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2022-05-09 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2384
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-59.61%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
31.9%
in alpha space · 33.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.33%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.57380.553176-3.59%0.4164-27.43%0.2876✓1.1012.4M2022-06-08
XYMSymbolnative0.07460.072108-3.34%0.056825-23.83%0.2403✓0.65619k2022-06-08
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.12130.117804-2.88%0.06599-45.60%0.5828✓1.003.9M2022-06-08
GMTGMTEthereum1.7691.7184-2.86%0.968-45.28%0.5772✓1.008.8M2022-06-08
PROPropyEthereum1.531.4912-2.53%1.01-33.99%0.3916✓0.60528k2022-06-08
NEXONEXOEthereum1.6781.6386-2.35%1.208-28.01%0.3081✓1.005.3M2022-06-08
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.00891.9679-2.04%1.4694-26.85%0.2941✓0.6216k2022-06-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.17020.167526-1.57%0.1025-39.78%0.4966✓1.621.1M2022-06-08
GTGateEthereum5.68145.6021-1.39%5.5231-2.79%0.0158✓0.474.5M2022-06-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.013280.013111-1.27%0.00849-36.07%0.4372✓0.81222k2022-06-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.2259.6021-1.03%56.869-5.56%0.0499✓0.892.0M2022-06-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.7213.5953-0.91%11.38-17.06%0.1825✓1.432.8M2022-06-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.0770.076398-0.78%0.0686-10.91%0.1108✓0.95416k2022-06-08
UNIUniswapEthereum5.955.9039-0.77%5.077-14.67%0.1546✓1.144.1M2022-06-08
APEApeCoinEthereum8.0087.9595-0.61%5.7-28.82%0.3413✓2.2576.4M2022-06-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum17.4517.3583-0.53%12.31-29.46%0.3478✓1.27608k2022-06-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.9121.9028-0.48%1.158-39.44%0.5011✓1.365.1M2022-06-08
STEEMSteemnative0.30150.300177-0.44%0.2544-15.62%0.1687✓1.002.9M2022-06-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.33470.333305-0.42%0.1592-52.44%0.7404✓0.46514k2022-06-08
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.47e-76.45e-7-0.29%5.27e-7-18.61%0.2039✓0.28855k2022-06-08
QTUMQtumQtum4.42474.4178-0.16%3.9293-11.20%0.1209✓1.15120k2022-06-08
BTTCBTTC0.000001430.000001428-0.14%0.00000106-25.87%0.3004✓0.737.7M2022-06-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3441.3429-0.08%1.69+25.74%0.2259✗1.2117.4M2022-06-08
ETHEthereumEthereum2,228.502,227.41-0.05%1,790.72-19.64%0.2215✓1.01437.0M2022-06-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5006490.500455-0.04%0.397631-20.58%0.2340✓1.235.6M2022-06-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.05532.0578+0.12%1.8734-8.85%0.0974✗1.0810.0M2022-06-08
UMAUMAEthereum4.1284.1368+0.21%2.966-28.15%0.3377✗1.521.8M2022-06-08
XMRMoneroMonero173.09173.5116+0.24%186.67+7.85%0.0698✓1.013.0M2022-06-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.01450.014541+0.28%0.01184-18.34%0.2103✗1.4845.5M2022-06-08
ZENHorizenBase24.424.4698+0.29%19.35-20.70%0.2395✗1.45173k2022-06-08
BORABORAKlay Token0.414340.416243+0.46%0.40101-3.22%0.0416✗1.3347k2022-06-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.23890.240126+0.51%0.149-37.63%0.4815✗1.306.5M2022-06-08
AVTAventusEthereum1.691.6987+0.51%1.88+11.24%0.0995✓0.60242k2022-06-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.10290.103527+0.61%0.0897-12.83%0.1461✗0.84152k2022-06-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1010.101623+0.62%0.0591-41.49%0.5444✗0.72124k2022-06-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.2393.2625+0.73%2.636-18.62%0.2185✗1.617.1M2022-06-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin30,078.2730,313.65+0.78%30,177.00+0.33%0.0078✗1.00580.1M2022-06-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.010480.010564+0.80%0.00992-5.34%0.0661✗0.9738k2022-06-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum12,496.7112,609.44+0.90%7,431.85-40.53%0.5323✗1.102.5M2022-06-08
