8=======>

2022-03-02 · +1d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 152 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.1596
152 of 152 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-5.05%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
33.6%
in alpha space · 78.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.30%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (152 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025910.000025898-0.05%0.00002507-3.24%0.0095✗1.253.9M2022-03-03
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040780.04074-0.10%0.03967-2.72%0.0066✗0.9929k2022-03-03
XEMNEMnative0.10640.10629-0.10%0.1029-3.29%0.0002✓0.9740k2022-03-03
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012350.012337-0.11%0.01236+0.08%0.0267✗0.7413k2022-03-03
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1330810.132875-0.15%0.129579-2.63%0.0064✗0.943.7M2022-03-03
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV86.1185.9702-0.16%83.45-3.09%0.0015✓0.84905k2022-03-03
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.03223.0272-0.17%2.95-2.71%0.0035✗0.873.6M2022-03-03
LTCLitecoinLitecoin110.35110.1635-0.17%111.69+1.21%0.0513✗1.1229.5M2022-03-03
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.716.6977-0.18%6.42-4.32%0.0253✓0.511.2M2022-03-03
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7030.701621-0.20%0.714+1.56%0.0536✗1.082.6M2022-03-03
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.02973.0233-0.21%2.9519-2.57%0.0057✗0.882.4M2022-03-03
TRXTRONTron0.0615050.061374-0.21%0.060032-2.39%0.0037✗0.77307k2022-03-03
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.016340.016304-0.22%0.01525-6.67%0.0158✓1.5212.7M2022-03-03
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07540.075233-0.22%0.072-4.51%0.0107✓0.99157k2022-03-03
GITCOINGITCOIN6.76.6851-0.22%6.363-5.03%0.0028✓1.3927k2022-03-03
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash320.43319.7103-0.22%315.29-1.60%0.0186✗0.977.3M2022-03-03
QTUMQtumQtum6.48676.472-0.23%6.3922-1.46%0.0326✗1.34257k2022-03-03
NANOnanopayBase1.87821.8739-0.23%1.868-0.54%0.0363✗1.18179k2022-03-03
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12990.129597-0.23%0.1221-6.00%0.0162✓1.303.2M2022-03-03
XYMSymbolnative0.1490.148645-0.24%0.146-2.01%0.0092✗0.81294k2022-03-03
CBKCobakEthereum2.2982.2924-0.24%2.212-3.74%0.0051✓0.9123k2022-03-03
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25710.256472-0.24%0.249-3.15%0.0010✓0.912.0M2022-03-03
DASHDashDash100.9100.6517-0.25%96.75-4.11%0.0017✓1.131.5M2022-03-03
AMPAmpEthereum0.028320.02825-0.25%0.02753-2.79%0.0001✓0.774.0M2022-03-03
KCSKuCoinnative20.35520.3035-0.25%19.526-4.07%0.0059✓0.999.1M2022-03-03
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.82040.818318-0.25%0.7967-2.89%0.0111✗1.1319.9M2022-03-03
MINAMina Protocolnative2.132.1243-0.27%2.04-4.23%0.0015✓1.16354k2022-03-03
SCSiacoinnative0.009570.009544-0.27%0.00902-5.75%0.0142✓1.26563k2022-03-03
ADACardanoCardano0.93940.936827-0.27%0.9021-3.97%0.0001✓1.1296.3M2022-03-03
ETHEthereumEthereum2,948.562,940.34-0.28%2,833.66-3.90%0.0020✓1.04581.4M2022-03-03
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche83.4283.1839-0.28%78.49-5.91%0.0102✓1.43120.2M2022-03-03
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.3730.283-0.29%30.05-1.05%0.0235✗0.931.5M2022-03-03
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,912.3443,786.01-0.29%42,464.41-3.30%0.0029✓1.00632.3M2022-03-03
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.730470.728336-0.29%0.7113-2.62%0.0223✗1.37200k2022-03-03
ETCEthereum Classicnative29.5229.4326-0.30%30.25+2.47%0.0635✗1.085.2M2022-03-03
