8=======>

2022-03-20 · +1d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 160 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2119
160 of 160 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.91%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
27.5%
in alpha space · 33.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.65%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (160 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.640.638482-0.24%0.657+2.66%0.0345✗0.912.0M2022-03-21
TRXTRONTron0.0615510.0614-0.25%0.06179+0.39%0.0105✗0.64259k2022-03-21
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,609.4041,498.58-0.27%41,105.80-1.21%0.0032✓0.9646k2022-03-21
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,287.2441,176.50-0.27%41,017.71-0.65%0.0027✓1.00680.6M2022-03-21
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041130.041013-0.28%0.04126+0.32%0.0115✗0.8424k2022-03-21
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1191240.118765-0.30%0.119184+0.05%0.0089✗0.822.7M2022-03-21
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24720.246435-0.31%0.2506+1.38%0.0222✗0.832.1M2022-03-21
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.5614.5145-0.31%15+3.02%0.0399✗1.0633.9M2022-03-21
LTCLitecoinLitecoin114.88114.5184-0.31%116.13+1.09%0.0205✗1.0025.9M2022-03-21
XVGVergenative0.009320.00929-0.32%0.0099+6.22%0.0711✗1.151.6M2022-03-21
SUSHISushiEthereum3.243.2296-0.32%3.31+2.16%0.0322✗1.176.0M2022-03-21
AMPAmpEthereum0.025520.025438-0.32%0.02617+2.55%0.0333✗0.762.7M2022-03-21
KCSKuCoinnative18.20518.1464-0.32%18.09-0.63%0.0028✓0.906.2M2022-03-21
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.152.143-0.32%2.196+2.14%0.0332✗1.349.5M2022-03-21
XEMNEMnative0.09950.099175-0.33%0.1071+7.64%0.0824✗0.8540k2022-03-21
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4441.4392-0.33%1.433-0.76%0.0046✗1.36492k2022-03-21
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1060.105644-0.34%0.103-2.83%0.0218✓0.5432k2022-03-21
XYMSymbolnative0.13580.135333-0.34%0.1371+0.96%0.0181✗0.78296k2022-03-21
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.6618.5949-0.35%18.75+0.48%0.0154✗1.0824.4M2022-03-21
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.74180.739202-0.35%0.828+11.62%0.1200✗1.0116.6M2022-03-21
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.352.3417-0.35%2.37+0.85%0.0184✗0.98142k2022-03-21
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07480.074537-0.35%0.0752+0.53%0.0150✗0.94146k2022-03-21
ETHEthereumEthereum2,862.442,852.24-0.36%2,891.08+1.00%0.0204✗1.04492.6M2022-03-21
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.146.1178-0.36%6.22+1.30%0.0212✗0.711.3M2022-03-21
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.6219.5489-0.36%19.75+0.66%0.0189✗1.33246k2022-03-21
CBKCobakEthereum2.2272.2188-0.37%2.211-0.72%0.0016✓0.7820k2022-03-21
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011720.011677-0.37%0.01178+0.51%0.0168✗1.223.2M2022-03-21
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1941.1896-0.37%1.228+2.85%0.0384✗1.002.8M2022-03-21
BTTCBTTC0.000001820.000001813-0.38%0.00000183+0.55%0.0133✗0.6212.1M2022-03-21
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.80113.7865-0.38%3.772-0.77%0.0001✓0.613.9M2022-03-21
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2440.243065-0.38%0.254+4.10%0.0493✗0.8129k2022-03-21
GTGateEthereum6.44756.4228-0.38%6.3691-1.22%0.0042✓0.643.4M2022-03-21
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,923.1719,844.55-0.39%20,359.40+2.19%0.0326✗1.075.7M2022-03-21
FILFilecoinFilecoin17.6517.5803-0.40%17.82+0.96%0.0199✗0.975.7M2022-03-21
SCSiacoinnative0.009180.009143-0.40%0.00956+4.14%0.0518✗1.11441k2022-03-21
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.821070.817791-0.40%0.81655-0.55%0.0058✗1.12111k2022-03-21
