8=======>

2022-03-15 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 156 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2327
156 of 156 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+15.91%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
27.6%
in alpha space · 23.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.67%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (156 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0196930.019861+0.85%0.028109+42.74%0.3334✓0.84143k2022-04-14
TRXTRONTron0.0605530.060936+0.63%0.060142-0.68%0.0240✗0.66282k2022-04-14
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.23480.235036+0.10%0.2465+4.98%0.0340✓0.822.0M2022-04-14
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,353.6039,113.72-0.61%40,027.20+1.71%0.0073✗0.9652k2022-04-14
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6110.606507-0.74%0.761+24.55%0.2118✗0.912.4M2022-04-14
XEMNEMnative0.09450.093741-0.80%0.0988+4.55%0.0388✗0.8339k2022-04-14
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,298.1038,860.13-1.11%39,954.08+1.67%0.0112✗1.00645.2M2022-04-14
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.37550.370627-1.30%0.5744+52.97%0.4174✗1.25397k2022-04-14
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.855.7598-1.54%5.86+0.17%0.0055✓0.71927k2022-04-14
SUSHISushiEthereum2.922.8713-1.67%3.21+9.93%0.0924✗1.165.7M2022-04-14
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06820.067055-1.68%0.1187+74.05%0.5558✗0.92151k2022-04-14
RADRadworksEthereum4.344.263-1.77%4.59+5.76%0.0596✗0.86521k2022-04-14
XVGVergenative0.008720.008555-1.90%0.01066+22.25%0.2008✗1.161.5M2022-04-14
COMPCompoundEthereum104.05102.0044-1.97%144.31+38.69%0.3288✗1.0946k2022-04-14
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011850.011613-2.00%0.01169-1.35%0.0051✓0.719,6662022-04-14
LCXLCXEthereum0.08630.084525-2.06%0.1149+33.14%0.2867✗1.23522k2022-04-14
LTCLitecoinLitecoin106.94104.7211-2.07%107.38+0.41%0.0085✓1.0025.9M2022-04-14
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.713.4072-2.14%13.64-0.44%0.0003✓1.0642.8M2022-04-14
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.612.3306-2.14%14.91+18.33%0.1721✗1.08388k2022-04-14
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.2372.1855-2.30%3.787+69.29%0.5319✗1.08534k2022-04-14
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000021620.000021119-2.32%0.00002578+19.24%0.1801✗1.172.9M2022-04-14
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.9521.9048-2.42%2.227+14.09%0.1352✗1.279.4M2022-04-14
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash289.44282.4268-2.42%337.54+16.62%0.1629✗0.936.6M2022-04-14
ZENHorizenBase35.9335.0333-2.50%38.04+5.87%0.0613✗1.27244k2022-04-14
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.192.1341-2.55%2.27+3.65%0.0458✗0.96140k2022-04-14
SCSiacoinnative0.008670.008447-2.57%0.01055+21.68%0.2042✗1.09472k2022-04-14
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.8225.1368-2.65%37.06+43.53%0.3721✗0.974.3M2022-04-14
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV75.8473.8285-2.65%84.83+11.85%0.1266✗0.74974k2022-04-14
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2333.1442-2.75%3.787+17.14%0.1742✗0.71344k2022-04-14
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.718.1826-2.77%20.73+10.86%0.1096✗1.30291k2022-04-14
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.70310.683608-2.77%0.6632-5.67%0.0465✓0.987.4M2022-04-14
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1125620.109423-2.79%0.143933+27.87%0.2607✗0.812.8M2022-04-14
HIVEHivenative0.83410.810518-2.83%0.9171+9.95%0.1051✗1.111.8M2022-04-14
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.045530.044212-2.89%0.05072+11.40%0.1198✗1.06440k2022-04-14
