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2022-05-09 · +1d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 167 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0745
167 of 167 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-4.80%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
45.5%
in alpha space · 78.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.07%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (167 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 230.3530.7624+1.36%17.41-42.64%0.6283✗1.957.1M2022-05-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.005430.005489+1.08%0.00536-1.29%0.0469✗0.7720k2022-05-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.05322.0739+1.01%2.0156-1.83%0.0531✗0.814.8M2022-05-10
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.870.878281+0.95%0.834-4.14%0.0902✗1.2732k2022-05-10
MINAMina Protocolnative1.351.3627+0.94%1.43+5.93%0.0110✓1.23755k2022-05-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.686.7428+0.94%6.72+0.60%0.0225✗0.631.2M2022-05-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.29680.29959+0.94%0.3033+2.19%0.0220✗1.13486k2022-05-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.16340.164934+0.94%0.1674+2.45%0.0306✗1.506.0M2022-05-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.7650.772165+0.94%0.815+6.54%0.0126✓1.37327k2022-05-10
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.5972.6212+0.93%2.599+0.08%0.0599✗1.701.2M2022-05-10
MOVRMoonriverBase27.460527.7136+0.92%28.3525+3.25%0.0191✗1.39188k2022-05-10
CELLCellframeEthereum0.50360.508228+0.92%0.4989-0.93%0.0559✗1.2395k2022-05-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2720.274479+0.91%0.296+8.82%0.0365✓1.294.2M2022-05-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.29460.297223+0.89%0.3042+3.26%0.0092✗1.07305k2022-05-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.152.1689+0.88%2.1091-1.90%0.0524✗0.812.5M2022-05-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.816.8686+0.86%6.87+0.88%0.0187✗0.632.8M2022-05-10
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1431.1528+0.86%1.192+4.29%0.0096✗1.428.2M2022-05-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.013280.013394+0.86%0.01125-15.29%0.1990✗0.81222k2022-05-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.50.504279+0.86%0.52+4.00%0.0114✗1.39398k2022-05-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.05532.0728+0.85%1.9892-3.22%0.0738✗1.0810.0M2022-05-10
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.71.7145+0.85%1.721+1.24%0.0440✗1.58582k2022-05-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.280.282363+0.84%0.3+7.14%0.0174✓1.43250k2022-05-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.17020.171627+0.84%0.177+4.00%0.0183✗1.621.1M2022-05-10
API3Api3Ethereum2.312.3293+0.84%2.368+2.51%0.0216✗1.262.6M2022-05-10
STXStacksnative0.650.655432+0.84%0.68+4.62%0.0049✓1.05260k2022-05-10
XVSVenusEthereum5.155.1928+0.83%5.35+3.88%0.0088✗1.282.8M2022-05-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.4790.482947+0.82%0.505+5.43%0.0007✓1.501.6M2022-05-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.002340.002359+0.82%0.00228-2.56%0.0719✗1.253.9M2022-05-10
UOSUltraEthereum0.4420.445582+0.81%0.47323+7.07%0.0168✓1.431.3M2022-05-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.4690.472777+0.81%0.476+1.49%0.0184✗0.831.1M2022-05-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.6392.6602+0.80%2.455-6.97%0.0963✗0.532.2M2022-05-10
ZECZcashZcash92.6893.422+0.80%93.08+0.43%0.0408✗1.235.1M2022-05-10
DODODODOEthereum0.2250.226792+0.80%0.238+5.78%0.0085✓1.314.7M2022-05-10
