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2022-05-14 · +1d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 167 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1928
167 of 167 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+8.31%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.5%
in alpha space · 94.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+4.15%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (167 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000460.000403762-12.23%0.00022-52.17%0.7263✓2.938.4M2022-05-15
MANADecentralandEthereum1.33181.3252-0.49%1.3383+0.49%0.0526✓1.531.1M2022-05-15
TRXTRONTron0.072360.072241-0.16%0.072317-0.06%0.0319✓0.811.1M2022-05-15
GMTGMTEthereum1.5331.5325-0.04%1.618+5.54%0.0136✗1.008.1M2022-05-15
NEXONEXOEthereum1.3571.3571+0.00%1.401+3.24%0.0088✗1.005.2M2022-05-15
STEEMSteemnative0.25420.25437+0.07%0.2689+5.78%0.0148✓1.002.1M2022-05-15
GTGateEthereum5.55515.5592+0.07%5.5674+0.22%0.0204✗0.544.9M2022-05-15
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9380.938784+0.08%0.977+4.16%0.0052✗1.11769k2022-05-15
ZECZcashZcash105.67105.7623+0.09%112.6+6.56%0.0111✓1.275.3M2022-05-15
KCSKuCoinnative12.96812.9884+0.16%14.507+11.87%0.0726✓0.934.1M2022-05-15
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.0740.074119+0.16%0.0861+16.35%0.1091✓1.003.8M2022-05-15
BTCBitcoinBitcoin30,041.8830,091.54+0.17%31,290.05+4.15%0.0017✓1.00672.6M2022-05-15
CTSICartesiEthereum0.20080.201141+0.17%0.2021+0.65%0.0549✗1.47649k2022-05-15
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.065.0687+0.17%5.0077-1.03%0.0231✗0.27285k2022-05-15
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum22.422.4389+0.17%24.12+7.68%0.0140✓1.433.5M2022-05-15
DOTPolkadotPolkadot11.2811.2997+0.17%11.79+4.52%0.0103✗1.3012.2M2022-05-15
FTTFTXEthereum31.5331.5852+0.18%32.66+3.58%0.0056✗0.9615.2M2022-05-15
XYMSymbolnative0.06970.069824+0.18%0.0717+2.87%0.0035✗0.74568k2022-05-15
QNTQuantEthereum72.1172.2401+0.18%75.21+4.30%0.0018✗1.033.6M2022-05-15
APEApeCoinEthereum8.6468.6617+0.18%9.131+5.61%0.0534✗2.6194.8M2022-05-15
ETHEthereumEthereum2,053.332,057.16+0.19%2,142.69+4.35%0.0012✓1.03494.1M2022-05-15
XLMStellarStellar0.1381110.138373+0.19%0.144986+4.98%0.0032✓1.0713.6M2022-05-15
XEMNEMnative0.05680.05692+0.21%0.0667+17.43%0.1085✓1.23164k2022-05-15
GLMGolemEthereum0.25650.257063+0.22%0.2757+7.49%0.0130✓1.40180k2022-05-15
AMPAmpEthereum0.013760.01379+0.22%0.01426+3.63%0.0097✗1.063.2M2022-05-15
XMRMoneroMonero153.49153.8508+0.24%171.74+11.89%0.0680✓1.033.2M2022-05-15
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.4630.464137+0.25%0.4902+5.87%0.0063✓1.1914.3M2022-05-15
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.7313.7403+0.25%3.65-2.17%0.0669✗1.041.5M2022-05-15
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.73262.7397+0.26%2.8557+4.50%0.0246✗1.628.0M2022-05-15
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash208.47209.0246+0.27%214.55+2.92%0.0198✗1.135.3M2022-05-15
QTUMQtumQtum4.10784.1189+0.27%4.2708+3.97%0.0129✗1.21135k2022-05-15
UNIUniswapEthereum5.175.184+0.27%5.45+5.42%0.0013✓1.203.6M2022-05-15
PROPropyEthereum1.111.1132+0.29%1.2+8.11%0.0472✓0.68470k2022-05-15
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0893580.089615+0.29%0.092987+4.06%0.0082✗1.116.3M2022-05-15
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.9214.966+0.31%15.77+5.70%0.0008✓1.31822k2022-05-15
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.0193.0283+0.31%3.06+1.36%0.0322✗1.0596k2022-05-15
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,968.5030,063.34+0.32%31,292.30+4.42%0.0004✓0.9768k2022-05-15
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.6410.6744+0.32%11.53+8.36%0.0164✓1.49136k2022-05-15
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08790.088185+0.32%0.0907+3.19%0.0062✗0.84169k2022-05-15
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.421.4247+0.33%1.5+5.63%0.0075✓1.08140k2022-05-15
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.630.632116+0.34%0.704+11.75%0.0440✓1.571.7M2022-05-15
