8=======>

2022-05-14 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.4037
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+49.52%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
62.7%
in alpha space · 18.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-25.23%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000460.000045115-90.19%0.00006043-86.86%1.1433✓2.938.4M2022-06-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.0740.071702-3.11%0.04897-33.82%0.0905✓1.003.8M2022-06-13
GMTGMTEthereum1.5331.4868-3.02%0.591-61.45%0.6317✓1.008.1M2022-06-13
XYMSymbolnative0.06970.068164-2.20%0.0486-30.27%0.1238✓0.74568k2022-06-13
GTGateEthereum5.55515.4552-1.80%4.2445-23.59%0.0944✓0.544.9M2022-06-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.4630.455549-1.61%0.3039-34.36%0.0592✓1.1914.3M2022-06-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.67441.6498-1.47%1.0426-37.73%0.2742✓0.6416k2022-06-13
APEApeCoinEthereum8.6468.5649-0.94%3.485-59.69%0.1405✓2.6194.8M2022-06-13
NEXONEXOEthereum1.3571.3464-0.78%0.778-42.67%0.2577✓1.005.2M2022-06-13
STEEMSteemnative0.25420.252474-0.68%0.1835-27.81%0.0283✓1.002.1M2022-06-13
PROPropyEthereum1.111.1048-0.47%0.9-18.92%0.0059✓0.68470k2022-06-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1211.1182-0.25%1.458+30.06%0.6602✗1.3614.9M2022-06-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin30,041.8830,132.19+0.30%22,460.97-25.23%0.0030✓1.00672.6M2022-06-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.9214.9912+0.48%8.36-43.97%0.2043✗1.31822k2022-06-13
TRXTRONTron0.072360.072715+0.49%0.063701-11.97%0.1027✓0.811.1M2022-06-13
QTUMQtumQtum4.10784.128+0.49%2.7762-32.42%0.0456✗1.21135k2022-06-13
MANADecentralandEthereum1.33181.3396+0.59%0.82849-37.79%0.0348✗1.531.1M2022-06-13
ETHEthereumEthereum2,053.332,066.25+0.63%1,207.82-41.18%0.2375✗1.03494.1M2022-06-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.7313.7564+0.68%3.092-17.13%0.1088✓1.041.5M2022-06-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.9754.3455+0.70%46.677-13.51%0.1287✓0.971.8M2022-06-13
UNIUniswapEthereum5.175.215+0.87%3.662-29.17%0.0052✓1.203.6M2022-06-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum5.58e-75.63e-7+0.92%3.58e-7-35.81%0.3019✗0.521.4M2022-06-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.28640.289383+1.04%0.1335-53.39%0.6342✗0.48458k2022-06-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash208.47210.7459+1.09%126.93-39.11%0.1793✗1.135.3M2022-06-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1381110.139702+1.15%0.106761-22.70%0.0421✓1.0713.6M2022-06-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.06340.064239+1.32%0.0519-18.14%0.1195✓1.14415k2022-06-13
ZENHorizenBase21.2121.5174+1.45%14.12-33.43%0.0219✓1.52167k2022-06-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.73291.7604+1.59%1.2396-28.47%0.0067✓1.239.6M2022-06-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.010010.010179+1.69%0.00733-26.77%0.0971✗0.80269k2022-06-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.12070.122792+1.73%0.0833-30.99%0.1575✓1.88694k2022-06-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.013760.014001+1.75%0.00905-34.23%0.1276✗1.063.2M2022-06-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9380.955881+1.91%0.599-36.14%0.1453✗1.11769k2022-06-13
XTZTezosTezos1.83041.8655+1.92%1.4008-23.47%0.0808✓1.26878k2022-06-13
XMRMoneroMonero153.49156.457+1.93%132.56-13.64%0.1342✓1.033.2M2022-06-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.399530.407511+2.00%0.25719-35.63%0.0285✓1.6832k2022-06-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.065.1643+2.06%5.3088+4.92%0.1059✓0.27285k2022-06-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot11.2811.5269+2.19%7.032-37.66%0.1171✗1.3012.2M2022-06-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.629.8354+2.24%8.03-16.53%0.2490✓1.555.9M2022-06-13
ZECZcashZcash105.67108.0794+2.28%65.48-38.03%0.1329✗1.275.3M2022-06-13
