370.389924+5.38%0.271-26.76%0.1571✓1.191.0M2022-07-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.012020.012658+5.31%0.00943-21.55%0.1789✓1.081.9M2022-07-01
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.2371.3026+5.31%0.644-47.94%0.1217✓1.89467k2022-07-01
STORJStorjEthereum0.566150.59607+5.28%0.65455+15.61%0.7766✓1.5665k2022-07-01
HIVEHivenative0.52110.548602+5.28%0.4754-8.77%0.4481✓1.351.3M2022-07-01
ADACardanoCardano0.55150.580594+5.28%0.4479-18.79%0.4095✓1.5346.8M2022-07-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.937.2945+5.26%6.069-12.42%0.4506✓1.4525.2M2022-07-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6340.665959+5.04%0.478-24.61%0.3602✓1.59189k2022-07-01
XEMNEMnative0.0502550.052752+4.97%0.038066-24.25%0.3254✓1.4942k2022-07-01
DASHDashDash59.1362.0678+4.97%41.74-29.41%0.1449✓1.241.0M2022-07-01
MOVRMoonriverBase21.354622.4124+4.95%11.9157-44.20%0.0521✓1.57239k2022-07-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.0912.6853+4.92%8.39-30.60%0.1418✓1.27584k2022-07-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08740.091681+4.90%0.0494-43.48%0.2937✗0.74281k2022-07-01
LSKLiskEthereum1.29381.3565+4.84%1.0163-21.45%0.2254✓1.1850k2022-07-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.251.3102+4.82%0.4743-62.06%0.5253✗1.1299k2022-07-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.90385.1375+4.76%5.7902+18.08%0.2620✓0.33289k2022-07-01
LRCLoopringEthereum0.52390.548657+4.73%0.3786-27.73%0.3273✓1.60206k2022-07-01
BTTCBTTC0.000001090.000001141+4.72%8.10e-7-25.69%0.0367✓0.877.6M2022-07-01
XVSVenusEthereum4.634.8478+4.71%4.68+1.08%0.7648✓1.831.8M2022-07-01
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7950.832289+4.69%0.796+0.13%0.4782✓1.202.4M2022-07-01
NANOnanopayBase1.16861.2231+4.67%0.812926-30.43%0.1634✓1.31174k2022-07-01
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4670.488669+4.64%0.389-16.70%0.3163✓1.2521k2022-07-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.12230.127878+4.56%0.0926-24.28%0.4185✓1.701.3M2022-07-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.9722.9677+4.54%14.61-33.50%0.1225✓1.323.4M2022-07-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum20.921.828+4.44%14.02-32.92%0.2554✓1.603.1M2022-07-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash185.81194.0348+4.43%101.28-45.49%0.1032✗1.254.7M2022-07-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008280.008638+4.33%0.00653-21.14%0.0747✓0.81180k2022-07-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.19070.198935+4.32%0.1481-22.34%0.3823✓1.55493k2022-07-01
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.014550.015171+4.27%0.014373-1.22%0.2591✓0.72198k2022-07-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33040.34447+4.26%0.2636-20.22%0.3243✓1.367.5M2022-07-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.48082.5857+4.23%1.8073-27.15%0.2290✓1.3581k2022-07-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12820.133605+4.22%0.1011-21.14%0.2738✓1.271.0M2022-07-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.2770.288548+4.17%0.2312-16.53%0.3503✓1.31311k2022-07-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.285.4964+4.10%4.37-17.23%0.0878✓0.732.6M2022-07-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.036950.038434+4.02%0.02703-26.85%0.2630✓1.4127k2022-07-01
UMAUMAEthereum3.0813.2015+3.91%2.506-18.66%0.3541✓1.371.8M2022-07-01
