8=======>

2022-04-19 · +1d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 163 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0177
163 of 163 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.58%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
66.3%
in alpha space · 69.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.30%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (163 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
MTLMetal DAOMetal L23.0993.0199-2.55%2.83-8.68%0.0619✓1.014.2M2022-04-20
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.000001230.00000121-1.60%0.000001102-10.40%0.0945✓-0.23602k2022-04-20
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.076640.075437-1.57%0.07671+0.09%0.0199✗1.05132k2022-04-20
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6620.652313-1.46%0.622-6.04%0.0442✓1.105.9M2022-04-20
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.1676.078-1.44%6.611+7.20%0.0881✗1.327.3M2022-04-20
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.022730.02241-1.41%0.0241+6.03%0.0773✗1.5248.3M2022-04-20
STORJStorjEthereum1.25661.2391-1.40%1.1896-5.34%0.0373✓1.17150k2022-04-20
LUNATerraTerra 295.5794.4617-1.16%94.77-0.84%0.0072✓1.318.4M2022-04-20
PROPropyEthereum1.881.861-1.01%1.83-2.66%0.0140✓0.91179k2022-04-20
LSKLiskEthereum2.23962.2177-0.98%2.2075-1.43%0.0019✓0.8799k2022-04-20
APEApeCoinEthereum13.3913.2617-0.96%16.726+24.91%0.2387✗2.1645.4M2022-04-20
API3Api3Ethereum4.6324.5887-0.93%5.265+13.67%0.1394✗0.633.3M2022-04-20
ZECZcashZcash158.67157.1963-0.93%156.61-1.30%0.0006✓1.048.2M2022-04-20
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05480.054299-0.91%0.0532-2.92%0.0153✓1.6938.1M2022-04-20
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.21471.2036-0.91%1.2813+5.48%0.0663✗1.2510.2M2022-04-20
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.2124.1737-0.91%4.076-3.23%0.0192✓1.47741k2022-04-20
LRCLoopringEthereum0.96040.951766-0.90%0.9538-0.69%0.0064✓1.39752k2022-04-20
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.7525.7012-0.88%5.831+1.37%0.0255✗1.0072k2022-04-20
UMAUMAEthereum6.3976.3423-0.86%6.337-0.94%0.0036✓1.472.7M2022-04-20
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2651.2543-0.84%1.439+13.75%0.1405✗1.031.3M2022-04-20
KSMKusamaHydration176.41174.9364-0.84%180.41+2.27%0.0340✗1.051.1M2022-04-20
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.45675.4113-0.83%5.8153+6.57%0.0757✗1.2010.7M2022-04-20
XVSVenusEthereum10.7610.6709-0.83%10.78+0.19%0.0137✗1.164.6M2022-04-20
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana6.0455.9954-0.82%5.929-1.92%0.0091✓0.662.0M2022-04-20
IMXImmutableEthereum1.9751.9591-0.81%2.01+1.77%0.0289✗1.077.8M2022-04-20
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.524.4836-0.81%4.44-1.77%0.0055✓1.41642k2022-04-20
SUSHISushiEthereum3.363.3331-0.80%3.51+4.46%0.0555✗1.256.4M2022-04-20
DIADIAEthereum0.930.92259-0.80%0.92-1.08%0.0014✓0.48154k2022-04-20
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8820.875034-0.79%0.877-0.57%0.0064✓1.362.7M2022-04-20
MANADecentralandEthereum2.16542.1486-0.78%2.1077-2.67%0.0158✓1.131.6M2022-04-20
RADRadworksEthereum4.764.7235-0.77%4.72-0.84%0.0022✓0.95785k2022-04-20
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.0244.9855-0.77%4.846-3.54%0.0252✓1.05139k2022-04-20
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.196.1428-0.76%6.29+1.62%0.0283✗1.51579k2022-04-20
BANDBandEthereum3.9623.9323-0.75%3.946-0.40%0.0073✓1.25745k2022-04-20
AAVEAaveEthereum183181.6617-0.73%186.29+1.80%0.0291✗1.3012.5M2022-04-20
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.8624.8269-0.72%4.782-1.65%0.0041✓1.712.4M2022-04-20
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.7876.7388-0.71%6.841+0.80%0.0185✗1.12327k2022-04-20
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0349260.034681-0.70%0.034071-2.45%0.0144✓1.114.5M2022-04-20
