8=======>

2022-04-26 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3027
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+27.22%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
95.7%
in alpha space · 98.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-23.48%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
APEApeCoinEthereum18.09215.5574-14.01%6.371-64.79%0.3232✓2.1345.8M2022-05-26
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum5.23434.637-11.41%1.945-62.84%0.6732✓0.738.7M2022-05-26
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.65620.586921-10.56%0.3789-42.26%0.1947✓0.9112.2M2022-05-26
LRCLoopringEthereum0.81930.733434-10.48%0.5063-38.20%0.0479✓1.21454k2022-05-26
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.078090.070259-10.03%0.0487-37.64%0.1673✓0.7431k2022-05-26
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8325780.749317-10.00%0.386689-53.56%0.3961✓0.994.6M2022-05-26
YFIyearn.financeEthereum17,482.3915,736.57-9.99%7,746.41-55.69%0.4445✓0.994.0M2022-05-26
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.33710.303818-9.87%0.1378-59.12%0.4764✓1.179.9M2022-05-26
QTUMQtumQtum6.00985.4229-9.77%3.7936-36.88%0.0563✓1.12147k2022-05-26
SUSHISushiEthereum2.912.6351-9.45%1.48-49.14%0.2549✓1.204.4M2022-05-26
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.5352.2971-9.38%1.272-49.82%0.3342✓0.9610.9M2022-05-26
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.424.9259-9.12%2.391-55.89%0.3572✓1.378.7M2022-05-26
XVSVenusEthereum9.558.6837-9.07%4.38-54.14%0.4158✓1.004.5M2022-05-26
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.026940.024525-8.96%0.016456-38.92%0.2677✓0.49199k2022-05-26
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.020750.018894-8.95%0.01116-46.22%0.1391✓1.4549.4M2022-05-26
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche68.762.6302-8.84%23.4-65.94%0.6716✓1.1762.7M2022-05-26
UNIUniswapEthereum87.2939-8.83%4.94-38.25%0.1158✓1.025.6M2022-05-26
CTSICartesiEthereum0.2960.269939-8.80%0.1817-38.61%0.0506✓1.291.2M2022-05-26
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003650.003332-8.70%0.00125-65.75%0.7040✓1.037.1M2022-05-26
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum38.7435.3925-8.64%19.48-49.72%0.2775✓1.195.3M2022-05-26
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.6751.5304-8.63%0.587-64.96%0.6971✓0.9881k2022-05-26
COTICOTIEthereum0.20490.187997-8.25%0.112-45.34%0.1800✓1.263.3M2022-05-26
BANDBandEthereum3.3073.0388-8.11%1.537-53.52%0.3610✓1.20666k2022-05-26
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.284.8521-8.10%2.3-56.44%0.3559✓1.46494k2022-05-26
LCXLCXEthereum0.110.101112-8.08%0.0603-45.18%0.2792✓0.89658k2022-05-26
BORABORAKlay Token0.715690.657885-8.08%0.44128-38.34%0.1026✓1.11140k2022-05-26
ZENHorizenBase32.2129.6367-7.99%19.6-39.15%0.0645✓1.30261k2022-05-26
KSMKusamaHydration154.99142.6113-7.99%69.65-55.06%0.4352✓1.051.1M2022-05-26
LUNATerraTerra 288.4781.463-7.92%0.00013202-100.00%12.9905✓1.2810.4M2022-05-26
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.53730.494763-7.92%0.2065-61.57%0.8123✓0.23769k2022-05-26
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum15.0213.8317-7.91%7.3-51.40%0.3549✓1.0611.7M2022-05-26
MOVRMoonriverBase45.76842.1966-7.80%21.8386-52.28%0.2849✓1.40223k2022-05-26
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.22550.207923-7.79%0.1409-37.52%0.0528✓1.26223k2022-05-26
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.5121.6787-7.79%12.08-48.62%0.2515✓1.25685k2022-05-26
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.833.5336-7.74%1.69-55.87%0.3840✓1.32385k2022-05-26
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.49235.0703-7.68%3.1242-43.12%0.1827✓1.1311.2M2022-05-26
GALAGALAEthereum0.16410.151536-7.66%0.0728-55.64%0.4266✓1.15242k2022-05-26
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.0662.8324-7.62%1.163-62.07%0.4866✓1.51896k2022-05-26