SCSiacoinnative0.005930.005977+0.79%0.00617+4.05%0.0077✓1.30373k2022-05-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.7260.731714+0.79%0.749+3.17%0.0165✗1.321.7M2022-05-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.8342.8563+0.79%2.733-3.56%0.0900✗1.5179k2022-05-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.440850.444308+0.78%0.46724+5.99%0.0146✓1.18141k2022-05-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.11.1086+0.78%1.15+4.55%0.0057✓1.40842k2022-05-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.33.3256+0.78%3.46+4.85%0.0137✓0.86565k2022-05-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin10.9911.0748+0.77%11.36+3.37%0.0095✗1.156.6M2022-05-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084630.085281+0.77%0.09764+15.37%0.1094✓0.8618k2022-05-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.18810.189544+0.77%0.1882+0.05%0.0462✗1.29372k2022-05-10
GALAGALAEthereum0.1030.103785+0.76%0.1079+4.76%0.0034✓1.40192k2022-05-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013950.000014056+0.76%0.00001614+15.70%0.1026✓1.181.2M2022-05-10
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum3.5493.5758+0.75%3.791+6.82%0.0192✓1.30186k2022-05-10
XECeCashnative0.000053370.000053767+0.74%0.00005842+9.46%0.0484✓1.146.7M2022-05-10
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.020410.020561+0.74%0.02137+4.70%0.0209✓0.58405k2022-05-10
WOOWOOEthereum0.2640.265942+0.74%0.28+6.06%0.0277✓0.792,9402022-05-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.010580.010656+0.72%0.01152+8.88%0.0474✓1.011.0M2022-05-10
GITCOINGITCOIN3.3483.3721+0.72%3.4+1.55%0.0397✗1.5819k2022-05-10
FIDABonfidaSolana0.7740.779559+0.72%0.776+0.26%0.0393✗1.1546k2022-05-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.773.7969+0.71%3.96+5.04%0.0221✓0.66804k2022-05-10
BORABORAKlay Token0.414340.41728+0.71%0.42175+1.79%0.0295✗1.3347k2022-05-10
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14360.144618+0.71%0.155+7.94%0.0254✓1.45108k2022-05-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3441.3534+0.70%1.381+2.75%0.0166✗1.2117.4M2022-05-10
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.11630.117113+0.70%0.1115-4.13%0.1017✗1.74232k2022-05-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.074.0984+0.70%4.06-0.25%0.0333✗0.79835k2022-05-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.4912.5773+0.70%13.57+8.65%0.0381✓1.2519.4M2022-05-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02530.025476+0.69%0.027+6.72%0.0021✓1.9922.0M2022-05-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.030420.03063+0.69%0.03109+2.20%0.0122✗0.9031k2022-05-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0182420.018368+0.69%0.019116+4.79%0.0093✓1.014.2M2022-05-10
LSKLiskEthereum1.3571.3664+0.69%1.3128-3.26%0.0693✗0.9784k2022-05-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.19260.193922+0.69%0.2054+6.65%0.0145✓1.42634k2022-05-10
STORJStorjEthereum0.624220.628502+0.69%0.65439+4.83%0.0005✓1.3288k2022-05-10
MANADecentralandEthereum1.06011.0673+0.69%1.1134+5.03%0.0033✓1.28760k2022-05-10
XVGVergenative0.006110.006152+0.69%0.0063+3.11%0.0122✗1.19885k2022-05-10
BANDBandEthereum2.2032.2181+0.69%2.243+1.82%0.0299✗1.36504k2022-05-10
HIVEHivenative0.57750.581452+0.68%0.5969+3.36%0.0084✗1.141.5M2022-05-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.1330.133905+0.68%0.1421+6.84%0.0216✓1.251.2M2022-05-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.937.9835+0.67%7.89-0.50%0.0463✗1.14666k2022-05-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche41.2141.488+0.67%44.54+8.08%0.0319✓1.2944.2M2022-05-10
AAVEAaveEthereum99.45100.1169+0.67%105.24+5.82%0.0072✓1.418.3M2022-05-10
DIADIAEthereum0.530.533545+0.67%0.51-3.77%0.0635✗0.6170k2022-05-10
NANOnanopayBase1.36871.3778+0.67%1.3852+1.20%0.0300✗1.17153k2022-05-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.242.2548+0.66%2.218-0.98%0.0389✗0.74975k2022-05-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.010480.010549+0.66%0.010912+4.12%0.0045✓0.9738k2022-05-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.2032.2175+0.66%2.134-3.13%0.0635✗0.83763k2022-05-10
SOLSolanaSolana62.1362.5373+0.66%66.86+7.61%0.0279✓1.2985.8M2022-05-10
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.42883.4512+0.65%3.3422-2.53%0.0707✗1.287.7M2022-05-10
APEApeCoinEthereum8.0088.0601+0.65%9.03+12.76%0.0456✓2.2576.4M2022-05-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.0770.077501+0.65%0.0823+6.88%0.0314✓0.95416k2022-05-10