ADACardanoCardano0.53710.538908+0.34%0.598+11.34%0.0519✓1.2846.3M2022-05-15
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.28640.287371+0.34%0.24-16.20%0.1997✗0.48458k2022-05-15
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.0521.1257+0.36%22.11+5.04%0.0056✗1.264.2M2022-05-15
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34930.350564+0.36%0.3745+7.21%0.0150✓1.258.5M2022-05-15
LTCLitecoinLitecoin68.8169.0613+0.37%71.5+3.91%0.0120✗1.1518.2M2022-05-15
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.9754.1689+0.37%54.96+1.83%0.0248✗0.971.8M2022-05-15
CVCCivicEthereum0.18290.183587+0.38%0.1868+2.13%0.0407✗1.43375k2022-05-15
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8180.821139+0.38%0.832+1.71%0.0316✗1.103.3M2022-05-15
GALAGALAEthereum0.09940.099783+0.39%0.1001+0.70%0.0661✗1.70215k2022-05-15
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.19240.193145+0.39%0.1995+3.69%0.0308✗1.558.6M2022-05-15
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.257.2784+0.39%7.96+9.79%0.0362✓1.3118.3M2022-05-15
XTZTezosTezos1.83041.8376+0.39%1.915+4.62%0.0102✗1.26878k2022-05-15
ZENHorizenBase21.2121.2937+0.39%22.1+4.20%0.0249✗1.52167k2022-05-15
LRCLoopringEthereum0.47580.477685+0.40%0.5152+8.28%0.0157✓1.47307k2022-05-15
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.024960.025059+0.40%0.02694+7.93%0.0292✓1.06202k2022-05-15
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13750.138053+0.40%0.1461+6.25%0.0108✗1.66109k2022-05-15
CHZChilizEthereum0.11710.117574+0.40%0.1258+7.43%0.0123✓1.361.2M2022-05-15
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.582.5905+0.41%2.52-2.33%0.0992✗1.76378k2022-05-15
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.58832.599+0.41%2.6617+2.83%0.0264✗1.23173k2022-05-15
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.538.5658+0.42%9.22+8.09%0.0168✓1.408.0M2022-05-15
BORABORAKlay Token0.399530.401218+0.42%0.40992+2.60%0.0470✗1.6832k2022-05-15
DASHDashDash60.8661.1187+0.43%63.03+3.57%0.0174✗1.181.1M2022-05-15
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03380.033947+0.43%0.0357+5.62%0.0042✓1.34179k2022-05-15
SOLSolanaSolana52.3752.6004+0.44%58.82+12.32%0.0550✓1.3987.4M2022-05-15
STORJStorjEthereum0.547610.550032+0.44%0.59535+8.72%0.0210✓1.4393k2022-05-15
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.038980.039155+0.45%0.04022+3.18%0.0286✗1.3694k2022-05-15
BTTCBTTC0.000001110.000001115+0.45%0.00000115+3.60%0.0011✓0.797.9M2022-05-15
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04610.046308+0.45%0.0485+5.21%0.0070✓0.978,2452022-05-15
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.629.6646+0.46%10.37+7.80%0.0072✓1.555.9M2022-05-15
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.7710.821+0.47%12.37+14.86%0.0795✓1.3320.1M2022-05-15
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.533.5467+0.47%3.83+8.50%0.0468✓0.74777k2022-05-15
COMPCompoundEthereum71.4571.791+0.48%74.83+4.73%0.0142✗1.3730k2022-05-15
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.417580.419587+0.48%0.43346+3.80%0.0192✗1.27199k2022-05-15
BRISEBitgertEthereum5.58e-75.60e-7+0.48%6.30e-7+12.98%0.0961✓0.521.4M2022-05-15
LSKLiskEthereum1.19581.2016+0.48%1.2834+7.32%0.0230✓1.0598k2022-05-15
SUNSun TokenTron0.0093150.00936+0.48%0.009284-0.33%0.0500✗1.0327k2022-05-15
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7532.7663+0.48%3.057+11.04%0.0318✓1.677.4M2022-05-15
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.67441.6826+0.49%1.7798+6.29%0.0303✓0.6416k2022-05-15
XVSVenusEthereum4.64.6228+0.50%5.01+8.91%0.0216✓1.452.8M2022-05-15
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche33.8934.0581+0.50%36.54+7.82%0.0115✓1.4545.0M2022-05-15
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.64010.643308+0.50%0.7169+12.00%0.0519✓1.396.1M2022-05-15
HIVEHivenative0.50930.511856+0.50%0.5339+4.83%0.0086✗1.251.5M2022-05-15
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012570.000012633+0.50%0.00001304+3.74%0.0217✗1.311.3M2022-05-15