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1590.146934-7.59%0.0601-62.20%0.7725✓0.45190k2022-05-26
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.066730.061679-7.57%0.03579-46.37%0.2739✓1.01121k2022-05-26
AMPAmpEthereum0.021160.019566-7.53%0.01228-41.97%0.2739✓0.724.2M2022-05-26
DASHDashDash93.2786.2611-7.51%58.11-37.70%0.1271✓1.001.5M2022-05-26
DODODODOEthereum0.3490.322948-7.46%0.154-55.87%0.4478✓1.098.0M2022-05-26
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.90e-78.24e-7-7.46%5.80e-7-34.83%0.3797✓-0.11590k2022-05-26
XVGVergenative0.009270.008582-7.42%0.00479-48.33%0.2991✓1.061.3M2022-05-26
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.021150.019588-7.38%0.00867-59.01%0.5405✓1.03373k2022-05-26
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6370.590245-7.34%0.346-45.68%0.3324✓0.752.8M2022-05-26
NMRNumeraireEthereum25.5423.6759-7.30%11.83-53.68%0.4463✓0.92517k2022-05-26
ARPAARPAEthereum0.05990.05564-7.11%0.0312-47.91%0.2822✓1.11279k2022-05-26
CHZChilizEthereum0.19680.182824-7.10%0.1125-42.84%0.1882✓1.112.6M2022-05-26
PHAPHALAEthereum0.260.241554-7.09%0.1257-51.65%0.4771✓0.6636k2022-05-26
AAVEAaveEthereum158.02146.8877-7.04%100.94-36.12%0.0433✓1.2412.5M2022-05-26
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum5.7515.3489-6.99%2.604-54.72%0.4207✓1.12216k2022-05-26
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5120.476209-6.99%0.201-60.74%0.5950✓1.004.9M2022-05-26
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.3662.2041-6.84%1.205-49.07%0.2630✓1.278.3M2022-05-26
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.01590.014812-6.84%0.00918-42.26%0.2436✓0.881.5M2022-05-26
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.1311.0541-6.80%0.616-45.53%0.2329✓1.142.6M2022-05-26
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15810.147361-6.79%0.0668-57.75%0.4763✓1.188.5M2022-05-26
ADACardanoCardano0.82590.769873-6.78%0.4785-42.06%0.1989✓1.0353.5M2022-05-26
RADRadworksEthereum4.143.8592-6.78%2.35-43.24%0.2685✓0.85741k2022-05-26
MANADecentralandEthereum1.80741.686-6.72%0.98818-45.32%0.2465✓1.081.2M2022-05-26
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.291.2048-6.61%0.913-29.22%0.0050✓1.02573k2022-05-26
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.940.877888-6.61%0.6772-27.96%0.0199✓1.04595k2022-05-26
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.3513.402-6.61%10.39-27.60%0.0839✗1.262.2M2022-05-26
SOLSolanaSolana95.7489.4225-6.60%43.42-54.65%0.4019✓1.20127.9M2022-05-26
ETHEthereumEthereum2,809.262,624.11-6.59%1,790.65-36.26%0.1147✓1.00448.2M2022-05-26
COMPCompoundEthereum121.78113.8632-6.50%59.25-51.35%0.3534✓1.1265k2022-05-26
DIADIAEthereum0.810.757394-6.49%0.42439-47.61%0.4525✓0.4777k2022-05-26
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.6915.6114-6.46%9.12-45.36%0.2682✓1.0114.6M2022-05-26
HIVEHivenative0.84020.785953-6.46%0.4622-44.99%0.2747✓0.961.8M2022-05-26
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7144.4126-6.39%3.293-30.14%0.1487✓0.541.6M2022-05-26
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV76.5371.6761-6.34%48.987-35.99%0.1690✓0.793.1M2022-05-26
KCSKuCoinnative18.81717.6246-6.34%15.514-17.55%0.0788✗0.775.8M2022-05-26
NANOnanopayBase1.89461.775-6.32%1.0454-44.82%0.2601✓1.01188k2022-05-26
AVTAventusEthereum2.332.183-6.31%1.12-51.93%0.5313✓0.51322k2022-05-26
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.1311.3697-6.27%6.91-43.03%0.2226✓1.031.2M2022-05-26
UMAUMAEthereum5.5325.1867-6.24%3.074-44.43%0.1384✓1.442.5M2022-05-26
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.8964.5906-6.24%2.702-44.81%0.2819✓0.9364k2022-05-26
STORJStorjEthereum0.957960.898269-6.23%0.52703-44.98%0.2339✓1.12154k2022-05-26
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.36282.2158-6.22%1.4724-37.68%0.2416✓0.6211k2022-05-26
