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2022-03-06 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 156 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3798
156 of 156 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+22.81%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
30.1%
in alpha space · 7.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+18.48%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (156 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000016120.000001303-19.16%7.72e-7-52.10%0.6929✓1.001.1M2022-04-05
ORCAOrcaSolana2.262.0119-10.98%2.23-1.33%0.0294✓0.78393k2022-04-05
LUNATerraTerra 279.2370.7948-10.65%116.27+46.75%0.2554✗1.425.3M2022-04-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.43832.1947-9.99%7.7193+216.59%1.0881✗1.0010.1M2022-04-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0115720.010421-9.95%0.016174+39.77%0.2674✗1.0212k2022-04-05
UMAUMAEthereum8.4117.607-9.56%7.841-6.78%0.2017✓1.372.4M2022-04-05
GALAGALAEthereum0.21570.195454-9.39%0.2486+15.25%0.0709✓1.00179k2022-04-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana17.315.7289-9.08%14.63-15.43%0.1722✓0.592.9M2022-04-05
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.6792.4407-8.90%2.835+5.82%0.0198✓1.0054k2022-04-05
API3Api3Ethereum5.5595.0682-8.83%5.631+1.30%0.0012✓0.617.0M2022-04-05
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.3985.8347-8.80%7.591+18.65%0.0936✗1.00702k2022-04-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.145430.13309-8.48%0.16751+15.18%0.0695✓0.9518k2022-04-05
FIDABonfidaSolana1.7941.6439-8.37%1.956+9.03%0.0194✓0.9168k2022-04-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.2272.0408-8.36%3.0093+35.13%0.2500✗0.822.7M2022-04-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06870.063338-7.81%0.0875+27.37%0.1115✗1.251.0M2022-04-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.4180.385721-7.72%0.5284+26.41%0.0375✓2.082.3M2022-04-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05240.048376-7.68%0.0619+18.13%0.0479✓1.7458.1M2022-04-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.20750.192336-7.31%0.2591+24.87%0.0784✗1.292.8M2022-04-05
DIADIAEthereum0.950.881291-7.23%1.06+11.58%0.1250✗0.35277k2022-04-05
WOOWOOEthereum0.44390.411848-7.22%0.56+26.15%0.1377✗1.004,6172022-04-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.797.2304-7.18%9.46+21.44%0.1358✗0.78547k2022-04-05
BANDBandEthereum3.7063.4455-7.03%5.046+36.16%0.1779✗1.201.5M2022-04-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.1426.3213-6.46%29.3+4.12%0.0996✓1.2248.9M2022-04-05
LSKLiskEthereum2.08031.9488-6.32%2.4335+16.98%0.0623✓0.9482k2022-04-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034830.032634-6.31%0.041+17.71%0.0959✗0.781.1M2022-04-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0428860.04021-6.24%0.041517-3.19%0.1454✓1.058.1M2022-04-05
MOVRMoonriverBase55.60752.179-6.16%77.5258+39.42%0.1620✗1.38223k2022-04-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.025140.023591-6.16%0.03424+36.20%0.1652✗1.22500k2022-04-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.640.600655-6.15%0.78+21.88%0.0229✓1.68928k2022-04-05
AVTAventusEthereum2.312.1711-6.01%3.16+36.80%0.3088✗0.39422k2022-04-05
BTTCBTTC0.000001780.000001675-5.89%0.00000212+19.10%0.1254✗0.6513.5M2022-04-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.50290.473536-5.84%0.5927+17.86%0.0851✗0.82522k2022-04-05
STXStacksnative1.081.0172-5.81%1.4+29.63%0.1207✗1.17480k2022-04-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.8227.172-5.72%31.3+8.61%0.0201✓0.951.4M2022-04-05
DODODODOEthereum0.3950.37243-5.71%0.505+27.85%0.1035✗1.193.9M2022-04-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06720.06345-5.58%0.08731+29.93%0.1642✗0.9113k2022-04-05