AAVEAaveEthereum86.4486.8793+0.51%92.06+6.50%0.0028✓1.497.8M2022-05-15
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.7430.746781+0.51%0.773+4.04%0.0259✗1.48357k2022-05-15
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009440.009488+0.51%0.01019+7.94%0.0267✓1.101.1M2022-05-15
UOSUltraEthereum0.377370.379311+0.51%0.39997+5.99%0.0082✗1.501.4M2022-05-15
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0152870.015366+0.52%0.017163+12.27%0.0655✓1.114.3M2022-05-15
UMAUMAEthereum2.9923.0079+0.53%3.132+4.68%0.0274✗1.672.4M2022-05-15
STXStacksnative0.560.562982+0.53%0.62+10.71%0.0515✓1.10296k2022-05-15
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11980.12044+0.53%0.1299+8.43%0.0300✓1.121.1M2022-05-15
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053370.053655+0.53%0.05678+6.39%0.0162✓0.9925k2022-05-15
NANOnanopayBase1.15951.1657+0.53%1.1867+2.34%0.0334✗1.26161k2022-05-15
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,210.4910,265.56+0.54%10,598.49+3.80%0.0154✗1.162.7M2022-05-15
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4175280.419784+0.54%0.444265+6.40%0.0023✓1.346.1M2022-05-15
KSMKusamaHydration74.374.7084+0.55%80.53+8.38%0.0255✓1.221.2M2022-05-15
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.7112.7801+0.55%13.65+7.40%0.0292✓0.90555k2022-05-15
CBKCobakEthereum1.1411.1473+0.55%1.212+6.22%0.0146✓0.9924k2022-05-15
SUSHISushiEthereum1.311.3173+0.56%1.39+6.11%0.0059✗1.463.6M2022-05-15
COTICOTIEthereum0.11090.111523+0.56%0.122+10.01%0.0263✓1.561.7M2022-05-15
FIDABonfidaSolana0.6210.624507+0.56%0.641+3.22%0.0227✗1.2040k2022-05-15
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.4131.421+0.57%1.507+6.65%0.0004✓1.436.6M2022-05-15
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0119920.01206+0.57%0.012593+5.01%0.0131✓0.74198k2022-05-15
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068470.068868+0.58%0.07163+4.62%0.0031✓1.0419k2022-05-15
XVGVergenative0.004770.004798+0.59%0.0053+11.11%0.0449✓1.34885k2022-05-15
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.026460.026617+0.59%0.02804+5.97%0.0109✓1.0126k2022-05-15
LCXLCXEthereum0.06340.063778+0.60%0.0705+11.20%0.0536✓1.14415k2022-05-15
XECeCashnative0.000042570.000042825+0.60%0.00004308+1.20%0.0500✗1.376.5M2022-05-15
BANDBandEthereum1.7441.7545+0.60%1.808+3.67%0.0283✗1.43500k2022-05-15
SCSiacoinnative0.005120.005151+0.61%0.00572+11.72%0.0456✓1.45403k2022-05-15
MOVRMoonriverBase22.493222.6301+0.61%25.575+13.70%0.0634✓1.45195k2022-05-15
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.183.1994+0.61%3.26+2.52%0.0195✗0.94798k2022-05-15
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08660.087132+0.61%0.0914+5.54%0.0144✗1.533.6M2022-05-15
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.010010.010072+0.62%0.01045+4.40%0.0045✓0.80269k2022-05-15
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01710.017207+0.63%0.0173+1.17%0.0855✗2.2325.3M2022-05-15
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.88.856+0.64%9.16+4.09%0.0171✗1.257.4M2022-05-15
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.831.8417+0.64%1.86+1.64%0.0593✗1.70418k2022-05-15
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.135.1628+0.64%4.99-2.73%0.0694✗0.872.7M2022-05-15
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004710.004741+0.65%0.0057+21.02%0.1352✓1.211.8M2022-05-15
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.64381.6546+0.66%1.6876+2.66%0.0248✗1.092.5M2022-05-15
GITCOINGITCOIN2.4472.4632+0.66%2.469+0.90%0.0671✗1.7123k2022-05-15
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1211.1284+0.66%1.359+21.23%0.1306✓1.3614.9M2022-05-15
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.27590.277736+0.67%0.319+15.62%0.0871✓1.26463k2022-05-15
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14290.14386+0.67%0.1516+6.09%0.0114✗1.576.2M2022-05-15
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24970.251383+0.67%0.2616+4.77%0.0109✗1.25292k2022-05-15