BORABORAKlay Token0.819920.814181-0.70%0.81167-1.01%0.0000✓1.00155k2022-04-20
ASTRAstarEthereum0.220.21846-0.70%0.216-1.82%0.0093✓0.65122k2022-04-20
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.80964.7759-0.70%4.7537-1.16%0.0017✓0.98275k2022-04-20
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.017920.017796-0.69%0.01775-0.95%0.0004✓1.001.9M2022-04-20
SGBSongbirdnative0.05950.059105-0.66%0.0591-0.67%0.0015✓0.52158k2022-04-20
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20150.200186-0.65%0.199-1.24%0.0022✓1.229.4M2022-04-20
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.4317.3204-0.63%17.1-1.89%0.0097✓1.0318.4M2022-04-20
SCSiacoinnative0.010870.010802-0.62%0.01086-0.09%0.0089✗1.19565k2022-04-20
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11680.11608-0.62%0.1132-3.08%0.0219✓1.041.6M2022-04-20
COMPCompoundEthereum142.4141.5235-0.62%146.98+3.22%0.0414✗1.1876k2022-04-20
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7308760.72638-0.62%1.0951+49.84%0.4139✗1.113.2M2022-04-20
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5411.5317-0.60%1.543+0.13%0.0104✗1.01867k2022-04-20
SOLSolanaSolana108.55107.8978-0.60%105.59-2.73%0.0178✓1.25147.4M2022-04-20
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.121.1133-0.60%1.1-1.79%0.0084✓1.19735k2022-04-20
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0264670.02631-0.59%0.026519+0.20%0.0100✗0.68199k2022-04-20
XVGVergenative0.010910.010846-0.58%0.01074-1.56%0.0063✓1.161.6M2022-04-20
GALAGALAEthereum0.20.198838-0.58%0.1961-1.95%0.0104✓1.14262k2022-04-20
GLMGolemEthereum0.43380.431349-0.57%0.4393+1.27%0.0226✗1.43373k2022-04-20
COTICOTIEthereum0.25310.251673-0.56%0.245-3.20%0.0228✓1.343.3M2022-04-20
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum4.32914.305-0.56%4.385+1.29%0.0207✗0.765.3M2022-04-20
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.35250.350542-0.56%0.3518-0.20%0.0080✗1.469.2M2022-04-20
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.023440.023311-0.55%0.0229-2.30%0.0143✓1.14423k2022-04-20
CTSICartesiEthereum0.36280.360808-0.55%0.353-2.70%0.0179✓1.311.4M2022-04-20
UOSUltraEthereum1.0611.0552-0.55%1.0291-3.01%0.0210✓1.331.6M2022-04-20
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.623.6003-0.54%3.585-0.97%0.0023✓0.662.1M2022-04-20
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.0692.0578-0.54%2.105+1.74%0.0257✗0.9794k2022-04-20
MINAMina Protocolnative2.452.4368-0.54%2.42-1.22%0.0036✓1.101.2M2022-04-20
XMRMoneroMonero254.39253.0375-0.53%266.68+4.83%0.0554✗0.931.8M2022-04-20
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.640.6366-0.53%0.63-1.56%0.0059✓1.49435k2022-04-20
QTUMQtumQtum6.82996.7938-0.53%6.7512-1.15%0.0027✓1.16206k2022-04-20
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.75930.755308-0.53%0.7421-2.27%0.0148✓0.9418.3M2022-04-20
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum47.447.1541-0.52%46.2-2.53%0.0166✓1.288.8M2022-04-20
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06950.06914-0.52%0.0706+1.58%0.0245✗1.19471k2022-04-20
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.24350.242242-0.52%0.2422-0.53%0.0040✓1.36351k2022-04-20
CELLCellframeEthereum0.89120.886615-0.51%0.9519+6.81%0.0753✗1.40231k2022-04-20
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.8137.6161-0.51%36.54-3.36%0.0257✓1.0914.3M2022-04-20
LCXLCXEthereum0.11650.115903-0.51%0.119+2.15%0.0298✗1.13988k2022-04-20
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3681.361-0.51%1.455+6.36%0.0706✗1.273.1M2022-04-20
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos24.6724.545-0.51%24.27-1.62%0.0079✓1.1031.7M2022-04-20
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche80.3279.9148-0.50%78.24-2.59%0.0173✓1.2692.9M2022-04-20
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004250.004229-0.50%0.0042-1.18%0.0031✓1.239.6M2022-04-20
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.3621.2538-0.50%21.27-0.42%0.0049✓1.35220k2022-04-20