GITCOINGITCOIN2.7072.8111+3.84%2.6694-1.39%0.8545✓2.0816k2022-07-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0809940.083975+3.68%0.066339-18.09%0.2899✓1.202.1M2022-07-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.38450.39855+3.65%0.3061-20.39%0.3171✓1.3318.8M2022-07-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.366.5915+3.64%5.15-19.03%0.3948✓1.47459k2022-07-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.6511.0304+3.57%8.4-21.13%0.4888✓1.745.6M2022-07-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,914.5030,959.25+3.49%19,383.00-35.21%0.0447✗0.9778k2022-07-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.06590.068199+3.49%0.0578-12.29%0.3610✓1.21410k2022-07-01
XLMStellarStellar0.1368790.141542+3.41%0.109884-19.72%0.2693✓1.2011.2M2022-07-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004460.00461+3.36%0.001956-56.14%0.3274✗1.219,1402022-07-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.11780.121655+3.27%0.0949-19.44%0.3462✓1.361.1M2022-07-01
AAVEAaveEthereum106.08109.5053+3.23%56.18-47.04%0.0853✓1.729.0M2022-07-01
ETHEthereumEthereum1,816.051,873.87+3.18%1,057.57-41.77%0.0979✗1.09407.6M2022-07-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9510.980672+3.12%0.649-31.76%0.0884✓1.15487k2022-07-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09240.095225+3.06%0.0887-4.00%0.7188✓1.81468k2022-07-01
QTUMQtumQtum3.85823.974+3.00%2.7326-29.17%0.1642✓1.2358k2022-07-01
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.91.9558+2.94%1.241-34.68%0.3701✓1.89403k2022-07-01
ZENHorizenBase20.6221.1754+2.69%13.27-35.65%0.2529✓1.6591k2022-07-01
RADRadworksEthereum2.022.0711+2.53%1.61-20.30%0.2921✓1.25247k2022-07-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.30890.316208+2.37%0.1856-39.92%0.0576✓1.35420k2022-07-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.7250.741875+2.33%0.4913-32.23%0.3345✓1.711.7M2022-07-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.890.910304+2.28%1.327+49.10%1.1055✓1.67297k2022-07-01
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08120.083001+2.22%0.0491-39.53%0.1460✓1.54166k2022-07-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.79452.9186+2.17%51.952+0.31%0.4331✓1.031.2M2022-07-01
UNIUniswapEthereum5.135.2413+2.17%4.855-5.36%0.5424✓1.422.6M2022-07-01
XTZTezosTezos1.94291.9835+2.09%1.3775-29.10%0.2146✓1.331.0M2022-07-01
GLMGolemEthereum0.27220.27753+1.96%0.2313-15.03%0.3890✓1.31105k2022-07-01
SUSHISushiEthereum1.631.6607+1.88%0.97-40.49%0.1934✓1.671.9M2022-07-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin29,788.7930,347.44+1.88%19,252.76-35.37%0.0186✓1.00749.9M2022-07-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.028030.028501+1.68%0.01951-30.40%0.0620✓1.01188k2022-07-01
APEApeCoinEthereum6.1046.1999+1.57%4.521-25.93%0.6730✓2.2733.7M2022-07-01
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.15810.160547+1.55%0.1119-29.22%0.3134✓1.5489k2022-07-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.6843.7364+1.42%2.806-23.83%0.1003✓0.891.6M2022-07-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05170.05229+1.14%0.0454-12.19%0.4738✓1.41789k2022-07-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.8522.8818+1.05%2.227-21.91%0.6088✓1.994.0M2022-07-01
KCSKuCoinnative16.66116.817+0.94%8.797-47.20%0.1963✗1.036.9M2022-07-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3992020.40228+0.77%0.305237-23.54%0.3543✓1.443.0M2022-07-01
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0610.061467+0.77%0.0421-30.98%0.3583✓1.6967k2022-07-01
GTGateEthereum5.41415.4444+0.56%4.0293-25.58%0.0584✗0.564.1M2022-07-01
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.123.1336+0.44%2.3996-23.09%0.4394✓1.626.1M2022-07-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.011690.011706+0.14%0.00916-21.64%0.4570✓1.6120.9M2022-07-01
DODODODOEthereum0.17160.171446-0.09%0.1191-30.59%0.3480✗1.632.6M2022-07-01