TRXTRONTron0.0725870.073293+0.97%0.080519+10.93%0.0913✓0.82402k2022-06-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum2.772.7984+1.02%1.82-34.30%0.4351✗1.50355k2022-06-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.030420.030738+1.04%0.027978-8.03%0.0970✗0.9031k2022-06-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.71.718+1.06%1.26-25.88%0.3152✗1.58582k2022-06-08
GALAGALAEthereum0.1030.104102+1.07%0.0749-27.28%0.3338✗1.40192k2022-06-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.006520.006592+1.11%0.0043-34.05%0.4310✗1.121.7M2022-06-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.0111.0227+1.16%0.816-19.29%0.2295✗1.13547k2022-06-08
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.05180.052408+1.17%0.05271+1.76%0.0029✓0.8710k2022-06-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0794.1303+1.26%3.68-9.78%0.1181✗0.801.5M2022-06-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.561.5814+1.37%1.29-17.31%0.2071✗1.05134k2022-06-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.5153.5649+1.42%3.273-6.88%0.0887✗0.9973k2022-06-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1440.146159+1.50%0.1282-10.97%0.1344✗1.001.1M2022-06-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.14420.146405+1.53%0.1367-5.20%0.0733✗1.451.8M2022-06-08
XLMStellarStellar0.1406120.142785+1.55%0.139941-0.48%0.0234✗1.0113.6M2022-06-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash217.92221.4043+1.60%176.62-18.95%0.2295✗1.074.9M2022-06-08
WOOWOOEthereum0.2640.268283+1.62%0.17-35.61%0.4588✗0.792,9402022-06-08
NANOnanopayBase1.36871.3915+1.66%1.1534-15.73%0.1914✗1.17153k2022-06-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.4690.477065+1.72%0.349-25.59%0.3153✗0.831.1M2022-06-08
XTZTezosTezos2.00882.0435+1.73%2.0863+3.86%0.0168✓1.20855k2022-06-08
ADACardanoCardano0.60180.612439+1.77%0.6405+6.43%0.0408✓1.2241.1M2022-06-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum9.9110.0889+1.81%6.502-34.39%0.4435✗1.268.0M2022-06-08
RADRadworksEthereum2.953.0045+1.85%2.26-23.39%0.2876✗0.87443k2022-06-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.1330.13548+1.86%0.1199-9.85%0.1263✗1.251.2M2022-06-08
COMPCompoundEthereum80.6482.1828+1.91%55.94-30.63%0.3888✗1.2831k2022-06-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.89952.9579+2.02%2.6512-8.56%0.1133✗1.17177k2022-06-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.23645.3428+2.03%5.3523+2.21%0.0009✓0.26278k2022-06-08
DODODODOEthereum0.2250.229755+2.11%0.185-17.78%0.2210✗1.314.7M2022-06-08
DASHDashDash69.8971.3872+2.14%58.04-16.96%0.2106✗1.091.0M2022-06-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.020410.020867+2.24%0.02386+16.90%0.1321✓0.58405k2022-06-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.030610.031299+2.25%0.02761-9.80%0.1284✗0.92227k2022-06-08
STORJStorjEthereum0.624220.638339+2.26%0.57244-8.30%0.1133✗1.3288k2022-06-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.38940.398629+2.37%0.3492-10.32%0.1362✗1.158.1M2022-06-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1970.201747+2.41%0.1277-35.18%0.4596✗0.6821k2022-06-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.333.4108+2.43%3.11-6.61%0.0976✗1.62339k2022-06-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum24.8125.4334+2.51%19.46-21.56%0.2722✗1.363.8M2022-06-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche41.2142.2505+2.52%24.49-40.57%0.5496✗1.2944.2M2022-06-08
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.870.892102+2.54%0.555-36.21%0.4788✗1.2732k2022-06-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1017730.104405+2.59%0.079297-22.08%0.2784✗1.017.1M2022-06-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.8342.9078+2.61%1.657-41.53%0.5674✗1.5179k2022-06-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.062530.064164+2.61%0.06191-0.99%0.0387✗0.8926k2022-06-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.7260.745082+2.63%0.668-7.99%0.1135✗1.321.7M2022-06-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.010580.010865+2.69%0.00872-17.58%0.2232✗1.011.0M2022-06-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06490.066646+2.69%0.0523-19.41%0.2457✗0.992.0M2022-06-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.2032.2623+2.69%4.1+86.11%0.5919✓0.83763k2022-06-08