GTGateEthereum6.80766.4293-5.56%6.9814+2.55%0.0363✓0.702.8M2022-04-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.050.04723-5.54%0.05595+11.90%0.0265✓1.16562k2022-04-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.71120.67243-5.45%1.1027+55.05%0.2520✗1.43221k2022-04-05
CELLCellframeEthereum1.38891.3133-5.44%1.4106+1.56%0.1469✓1.29293k2022-04-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.32430.306711-5.42%0.4358+34.38%0.0765✗1.6211.7M2022-04-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.7490.708956-5.35%0.9796+30.79%0.2686✗0.321.2M2022-04-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.066620.063061-5.34%0.09085+36.37%0.1671✗1.1754k2022-04-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003770.003569-5.33%0.00506+34.22%0.0739✗1.625.7M2022-04-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.585.2886-5.22%7.36+31.90%0.0941✗1.39829k2022-04-05
PROPropyEthereum1.661.5733-5.22%1.56-6.02%0.2047✓1.16363k2022-04-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum48.8346.3257-5.13%61.64+26.23%0.0605✗1.336.3M2022-04-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14410.136812-5.06%0.1668+15.75%0.0266✓1.01318k2022-04-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.824.5797-4.99%6.173+28.07%0.1335✗0.97168k2022-04-05
XMRMoneroMonero158.98151.2179-4.88%222.25+39.80%0.2151✗1.001.5M2022-04-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8762.7361-4.87%4.147+44.19%0.2799✗0.80436k2022-04-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,244.5217,368.87-4.80%23,562.70+29.15%0.1368✗0.995.4M2022-04-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.4617.5744-4.80%24.87+34.72%0.1726✗1.038.4M2022-04-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.615.8102-4.76%21.06+26.87%0.0975✗1.1218.2M2022-04-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.08290.079004-4.70%0.134+61.64%0.2703✗1.52582k2022-04-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.10.095321-4.68%0.218+118.00%0.7249✗0.6044k2022-04-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.39.8194-4.67%16.16+56.89%0.3987✗0.59984k2022-04-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche72.4769.0963-4.66%91.07+25.67%0.0409✓1.39123.1M2022-04-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3693.2126-4.64%5.9+75.13%0.5195✗0.521.1M2022-04-05
XTZTezosTezos2.97382.8359-4.64%3.6763+23.62%0.0476✗1.251.6M2022-04-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.05041.9559-4.61%2.6355+28.54%0.1698✗0.7625k2022-04-05
MANADecentralandEthereum2.41462.3055-4.52%2.5632+6.16%0.1122✓1.293.1M2022-04-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.026060.02489-4.49%0.02734+4.91%0.0373✓0.773.8M2022-04-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4471.3825-4.46%1.932+33.52%0.1516✗1.081.8M2022-04-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.92252.7928-4.44%4.5666+56.26%0.3667✗0.742.3M2022-04-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01140.010904-4.35%0.01413+23.95%0.0306✓1.353.0M2022-04-05
HIVEHivenative0.870.832202-4.34%1.0699+22.98%0.0430✓1.232.0M2022-04-05
UOSUltraEthereum1.19011.1391-4.29%1.2849+7.97%0.1192✓1.412.9M2022-04-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.25710.246245-4.22%0.3454+34.34%0.1296✗1.23251k2022-04-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.69290.664058-4.16%0.8231+18.79%0.0389✓1.049.3M2022-04-05
ETHEthereumEthereum2,550.772,444.73-4.16%3,407.00+33.57%0.1481✗1.08546.1M2022-04-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.7783.6235-4.09%5.4681+44.74%0.2261✗1.09244k2022-04-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.5533.4081-4.08%6.131+72.56%0.3790✗1.232.1M2022-04-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum22.0821.1837-4.06%27.35+23.87%0.0252✓1.361.3M2022-04-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.172.0827-4.02%2.68+23.50%0.0814✗1.01199k2022-04-05
QTUMQtumQtum5.77635.546-3.99%7.815+35.29%0.1267✗1.28184k2022-04-05