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.95e-76.94e-7-0.18%3.27e-7-52.95%0.3691✓0.881.2M2022-07-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.009940.009891-0.49%0.00559-43.76%0.0959✓1.093,3452022-07-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.027760.027617-0.52%0.020523-26.07%0.1928✗1.1213k2022-07-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.023.9955-0.61%3.56-11.44%0.1987✗0.721.1M2022-07-01
XMRMoneroMonero198.6197.1518-0.73%115.07-42.06%0.0617✓1.092.5M2022-07-01
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9620.953737-0.86%0.8969-6.77%0.7183✗1.794.2M2022-07-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.73.6631-1.00%3.02-18.38%0.1842✗0.86980k2022-07-01
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.021080.020869-1.00%0.01895-10.10%0.1690✗0.61582k2022-07-01
TRXTRONTron0.083260.082294-1.16%0.064879-22.08%0.1295✗0.841.5M2022-07-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.49722.4667-1.22%2.0691-17.14%0.2506✗0.982.8M2022-07-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.414.3557-1.23%3.79-14.06%0.1651✗0.70835k2022-07-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.049760.049084-1.36%0.0395-20.62%0.2381✗1.044,6802022-07-01
BORABORAKlay Token0.421790.415859-1.41%0.30204-28.39%0.3825✗1.6118k2022-07-01
CBKCobakEthereum1.25261.2345-1.45%0.90067-28.10%0.1766✗1.137,1582022-07-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.21462.1818-1.48%1.6935-23.53%0.1554✗0.943.6M2022-07-01
XYMSymbolnative0.0574920.05657-1.60%0.0515-10.42%0.2527✗0.79110k2022-07-01
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5970.586344-1.78%0.744+24.62%0.9809✗1.709,4092022-07-01
PROPropyEthereum0.960.942774-1.79%0.83-13.54%0.2570✗0.88195k2022-07-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7350.716003-2.58%0.843+14.69%1.1016✗2.152.1M2022-07-01
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.15370.148743-3.22%0.0761-50.49%0.2337✓1.003,4222022-07-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.679060.656398-3.34%0.45108-33.57%0.5174✗2.04399k2022-07-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.156.8916-3.61%5.97-16.50%0.0400✗0.421.3M2022-07-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2730.262553-3.83%0.243-10.99%0.7308✗1.851.3M2022-07-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.5462.4348-4.37%2.958+16.18%0.5818✗0.89897k2022-07-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.6382.518-4.55%3.173+20.28%0.5123✗0.641.4M2022-07-01
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06750.064387-4.61%0.04899-27.42%0.7046✗2.242.8M2022-07-01
FLOWFlownative2.4822.3621-4.83%1.453-41.46%0.0494✓1.00876k2022-07-01
GMTGMTEthereum1.0160.966165-4.91%0.827-18.60%0.8652✗2.343.3M2022-07-01
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2171.1547-5.12%0.562-53.82%0.2490✓1.081.4M2022-07-01
STEEMSteemnative0.25940.244851-5.61%0.2149-17.15%0.5628✗1.59675k2022-07-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.062380.058844-5.67%0.04378-29.82%0.1976✗1.1315k2022-07-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3631.2841-5.79%1.232-9.61%0.6162✗1.515.6M2022-07-01
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6872.4985-7.02%1.802-32.94%0.1097✗1.00133k2022-07-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.01521.8662-7.39%1.2358-38.68%0.1824✗1.364.8M2022-07-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.283.93-8.18%3.475-18.81%0.1019✗0.524.1M2022-07-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.53871.3883-9.77%0.76202-50.48%0.2300✓0.854,8222022-07-01
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098450.00008764-10.98%0.00013124+33.31%1.7198✗3.014.2M2022-07-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.