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2022-05-11 · +1d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 167 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0229
167 of 167 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+26.11%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
11.4%
in alpha space · 10.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.10%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (167 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 21.060.924895-12.75%0.0087-99.18%4.6630✓3.187.5M2022-05-12
TRXTRONTron0.0741460.073928-0.29%0.066988-9.65%0.0977✓0.82553k2022-05-12
NEXONEXOEthereum1.4061.4088+0.20%1.231-12.45%0.1339✗1.005.3M2022-05-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.255.2611+0.21%5.13-2.29%0.0249✗0.27284k2022-05-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.0011.0032+0.22%0.807-19.38%0.2164✗1.10574k2022-05-12
ETHEthereumEthereum2,075.932,083.42+0.36%1,954.39-5.85%0.0628✗1.03464.2M2022-05-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin28,972.3429,078.41+0.37%28,941.95-0.10%0.0037✗1.00634.5M2022-05-12
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.0780.078327+0.42%0.0653-16.28%0.1809✗1.004.2M2022-05-12
GTGateEthereum4.97854.9995+0.42%5.3674+7.81%0.0716✓0.544.7M2022-05-12
GMTGMTEthereum1.3171.3227+0.43%1.161-11.85%0.1293✗1.009.7M2022-05-12
FTTFTXEthereum29.9430.0765+0.46%29.67-0.90%0.0126✗0.9612.7M2022-05-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.09240.092843+0.48%0.0863-6.60%0.0722✗0.85169k2022-05-12
XYMSymbolnative0.06810.068443+0.50%0.0664-2.50%0.0295✗0.74619k2022-05-12
QNTQuantEthereum64.164.4347+0.52%73.37+14.46%0.1310✓1.043.5M2022-05-12
QTUMQtumQtum4.00984.0308+0.52%3.628-9.52%0.1040✗1.21134k2022-05-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.45250.454924+0.54%0.4222-6.70%0.0734✗1.1912.6M2022-05-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum28,313.9028,469.39+0.55%29,197.00+3.12%0.0263✓0.9840k2022-05-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0847740.08525+0.56%0.082269-2.96%0.0344✗1.117.1M2022-05-12
XLMStellarStellar0.1257370.126449+0.57%0.120434-4.22%0.0476✗1.0613.8M2022-05-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.411.4181+0.58%1.35-4.26%0.0481✗1.08134k2022-05-12
KCSKuCoinnative11.3911.4563+0.58%10.951-3.85%0.0441✗0.924.1M2022-05-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.8972.9139+0.58%2.683-7.39%0.0815✗1.0481k2022-05-12
PROPropyEthereum1.071.0764+0.60%0.88-17.76%0.2007✗0.70528k2022-05-12
BTTCBTTC0.000001210.000001217+0.60%0.00000104-14.05%0.1566✗0.797.7M2022-05-12
STEEMSteemnative0.19560.196777+0.60%0.1771-9.46%0.1043✗1.002.4M2022-05-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.30650.308345+0.60%0.2835-7.50%0.0835✗0.48514k2022-05-12
UNIUniswapEthereum4.894.9195+0.60%4.65-4.91%0.0551✗1.204.1M2022-05-12
XMRMoneroMonero140.01140.8898+0.63%137.43-1.84%0.0238✗1.033.0M2022-05-12
SGBSongbirdnative0.03920.039452+0.64%0.0294-25.00%0.2935✗0.53138k2022-05-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.2614.3519+0.64%14.06-1.40%0.0192✗1.32766k2022-05-12
BRISEBitgertEthereum5.80e-75.84e-7+0.66%4.63e-7-20.13%0.2307✗0.531.4M2022-05-12
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.70251.7138+0.66%1.6077-5.57%0.0632✗0.6316k2022-05-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin66.3166.7509+0.66%64.26-3.09%0.0368✗1.1517.5M2022-05-12
XTZTezosTezos1.77761.7896+0.68%1.6845-5.24%0.0592✗1.24866k2022-05-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.853.1582+0.68%49.62-6.02%0.0679✗0.962.0M2022-05-12
CTKShentuOsmosis0.80.805429+0.68%0.8+0.00%0.0056✓1.113.3M2022-05-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum19.219.3315+0.68%19.31+0.57%0.0004✓1.413.8M2022-05-12
ADACardanoCardano0.51610.519636+0.69%0.4724-8.47%0.0940✗1.2842.0M2022-05-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.936.9776+0.69%6.56-5.34%0.0603✗1.3119.6M2022-05-12