XLMStellarStellar0.1936240.19304-0.30%0.187901-2.96%0.0090✗1.0719.8M2022-03-03
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum44,262.0044,127.45-0.30%42,572.60-3.82%0.0032✓0.9753k2022-03-03
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.23112.2242-0.31%2.2899+2.64%0.0529✗0.7126k2022-03-03
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2470.246241-0.31%0.273+10.53%0.1318✗0.8566k2022-03-03
AAVEAaveEthereum137.7137.2661-0.32%129.96-5.62%0.0097✓1.346.8M2022-03-03
XVGVergenative0.010370.010336-0.32%0.01001-3.47%0.0097✗1.251.3M2022-03-03
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.6118.548-0.33%18.03-3.12%0.0124✗1.2128.4M2022-03-03
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4961.491-0.33%1.437-3.94%0.0004✓1.11939k2022-03-03
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.2915.2384-0.34%14.89-2.62%0.0164✗1.1850.8M2022-03-03
QNTQuantEthereum117.95117.5497-0.34%127.04+7.71%0.1108✗0.996.3M2022-03-03
ZENHorizenBase38.9238.7851-0.35%38.18-1.90%0.0327✗1.45280k2022-03-03
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.5515.5317-0.35%5.231-5.76%0.0249✓0.9271k2022-03-03
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.0386.0168-0.35%5.584-7.52%0.0395✓1.05166k2022-03-03
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5481.5425-0.35%1.479-4.46%0.0064✗1.45842k2022-03-03
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.046790.046623-0.36%0.046937+0.31%0.0425✗1.078.1M2022-03-03
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.1410.1028-0.37%10.07-0.69%0.0189✗0.66928k2022-03-03
GTGateEthereum6.8036.778-0.37%6.7949-0.12%0.0261✗0.702.8M2022-03-03
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5054.4884-0.37%4.418-1.93%0.0124✗0.84453k2022-03-03
CTSICartesiEthereum0.3970.395495-0.38%0.381-4.03%0.0104✗1.421.3M2022-03-03
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.37420.372762-0.38%0.3647-2.54%0.0236✗1.368.7M2022-03-03
STORJStorjEthereum1.07421.0701-0.39%1.0476-2.48%0.0234✗1.33187k2022-03-03
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15950.158886-0.39%0.1559-2.26%0.0154✗1.03420k2022-03-03
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.78720.784105-0.39%0.7596-3.51%0.0052✗1.109.7M2022-03-03
XECeCashnative0.000075940.000075641-0.39%0.00007449-1.91%0.0215✗1.104.5M2022-03-03
UOSUltraEthereum1.3891.3835-0.40%1.4091+1.44%0.0637✗1.352.8M2022-03-03
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2021.1971-0.41%1.174-2.33%0.0203✗1.192.9M2022-03-03
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.436.4038-0.41%6.33-1.56%0.0180✗0.88478k2022-03-03
UNIUniswapEthereum10.0510.0078-0.42%9.55-4.98%0.0071✓1.1910.4M2022-03-03
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.1516.0818-0.42%16.42+1.67%0.0444✗0.702.3M2022-03-03
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1160.115502-0.43%0.118+1.72%0.0399✗0.5544k2022-03-03
DIADIAEthereum1.021.0156-0.43%1.05+2.94%0.0426✗0.28282k2022-03-03
SUSHISushiEthereum3.413.3953-0.43%3.3-3.23%0.0138✗1.266.8M2022-03-03
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.1615.0943-0.43%14.3-5.67%0.0046✓1.482.4M2022-03-03
IMXImmutableEthereum1.4641.4577-0.43%1.46-0.27%0.0370✗1.063.4M2022-03-03
MANADecentralandEthereum2.75322.7412-0.44%2.6368-4.23%0.0015✓1.203.3M2022-03-03
COTICOTIEthereum0.23080.229792-0.44%0.2283-1.08%0.0427✗1.472.5M2022-03-03
COMPCompoundEthereum122.45121.9095-0.44%116.89-4.54%0.0011✓1.2258k2022-03-03
DKAdKargoEthereum0.0910.090597-0.44%0.09337+2.60%0.0657✗1.0643k2022-03-03
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.7620.6673-0.45%19.77-4.77%0.0040✓1.44328k2022-03-03
CVCCivicEthereum0.29450.293184-0.45%0.2824-4.11%0.0067✗1.32317k2022-03-03