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2210.214577-2.91%0.267+20.81%0.2050✗0.8242k2022-04-14
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.3412.95-2.92%13.99+4.87%0.0564✗1.262.2M2022-04-14
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.017620.017094-2.98%0.01879+6.64%0.0687✗1.5612.7M2022-04-14
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.536.3307-3.05%5.53-15.31%0.1477✓0.75789k2022-04-14
DOTPolkadotPolkadot17.8117.2623-3.08%17.91+0.56%0.0190✓1.0824.2M2022-04-14
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.1991.1618-3.10%1.351+12.68%0.1304✗1.242.5M2022-04-14
ETHEthereumEthereum2,619.152,536.31-3.16%3,021.78+15.37%0.1581✗1.03501.7M2022-04-14
DASHDashDash95.1492.0839-3.21%106.24+11.67%0.1264✗1.001.6M2022-04-14
XVSVenusEthereum8.498.2134-3.26%9.85+16.02%0.1644✗1.043.2M2022-04-14
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.9414.7796-3.27%4.991+1.01%0.0280✓0.9276k2022-04-14
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1341.0965-3.30%1.272+12.17%0.1326✗0.962.9M2022-04-14
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3251.281-3.32%1.523+14.94%0.1506✗1.35565k2022-04-14
MINAMina Protocolnative1.641.5851-3.34%2.3+40.24%0.3555✗1.01336k2022-04-14
KCSKuCoinnative18.0817.4725-3.36%19.589+8.35%0.0993✗0.917.5M2022-04-14
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana12.7712.3225-3.50%13.81+8.14%0.1069✗0.433.1M2022-04-14
STORJStorjEthereum10.964887-3.51%1.0781+7.81%0.0928✗1.10112k2022-04-14
QTUMQtumQtum5.7215.5171-3.56%6.5264+14.08%0.1493✗1.13102k2022-04-14
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,500.0417,835.49-3.59%18,829.61+1.78%0.0390✗0.925.0M2022-04-14
AAVEAaveEthereum122.06117.6038-3.65%172.03+40.94%0.3603✗1.217.0M2022-04-14
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040090.03862-3.67%0.04517+12.67%0.1426✗0.8526k2022-04-14
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4906420.472608-3.68%0.743723+51.58%0.4363✗1.031.9M2022-04-14
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5593.4277-3.69%3.642+2.33%0.0505✗0.61457k2022-04-14
FTTFTXEthereum41.0239.5018-3.70%41.71+1.68%0.0372✓1.0415.5M2022-04-14
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.126.0897-3.73%26.65-1.66%0.0064✓0.90846k2022-04-14
AMPAmpEthereum0.024520.0236-3.75%0.02247-8.36%0.0612✓0.743.0M2022-04-14
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.016170.015562-3.76%0.01774+9.71%0.1145✗0.991.3M2022-04-14
CTSICartesiEthereum0.31170.299978-3.76%0.3566+14.40%0.1512✗1.31857k2022-04-14
GTGateEthereum6.3056.0666-3.78%6.5869+4.47%0.0716✗0.653.0M2022-04-14
SOLSolanaSolana82.8579.7161-3.78%100.76+21.62%0.2138✗1.2496.5M2022-04-14
QNTQuantEthereum110.23105.9812-3.85%112.42+1.99%0.0438✗0.924.6M2022-04-14
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.42590.409292-3.90%0.3639-14.56%0.1372✓1.198.4M2022-04-14
BTTCBTTC0.000001760.000001691-3.91%0.00000194+10.23%0.1273✗0.6013.2M2022-04-14
XTZTezosTezos2.97672.8599-3.93%3.1012+4.18%0.0629✗1.101.2M2022-04-14
UOSUltraEthereum1.12061.0766-3.93%1.0173-9.22%0.0780✓1.292.4M2022-04-14
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011060.010624-3.94%0.01066-3.62%0.0168✓1.223.1M2022-04-14
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.2210.7768-3.95%15.2+35.47%0.3353✗0.521.2M2022-04-14
KSMKusamaHydration125.47120.4634-3.99%161+28.32%0.2717✗1.11664k2022-04-14
CBKCobakEthereum2.1062.0205-4.06%2.26+7.31%0.0992✗0.7721k2022-04-14
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.711.6405-4.06%2.08+21.64%0.2164✗1.271.3M2022-04-14
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.62073.4735-4.07%5.446+50.41%0.4399✗0.593.9M2022-04-14
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.784470.752393-4.09%0.7208-8.12%0.0613✓1.11111k2022-04-14
XLMStellarStellar0.1826270.175144-4.10%0.193926+6.19%0.0854✗0.9918.9M2022-04-14