XEMNEMnative0.0490.049346+0.71%0.0411-16.12%0.1816✗1.2184k2022-05-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,348.9911,429.27+0.71%9,878.00-12.96%0.1446✗1.172.6M2022-05-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.059.1152+0.72%8.68-4.09%0.0476✗1.2711.8M2022-05-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.51452.5327+0.73%2.3863-5.10%0.0583✗1.24188k2022-05-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum13.8513.9515+0.73%11.58-16.39%0.1854✗0.90483k2022-05-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash193.96195.3852+0.73%193.69-0.14%0.0075✗1.135.2M2022-05-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative19.9120.0563+0.74%18.89-5.12%0.0586✗1.254.4M2022-05-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1750.176296+0.74%0.1695-3.14%0.0378✗1.45634k2022-05-12
GLMGolemEthereum0.21330.214903+0.75%0.2085-2.25%0.0288✗1.35184k2022-05-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum9.919.9847+0.75%8.25-16.75%0.1893✗1.46134k2022-05-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.5021.5134+0.76%1.304-13.18%0.1474✗1.445.3M2022-05-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.489.553+0.77%8.59-9.39%0.1046✗1.574.5M2022-05-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03140.03165+0.80%0.0302-3.82%0.0455✗1.36179k2022-05-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.7510.8363+0.80%9.62-10.51%0.1177✗1.3419.8M2022-05-12
SUSHISushiEthereum1.321.3306+0.80%1.13-14.39%0.1619✗1.474.1M2022-05-12
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.042950.043298+0.81%0.03867-9.97%0.1121✗0.959,2282022-05-12
ZENHorizenBase19.6419.7999+0.81%19.04-3.05%0.0375✗1.53173k2022-05-12
COMPCompoundEthereum70.9771.5508+0.82%60.88-14.22%0.1601✗1.3638k2022-05-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.463.4884+0.82%3.26-5.78%0.0670✗0.72788k2022-05-12
DASHDashDash58.0658.5401+0.83%53.75-7.42%0.0841✗1.181.0M2022-05-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29740.299896+0.84%0.2948-0.87%0.0158✗1.238.5M2022-05-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.352.3698+0.84%2.15-8.51%0.0955✗1.74357k2022-05-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.0091720.009249+0.84%0.007887-14.01%0.1582✗1.0336k2022-05-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.59630.601345+0.85%0.5935-0.47%0.0117✗1.406.1M2022-05-12
UMAUMAEthereum2.8472.8713+0.85%2.483-12.79%0.1435✗1.662.2M2022-05-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.010580.01067+0.85%0.012+13.42%0.1185✓1.023.2M2022-05-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11570.116688+0.85%0.1008-12.88%0.1452✗1.111.1M2022-05-12
SOLSolanaSolana50.8251.2555+0.86%44.65-12.14%0.1365✗1.3987.4M2022-05-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02090.02108+0.86%0.02133+2.06%0.0129✓1.04227k2022-05-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0120560.01216+0.86%0.010713-11.14%0.1259✗0.76198k2022-05-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.049180.049605+0.86%0.04348-11.59%0.1308✗0.9726k2022-05-12
UOSUltraEthereum0.378340.381611+0.86%0.32972-12.85%0.1446✗1.501.4M2022-05-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009360.009441+0.87%0.00786-16.03%0.1821✗1.091.0M2022-05-12
STXStacksnative0.580.585032+0.87%0.5-13.79%0.1559✗1.10260k2022-05-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.11380.114788+0.87%0.0997-12.39%0.1393✗1.561.8M2022-05-12
AAVEAaveEthereum82.2883+0.88%76.75-6.72%0.0767✗1.498.6M2022-05-12
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4150.418633+0.88%0.3939-5.08%0.0594✗1.47299k2022-05-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0141560.01428+0.88%0.01502+6.10%0.0517✓1.114.3M2022-05-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.1070.10794+0.88%0.0968-9.53%0.1075✗1.351.2M2022-05-12
CBKCobakEthereum1.0681.0774+0.88%0.949-11.14%0.1259✗0.9725k2022-05-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011950.000012056+0.89%0.00001081-9.54%0.1077✗1.311.3M2022-05-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033190.033485+0.89%0.03169-4.52%0.0537✗1.3494k2022-05-12
