8=======>

2022-05-19 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 168 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2491
168 of 168 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+59.42%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
79.2%
in alpha space · 18.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-37.41%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (168 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000140.000076413-45.42%0.0000554-60.43%0.9351✗2.687.3M2022-06-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.68712.4374-9.29%1.2522-53.40%0.0466✓1.328.8M2022-06-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.031980.029512-7.72%0.01535-52.00%0.2930✓0.77400k2022-06-18
RUNETHORChainTHORChain3.0092.799-6.98%1.56-48.16%0.1160✓1.00183k2022-06-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4291.3429-6.03%1.218-14.77%0.5632✗1.4113.5M2022-06-18
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.1880.177947-5.35%0.0752-60.00%0.3928✓1.004,0132022-06-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.67111.5846-5.18%0.75523-54.81%0.4663✓0.5914k2022-06-18
GMTGMTEthereum1.4951.4236-4.77%0.601-59.80%0.3938✓1.005.5M2022-06-18
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06990.066677-4.61%0.04472-36.02%0.0691✗1.003.0M2022-06-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.2515.0112-4.57%2.82-46.30%0.0819✓1.051.6M2022-06-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.418.0658-4.09%6.1-27.47%0.0231✓0.551.2M2022-06-18
NEXONEXOEthereum1.3651.3175-3.48%0.612-55.16%0.2982✓1.004.2M2022-06-18
STEEMSteemnative0.25990.250863-3.48%0.1826-29.74%0.1510✗1.001.3M2022-06-18
XYMSymbolnative0.06690.065379-2.27%0.0493-26.31%0.0688✗0.75475k2022-06-18
PROPropyEthereum1.141.1145-2.24%0.85-25.44%0.0414✗0.67395k2022-06-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7043.627-2.08%3.423-7.59%0.1989✗0.552.4M2022-06-18
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.44e-77.29e-7-2.06%2.94e-7-60.48%0.5375✓0.791.4M2022-06-18
GTGateEthereum5.60315.5051-1.75%3.6059-35.64%0.1712✓0.545.0M2022-06-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.45120.448524-0.59%0.2955-34.51%0.1568✗1.2315.4M2022-06-18
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.28293.2675-0.47%2.3544-28.28%0.4044✗1.5610.1M2022-06-18
TRXTRONTron0.0733830.073253-0.18%0.060855-17.07%0.1841✗0.791.2M2022-06-18
APEApeCoinEthereum8.0558.0417-0.17%3.615-55.12%0.3431✗2.4494.8M2022-06-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0181360.018162+0.14%0.014203-21.69%0.0821✓0.70199k2022-06-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.12380.124037+0.19%0.0691-44.18%0.2637✓1.81645k2022-06-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.6312.6648+0.28%8.89-29.61%0.4117✓1.636.7M2022-06-18
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5840.585828+0.31%0.338-42.12%0.1643✓1.5216k2022-06-18
KCSKuCoinnative15.30715.3611+0.35%9.571-37.47%0.0137✗0.985.0M2022-06-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.1382.1479+0.47%2.936+37.32%0.8188✓1.08730k2022-06-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin30,274.5930,416.29+0.47%18,948.89-37.41%0.0047✓1.00686.2M2022-06-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.012520.012621+0.81%0.00909-27.40%0.3864✓1.5340.8M2022-06-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05810.058641+0.93%0.0333-42.69%0.0252✓1.261.5M2022-06-18
ETHEthereumEthereum2,017.572,038.03+1.01%993.64-50.75%0.2345✗1.03464.2M2022-06-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050670.051188+1.02%0.04483-11.53%0.3414✓1.0123k2022-06-18
XMRMoneroMonero165.93167.6431+1.03%104.18-37.21%0.0366✓1.092.9M2022-06-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.026760.027055+1.10%0.02049-23.43%0.2037✓1.0324k2022-06-18
XVSVenusEthereum6.036.0981+1.13%4.07-32.50%0.3755✓1.662.7M2022-06-18