ADACardanoCardano0.95240.947681-0.50%0.9367-1.65%0.0085✓1.0368.9M2022-04-20
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.9114.8363-0.49%14.63-1.88%0.0100✓1.312.3M2022-04-20
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.7313.6622-0.49%13.95+1.60%0.0243✗1.131.4M2022-04-20
XECeCashnative0.000092420.000091965-0.49%0.00009119-1.33%0.0054✓1.009.5M2022-04-20
HIVEHivenative0.930.925457-0.49%0.9124-1.89%0.0110✓1.071.9M2022-04-20
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.8426.7097-0.49%26.49-1.30%0.0055✓0.90578k2022-04-20
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.775690.77193-0.48%0.76066-1.94%0.0115✓1.05201k2022-04-20
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07680.076428-0.48%0.07605-0.98%0.0024✓0.8348k2022-04-20
UNIUniswapEthereum9.549.4939-0.48%9.32-2.31%0.0153✓1.068.8M2022-04-20
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.59990.597024-0.48%0.6061+1.03%0.0189✗1.25967k2022-04-20
XEMNEMnative0.10130.100815-0.48%0.1006-0.69%0.0007✓0.9267k2022-04-20
DASHDashDash109.73109.2099-0.47%107.03-2.46%0.0170✓1.042.3M2022-04-20
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.765.7329-0.47%5.71-0.87%0.0018✓0.711.1M2022-04-20
WOOWOOEthereum0.49650.494174-0.47%0.4818-2.96%0.0247✓0.235,8622022-04-20
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.36120.359508-0.47%0.363+0.50%0.0133✗1.1810.3M2022-04-20
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.20860.207628-0.47%0.1973-5.42%0.0441✓2.26569k2022-04-20
LPTLivepeerEthereum24.123.9888-0.46%23.41-2.86%0.0204✓1.31685k2022-04-20
FTTFTXEthereum43.4843.2798-0.46%42.77-1.63%0.0088✓1.0019.0M2022-04-20
STXStacksnative1.221.2145-0.45%1.18-3.28%0.0257✓1.01447k2022-04-20
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.048930.04871-0.45%0.04767-2.58%0.0185✓1.01499k2022-04-20
KCSKuCoinnative20.95820.8639-0.45%20.915-0.21%0.0051✗0.865.6M2022-04-20
ETHEthereumEthereum3,102.263,088.56-0.44%3,077.06-0.81%0.0005✓1.05482.4M2022-04-20
BTTCBTTC0.000001930.000001922-0.44%0.0000019-1.55%0.0091✓0.7110.2M2022-04-20
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash340.62339.1232-0.44%330.55-2.96%0.0226✓0.997.4M2022-04-20
XLMStellarStellar0.2039030.203008-0.44%0.20034-1.75%0.0102✓1.0019.5M2022-04-20
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.3112.3009-0.43%2.331+0.87%0.0170✗1.337.3M2022-04-20
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.68670.683738-0.43%0.6777-1.31%0.0057✓1.059.4M2022-04-20
CHZChilizEthereum0.22990.228909-0.43%0.2258-1.78%0.0101✓1.183.2M2022-04-20
DODODODOEthereum0.4080.406244-0.43%0.429+5.15%0.0581✗1.187.7M2022-04-20
CBKCobakEthereum2.3792.3688-0.43%2.315-2.69%0.0205✓0.8127k2022-04-20
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.5833.5676-0.43%3.54-1.20%0.0055✓0.742.2M2022-04-20
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.8818.7991-0.43%19.1+1.17%0.0191✗1.0619.0M2022-04-20
ZENHorizenBase38.7738.6047-0.43%37.73-2.68%0.0188✓1.35383k2022-04-20
NANOnanopayBase2.15292.1437-0.43%2.1203-1.51%0.0076✓1.12231k2022-04-20
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24380.242765-0.42%0.2497+2.42%0.0307✗0.851.6M2022-04-20
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.6780.675145-0.42%0.652-3.83%0.0336✓0.42814k2022-04-20
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana14.9714.9073-0.42%14.85-0.80%0.0024✓0.492.9M2022-04-20
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0214.9571-0.42%13.9-7.46%0.0720✓0.412.0M2022-04-20
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025430.000025327-0.40%0.00002483-2.36%0.0164✓1.132.6M2022-04-20
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.072.0616-0.40%2.04-1.45%0.0065✓1.331.6M2022-04-20
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.39790.396299-0.40%0.3835-3.62%0.0273✓1.802.3M2022-04-20
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.4120.3284-0.40%19.6-3.97%0.0331✓1.1110.8M2022-04-20