HIGHHighstreetEthereum3.9623.7167-6.19%1.952-50.73%0.1965✓1.671.8M2022-05-26
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.010860.010191-6.16%0.0042-61.33%0.7347✓0.5730k2022-05-26
FILFilecoinFilecoin17.3116.2464-6.14%7.62-55.98%0.4849✓1.0210.6M2022-05-26
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.09983.8487-6.12%2.3532-42.60%0.2321✓0.97275k2022-05-26
SCSiacoinnative0.009320.008755-6.06%0.00562-39.70%0.1375✓1.14453k2022-05-26
MINAMina Protocolnative1.951.8321-6.05%0.86-55.90%0.4712✓1.071.3M2022-05-26
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.47080.443063-5.89%0.2849-39.49%0.1495✓1.09690k2022-05-26
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13280.124985-5.88%0.0866-34.79%0.1108✓0.96203k2022-05-26
PROPropyEthereum1.51.4119-5.87%1.01-32.67%0.2113✓0.46267k2022-05-26
ZECZcashZcash145.94137.4383-5.83%87.51-40.04%0.1775✓1.026.7M2022-05-26
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.2731.199-5.81%0.628-50.67%0.3188✓1.23494k2022-05-26
BTTCBTTC0.000001750.000001649-5.79%0.00000106-39.43%0.2528✓0.719.0M2022-05-26
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.09860.092913-5.77%0.0483-51.01%0.4114✓0.912.6M2022-05-26
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos20.3119.1389-5.77%9.6-52.73%0.4132✓1.0321.8M2022-05-26
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9282.7594-5.76%2.144-26.78%0.0766✓0.661.3M2022-05-26
LINKChainlinkEthereum12.3711.658-5.76%6.57-46.89%0.2811✓1.0925.8M2022-05-26
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7480.705603-5.67%0.339-54.68%0.3697✓1.361.9M2022-05-26
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana10.7310.1249-5.64%7.24-32.53%0.2361✓0.372.0M2022-05-26
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.0463.8205-5.57%1.74-56.99%0.4440✓1.28121k2022-05-26
ORCAOrcaSolana1.881.7755-5.56%0.86-54.26%0.5359✓0.71211k2022-05-26
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash296.43279.9534-5.56%179.2-39.55%0.1897✓0.966.0M2022-05-26
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.50.472481-5.50%0.18825-62.35%0.5332✓1.45395k2022-05-26
XYMSymbolnative0.10120.095649-5.49%0.0571-43.58%0.3411✓0.65823k2022-05-26
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.21510.203386-5.45%0.1378-35.94%0.1687✓0.821.6M2022-05-26
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000022980.000021741-5.39%0.00001064-53.70%0.4347✓1.052.0M2022-05-26
XTZTezosTezos2.72032.5744-5.37%1.8642-31.47%0.0488✓1.02893k2022-05-26
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3763.196-5.33%2.4001-28.91%0.1333✓0.574.6M2022-05-26
XECeCashnative0.000078590.000074453-5.26%0.00004648-40.86%0.2215✓0.939.6M2022-05-26
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04230.04008-5.25%0.0214-49.41%0.1907✓1.6331.5M2022-05-26
GLMGolemEthereum0.39320.372616-5.23%0.2474-37.08%0.0645✓1.29282k2022-05-26
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.04070.038583-5.20%0.02667-34.47%0.1525✓0.8163k2022-05-26
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.029860.028318-5.16%0.02388-20.03%0.0136✓0.59514k2022-05-26
LSKLiskEthereum1.98491.8831-5.13%1.1801-40.55%0.2457✓0.8396k2022-05-26
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.729.1446-5.07%21.87-28.76%0.0020✓1.087.8M2022-05-26
IMXImmutableEthereum1.6661.5816-5.06%0.835-49.88%0.3740✓0.998.7M2022-05-26
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.60010.569908-5.03%0.3091-48.49%0.3553✓0.968.8M2022-05-26
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.656450.623658-5.00%0.37219-43.30%0.2442✓1.02152k2022-05-26
XMRMoneroMonero230.31218.8256-4.99%188.99-17.94%0.1008✗0.923.3M2022-05-26
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.741.6535-4.97%0.79-54.60%0.3929✓1.291.6M2022-05-26
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.16590.157846-4.86%0.0855-48.46%0.0276✓2.19395k2022-05-26
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.46740.444772-4.84%0.2525-45.98%0.3360✓0.86479k2022-05-26