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.432.4191-0.45%2.38-2.06%0.0172✗1.00268k2022-03-03
XMRMoneroMonero177.46176.6447-0.46%172.04-3.05%0.0072✗1.001.2M2022-03-03
BTTCBTTC0.000001960.000001951-0.46%0.0000019-3.06%0.0042✓0.6613.7M2022-03-03
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.982.9662-0.46%2.882-3.29%0.0010✓0.89223k2022-03-03
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.7320.6326-0.47%20.13-2.89%0.0128✗1.129.1M2022-03-03
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.5626.4349-0.47%25.18-5.20%0.0025✓1.381.5M2022-03-03
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.271.264-0.47%1.24-2.36%0.0158✗1.04824k2022-03-03
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.575.5436-0.47%5.38-3.41%0.0013✓0.85540k2022-03-03
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.1641.1585-0.47%1.176+1.03%0.0508✗1.071.4M2022-03-03
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9170.912504-0.49%0.852-7.09%0.0256✓1.282.4M2022-03-03
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018920.018826-0.50%0.01877-0.79%0.0336✗1.092.2M2022-03-03
STXStacksnative1.251.2437-0.50%1.21-3.20%0.0127✗1.20585k2022-03-03
ZECZcashZcash125.91125.2717-0.51%129.17+2.59%0.0682✗1.127.4M2022-03-03
FTTFTXEthereum46.1645.9254-0.51%44.86-2.82%0.0123✗1.0722.8M2022-03-03
LRCLoopringEthereum0.80820.804071-0.51%0.7864-2.70%0.0263✗1.45270k2022-03-03
AVTAventusEthereum2.352.338-0.51%2.38+1.28%0.0513✗1.00422k2022-03-03
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.931.9201-0.51%1.85-4.15%0.0074✗1.332.0M2022-03-03
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.048750.048499-0.52%0.05073+4.06%0.0853✗1.20641k2022-03-03
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07750.077095-0.52%0.0725-6.45%0.0179✓1.301.0M2022-03-03
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.51440.511676-0.53%0.4943-3.91%0.0115✗1.37484k2022-03-03
HIVEHivenative0.99880.99351-0.53%0.9796-1.92%0.0256✗1.182.1M2022-03-03
SOLSolanaSolana100.73100.1949-0.53%95.61-5.08%0.0046✓1.26131.2M2022-03-03
DODODODOEthereum0.4680.46549-0.54%0.448-4.27%0.0050✓1.294.2M2022-03-03
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.012310.012244-0.54%0.01199-2.60%0.0256✗1.392.8M2022-03-03
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.6913.6164-0.54%13.32-2.70%0.0148✗1.10331k2022-03-03
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.56650.563446-0.54%0.5501-2.89%0.0068✗0.92607k2022-03-03
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.750.745935-0.54%0.72-4.00%0.0221✗1.721.0M2022-03-03
YFIyearn.financeEthereum22,346.9422,225.78-0.54%21,698.86-2.90%0.0088✗0.985.9M2022-03-03
BANDBandEthereum4.0163.994-0.55%3.962-1.34%0.0360✗1.311.8M2022-03-03
KSMKusamaHydration138.31137.5511-0.55%131.9-4.63%0.0034✓1.151.0M2022-03-03
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0210730.020957-0.55%0.020258-3.87%0.0049✓0.87135k2022-03-03
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos32.2532.0721-0.55%34.01+5.46%0.0971✗1.1550.3M2022-03-03
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.94245.9095-0.55%5.6206-5.42%0.0397✓0.31385k2022-03-03
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.072580.072175-0.56%0.06983-3.79%0.0090✗1.2569k2022-03-03
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.4134.3876-0.58%4.2636-3.39%0.0095✗1.14244k2022-03-03
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.992.9727-0.58%2.873-3.91%0.0026✓0.94792k2022-03-03
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.1143.096-0.58%2.941-5.56%0.0231✓0.84477k2022-03-03
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.591.5808-0.58%1.523-4.21%0.0014✓1.152.0M2022-03-03