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.73291.7447+0.68%1.8142+4.69%0.0110✗1.239.6M2022-05-15
WOOWOOEthereum0.20080.202182+0.69%0.2124+5.78%0.0069✓1.042,6012022-05-15
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.880.886151+0.70%0.89+1.14%0.0584✗1.54801k2022-05-15
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.572.588+0.70%2.74+6.61%0.0174✓0.98453k2022-05-15
API3Api3Ethereum1.8391.8519+0.70%1.915+4.13%0.0249✗1.442.5M2022-05-15
ORCAOrcaSolana0.90.906379+0.71%1+11.11%0.0604✓0.93137k2022-05-15
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.5982.6166+0.71%2.887+11.12%0.0365✓1.52221k2022-05-15
ASTRAstarEthereum0.07290.073424+0.72%0.074+1.51%0.0345✗1.04115k2022-05-15
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4960.499583+0.72%0.528+6.45%0.0037✓1.45869k2022-05-15
DIADIAEthereum0.376460.379196+0.73%0.40967+8.82%0.0460✓0.7770k2022-05-15
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.231.239+0.73%1.412+14.80%0.0621✓1.69582k2022-05-15
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.12070.121602+0.75%0.1323+9.61%0.0080✓1.88694k2022-05-15
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.531.5417+0.77%1.57+2.61%0.0241✗1.04683k2022-05-15
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.196760.198284+0.77%0.21866+11.13%0.0321✓1.61262k2022-05-15
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.42.4186+0.78%2.54+5.83%0.0063✓1.05548k2022-05-15
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.635.6739+0.78%6.04+7.28%0.0064✓1.38572k2022-05-15
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.48951.5012+0.79%1.5127+1.56%0.0362✗1.084.3M2022-05-15
DYDXdYdXCosmos22.0157+0.79%2.072+3.60%0.0399✗1.6687k2022-05-15
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015660.015784+0.79%0.01781+13.73%0.0928✓0.69400k2022-05-15
MINAMina Protocolnative1.0921.1009+0.81%1.16+6.23%0.0041✓1.39760k2022-05-15
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010130.010214+0.82%0.011+8.59%0.0069✓1.6543.3M2022-05-15
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8570.864233+0.84%0.954+11.32%0.0367✓1.537.6M2022-05-15
SGBSongbirdnative0.02690.027128+0.85%0.0223-17.10%0.2165✗0.50134k2022-05-15
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.5141.527+0.86%1.587+4.82%0.0003✓0.95779k2022-05-15
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11710.118107+0.86%0.1359+16.05%0.1033✓0.9119k2022-05-15
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04720.047608+0.86%0.0557+18.01%0.1097✓1.161.5M2022-05-15
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.351630.354685+0.87%0.41498+18.02%0.0906✓1.63331k2022-05-15
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3330.335908+0.87%0.357+7.21%0.0201✓1.001.1M2022-05-15
CELLCellframeEthereum0.36470.367902+0.88%0.3803+4.28%0.0185✗1.2793k2022-05-15
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana5.085.1251+0.89%5.39+6.10%0.0172✓0.821.3M2022-05-15
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.7811.7968+0.89%1.844+3.54%0.0031✓0.711.9M2022-05-15
DODODODOEthereum0.1580.159404+0.89%0.169+6.96%0.0008✓1.454.4M2022-05-15
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6350.640862+0.92%0.697+9.76%0.0249✓1.4517k2022-05-15
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3050.307826+0.93%0.328+7.54%0.0071✓1.731.8M2022-05-15
RADRadworksEthereum1.891.9082+0.96%2+5.82%0.0054✓1.02381k2022-05-15
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2280.230199+0.96%0.237+3.95%0.0312✗1.484.0M2022-05-15
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07140.072112+1.00%0.0751+5.18%0.0360✗1.88176k2022-05-15
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8271.8461+1.04%2.084+14.07%0.0408✓1.98973k2022-05-15
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001340.001354+1.05%0.00141+5.22%0.0201✗1.493.8M2022-05-15
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003950.003993+1.08%0.00449+13.67%0.0786✓0.9519k2022-05-15
AVTAventusEthereum0.950.960635+1.12%1.08+13.68%0.0850✓0.79201k2022-05-15
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.