UNIUniswapEthereum5.185.2418+1.19%3.637-29.79%0.2151✓1.243.5M2022-06-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.224.2848+1.53%2.46-41.71%0.1223✗0.92788k2022-06-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.013680.013893+1.56%0.00847-38.08%0.0019✓1.053.2M2022-06-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.21292.2485+1.61%2.0842-5.82%0.4180✓1.052.5M2022-06-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.3214.553+1.63%7.08-50.56%0.1125✗1.30822k2022-06-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2590.263649+1.79%0.233-10.04%0.6280✓1.602.7M2022-06-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.064.1332+1.80%3.86-4.93%0.3395✓0.87798k2022-06-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.12280.125071+1.85%0.0868-29.32%0.2636✓1.341.1M2022-06-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009390.009566+1.87%0.006281-33.11%0.0406✗0.81195k2022-06-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.32290.329277+1.97%0.1531-52.59%0.1675✗1.28445k2022-06-18
ZENHorizenBase2121.4149+1.98%13.17-37.29%0.2597✓1.59171k2022-06-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.045280.046185+2.00%0.03819-15.66%0.2678✓0.988,0692022-06-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash196.24200.3431+2.09%115.22-41.29%0.0050✓1.175.3M2022-06-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.1252.1938+2.10%55.298+8.17%0.5103✓0.971.6M2022-06-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.930.949742+2.12%0.552-40.65%0.0312✗1.09769k2022-06-18
XTZTezosTezos1.7541.7919+2.16%1.2889-26.52%0.2703✓1.281.1M2022-06-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3900030.398473+2.17%0.247565-36.52%0.1743✓1.396.1M2022-06-18
GLMGolemEthereum0.26740.273364+2.23%0.2039-23.75%0.3508✓1.37167k2022-06-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.00755.1192+2.23%5.06+1.05%0.0956✓0.23299k2022-06-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.06260.064004+2.24%0.0572-8.63%0.4575✓1.22406k2022-06-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum30,185.7030,867.06+2.26%19,116.80-36.67%0.0242✗0.9776k2022-06-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.7090.725521+2.33%0.503-29.06%0.3552✓1.541.9M2022-06-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.13450.137659+2.35%0.0869-35.39%0.0692✓1.131.2M2022-06-18
UMAUMAEthereum3.2433.3204+2.39%2.376-26.73%0.4554✓1.692.2M2022-06-18
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1410.144403+2.41%0.1042-26.10%0.4487✓1.65105k2022-06-18
BORABORAKlay Token0.363010.371805+2.42%0.28073-22.67%0.5066✓1.6826k2022-06-18
DIADIAEthereum0.571170.58505+2.43%0.35701-37.49%0.2489✗0.5270k2022-06-18
ZECZcashZcash104.45106.9986+2.44%59.26-43.26%0.0289✓1.325.7M2022-06-18
XLMStellarStellar0.1304660.133675+2.46%0.107534-17.58%0.2925✓1.0912.9M2022-06-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.343.424+2.52%2.97-11.08%0.3512✓1.05557k2022-06-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.24920.255496+2.53%0.1228-50.72%0.4620✗0.58386k2022-06-18
QTUMQtumQtum3.97154.072+2.53%2.5838-34.94%0.1024✓1.19133k2022-06-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.09090.09321+2.54%0.0528-41.91%0.1898✗0.81184k2022-06-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34060.349698+2.67%0.2512-26.25%0.2753✓1.299.0M2022-06-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.009010.009258+2.76%0.005876-34.78%0.0332✓1.0412k2022-06-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.672.7439+2.77%1.554-41.80%0.2482✓1.746.1M2022-06-18
ADACardanoCardano0.53260.547423+2.78%0.4544-14.68%0.4487✓1.3648.2M2022-06-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.9131.968+2.87%2.618+36.85%0.7379✓0.97793k2022-06-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.391.4332+3.11%0.49-64.75%0.5615✗1.09138k2022-06-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.027190.028043+3.14%0.01934-28.87%0.0727✓0.95188k2022-06-18
MANADecentralandEthereum1.11851.1537+3.14%0.77754-30.49%0.3442✓1.581.2M2022-06-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum21.7922.5129+3.32%12.93-40.66%0.1049✓1.413.4M2022-06-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1960.202592+3.36%0.1405-28.32%0.3274✓1.48649k2022-06-18