ADACardanoCardano0.53710.54951+2.31%0.4636-13.68%0.2025✓1.2846.3M2022-06-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.09940.1017+2.31%0.0599-39.74%0.0346✗1.70215k2022-06-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04610.047216+2.42%0.03724-19.22%0.0434✓0.978,2452022-06-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.20080.205694+2.44%0.1611-19.77%0.1819✓1.47649k2022-06-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4175280.427947+2.50%0.252041-39.63%0.1410✗1.346.1M2022-06-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,968.5030,732.73+2.55%22,471.70-25.02%0.0299✗0.9768k2022-06-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.421.4568+2.59%0.88-38.03%0.1900✗1.08140k2022-06-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34930.35841+2.61%0.2574-26.31%0.0333✓1.258.5M2022-06-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.026460.027196+2.78%0.018258-31.00%0.1046✗1.0126k2022-06-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0093150.009582+2.87%0.00763-18.09%0.0714✓1.0327k2022-06-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum22.423.0586+2.94%13.49-39.78%0.1199✗1.433.5M2022-06-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08790.09052+2.98%0.0654-25.60%0.0801✗0.84169k2022-06-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.25650.26417+2.99%0.1992-22.34%0.1247✓1.40180k2022-06-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13750.14162+3.00%0.1013-26.33%0.1467✓1.66109k2022-06-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.4131.4553+3.00%0.718-49.19%0.2895✗1.436.6M2022-06-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.0193.1133+3.12%2.414-20.04%0.0496✓1.0596k2022-06-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7532.8392+3.13%1.912-30.55%0.0913✓1.677.4M2022-06-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.11710.120785+3.15%0.0945-19.30%0.1497✓1.361.2M2022-06-13
FTTFTXEthereum31.5332.5245+3.15%24.51-22.26%0.0041✓0.9615.2M2022-06-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.538.8007+3.17%5.442-36.20%0.0750✗1.408.0M2022-06-13
UMAUMAEthereum2.9923.087+3.18%1.997-33.26%0.0488✓1.672.4M2022-06-13
KCSKuCoinnative12.96813.3815+3.19%11.706-9.73%0.1376✓0.934.1M2022-06-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6350.655584+3.24%0.392-38.27%0.0923✗1.4517k2022-06-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.58832.6755+3.37%1.8846-27.19%0.0085✓1.23173k2022-06-13
DASHDashDash60.8662.9553+3.44%42.59-30.02%0.0467✗1.181.1M2022-06-13
BTTCBTTC0.000001110.00000115+3.57%8.10e-7-27.03%0.1210✗0.797.9M2022-06-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,210.4910,588.79+3.70%4,951.67-51.50%0.4219✗1.162.7M2022-06-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053370.055356+3.72%0.04329-18.89%0.0428✓0.9925k2022-06-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.19240.199616+3.75%0.1066-44.59%0.1757✗1.558.6M2022-06-13
COMPCompoundEthereum71.4574.138+3.76%35.73-49.99%0.3325✗1.3730k2022-06-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.038980.040471+3.82%0.02635-32.40%0.0327✓1.3694k2022-06-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.7430.771653+3.86%0.447-39.84%0.1142✗1.48357k2022-06-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11980.124473+3.90%0.0914-23.71%0.0173✓1.121.1M2022-06-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.27590.286723+3.92%0.1607-41.75%0.2118✗1.26463k2022-06-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.7711.2034+4.02%6.495-39.69%0.1571✗1.3320.1M2022-06-13
QNTQuantEthereum72.1175.0154+4.03%49.66-31.13%0.1115✗1.033.6M2022-06-13
NANOnanopayBase1.15951.2064+4.04%0.845884-27.05%0.0105✓1.26161k2022-06-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.257.5451+4.07%5.917-18.39%0.1378✓1.3118.3M2022-06-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.630.65604+4.13%0.493-21.75%0.1694✓1.571.7M2022-06-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0893580.093063+4.15%0.054172-39.38%0.2189✗1.116.3M2022-06-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.547610.570625+4.20%0.37168-32.13%0.0128✓1.4393k2022-06-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009440.009839+4.23%0.00632-33.05%0.1234✗1.101.1M2022-06-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.07290.075985+4.23%0.048-34.16%0.1568✗1.04115k2022-06-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.417580.435921+4.39%0.28493-31.77%0.0557✗1.27199k2022-06-13