KSMKusamaHydration94.2694.8706+0.65%93.03-1.30%0.0546✗1.161.1M2022-05-10
CBKCobakEthereum1.3471.3557+0.65%1.391+3.27%0.0005✓0.8624k2022-05-10
ORCAOrcaSolana1.211.2177+0.64%1.27+4.96%0.0182✓0.79151k2022-05-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum9.919.9725+0.63%10.57+6.66%0.0200✓1.268.0M2022-05-10
AVTAventusEthereum1.691.7007+0.63%1.54-8.88%0.1174✗0.60242k2022-05-10
DASHDashDash69.8970.3307+0.63%73.33+4.92%0.0087✓1.091.0M2022-05-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.013330.013413+0.62%0.01344+0.83%0.0264✗0.942.9M2022-05-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum12,496.7112,574.10+0.62%13,692.55+9.57%0.0518✓1.102.5M2022-05-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03820.038435+0.62%0.041+7.33%0.0276✓1.22179k2022-05-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.38940.391796+0.62%0.3911+0.44%0.0366✗1.158.1M2022-05-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.14420.14508+0.61%0.1558+8.04%0.0275✓1.451.8M2022-05-10
COMPCompoundEthereum80.6481.1324+0.61%88.81+10.13%0.0518✓1.2831k2022-05-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot10.6410.7049+0.61%11.35+6.67%0.0224✓1.1911.7M2022-05-10
RADRadworksEthereum2.952.9679+0.61%2.73-7.46%0.1099✗0.87443k2022-05-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.2393.2586+0.61%3.279+1.23%0.0425✗1.617.1M2022-05-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash217.92219.2397+0.61%231.66+6.31%0.0229✓1.074.9M2022-05-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.043460.043722+0.60%0.04628+6.49%0.0205✓1.2070k2022-05-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.006520.006559+0.60%0.00602-7.67%0.1197✗1.121.7M2022-05-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.10440.105026+0.60%0.114+9.20%0.0403✓1.383.7M2022-05-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1440.144859+0.60%0.1534+6.53%0.0271✓1.001.1M2022-05-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.89952.9166+0.59%3.0969+6.81%0.0247✓1.17177k2022-05-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06490.065283+0.59%0.0622-4.16%0.0784✗0.992.0M2022-05-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.062530.062898+0.59%0.06288+0.56%0.0272✗0.8926k2022-05-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum1616.0939+0.59%15.88-0.75%0.0397✗0.87468k2022-05-10
ZENHorizenBase24.424.5411+0.58%25.41+4.14%0.0091✗1.45173k2022-05-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.23890.24028+0.58%0.2458+2.89%0.0165✗1.306.5M2022-05-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0140040.014085+0.57%0.014768+5.46%0.0267✓0.69195k2022-05-10
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8550.859881+0.57%0.909+6.32%0.0229✓1.083.2M2022-05-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.713.7311+0.57%3.62-2.43%0.0531✗0.76470k2022-05-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0794.102+0.56%4.129+1.23%0.0178✗0.801.5M2022-05-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.18.1454+0.56%8.58+5.93%0.0143✓1.2518.3M2022-05-10
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.33470.336566+0.56%0.3361+0.42%0.0153✗0.46514k2022-05-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative22.7522.8756+0.55%23.89+5.01%0.0072✓1.204.4M2022-05-10
GLMGolemEthereum0.26470.266158+0.55%0.2734+3.29%0.0094✗1.20186k2022-05-10
SUSHISushiEthereum1.731.7395+0.55%1.79+3.47%0.0129✗1.373.6M2022-05-10
XTZTezosTezos2.00882.0196+0.54%2.1141+5.24%0.0095✓1.20855k2022-05-10
XEMNEMnative0.0580.058309+0.53%0.0608+4.83%0.0073✓1.1469k2022-05-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.2260.5334+0.52%63.26+5.05%0.0171✓0.892.0M2022-05-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin76.1976.5852+0.52%80.12+5.16%0.0121✓1.0917.3M2022-05-10
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.47e-76.51e-7+0.51%8.18e-7+26.30%0.2199✓0.28855k2022-05-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.030610.030765+0.51%0.02942-3.89%0.0724✗0.92227k2022-05-10