FTTFTXEthereum30.9131.9672+3.42%22.79-26.27%0.1120✓0.9612.3M2022-06-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.188.4603+3.43%5.133-37.25%0.1922✓1.488.0M2022-06-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.643.7653+3.44%3.39-6.87%0.3087✓0.88521k2022-06-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot10.0210.3709+3.50%7.044-29.70%0.2439✓1.3513.9M2022-06-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana7.177.4214+3.51%4.18-41.70%0.1781✗0.852.9M2022-06-18
NANOnanopayBase1.09961.1384+3.53%0.758897-30.98%0.1870✓1.26161k2022-06-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004780.004949+3.54%0.002612-45.36%0.0681✗1.221.9M2022-06-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0866380.089747+3.59%0.052785-39.07%0.0018✓1.136.3M2022-06-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.217.474+3.66%5.918-17.92%0.3966✓1.3419.2M2022-06-18
GALAGALAEthereum0.08570.088866+3.69%0.0534-37.69%0.3024✓1.73215k2022-06-18
MOVRMoonriverBase23.053823.9084+3.71%10.6122-53.97%0.1290✗1.46210k2022-06-18
WOOWOOEthereum0.20270.210342+3.77%0.1378-32.02%0.0986✓1.112,1752022-06-18
BTTCBTTC0.000001120.000001163+3.81%7.40e-7-33.93%0.0857✗0.787.7M2022-06-18
XEMNEMnative0.05630.058451+3.82%0.037989-32.52%0.1953✓1.3478k2022-06-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.8211.2367+3.85%6.069-43.91%0.0668✓1.4620.1M2022-06-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.910.945222+3.87%0.61-32.97%0.2926✓1.56762k2022-06-18
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8930.928106+3.93%0.712-20.27%0.4768✓1.586.7M2022-06-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.49172.5899+3.94%1.728-30.65%0.1837✓1.26123k2022-06-18
COMPCompoundEthereum67.5170.1865+3.96%28.98-57.07%0.2241✗1.4130k2022-06-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.70.72782+3.97%0.412-41.14%0.1361✓1.50315k2022-06-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,486.679,871.54+4.06%4,369.27-53.94%0.2543✗1.203.1M2022-06-18
AVTAventusEthereum1.261.3113+4.07%2.06+63.49%0.8374✓0.82201k2022-06-18
STORJStorjEthereum0.553870.576453+4.08%0.43006-22.35%0.3998✓1.4891k2022-06-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004690.004884+4.14%0.002641-43.69%0.1313✗1.0319k2022-06-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin72.0275.0233+4.17%47.13-34.56%0.0912✓1.1919.5M2022-06-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.11470.119494+4.18%0.0832-27.46%0.4043✓1.641.7M2022-06-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.2411.7174+4.25%9.79-12.90%0.5614✓1.58159k2022-06-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009240.009635+4.27%0.00624-32.47%0.0978✓1.141.3M2022-06-18
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8240.859416+4.30%0.795-3.52%0.4499✓1.133.2M2022-06-18
DODODODOEthereum0.150.156514+4.34%0.1123-25.13%0.3733✓1.513.8M2022-06-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.04342.1332+4.39%1.6728-18.14%0.2214✓0.994.6M2022-06-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.9653.0954+4.40%2.377-19.83%0.2438✓1.0899k2022-06-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.390350.407601+4.42%0.31116-20.29%0.3379✓1.30208k2022-06-18
DASHDashDash58.5561.1483+4.44%41.55-29.04%0.1759✓1.201.1M2022-06-18
AAVEAaveEthereum91.6595.7776+4.50%49.52-45.97%0.0674✓1.559.2M2022-06-18
XECeCashnative0.000047070.000049201+4.53%0.00003566-24.24%0.3009✓1.336.1M2022-06-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3780.395173+4.54%0.259-31.48%0.1041✓1.121.1M2022-06-18
RADRadworksEthereum2.072.1645+4.57%1.46-29.47%0.1025✓1.06280k2022-06-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25680.269102+4.79%0.1978-22.98%0.2787✓1.25292k2022-06-18
FIDABonfidaSolana0.590.618595+4.85%0.297-49.66%0.1755✗1.1937k2022-06-18
QNTQuantEthereum68.3871.731+4.90%48.77-28.68%0.1130✓1.063.6M2022-06-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037870.039727+4.90%0.02514-33.61%0.1942✓1.3967k2022-06-18
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07670.080496+4.95%0.0517-32.59%0.3988✓1.80162k2022-06-18
HIVEHivenative0.49240.516833+4.96%0.3505-28.82%0.2155✓1.291.6M2022-06-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03430.036006+4.97%0.0267-22.16%0.3641✓1.42198k2022-06-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.536.8592+5.04%4.4-32.62%0.2156✓1.41785k2022-06-18