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1431.176+2.89%0.956-16.36%0.2118✗1.428.2M2022-06-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.29680.305387+2.89%0.306+3.10%0.0017✓1.13486k2022-06-08
KCSKuCoinnative13.60814.0027+2.90%15.968+17.34%0.1285✓0.854.0M2022-06-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.002340.002408+2.93%0.0012-48.72%0.7008✗1.253.9M2022-06-08
HIVEHivenative0.57750.59468+2.97%0.5614-2.79%0.0613✗1.141.5M2022-06-08
XVSVenusEthereum5.155.3036+2.98%4.92-4.47%0.0793✗1.282.8M2022-06-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin10.9911.3284+3.08%7.178-34.69%0.4601✗1.156.6M2022-06-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.043460.044799+3.08%0.03811-12.31%0.1656✗1.2070k2022-06-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.686.8873+3.10%7.61+13.92%0.0977✓0.631.2M2022-06-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0140040.014443+3.14%0.015019+7.25%0.0368✓0.69195k2022-06-08
LRCLoopringEthereum0.5450.562153+3.15%0.5183-4.90%0.0857✗1.36296k2022-06-08
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14360.148123+3.15%0.1588+10.58%0.0648✓1.45108k2022-06-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084630.087296+3.15%0.06914-18.30%0.2360✗0.8618k2022-06-08
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.11630.120078+3.25%0.0842-27.60%0.3606✗1.74232k2022-06-08
BANDBandEthereum2.2032.2748+3.26%1.666-24.38%0.3159✗1.36504k2022-06-08
ORCAOrcaSolana1.211.2501+3.32%0.8-33.88%0.4490✗0.79151k2022-06-08
SUSHISushiEthereum1.731.7874+3.32%1.5-13.29%0.1798✗1.373.6M2022-06-08
MOVRMoonriverBase27.460528.3757+3.33%20.3659-25.84%0.3362✗1.39188k2022-06-08
MINAMina Protocolnative1.351.3952+3.35%0.84-37.78%0.5114✗1.23755k2022-06-08
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.42883.5463+3.43%3.1124-9.23%0.1347✗1.287.7M2022-06-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum1616.5501+3.44%11.68-27.00%0.3514✗0.87468k2022-06-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.19260.199382+3.52%0.2358+22.43%0.1631✓1.42634k2022-06-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.242.319+3.53%3.792+69.29%0.4893✓0.74975k2022-06-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin76.1978.914+3.58%61.34-19.49%0.2555✗1.0917.3M2022-06-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.29460.305404+3.67%0.2886-2.04%0.0601✗1.07305k2022-06-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.4912.9502+3.68%8.753-29.92%0.3958✗1.2519.4M2022-06-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.11.1409+3.72%0.9-18.18%0.2418✗1.40842k2022-06-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.18.4066+3.79%8.696+7.36%0.0298✓1.2518.3M2022-06-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum12.613.0867+3.86%12.43-1.35%0.0557✗1.29134k2022-06-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.10440.108442+3.87%0.0692-33.72%0.4537✗1.383.7M2022-06-08
XVGVergenative0.006110.006348+3.89%0.00484-20.79%0.2751✗1.19885k2022-06-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum30,239.2031,421.95+3.91%30,360.20+0.40%0.0375✓0.9738k2022-06-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative22.7523.6404+3.91%21.32-6.29%0.1072✗1.204.4M2022-06-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2720.282744+3.95%0.27-0.74%0.0503✗1.294.2M2022-06-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.440850.458841+4.08%0.39491-10.42%0.1539✗1.18141k2022-06-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.713.8621+4.10%4.67+25.88%0.1875✓0.76470k2022-06-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.7480.779253+4.18%0.456-39.04%0.5401✗1.29954k2022-06-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03820.0398+4.19%0.0381-0.26%0.0477✗1.22179k2022-06-08
GLMGolemEthereum0.26470.275788+4.19%0.2871+8.46%0.0363✓1.20186k2022-06-08