NANOnanopayBase1.691.6227-3.98%2.7111+60.42%0.3199✗1.14171k2022-04-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11120.106879-3.89%0.2476+122.66%0.6332✗1.223.2M2022-04-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.3074.1416-3.84%7.208+67.36%0.4201✗0.79481k2022-04-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3421.2927-3.67%1.697+26.45%0.0182✓1.50797k2022-04-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,408.3837,039.42-3.56%45,506.50+18.48%0.0363✓1.00645.2M2022-04-05
RADRadworksEthereum4.94.7297-3.48%5.61+14.49%0.0060✓0.97862k2022-04-05
XECeCashnative0.00006990.000067475-3.47%0.00011097+58.76%0.3196✗1.054.4M2022-04-05
ZENHorizenBase33.2632.1135-3.45%46.09+38.57%0.1323✗1.35280k2022-04-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.087260.084281-3.41%0.11273+29.19%0.1266✗0.9742k2022-04-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.3220.311235-3.34%0.4533+40.78%0.1370✗1.41997k2022-04-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.9916.4251-3.33%21.78+28.19%0.0822✗1.1826.1M2022-04-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.711.6538-3.29%2.34+36.84%0.1197✗1.341.8M2022-04-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.017010.016451-3.29%0.02099+23.40%0.0624✗1.072.0M2022-04-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.7322.643-3.26%4.075+49.16%0.2907✗0.84311k2022-04-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.74620.721907-3.26%0.8348+11.87%0.0448✓1.1219.4M2022-04-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0179160.017357-3.12%0.029398+64.09%0.3859✗0.83143k2022-04-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2420.234569-3.07%0.318+31.40%0.1678✗0.8066k2022-04-05
KCSKuCoinnative18.06117.5072-3.07%21.065+16.63%0.0133✓1.018.9M2022-04-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.67950.658916-3.03%1.2666+86.40%0.4324✗1.302.8M2022-04-05
FTTFTXEthereum39.8138.6118-3.01%48.55+21.95%0.0416✗1.1119.2M2022-04-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.2111.1746-3.00%1.81+49.46%0.2220✗1.242.4M2022-04-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012170.011806-2.99%0.01325+8.87%0.0134✓0.7612k2022-04-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.3212.924-2.97%16.75+25.75%0.0617✗1.1749.3M2022-04-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.4712.1055-2.92%15.95+27.91%0.0868✗1.11331k2022-04-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.980.952885-2.77%1.501+53.16%0.2817✗1.021.1M2022-04-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.37095.2225-2.76%5.7502+7.06%0.0331✗0.37274k2022-04-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.823.7148-2.75%5.3+38.74%0.1020✗1.49391k2022-04-05
XYMSymbolnative0.1360.132377-2.66%0.1439+5.81%0.0542✓0.81296k2022-04-05
ZECZcashZcash107.41104.5829-2.63%165.55+54.13%0.2701✗1.127.4M2022-04-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash282.11274.6938-2.63%365.33+29.50%0.1252✗0.947.2M2022-04-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.286.1178-2.58%7.14+13.69%0.0177✓0.811.1M2022-04-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.111.0815-2.57%1.45+30.63%0.1204✗1.02718k2022-04-05
UNIUniswapEthereum8.488.2691-2.49%11.12+31.13%0.1057✗1.128.8M2022-04-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.7022.6352-2.47%4.347+60.88%0.3110✗1.12612k2022-04-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4788140.466997-2.47%0.805768+68.28%0.3609✗1.092.6M2022-04-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.038260.037349-2.38%0.05121+33.85%0.1608✗0.9129k2022-04-05
XVSVenusEthereum8.478.2798-2.25%12.6+48.76%0.2159✗1.203.6M2022-04-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.31.2709-2.24%1.839+41.46%0.1941✗1.03878k2022-04-05
SOLSolanaSolana84.5782.6807-2.23%126.9+50.05%0.2099✗1.29117.0M2022-04-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.617.2083-2.23%26.52+50.68%0.1972✗1.39312k2022-04-05