XYMSymbolnative0.13170.126248-4.14%0.1172-11.01%0.0874✓0.79296k2022-04-14
ADACardanoCardano0.79920.766005-4.15%0.9325+16.68%0.1801✗1.0066.9M2022-04-14
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7710.738831-4.17%0.864+12.06%0.1348✗1.311.9M2022-04-14
FILFilecoinFilecoin16.8116.1034-4.20%18.67+11.06%0.1318✗0.976.2M2022-04-14
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.02643.8544-4.27%4.5257+12.40%0.1452✗0.93198k2022-04-14
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.920.879653-4.39%1.26+36.96%0.3456✗0.831.0M2022-04-14
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.49960.47758-4.41%0.5012+0.32%0.0359✓0.75436k2022-04-14
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche69.8366.7398-4.43%76.84+10.04%0.1200✗1.26116.5M2022-04-14
UNIUniswapEthereum8.728.3339-4.43%9.48+8.72%0.1122✗1.016.1M2022-04-14
ZECZcashZcash136.27130.0571-4.56%144.19+5.81%0.0879✗0.928.6M2022-04-14
XECeCashnative0.000079530.000075857-4.62%0.00009211+15.82%0.1783✗0.964.5M2022-04-14
LRCLoopringEthereum0.67740.64595-4.64%0.8837+30.45%0.2917✗1.31106k2022-04-14
COTICOTIEthereum0.19170.182783-4.65%0.2529+31.92%0.3035✗1.281.9M2022-04-14
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4524.2444-4.66%6.226+39.85%0.3721✗0.67522k2022-04-14
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.71630.682629-4.70%0.7269+1.48%0.0462✓1.0118.1M2022-04-14
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.813.6301-4.72%4.2+10.24%0.1232✗1.37341k2022-04-14
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1010.096202-4.75%0.248+145.54%0.9383✗0.5239k2022-04-14
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3541.2895-4.76%1.514+11.82%0.1446✗0.96593k2022-04-14
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.9373.7471-4.82%5.205+32.21%0.3080✗1.242.3M2022-04-14
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.866.5233-4.91%5.86-14.58%0.1197✓0.75764k2022-04-14
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum15.8415.0609-4.92%16.5+4.17%0.0745✗1.0114.4M2022-04-14
CVCCivicEthereum0.25360.241037-4.95%0.2861+12.82%0.1527✗1.13192k2022-04-14
AVTAventusEthereum2.312.195-4.98%2.5+8.23%0.1229✗0.44288k2022-04-14
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4811.407-5.00%2.094+41.39%0.3815✗0.971.7M2022-04-14
STXStacksnative1.211.1494-5.01%1.18-2.48%0.0110✓0.92444k2022-04-14
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.0621.8953-5.05%23.88+3.56%0.0661✗1.25749k2022-04-14
MANADecentralandEthereum2.27292.1561-5.14%2.1197-6.74%0.0364✓1.172.1M2022-04-14
XMRMoneroMonero183.37173.9244-5.15%229.43+25.12%0.2616✗0.931.7M2022-04-14
DKAdKargoEthereum0.091710.086866-5.28%0.09434+2.87%0.0681✗0.8730k2022-04-14
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.023950.022674-5.33%0.02661+11.11%0.1427✗1.05319k2022-04-14
GITCOINGITCOIN5.3635.0769-5.33%5.833+8.76%0.1176✗1.2825k2022-04-14
LSKLiskEthereum2.0191.911-5.35%2.1416+6.07%0.1005✗0.81117k2022-04-14
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.6990.661485-5.37%0.7774+11.22%0.1560✗0.33799k2022-04-14
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.074590.070554-5.41%0.0776+4.04%0.0818✗0.819,6412022-04-14
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.020.963939-5.50%1.08+5.88%0.0974✗0.99553k2022-04-14
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.88733.6736-5.50%4.1422+6.56%0.1097✗0.622.6M2022-04-14
PROPropyEthereum1.421.3408-5.58%2.7+90.14%0.6825✗1.06242k2022-04-14
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14510.13699-5.59%0.1366-5.86%0.0199✓1.03244k2022-04-14
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11950.112807-5.60%0.1946+62.85%0.5258✗1.172.5M2022-04-14
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.9125.3795-5.69%23.96-10.96%0.0763✓1.1341.1M2022-04-14