XECeCashnative0.000079410.000079089-0.40%0.00008042+1.27%0.0230✗0.964.7M2022-03-21
HIVEHivenative0.90640.902677-0.41%0.9143+0.87%0.0202✗1.122.1M2022-03-21
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.51580.513657-0.42%0.5105-1.03%0.0013✓0.75399k2022-03-21
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.7716.7002-0.42%16.97+1.19%0.0227✗1.0114.0M2022-03-21
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.44720.445338-0.42%0.6232+39.36%0.3444✗1.28440k2022-03-21
UOSUltraEthereum1.1191.1143-0.42%1.1654+4.15%0.0533✗1.301.9M2022-03-21
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.316.2834-0.42%6.4+1.43%0.0231✗0.721.6M2022-03-21
ADACardanoCardano0.8790.875269-0.42%0.9179+4.43%0.0542✗1.0162.5M2022-03-21
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche84.8584.4873-0.43%86.26+1.66%0.0294✗1.31116.0M2022-03-21
DIADIAEthereum0.940.935908-0.44%0.94+0.00%0.0068✗0.37258k2022-03-21
XLMStellarStellar0.1973290.196468-0.44%0.203692+3.22%0.0426✗0.9918.0M2022-03-21
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.0928.9623-0.44%29.57+1.65%0.0267✗0.91767k2022-03-21
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.39050.388782-0.44%0.4118+5.45%0.0654✗1.208.9M2022-03-21
AAVEAaveEthereum152.83152.1568-0.44%153.89+0.69%0.0197✗1.288.0M2022-03-21
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.8415.77-0.44%15.85+0.06%0.0136✗1.302.4M2022-03-21
STXStacksnative1.261.2544-0.44%1.3+3.17%0.0419✗0.94444k2022-03-21
MINAMina Protocolnative2.122.1105-0.45%2.09-1.42%0.0030✓1.04343k2022-03-21
XMRMoneroMonero194.71193.8406-0.45%191.87-1.46%0.0041✓0.931.7M2022-03-21
LCXLCXEthereum0.09110.09069-0.45%0.0897-1.54%0.0030✓1.22522k2022-03-21
FTTFTXEthereum44.0343.8316-0.45%44.67+1.45%0.0257✗1.0314.3M2022-03-21
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.025430.025313-0.46%0.02575+1.26%0.0242✗1.09248k2022-03-21
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana12.8612.8008-0.46%12.88+0.16%0.0089✗0.413.0M2022-03-21
CHZChilizEthereum0.20350.202558-0.46%0.2032-0.15%0.0107✗1.162.3M2022-03-21
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana12.2212.1633-0.46%13.7+12.11%0.1223✗0.511.8M2022-03-21
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.24193.2269-0.46%3.1635-2.42%0.0145✓0.824.1M2022-03-21
STORJStorjEthereum1.08041.0754-0.47%1.1049+2.27%0.0347✗1.16128k2022-03-21
QNTQuantEthereum118.64118.085-0.47%119.55+0.77%0.0184✗0.924.2M2022-03-21
COMPCompoundEthereum116.01115.4647-0.47%113.52-2.15%0.0094✓1.1648k2022-03-21
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash327.61326.0701-0.47%334.93+2.23%0.0329✗0.936.7M2022-03-21
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.75170.748166-0.47%0.7443-0.98%0.0012✓0.987.2M2022-03-21
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.881.871-0.48%1.89+0.53%0.0185✗1.291.1M2022-03-21
ZENHorizenBase41.0240.8217-0.48%43.59+6.27%0.0742✗1.31267k2022-03-21
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.01250.012439-0.48%0.01262+0.96%0.0190✗0.709,3002022-03-21
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.40420.402234-0.49%0.41+1.43%0.0318✗1.932.1M2022-03-21
SOLSolanaSolana88.6488.2068-0.49%88.62-0.02%0.0129✗1.2692.6M2022-03-21
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.4615.4342-0.49%6.034+10.49%0.1108✗0.9479k2022-03-21
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12470.124087-0.49%0.1326+6.34%0.0741✗1.192.1M2022-03-21
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000023120.000023006-0.49%0.00002294-0.78%0.0048✓1.172.5M2022-03-21
LSKLiskEthereum2.14352.1327-0.51%2.1544+0.51%0.0154✗0.80130k2022-03-21
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV85.0384.6-0.51%84.98-0.06%0.0094✗0.751.0M2022-03-21
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8470.842702-0.51%0.85+0.35%0.0173✗1.332.0M2022-03-21
CTSICartesiEthereum0.34290.341148-0.51%0.3415-0.41%0.0097✗1.33965k2022-03-21