SUSHISushiEthereum2.912.8463-2.19%4.09+40.55%0.1621✗1.186.5M2022-04-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.1970.192697-2.18%0.3125+58.63%0.2347✗1.472.4M2022-04-05
ADACardanoCardano0.8230.805613-2.11%1.1705+42.22%0.1874✗1.1086.2M2022-04-05
XVGVergenative0.009210.009026-2.00%0.01268+37.68%0.1392✗1.181.4M2022-04-05
DASHDashDash85.5983.8792-2.00%126.99+48.37%0.2312✗1.081.5M2022-04-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV77.7276.2406-1.90%95.41+22.76%0.0919✗0.78905k2022-04-05
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1521.1309-1.83%2.334+102.60%0.5455✗1.063.3M2022-04-05
STORJStorjEthereum0.914780.898193-1.81%1.2783+39.74%0.1381✗1.27133k2022-04-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.975.8621-1.81%6.51+9.05%0.0355✓0.83560k2022-04-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.22940.225345-1.77%0.2898+26.33%0.0982✗0.902.0M2022-04-05
AAVEAaveEthereum116.73114.6942-1.74%221.05+89.37%0.4313✗1.337.0M2022-04-05
COMPCompoundEthereum102100.2511-1.71%153.42+50.41%0.2265✗1.1749k2022-04-05
XEMNEMnative0.09550.093878-1.70%0.1147+20.10%0.0499✗0.8940k2022-04-05
QNTQuantEthereum110.38108.5779-1.63%133.48+20.93%0.0306✗1.046.0M2022-04-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.9834.9022-1.62%5.547+11.32%0.0394✓0.9673k2022-04-05
XLMStellarStellar0.1727910.17021-1.49%0.225057+30.25%0.1007✗1.0519.2M2022-04-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.98122.9377-1.46%5.3802+80.47%0.4827✗0.723.6M2022-04-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.5526.1926-1.35%44.4+67.23%0.3504✗1.055.2M2022-04-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum38,936.9038,418.71-1.33%45,530.80+16.93%0.0076✓0.9653k2022-04-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7750.765285-1.25%1.133+46.19%0.1771✗1.272.3M2022-04-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.42550.420467-1.18%0.7228+69.87%0.3017✗1.42455k2022-04-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000023550.000023283-1.13%0.00002676+13.63%0.0716✓1.243.9M2022-04-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.062.0371-1.11%2.806+36.21%0.0762✗1.4411.8M2022-04-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.0313.8772-1.09%18.86+34.43%0.0750✗1.372.5M2022-04-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1206790.119365-1.09%0.172689+43.10%0.2158✗0.913.7M2022-04-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.638430.63163-1.07%0.84089+31.71%0.0663✗1.30156k2022-04-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.3290.325635-1.02%0.4596+39.70%0.1217✗1.318.4M2022-04-05
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0881.0775-0.97%1.449+33.18%0.1176✗1.053.0M2022-04-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.15.0519-0.94%6.7+31.37%0.1424✗0.83592k2022-04-05
MINAMina Protocolnative1.921.9022-0.93%3.25+69.27%0.3469✗1.11363k2022-04-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2710.268552-0.90%0.545+101.11%0.4941✗1.262.1M2022-04-05
CBKCobakEthereum2.1082.0938-0.67%2.605+23.58%0.0747✗0.8521k2022-04-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin101.1100.5481-0.55%122.76+21.42%0.0180✗1.0728.6M2022-04-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.660.65698-0.46%0.89+34.85%0.1395✗0.972.6M2022-04-05
SCSiacoinnative0.008450.008469+0.22%0.01263+49.47%0.2014✓1.17514k2022-04-05
GITCOINGITCOIN5.5865.61+0.43%7.394+32.37%0.0425✓1.3825k2022-04-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06780.068168+0.54%0.1185+74.78%0.3848✓0.99159k2022-04-05
KSMKusamaHydration119.71121.1004+1.16%179.78+50.18%0.2031✓1.13834k2022-04-05
TRXTRONTron0.0588750.059847+1.65%0.069272+17.66%0.0207✓0.74299k2022-04-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.011990.012315+2.71%0.02894+141.37%0.5999✓1.5012.7M2022-04-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.