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.039170.036926-5.73%0.036502-6.81%0.0273✓0.955.1M2022-04-14
DODODODOEthereum0.3770.355333-5.75%0.406+7.69%0.1154✗1.082.8M2022-04-14
MOVRMoonriverBase49.27146.4295-5.77%57.0796+15.85%0.1846✗1.32160k2022-04-14
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.072110.067893-5.85%0.07595+5.33%0.0946✗1.0660k2022-04-14
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5111.42-6.03%1.801+19.19%0.2224✗0.933.4M2022-04-14
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.71260.668125-6.24%1.0898+52.93%0.4690✗1.233.4M2022-04-14
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.035420.033203-6.26%0.03635+2.63%0.0787✗0.71979k2022-04-14
API3Api3Ethereum4.6754.3715-6.49%3.987-14.72%0.1022✓0.617.0M2022-04-14
CHZChilizEthereum0.19140.178892-6.53%0.237+23.82%0.2621✗1.162.3M2022-04-14
DIADIAEthereum0.890.831587-6.56%0.88-1.12%0.0507✓0.36271k2022-04-14
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.5024.1981-6.75%4.6+2.18%0.0761✗0.93107k2022-04-14
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.37340.348115-6.77%0.4158+11.36%0.1455✗1.952.1M2022-04-14
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.3594.9864-6.95%4.783-10.75%0.0490✓0.453.4M2022-04-14
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.05542.84-7.05%4.5082+47.55%0.4484✗0.834.7M2022-04-14
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.9055.4826-7.15%5.7525-2.58%0.0413✓0.41186k2022-04-14
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06530.060616-7.17%0.0667+2.14%0.0766✗1.15402k2022-04-14
ORCAOrcaSolana2.011.8623-7.35%1.87-6.97%0.0068✓0.66192k2022-04-14
FIDABonfidaSolana1.5961.4782-7.38%1.468-8.02%0.0206✓0.8255k2022-04-14
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum46.8643.3421-7.51%46.8-0.13%0.0562✓1.244.9M2022-04-14
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.927.3134-7.66%7.5-5.30%0.0135✓0.701.4M2022-04-14
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003450.003174-8.01%0.00407+17.97%0.2248✗1.455.3M2022-04-14
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.590.54258-8.04%0.63+6.78%0.1248✗1.48550k2022-04-14
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05440.049989-8.11%0.0522-4.04%0.0153✓1.6942.5M2022-04-14
CELLCellframeEthereum1.351.2402-8.13%1.0084-25.30%0.2301✓1.40289k2022-04-14
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4620.424368-8.15%0.538+16.45%0.2185✗1.131.8M2022-04-14
BANDBandEthereum3.4463.1505-8.57%3.778+9.63%0.1636✗1.09658k2022-04-14
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.364.8966-8.65%5.84+8.96%0.1547✗1.30534k2022-04-14
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.33440.305186-8.74%0.3477+3.98%0.1054✗1.5110.5M2022-04-14
UMAUMAEthereum7.6386.9684-8.77%6.328-17.15%0.1181✓1.316.0M2022-04-14
NANOnanopayBase1.71271.5569-9.10%2.1827+27.45%0.3199✗1.09118k2022-04-14
WOOWOOEthereum0.43220.392402-9.21%0.4818+11.48%0.1887✗1.004,6242022-04-14
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum5.7735.2204-9.57%6.39+10.69%0.1856✗1.00460k2022-04-14
GALAGALAEthereum0.21510.19439-9.63%0.1976-8.14%0.0002✓1.00168k2022-04-14
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.4022.1515-10.43%2.177-9.37%0.0048✓1.0052k2022-04-14
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.04681.8306-10.56%2.4591+20.14%0.2836✗0.7016k2022-04-14
BFCBifrostEthereum0.143610.1277-11.08%0.14245-0.81%0.0957✓0.8215k2022-04-14
LUNATerraTerra 288.5777.1186-12.93%81.5-7.98%0.0319✓1.418.4M2022-04-14
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000011299.69e-7-14.23%8.55e-7-24.33%0.1418✓1.001.7M2022-04-14
SUNSun TokenTron0.011450.009642-15.79%0.014761+28.92%0.4102✗0.9511k2022-04-14
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain8.2326.7381-18.15%5.6667-31.16%0.1897✓1.0031.1M2022-04-14
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.