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum3.5493.6978+4.19%2.814-20.71%0.2774✗1.30186k2022-06-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot10.6411.0876+4.21%8.995-15.46%0.2131✗1.1911.7M2022-06-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.074.2415+4.21%4.94+21.38%0.1499✓0.79835k2022-06-08
DIADIAEthereum0.530.552501+4.25%0.46566-12.14%0.1730✗0.6170k2022-06-08
CBKCobakEthereum1.3471.4045+4.27%1.2699-5.72%0.1036✗0.8624k2022-06-08
SOLSolanaSolana62.1364.7972+4.29%38.79-37.57%0.5173✗1.2985.8M2022-06-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.013330.013903+4.30%0.01113-16.50%0.2255✗0.942.9M2022-06-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.938.2727+4.32%6.7-15.51%0.2146✗1.14666k2022-06-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.7650.798236+4.34%0.618-19.22%0.2604✗1.37327k2022-06-08
AAVEAaveEthereum99.45103.8173+4.39%96.35-3.12%0.0793✗1.418.3M2022-06-08
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8550.893089+4.45%0.834-2.46%0.0720✗1.083.2M2022-06-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.773.9458+4.66%3.57-5.31%0.1023✗0.66804k2022-06-08
KSMKusamaHydration94.2698.6736+4.68%66.16-29.81%0.4035✗1.161.1M2022-06-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.3571.4212+4.73%1.3742+1.27%0.0368✓0.9784k2022-06-08
XECeCashnative0.000053370.000055909+4.76%0.00005352+0.28%0.0474✗1.146.7M2022-06-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.18810.197093+4.78%0.1882+0.05%0.0504✗1.29372k2022-06-08
FTTFTXEthereum30.1531.6036+4.82%28.1-6.80%0.1205✗0.9311.7M2022-06-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.16340.171319+4.85%0.1456-10.89%0.1676✗1.506.0M2022-06-08
QNTQuantEthereum69.8173.3563+5.08%64.34-7.84%0.1345✗1.023.4M2022-06-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.4790.503485+5.11%1.246+160.13%0.9012✓1.501.6M2022-06-08
ZECZcashZcash92.6897.4324+5.13%96.29+3.90%0.0158✓1.235.1M2022-06-08
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.005430.005714+5.22%0.00455-16.21%0.2302✗0.7720k2022-06-08
XEMNEMnative0.0580.061045+5.25%0.0501-13.62%0.2013✗1.1469k2022-06-08
FIDABonfidaSolana0.7740.815225+5.33%0.491-36.56%0.5108✗1.1546k2022-06-08
MANADecentralandEthereum1.06011.1168+5.35%0.97809-7.73%0.1369✗1.28760k2022-06-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.280.295134+5.40%0.1917-31.54%0.4362✗1.43250k2022-06-08
GITCOINGITCOIN3.3483.5298+5.43%3.101-7.38%0.1347✗1.5819k2022-06-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.152.2674+5.46%2.5435+18.30%0.1123✓0.812.5M2022-06-08
CELLCellframeEthereum0.50360.531358+5.51%0.3209-36.28%0.5084✗1.2395k2022-06-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.72360.764141+5.60%0.6019-16.82%0.2430✗1.326.1M2022-06-08
STXStacksnative0.650.686516+5.62%0.5504-15.32%0.2244✗1.05260k2022-06-08
SCSiacoinnative0.005930.00628+5.90%0.00554-6.58%0.1296✗1.30373k2022-06-08
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.5972.7523+5.98%2.009-22.64%0.3204✗1.701.2M2022-06-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02530.026866+6.19%0.02062-18.50%0.2711✗1.9922.0M2022-06-08
API3Api3Ethereum2.312.4649+6.70%1.456-36.97%0.5306✗1.262.6M2022-06-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.817.2728+6.80%5.48-19.53%0.2851✗0.632.8M2022-06-08
LUNATerraTerra 230.3532.454+6.93%0.00004747-100.00%13.4416✗1.957.1M2022-06-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.33.535+7.12%4.37+32.42%0.2092✓0.86565k2022-06-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.6392.8437+7.76%4.741+79.65%0.5094✓0.532.2M2022-06-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013950.000015034+7.77%0.00001058-24.16%0.3552✗1.181.2M2022-06-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.50.539084+7.82%0.79127+58.25%0.3792✓1.39398k2022-06-08
UOSUltraEthereum0.4420.479441+8.47%0.36868-16.59%0.2674✗1.431.3M2022-06-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.05322.2397+9.08%2.296+11.83%0.0222✓0.814.8M2022-06-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0182420.020027+9.79%0.015221-16.56%0.2777✗1.014.2M2022-06-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.