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.682.6663-0.51%2.763+3.10%0.0432✗1.16514k2022-03-21
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.2426.1028-0.52%26.75+1.94%0.0329✗1.29735k2022-03-21
UNIUniswapEthereum9.339.2812-0.52%9.35+0.21%0.0141✗1.036.0M2022-03-21
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.8327.6829-0.53%27.93+0.36%0.0163✗1.1340.2M2022-03-21
XVSVenusEthereum8.968.9122-0.53%9.37+4.58%0.0569✗1.043.0M2022-03-21
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5551.5466-0.54%1.531-1.54%0.0035✓1.01639k2022-03-21
DKAdKargoEthereum0.095090.09457-0.55%0.09486-0.24%0.0088✗0.8828k2022-03-21
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.3013.2824-0.56%3.313+0.36%0.0140✗0.72894k2022-03-21
MANADecentralandEthereum2.39922.3855-0.57%2.4089+0.41%0.0175✗1.171.3M2022-03-21
GITCOINGITCOIN6.4866.4484-0.58%6.529+0.66%0.0214✗1.3725k2022-03-21
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.06386.0287-0.58%6.1969+2.19%0.0302✗0.41179k2022-03-21
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0400720.039836-0.59%0.040344+0.68%0.0190✗0.964.1M2022-03-21
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15220.151302-0.59%0.1524+0.13%0.0140✗1.04205k2022-03-21
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.4651.4563-0.59%1.608+9.76%0.1075✗1.293.6M2022-03-21
ZECZcashZcash174.15173.1133-0.60%181.56+4.25%0.0540✗0.9813.0M2022-03-21
API3Api3Ethereum4.7734.7438-0.61%4.917+3.02%0.0400✗0.637.4M2022-03-21
UMAUMAEthereum7.5747.5273-0.62%7.575+0.01%0.0148✗1.296.0M2022-03-21
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.78090.776071-0.62%0.7969+2.05%0.0287✗0.34626k2022-03-21
DODODODOEthereum0.4190.4164-0.62%0.419+0.00%0.0135✗1.112.8M2022-03-21
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5661.5562-0.63%1.618+3.32%0.0455✗1.002.2M2022-03-21
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9654.9339-0.63%4.983+0.36%0.0142✗0.65629k2022-03-21
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.049680.049368-0.63%0.05358+7.85%0.0890✗1.09459k2022-03-21
COTICOTIEthereum0.20560.204307-0.63%0.212+3.11%0.0454✗1.291.8M2022-03-21
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018610.018493-0.63%0.01896+1.88%0.0318✗1.041.4M2022-03-21
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.20464.1772-0.65%4.1232-1.94%0.0087✓0.654.7M2022-03-21
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.22750.226016-0.65%0.2207-2.99%0.0173✓1.001.8M2022-03-21
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.8844.852-0.65%5.006+2.50%0.0374✗0.94102k2022-03-21
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.977.9176-0.66%8.09+1.51%0.0261✗0.702.6M2022-03-21
CVCCivicEthereum0.29940.297423-0.66%0.2933-2.04%0.0065✓1.13183k2022-03-21
ORCAOrcaSolana2.152.1358-0.66%2.15+0.00%0.0110✗0.67182k2022-03-21
LUNATerraTerra 290.4389.8067-0.69%95.82+5.96%0.0739✗1.399.1M2022-03-21
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.454.4192-0.69%4.42-0.67%0.0094✗1.41375k2022-03-21
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.23220.230584-0.70%0.23-0.95%0.0040✓1.00387k2022-03-21
XTZTezosTezos3.33623.3128-0.70%3.2407-2.86%0.0149✓1.081.1M2022-03-21
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.33940.33701-0.70%0.3439+1.33%0.0298✗1.469.9M2022-03-21
GALAGALAEthereum0.23320.231541-0.71%0.2358+1.11%0.0248✗1.00176k2022-03-21
GLMGolemEthereum0.49560.492049-0.72%0.4813-2.89%0.0155✓1.001.4M2022-03-21
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.121.112-0.72%1.12+0.00%0.0139✗1.03522k2022-03-21
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5494240.54548-0.72%0.550176+0.14%0.0154✗1.041.6M2022-03-21
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum49.8749.4985-0.74%50.17+0.60%0.0217✗1.264.8M2022-03-21
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.2186.1716-0.75%6.347+2.07%0.0346✗1.00462k2022-03-21