BANDBandEthereum1.8091.8251+0.89%1.514-16.31%0.1854✗1.41537k2022-05-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.4972.5193+0.89%2.486-0.44%0.0116✗1.677.7M2022-05-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche31.131.3794+0.90%30.19-2.93%0.0371✗1.4545.0M2022-05-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017720.017879+0.90%0.01505-15.07%0.1716✗0.67400k2022-05-12
STORJStorjEthereum0.497160.501635+0.90%0.44316-10.86%0.1225✗1.4193k2022-05-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.38620.389681+0.90%0.334376-13.42%0.1517✗1.326.1M2022-05-12
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11880.11988+0.91%0.107-9.93%0.1120✗1.61108k2022-05-12
HIVEHivenative0.47720.481543+0.91%0.4037-15.40%0.1750✗1.221.5M2022-05-12
MANADecentralandEthereum0.765610.772619+0.92%0.70895-7.40%0.0845✗1.44805k2022-05-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08330.084065+0.92%0.0773-7.20%0.0823✗1.513.7M2022-05-12
ZECZcashZcash83.0983.8532+0.92%86.4+3.98%0.0312✓1.245.1M2022-05-12
ORCAOrcaSolana0.910.918365+0.92%0.82-9.89%0.1123✗0.93142k2022-05-12
KSMKusamaHydration72.9273.5909+0.92%68.74-5.73%0.0669✗1.231.1M2022-05-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068180.068812+0.93%0.05891-13.60%0.1543✗1.0418k2022-05-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.427.4892+0.93%7.22-2.70%0.0351✗1.418.0M2022-05-12
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5740.579418+0.94%0.537-6.45%0.0748✗1.2050k2022-05-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004570.004614+0.96%0.00359-21.44%0.2497✗1.181.7M2022-05-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.373340.376927+0.96%0.36057-3.42%0.0430✗1.26151k2022-05-12
LSKLiskEthereum1.01891.0287+0.96%0.989391-2.89%0.0379✗1.0496k2022-05-12
NANOnanopayBase1.08021.0907+0.97%0.997494-7.66%0.0880✗1.25161k2022-05-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.588.6644+0.98%8.1-5.59%0.0660✗1.267.4M2022-05-12
BORABORAKlay Token0.307170.310287+1.01%0.28864-6.03%0.0707✗1.5642k2022-05-12
XVGVergenative0.004360.004404+1.02%0.00413-5.28%0.0629✗1.34885k2022-05-12
MOVRMoonriverBase21.439221.6576+1.02%21.3123-0.59%0.0145✗1.46195k2022-05-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.741.7578+1.02%1.59-8.62%0.0985✗1.69371k2022-05-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana2.862.8892+1.02%2.6-9.09%0.1045✗0.93829k2022-05-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.024130.024378+1.03%0.02176-9.82%0.1126✗0.9930k2022-05-12
GITCOINGITCOIN2.3392.3631+1.03%2.172-7.14%0.0825✗1.7022k2022-05-12
APEApeCoinEthereum5.7155.7744+1.04%7.785+36.22%0.3015✓2.6179.5M2022-05-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4710.475942+1.05%0.405-14.01%0.1599✗1.45869k2022-05-12
DIADIAEthereum0.350.353674+1.05%0.32121-8.23%0.0955✗0.7670k2022-05-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.820.828711+1.06%0.72-12.20%0.1390✗1.52892k2022-05-12
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.4962.5226+1.07%2.184-12.50%0.1426✗1.51197k2022-05-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.620.626673+1.08%0.579-6.61%0.0776✗1.46344k2022-05-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1190.120287+1.08%0.108-9.24%0.1068✗0.9019k2022-05-12
WOOWOOEthereum0.18850.190546+1.09%0.1765-6.37%0.0755✗1.022,9402022-05-12
XVSVenusEthereum3.683.72+1.09%3.62-1.63%0.0257✗1.422.9M2022-05-12
CELLCellframeEthereum0.39390.398187+1.09%0.3429-12.95%0.1481✗1.2997k2022-05-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.1430.144574+1.10%0.1302-8.95%0.1033✗1.38372k2022-05-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.6232.6519+1.10%2.677+2.06%0.0105✓1.001.4M2022-05-12
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07820.079061+1.10%0.0648-17.14%0.1969✗1.89216k2022-05-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.0560.056621+1.11%0.052-7.14%0.0840✗1.12416k2022-05-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009730.009839+1.12%0.0108+11.00%0.0940✓0.81238k2022-05-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.2231.2367+1.12%1.133-7.36%0.0858✗1.69582k2022-05-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.190.192142+1.13%0.17236-9.28%0.1070✗1.61250k2022-05-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.274.3184+1.13%4.09-4.22%0.0534✗0.852.8M2022-05-12