XVSVenusEthereum4.64.8047+4.45%3.88-15.65%0.2066✓1.452.8M2022-06-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche33.8935.4015+4.46%16.09-52.52%0.3682✗1.4545.0M2022-06-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.20080.209817+4.49%0.1305-35.01%0.1723✗1.042,6012022-06-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8180.854997+4.52%0.776-5.13%0.2223✓1.103.3M2022-06-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.0522.011+4.57%14.4-31.59%0.0588✗1.264.2M2022-06-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.73262.8584+4.60%2.313-15.36%0.2600✓1.628.0M2022-06-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.024960.026111+4.61%0.01883-24.56%0.0183✓1.06202k2022-06-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin68.8172.001+4.64%43.45-36.86%0.1717✗1.1518.2M2022-06-13
HIVEHivenative0.50930.533566+4.76%0.3584-29.63%0.0351✓1.251.5M2022-06-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana5.085.3231+4.79%6.79+33.66%0.4809✓0.821.3M2022-06-13
XEMNEMnative0.05680.059541+4.82%0.039006-31.33%0.0656✗1.23164k2022-06-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004710.004939+4.87%0.00285-39.49%0.1992✗1.211.8M2022-06-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.11090.116307+4.88%0.0926-16.50%0.2254✓1.561.7M2022-06-13
MOVRMoonriverBase22.493223.5901+4.88%14.6487-34.87%0.0555✗1.45195k2022-06-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0119920.012582+4.92%0.012961+8.08%0.2453✓0.74198k2022-06-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.582.7075+4.94%2.19-15.12%0.2991✓1.76378k2022-06-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.533.7058+4.98%2.75-22.10%0.0837✗0.74777k2022-06-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03380.035487+4.99%0.0291-13.91%0.1910✓1.34179k2022-06-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068470.071914+5.03%0.04562-33.37%0.1519✗1.0419k2022-06-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015660.016468+5.16%0.01967+25.61%0.3776✓0.69400k2022-06-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.89.2632+5.26%5.329-39.44%0.1896✗1.257.4M2022-06-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.18290.192611+5.31%0.1272-30.45%0.0001✓1.43375k2022-06-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24970.263058+5.35%0.195-21.91%0.0632✓1.25292k2022-06-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.6411.2095+5.35%11.71+10.06%0.4775✓1.49136k2022-06-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04720.049777+5.46%0.0358-24.15%0.0079✓1.161.5M2022-06-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010130.010683+5.46%0.00971-4.15%0.3848✓1.6543.3M2022-06-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.231.2981+5.54%0.858-30.24%0.0760✓1.69582k2022-06-13
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8570.904794+5.58%0.7-18.32%0.1875✓1.537.6M2022-06-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.47580.502419+5.59%0.3765-20.87%0.1394✓1.47307k2022-06-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.880.929495+5.62%0.68-22.73%0.1357✓1.54801k2022-06-13
SOLSolanaSolana52.3755.33+5.65%28.58-45.43%0.2554✗1.3987.4M2022-06-13
DODODODOEthereum0.1580.167113+5.77%0.136-13.92%0.2170✓1.454.4M2022-06-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.7113.4488+5.81%8.14-35.96%0.2400✗0.90555k2022-06-13
BANDBandEthereum1.7441.8467+5.89%1.318-24.43%0.0795✓1.43500k2022-06-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos22.1178+5.89%1.145-42.75%0.1334✗1.6687k2022-06-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.19581.2674+5.99%0.939069-21.47%0.0064✓1.0598k2022-06-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08660.091813+6.02%0.0508-41.34%0.1475✗1.533.6M2022-06-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.183.3725+6.05%4.2+32.08%0.4924✓0.94798k2022-06-13
CBKCobakEthereum1.1411.2111+6.14%0.80971-29.04%0.1153✗0.9924k2022-06-13
STXStacksnative0.560.595337+6.31%0.347-38.04%0.2187✗1.10296k2022-06-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.531.6279+6.40%3.225+110.78%0.9856✓1.04683k2022-06-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14290.152046+6.40%0.149+4.27%0.4355✓1.576.2M2022-06-13