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010960.010916-0.40%0.0108-1.46%0.0071✓1.173.0M2022-04-20
SUNSun TokenTron0.0145820.014525-0.39%0.01453-0.36%0.0031✓0.9147k2022-04-20
FIDABonfidaSolana1.4431.4375-0.38%1.46+1.18%0.0186✗0.9862k2022-04-20
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.52310.521103-0.38%0.5123-2.06%0.0146✓0.79461k2022-04-20
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7510.748137-0.38%0.743-1.07%0.0042✓0.882.9M2022-04-20
XTZTezosTezos3.23423.2219-0.38%3.1443-2.78%0.0212✓1.04989k2022-04-20
MOVRMoonriverBase60.168859.9436-0.37%58.9613-2.01%0.0121✓1.47220k2022-04-20
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,490.5041,336.65-0.37%41,418.20-0.17%0.0049✗0.9526k2022-04-20
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV86.1785.8517-0.37%85.34-0.96%0.0035✓0.803.6M2022-04-20
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,429.2919,358.77-0.36%19,161.36-1.38%0.0069✓1.115.0M2022-04-20
PHAPHALAEthereum0.270.269042-0.35%0.285+5.56%0.0602✗0.8436k2022-04-20
QNTQuantEthereum114.35113.9453-0.35%110.63-3.25%0.0267✓0.923.8M2022-04-20
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5181.5127-0.35%1.516-0.13%0.0062✗1.32555k2022-04-20
TRXTRONTron0.0632230.063004-0.35%0.062638-0.93%0.0038✓0.67254k2022-04-20
AVTAventusEthereum2.532.5212-0.35%2.5-1.19%0.0070✓0.49491k2022-04-20
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1427530.142258-0.35%0.140583-1.52%0.0092✓0.865.0M2022-04-20
XYMSymbolnative0.10980.109422-0.34%0.1203+9.56%0.0969✗0.69840k2022-04-20
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2881.2836-0.34%1.215-5.67%0.0520✓0.963.5M2022-04-20
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.2514.2021-0.34%14.03-1.54%0.0087✓1.1326.2M2022-04-20
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.98913.9757-0.34%4.0391+1.25%0.0178✗0.664.6M2022-04-20
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,503.8541,365.44-0.33%41,377.61-0.30%0.0033✗1.00544.9M2022-04-20
GITCOINGITCOIN6.2196.1985-0.33%6.238+0.31%0.0109✗1.5018k2022-04-20
CVCCivicEthereum0.30140.30041-0.33%0.3026+0.40%0.0108✗1.17495k2022-04-20
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.4972.4888-0.33%2.4899-0.28%0.0028✓0.7711k2022-04-20
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.31115.2937-0.33%5.2876-0.44%0.0004✓0.505.6M2022-04-20
DKAdKargoEthereum0.095880.095574-0.32%0.09555-0.34%0.0024✓0.8635k2022-04-20
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034610.034501-0.32%0.03471+0.29%0.0080✗0.64865k2022-04-20
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6654.6504-0.31%4.876+4.52%0.0485✗0.363.3M2022-04-20
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13860.138173-0.31%0.1377-0.65%0.0003✓1.02224k2022-04-20
ORCAOrcaSolana1.931.9243-0.30%1.99+3.11%0.0358✗0.71238k2022-04-20
AMPAmpEthereum0.02220.022136-0.29%0.02266+2.07%0.0258✗0.794.7M2022-04-20
LTCLitecoinLitecoin113.81113.4911-0.28%111.86-1.71%0.0113✓1.0321.0M2022-04-20
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.32.2936-0.28%2.28-0.87%0.0029✓1.01163k2022-04-20
GTGateEthereum6.52376.5056-0.28%6.5262+0.04%0.0050✗0.594.6M2022-04-20
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.716.6918-0.27%6.41-4.47%0.0408✓0.741.7M2022-04-20
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.335.3173-0.24%5.17-3.00%0.0258✓0.751.3M2022-04-20
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011530.011504-0.23%0.0114-1.13%0.0072✓0.6136k2022-04-20
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.915.897-0.22%6+1.52%0.0195✗0.721.0M2022-04-20
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.86275.85-0.22%5.9614+1.68%0.0203✗0.47186k2022-04-20
BFCBifrostEthereum0.145320.145053-0.18%0.14828+2.04%0.0244✗0.7918k2022-04-20
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.045120.045048-0.16%0.04465-1.04%0.0062✓0.8867k2022-04-20
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.