NANOnanopayBase2.212.1935-0.75%2.212+0.09%0.0159✗1.15139k2022-03-21
BANDBandEthereum3.5843.557-0.75%3.749+4.60%0.0599✗1.12622k2022-03-21
CELLCellframeEthereum1.47131.4599-0.77%1.499+1.88%0.0358✗1.43217k2022-03-21
FIDABonfidaSolana1.6471.634-0.79%1.687+2.43%0.0372✗0.8155k2022-03-21
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.075180.074587-0.79%0.07422-1.28%0.0020✓1.0657k2022-03-21
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003650.003621-0.80%0.00441+20.82%0.2063✗1.405.2M2022-03-21
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.000001180.00000117-0.83%0.00000118+0.05%0.0061✓-0.431.7M2022-03-21
LRCLoopringEthereum0.82210.815209-0.84%0.8075-1.78%0.0005✓1.37106k2022-03-21
KSMKusamaHydration152.19150.9058-0.84%154.99+1.84%0.0340✗1.12671k2022-03-21
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.2195.1747-0.85%4.971-4.75%0.0318✓1.282.5M2022-03-21
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.6232.6004-0.86%2.599-0.91%0.0060✓1.0053k2022-03-21
DASHDashDash115.63114.6225-0.87%123.68+6.96%0.0825✗0.981.7M2022-03-21
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.640.634171-0.91%0.64+0.00%0.0190✗1.50477k2022-03-21
MOVRMoonriverBase59.668559.1182-0.92%62.2596+4.34%0.0606✗1.34154k2022-03-21
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06620.065576-0.94%0.0625-5.59%0.0368✓1.7243.9M2022-03-21
WOOWOOEthereum0.60040.594432-0.99%0.599-0.23%0.0142✗1.005,0372022-03-21
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.86744.8185-1.01%4.8275-0.82%0.0080✓0.94208k2022-03-21
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07490.074138-1.02%0.07444-0.61%0.0093✓0.799,2172022-03-21
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.496.4239-1.02%6.55+0.92%0.0285✗1.39447k2022-03-21
AVTAventusEthereum2.432.4042-1.06%2.27-6.58%0.0549✓0.38309k2022-03-21
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07050.069745-1.07%0.0712+0.99%0.0284✗1.19337k2022-03-21
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.16882.1452-1.09%2.3043+6.25%0.0762✗0.7213k2022-03-21
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.716.6367-1.09%6.45-3.87%0.0237✓0.73822k2022-03-21
QTUMQtumQtum6.97876.8982-1.15%6.8236-2.22%0.0036✓1.1197k2022-03-21
AUCTIONBounceEthereum17.3517.1493-1.16%16.52-4.78%0.0295✓1.20426k2022-03-21
BFCBifrostEthereum0.153170.151398-1.16%0.15226-0.59%0.0113✓0.8614k2022-03-21
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.4371.4197-1.20%1.518+5.64%0.0736✗1.011.4M2022-03-21
SUNSun TokenTron0.014170.013995-1.24%0.012814-9.57%0.0823✓0.9011k2022-03-21
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.92660.914964-1.26%0.9468+2.18%0.0422✗1.224.7M2022-03-21
RADRadworksEthereum4.854.7869-1.30%4.74-2.27%0.0041✓0.87567k2022-03-21
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.2386.152-1.38%6.191-0.75%0.0094✓0.475.1M2022-03-21
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0248050.024447-1.44%0.025644+3.38%0.0527✗0.75202k2022-03-21
PROPropyEthereum1.721.6949-1.46%1.59-7.56%0.0572✓1.02228k2022-03-21
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1034.0422-1.48%3.851-6.14%0.0444✓0.62656k2022-03-21
IMXImmutableEthereum2.1862.1515-1.58%2.141-2.06%0.0015✓0.983.8M2022-03-21
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.032550.032013-1.65%0.03588+10.23%0.1250✗1.6813.3M2022-03-21
HIGHHighstreetEthereum5.6925.5846-1.89%5.967+4.83%0.0728✗1.00464k2022-03-21
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.2137.4704-1.94%38.41+0.52%0.0311✗0.973.8M2022-03-21
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.044860.043992-1.94%0.03903-13.00%0.1154✓0.65963k2022-03-21
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain9.20078.9743-2.46%8.9526-2.70%0.0041✓1.0048.8M2022-03-21
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.8140.77723-4.52%0.694-14.74%0.1057✓1.162.1M2022-03-21
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.