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07140.070984-0.58%0.0725+1.54%0.0550✗1.0113k2022-03-03
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.654.6229-0.58%4.42-4.95%0.0059✗1.51471k2022-03-03
XTZTezosTezos3.4943.4735-0.59%3.3937-2.87%0.0197✗1.281.9M2022-03-03
CELLCellframeEthereum1.62261.6131-0.59%1.6497+1.67%0.0650✗1.27293k2022-03-03
ORCAOrcaSolana2.522.5048-0.60%2.46-2.38%0.0155✗1.00445k2022-03-03
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3591.3507-0.61%1.545+13.69%0.1770✗1.272.0M2022-03-03
CHZChilizEthereum0.1970.195765-0.63%0.1971+0.05%0.0525✗1.362.8M2022-03-03
XVSVenusEthereum9.789.7174-0.64%9.34-4.50%0.0011✓1.213.5M2022-03-03
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02680.026626-0.65%0.0283+5.60%0.1055✗1.33500k2022-03-03
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004690.00466-0.65%0.00456-2.77%0.0333✗1.649.6M2022-03-03
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.9763.9501-0.65%3.808-4.23%0.0048✓1.242.2M2022-03-03
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5706110.566818-0.66%0.534619-6.31%0.0205✓1.132.8M2022-03-03
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.2923.2699-0.67%3.01-8.57%0.0493✓1.0019.7M2022-03-03
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.6472.6292-0.67%2.508-5.25%0.0016✓1.4513.6M2022-03-03
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.3119.1794-0.68%19.97+3.42%0.0791✗1.1520.0M2022-03-03
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.646.5948-0.68%6.34-4.52%0.0079✗1.41942k2022-03-03
API3Api3Ethereum7.37.2501-0.68%7.315+0.21%0.0257✗0.504.1M2022-03-03
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum55.5955.2085-0.69%53.31-4.10%0.0086✗1.306.5M2022-03-03
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.29e-76.25e-7-0.70%6.88e-7+9.33%0.1297✗1.001.1M2022-03-03
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.40330.400487-0.70%0.3687-8.58%0.0277✓1.6414.7M2022-03-03
BFCBifrostEthereum0.165420.164251-0.71%0.16147-2.39%0.0226✗1.1822k2022-03-03
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.033970.03373-0.71%0.03435+1.12%0.0481✗0.891.1M2022-03-03
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.50290.49924-0.73%0.4722-6.10%0.0118✗2.012.2M2022-03-03
MOVRMoonriverBase71.5571.0175-0.74%66.5878-6.94%0.0181✓1.38231k2022-03-03
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.77512.7533-0.78%2.773-0.08%0.0365✗0.882.7M2022-03-03
LSKLiskEthereum1.95921.9435-0.80%2.1075+7.57%0.1159✗1.0477k2022-03-03
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.72420.718371-0.80%0.865+19.44%0.1972✗0.341.2M2022-03-03
PROPropyEthereum1.821.8052-0.81%1.92+5.49%0.1021✗1.21411k2022-03-03
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3080.305393-0.85%0.295-4.22%0.0092✗1.312.2M2022-03-03
SUNSun TokenTron0.0122160.012107-0.89%0.011953-2.15%0.0219✗1.0414k2022-03-03
LUNATerraTerra 292.4391.5946-0.90%90.56-2.02%0.0366✗1.434.8M2022-03-03
LCXLCXEthereum0.09910.098143-0.97%0.095-4.14%0.0173✗1.49613k2022-03-03
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06550.064851-0.99%0.0637-2.75%0.0414✗1.7772.8M2022-03-03
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.947.8459-1.19%7.63-3.90%0.0029✓0.92461k2022-03-03
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.72910.719199-1.36%0.8058+10.52%0.1607✗1.402.5M2022-03-03
UMAUMAEthereum8.4218.2977-1.46%9.598+13.98%0.1933✗1.421.9M2022-03-03
RADRadworksEthereum5.595.4997-1.62%5.51-1.43%0.0352✗1.00828k2022-03-03
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.8952.8468-1.67%3.084+6.53%0.1238✗1.30584k2022-03-03
FIDABonfidaSolana2.2372.1919-2.02%1.976-11.67%0.0773✓0.7976k2022-03-03
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.