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1376190.130985-4.82%0.078018-43.31%0.2708✓0.925.1M2022-05-26
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.2316.4123-4.75%8.75-49.22%0.2724✓1.33175k2022-05-26
XLMStellarStellar0.1804670.171921-4.74%0.12416-31.20%0.0683✓0.9618.1M2022-05-26
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.07221.0232-4.57%0.5767-46.21%0.2429✓1.249.9M2022-05-26
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.025.7472-4.53%3.01-50.00%0.4964✓0.561.0M2022-05-26
WOOWOOEthereum0.40530.386973-4.52%0.1739-57.09%0.7100✓0.345,5292022-05-26
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,113.8236,417.39-4.45%29,166.06-23.48%0.0455✗1.00565.5M2022-05-26
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9860.94225-4.44%0.511-48.17%0.3294✓1.061.3M2022-05-26
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.008560.008185-4.39%0.00406-52.57%0.3858✓1.183.1M2022-05-26
SUNSun TokenTron0.0132680.012687-4.38%0.009061-31.71%0.1068✓0.8653k2022-05-26
CVCCivicEthereum0.26880.257045-4.37%0.1629-39.40%0.1635✓1.09462k2022-05-26
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.27470.262749-4.35%0.1285-53.22%0.3415✓1.408.8M2022-05-26
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.042220.040421-4.26%0.02729-35.36%0.1731✓0.82370k2022-05-26
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.071.9823-4.24%1.27-38.65%0.1805✓0.99137k2022-05-26
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.0092.8841-4.15%2.344-22.10%0.0489✓0.591.8M2022-05-26
GTGateEthereum6.13595.8876-4.05%5.46-11.02%0.0505✗0.474.7M2022-05-26
UOSUltraEthereum0.86490.829993-4.04%0.36594-57.69%0.4878✓1.241.6M2022-05-26
STXStacksnative1.030.989141-3.97%0.53-48.54%0.3730✓0.94418k2022-05-26
LTCLitecoinLitecoin98.5994.8792-3.76%63.42-35.67%0.1328✓1.0119.2M2022-05-26
QNTQuantEthereum100.6996.9694-3.70%63.46-36.97%0.2085✓0.813.4M2022-05-26
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.26460.255177-3.56%0.1067-59.67%0.4153✓1.712.2M2022-05-26
FIDABonfidaSolana1.21.1574-3.55%0.48-60.00%0.6178✓0.9861k2022-05-26
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.5311.1236-3.52%5.37-53.43%0.6037✓0.472.9M2022-05-26
FTTFTXEthereum38.7137.3577-3.49%27.54-28.86%0.0634✓0.9018.9M2022-05-26
API3Api3Ethereum3.93.764-3.49%1.523-60.95%0.6544✓0.942.8M2022-05-26
XEMNEMnative0.08890.085814-3.47%0.0483-45.67%0.3299✓0.9283k2022-05-26
CELLCellframeEthereum0.83970.811009-3.42%0.3453-58.88%0.5254✓1.23184k2022-05-26
TRXTRONTron0.0618240.059969-3.00%0.082262+33.06%0.4801✗0.61302k2022-05-26
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.84.6592-2.93%3.68-23.33%0.0644✓0.64756k2022-05-26
BFCBifrostEthereum0.129840.126124-2.86%0.06674-48.60%0.4370✓0.7515k2022-05-26
DKAdKargoEthereum0.086220.08387-2.73%0.05878-31.83%0.1473✓0.7835k2022-05-26
CBKCobakEthereum2.021.9712-2.41%1.204-40.40%0.3033✓0.7124k2022-05-26
GITCOINGITCOIN5.2545.1408-2.15%2.354-55.20%0.3970✓1.4418k2022-05-26
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0891.0658-2.13%0.785-27.92%0.0324✓1.023.9M2022-05-26
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.0523.9667-2.10%4.096+1.09%0.1037✗0.272.5M2022-05-26
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.384.2882-2.10%3.56-18.72%0.0024✓0.691.2M2022-05-26
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.5863.5214-1.80%2.3023-35.80%0.2830✓0.535.6M2022-05-26
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.83995.737-1.76%4.9167-15.81%0.0220✓0.49213k2022-05-26
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum38,008.8037,419.75-1.55%29,530.70-22.31%0.0111✓0.9325k2022-05-26
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.265.1884-1.36%4.14-21.29%0.0543✓0.641.3M2022-05-26
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.027480.027133-1.26%0.017464-36.45%0.1714✓1.014.4M2022-05-26
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.