SOLSolanaSolana52.1354.7649+5.05%32.01-38.60%0.1372✓1.4493.8M2022-06-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.652.7845+5.08%2.17-18.11%0.5913✓1.79390k2022-06-18
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.2081.27+5.13%0.611-49.42%0.0933✓1.76527k2022-06-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.17650.185816+5.28%0.1231-30.25%0.2475✓1.41386k2022-06-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075460.079447+5.28%0.04148-45.03%0.1538✗1.0618k2022-06-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum13.414.1159+5.34%7.81-41.72%0.1448✗0.95622k2022-06-18
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum3.0413.2052+5.40%2.038-32.98%0.2631✓1.53271k2022-06-18
CBKCobakEthereum1.1221.1829+5.43%0.80868-27.93%0.0932✓1.0117k2022-06-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative20.922.0374+5.44%13.68-34.55%0.1185✓1.273.9M2022-06-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche30.3732.0236+5.44%14.8-51.27%0.0791✗1.4848.8M2022-06-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.06030.063637+5.53%0.0455-24.54%0.2164✓1.18101k2022-06-18
KSMKusamaHydration80.4584.9187+5.55%48.42-39.81%0.0324✓1.271.6M2022-06-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.16030.169215+5.56%0.0987-38.43%0.1717✓1.529.0M2022-06-18
BANDBandEthereum1.7691.868+5.59%1.287-27.25%0.3338✓1.51463k2022-06-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08440.089192+5.68%0.0485-42.54%0.1690✓1.663.1M2022-06-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.218.6835+5.77%5.103-37.84%0.0695✓1.285.4M2022-06-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.891.9993+5.79%1.33-29.63%0.4128✓1.75495k2022-06-18
ORCAOrcaSolana0.910.962831+5.81%0.48-47.25%0.2141✗1.03112k2022-06-18
SUSHISushiEthereum1.361.441+5.96%0.93-31.62%0.2752✓1.523.3M2022-06-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.9582.0766+6.05%1.063-45.71%0.0566✓1.5599k2022-06-18
XVGVergenative0.005280.005601+6.09%0.00273-48.30%0.0482✓1.43922k2022-06-18
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0652.191+6.10%1.168-43.44%0.2890✓1.96850k2022-06-18
MINAMina Protocolnative1.0421.1064+6.18%0.578-44.53%0.0366✓1.46775k2022-06-18
LSKLiskEthereum1.17421.2478+6.26%0.93123-20.70%0.2214✓1.1080k2022-06-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.0791.1468+6.28%0.583-45.97%0.0331✓1.377.4M2022-06-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.48640.517494+6.39%0.3417-29.75%0.3038✓1.53289k2022-06-18
STXStacksnative0.530.564688+6.54%0.3371-36.40%0.0223✓1.15274k2022-06-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13430.143221+6.64%0.1102-17.94%0.4977✓1.625.8M2022-06-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.204760.218433+6.68%0.12089-40.96%0.1806✓1.65280k2022-06-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.69160.738237+6.74%0.7155+3.46%0.6569✓1.475.5M2022-06-18
SCSiacoinnative0.005270.005637+6.97%0.00339-35.67%0.2108✓1.54398k2022-06-18
GITCOINGITCOIN2.652.8361+7.02%2.144-19.09%0.5621✓1.8022k2022-06-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5380.580716+7.94%0.271-49.63%0.0352✓1.55967k2022-06-18
CELLCellframeEthereum0.35340.382597+8.26%0.2227-36.98%0.0686✓1.3085k2022-06-18
UOSUltraEthereum0.374410.406315+8.52%0.235-37.23%0.1101✓1.401.3M2022-06-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01820.019763+8.59%0.02407+32.25%1.2838✓2.3223.0M2022-06-18
API3Api3Ethereum1.8752.0388+8.73%1.425-24.00%0.3971✓1.612.0M2022-06-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13740.149541+8.84%0.0999-27.29%0.1003✓1.0820k2022-06-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001370.001495+9.10%0.0007-48.91%0.0492✓1.513.4M2022-06-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0163990.017893+9.11%0.011617-29.16%0.0958✓1.133.8M2022-06-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3370.368492+9.34%0.788+133.83%1.6024✓1.801.7M2022-06-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011830.000012945+9.42%0.00000771-34.83%0.1027✓1.331.2M2022-06-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.379650.418022+10.11%0.50803+33.82%1.0226✓1.77327k2022-06-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.