GALAGALAEthereum0.0650.065736+1.13%0.0682+4.92%0.0385✓1.65204k2022-05-12
SCSiacoinnative0.004350.004399+1.14%0.00425-2.30%0.0331✗1.43403k2022-05-12
DODODODOEthereum0.1660.16789+1.14%0.135-18.67%0.2165✗1.454.7M2022-05-12
API3Api3Ethereum1.6371.6557+1.15%1.457-11.00%0.1264✗1.422.6M2022-05-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12570.127142+1.15%0.1345+7.00%0.0579✓1.586.2M2022-05-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.44861.4652+1.15%1.2954-10.58%0.1220✗1.1810.0M2022-05-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.0011.0125+1.15%0.896-10.49%0.1208✗1.3317.4M2022-05-12
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8560.865852+1.15%0.775-9.46%0.1092✗1.548.3M2022-05-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0140.014163+1.16%0.0163+16.43%0.1429✓2.2523.0M2022-05-12
XECeCashnative0.00003640.000036824+1.16%0.00003173-12.83%0.1475✗1.366.7M2022-05-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22580.228432+1.17%0.2135-5.45%0.0663✗1.24486k2022-05-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.282.3068+1.17%2.16-5.26%0.0647✗1.04557k2022-05-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22190.224513+1.18%0.1911-13.88%0.1599✗1.20316k2022-05-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.3651.3811+1.18%1.264-7.40%0.0875✗1.02748k2022-05-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.15170.153495+1.18%0.1337-11.87%0.1365✗1.506.8M2022-05-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.4281.445+1.19%1.23-13.87%0.1601✗0.93858k2022-05-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009480.009593+1.19%0.00889-6.22%0.0743✗1.6545.0M2022-05-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.4860.491785+1.19%0.381-21.60%0.2537✗1.491.7M2022-05-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.834.8876+1.19%4.63-4.14%0.0527✗1.35666k2022-05-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.252.2772+1.21%2.19-2.67%0.0380✗0.96429k2022-05-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.10560.106899+1.23%0.0785-25.66%0.3069✗1.82787k2022-05-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0570.057702+1.23%0.065+14.04%0.1202✓1.03115k2022-05-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.310.313829+1.24%0.28999-6.45%0.0773✗1.61383k2022-05-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7851.8073+1.25%1.729-3.14%0.0425✗1.6584k2022-05-12
RADRadworksEthereum1.841.8631+1.26%1.67-9.24%0.1084✗1.01392k2022-05-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3180.322012+1.26%0.309-2.83%0.0402✗1.011.1M2022-05-12
AVTAventusEthereum1.051.0633+1.27%0.73-30.48%0.3753✗0.75221k2022-05-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04120.041726+1.28%0.0389-5.58%0.0689✗1.151.9M2022-05-12
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.540.546919+1.28%0.583+7.96%0.0654✓1.4528k2022-05-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.2990.30284+1.28%0.243-18.73%0.2183✗1.721.7M2022-05-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.5871.6076+1.30%1.421-10.46%0.1226✗0.701.9M2022-05-12
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.82191.8456+1.30%1.4271-21.67%0.2555✗1.578.0M2022-05-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana4.614.6699+1.30%4.29-6.94%0.0840✗0.801.2M2022-05-12
MINAMina Protocolnative0.991.0029+1.30%0.95-4.04%0.0527✗1.38755k2022-05-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.18291.199+1.36%1.0557-10.75%0.1262✗1.052.5M2022-05-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.1771.1933+1.38%1.057-10.20%0.1202✗1.044.3M2022-05-12
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003670.003722+1.41%0.00359-2.18%0.0350✗0.9320k2022-05-12
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.6531.6764+1.42%1.548-6.35%0.0776✗1.961.0M2022-05-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001250.001268+1.43%0.00121-3.20%0.0452✗1.493.9M2022-05-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1970.19984+1.44%0.189-4.06%0.0542✗1.474.1M2022-05-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.