AAVEAaveEthereum86.4491.9952+6.43%59.74-30.89%0.0018✓1.497.8M2022-06-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2280.242769+6.48%0.189-17.11%0.1807✓1.484.0M2022-06-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.6210.66145+6.51%0.332-46.54%0.3409✗1.2040k2022-06-13
MINAMina Protocolnative1.0921.1639+6.59%0.662-39.38%0.1611✗1.39760k2022-06-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.311.3976+6.68%0.97-25.95%0.0605✓1.463.6M2022-06-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.90.960195+6.69%0.6-33.33%0.1994✗0.93137k2022-06-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.831.9566+6.92%1.29-29.51%0.0779✓1.70418k2022-06-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3330.356334+7.01%0.256-23.12%0.0395✓1.001.1M2022-06-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003950.004228+7.03%0.00331-16.20%0.0320✓0.9519k2022-06-13
RADRadworksEthereum1.892.0251+7.15%1.52-19.58%0.0104✓1.02381k2022-06-13
SCSiacoinnative0.005120.005489+7.20%0.00359-29.88%0.0021✓1.45403k2022-06-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.5141.625+7.33%3.286+117.04%0.9818✓0.95779k2022-06-13
AVTAventusEthereum0.951.0209+7.46%1.61+69.47%0.6850✓0.79201k2022-06-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.572.762+7.47%4.17+62.26%0.6957✓0.98453k2022-06-13
KSMKusamaHydration74.379.8547+7.48%46.08-37.98%0.1960✗1.221.2M2022-06-13
XECeCashnative0.000042570.000045775+7.53%0.00003827-10.10%0.2203✓1.376.5M2022-06-13
XVGVergenative0.004770.005131+7.57%0.00303-36.48%0.1372✗1.34885k2022-06-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.196760.212027+7.76%0.13259-32.61%0.0002✓1.61262k2022-06-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.5982.7999+7.77%2.042-21.40%0.1265✓1.52221k2022-06-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.636.0724+7.86%4.53-19.54%0.1075✓1.38572k2022-06-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.64010.690856+7.93%0.5649-11.75%0.2020✓1.396.1M2022-06-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.135.5403+8.00%4.54-11.50%0.0537✓0.872.7M2022-06-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07140.077244+8.19%0.0561-21.43%0.2276✓1.88176k2022-06-13
GITCOINGITCOIN2.4472.6479+8.21%2.0821-14.91%0.2559✓1.7123k2022-06-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.64381.7796+8.26%2.0689+25.86%0.4688✓1.092.5M2022-06-13
DIADIAEthereum0.376460.409188+8.69%0.38009+0.96%0.1498✓0.7770k2022-06-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8271.9876+8.79%1.255-31.31%0.1148✓1.98973k2022-06-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012570.000013682+8.85%0.00000802-36.20%0.1525✗1.311.3M2022-06-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001340.00146+8.95%0.000828-38.21%0.1347✗1.493.8M2022-06-13
API3Api3Ethereum1.8392.0086+9.22%1.149-37.52%0.1410✗1.442.5M2022-06-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.36470.398617+9.30%0.2205-39.54%0.2235✗1.2793k2022-06-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01710.018712+9.43%0.01829+6.96%0.6268✓2.2325.3M2022-06-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.48951.634+9.70%1.7211+15.55%0.3652✓1.084.3M2022-06-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.377370.414575+9.86%0.25822-31.57%0.0358✓1.501.4M2022-06-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3050.335248+9.92%0.941+208.52%1.5363✓1.731.8M2022-06-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.42.6392+9.97%3.52+46.67%0.5928✓1.05548k2022-06-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4960.547296+10.34%0.301-39.31%0.1765✗1.45869k2022-06-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0152870.01688+10.42%0.01281-16.20%0.0461✓1.114.3M2022-06-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.351630.389142+10.67%0.45073+28.18%0.6211✓1.63331k2022-06-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11710.129643+10.71%0.0991-15.37%0.0043✓0.9119k2022-06-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.7811.9735+10.81%3.335+87.25%0.7316✓0.711.9M2022-06-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.