LRCLoopringEthereum0.5450.547765+0.51%0.5668+4.00%0.0070✗1.36296k2022-05-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.333.3469+0.51%3.41+2.40%0.0303✗1.62339k2022-05-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.01450.014573+0.50%0.01471+1.45%0.0355✗1.4845.5M2022-05-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.05180.052058+0.50%0.0533+2.90%0.0028✓0.8710k2022-05-10
ADACardanoCardano0.60180.604772+0.49%0.6283+4.40%0.0012✓1.2241.1M2022-05-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.7480.75169+0.49%0.757+1.20%0.0320✗1.29954k2022-05-10
FTTFTXEthereum30.1530.2983+0.49%33.08+9.72%0.0597✓0.9311.7M2022-05-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum24.8124.9305+0.49%24.28-2.14%0.0677✗1.363.8M2022-05-10
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1010.10149+0.49%0.107+5.94%0.0311✓0.72124k2022-05-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.561.5673+0.47%1.62+3.85%0.0013✓1.05134k2022-05-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.72360.726975+0.47%0.7603+5.07%0.0050✓1.326.1M2022-05-10
QNTQuantEthereum69.8170.1264+0.45%72.39+3.70%0.0008✓1.023.4M2022-05-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum2.772.7825+0.45%2.84+2.53%0.0249✗1.50355k2022-05-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum12.612.6565+0.45%14.4+14.29%0.0900✓1.29134k2022-05-10
XLMStellarStellar0.1406120.141235+0.44%0.148397+5.54%0.0190✓1.0113.6M2022-05-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum30,239.2030,372.55+0.44%31,038.90+2.64%0.0075✗0.9738k2022-05-10
UMAUMAEthereum4.1284.146+0.44%4.194+1.60%0.0345✗1.521.8M2022-05-10
XYMSymbolnative0.07460.074909+0.41%0.0813+8.98%0.0621✓0.65619k2022-05-10
UNIUniswapEthereum5.955.974+0.40%6.07+2.02%0.0186✗1.144.1M2022-05-10
KCSKuCoinnative13.60813.6602+0.38%13.919+2.29%0.0070✗0.854.0M2022-05-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5006490.502543+0.38%0.506855+1.24%0.0286✗1.235.6M2022-05-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.10290.103286+0.38%0.1022-0.68%0.0360✗0.84152k2022-05-10
QTUMQtumQtum4.42474.4409+0.37%4.7521+7.40%0.0330✓1.15120k2022-05-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum17.4517.5132+0.36%17.68+1.32%0.0289✗1.27608k2022-05-10
XMRMoneroMonero173.09173.7057+0.36%163.04-5.81%0.0940✗1.013.0M2022-05-10
BTTCBTTC0.000001430.000001435+0.35%0.00000145+1.40%0.0118✗0.737.7M2022-05-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.5153.5274+0.35%3.506-0.26%0.0360✗0.9973k2022-05-10
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.00892.0157+0.34%1.9375-3.55%0.0583✗0.6216k2022-05-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.9121.9185+0.34%1.977+3.40%0.0110✗1.365.1M2022-05-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1970.19766+0.33%0.192-2.54%0.0497✗0.6821k2022-05-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin30,078.2730,178.53+0.33%31,002.39+3.07%0.0033✗1.00580.1M2022-05-10
GMTGMTEthereum1.7691.7746+0.32%1.8+1.75%0.0161✗1.008.8M2022-05-10
SGBSongbirdnative0.0490.049151+0.31%0.0483-1.43%0.0306✗0.43137k2022-05-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1017730.102058+0.28%0.107915+6.04%0.0252✓1.017.1M2022-05-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.0111.0137+0.27%1.043+3.17%0.0058✗1.13547k2022-05-10
STEEMSteemnative0.30150.302275+0.26%0.2929-2.85%0.0618✗1.002.9M2022-05-10
ETHEthereumEthereum2,228.502,234.14+0.25%2,340.51+5.03%0.0160✓1.01437.0M2022-05-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.23645.2483+0.23%5.4245+3.59%0.0252✓0.26278k2022-05-10
GTGateEthereum5.68145.694+0.22%5.8348+2.70%0.0101✓0.474.5M2022-05-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.7213.7491+0.21%14.13+2.99%0.0159✗1.432.8M2022-05-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.57380.574966+0.20%0.5848+1.92%0.0164✗1.1012.4M2022-05-10
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.12130.121532+0.19%0.1281+5.61%0.0224✓1.003.9M2022-05-10
NEXONEXOEthereum1.6781.6794+0.08%1.738+3.58%0.0041✓1.005.3M2022-05-10
PROPropyEthereum1.531.5288-0.08%1.41-7.84%0.0991✓0.60528k2022-05-10
TRXTRONTron0.0725870.072475-0.15%0.077055+6.16%0.0363✗0.82402k2022-05-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.