2022-03-01 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2131

151 of 151 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+15.75%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

33.8%

in alpha space · 31.1% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+2.45%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01656	0.017801	+7.49%	0.03531	+113.22%	0.6482	✓	1.52	12.5M	2022-03-31
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.51	6.8184	+4.74%	6.53	+0.31%	0.0645	✗	0.88	452k	2022-03-31
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.062179	0.064835	+4.27%	0.073796	+18.68%	0.1109	✓	0.77	299k	2022-03-31
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.242	0.252089	+4.17%	0.283	+16.94%	0.0949	✓	0.86	59k	2022-03-31
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.52	5.7277	+3.76%	7.78	+40.94%	0.2855	✓	0.86	510k	2022-03-31
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		87.68	90.4874	+3.20%	94.5	+7.78%	0.0231	✓	0.84	905k	2022-03-31
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1217	3.2198	+3.14%	4.4084	+41.22%	0.2930	✓	0.88	3.6M	2022-03-31
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002713	0.000027941	+2.99%	0.00002586	-4.68%	0.1077	✗	1.25	3.9M	2022-03-31
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00979	0.010063	+2.79%	0.01207	+23.29%	0.1515	✓	1.25	563k	2022-03-31
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0743	0.076248	+2.62%	0.0836	+12.52%	0.0682	✓	0.99	155k	2022-03-31
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.133991	0.137499	+2.62%	0.138112	+3.08%	0.0183	✓	0.94	3.7M	2022-03-31
XEM	NEM	native	0.1097	0.11221	+2.29%	0.1183	+7.84%	0.0293	✓	0.97	41k	2022-03-31
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.396	2.4481	+2.17%	2.756	+15.03%	0.0964	✓	0.91	23k	2022-03-31
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.0922	3.1563	+2.07%	4.2237	+36.59%	0.2699	✓	0.88	2.4M	2022-03-31
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.582	1.6139	+2.02%	2.352	+48.67%	0.3512	✓	1.05	3.4M	2022-03-31
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.72	6.843	+1.83%	6.73	+0.15%	0.0291	✗	0.51	1.2M	2022-03-31
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.29	1.3096	+1.52%	1.41	+9.30%	0.0486	✓	1.04	885k	2022-03-31
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.16553	0.16735	+1.10%	0.16325	-1.38%	0.0536	✗	1.19	24k	2022-03-31
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.697	0.70404	+1.01%	0.915	+31.28%	0.2362	✓	1.07	2.5M	2022-03-31
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	44,139.10	44,574.24	+0.99%	45,846.40	+3.87%	0.0046	✓	0.97	52k	2022-03-31
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.502	4.538	+0.80%	8.197	+82.07%	0.5709	✓	0.84	435k	2022-03-31
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	119.02	119.8883	+0.73%	178.39	+49.88%	0.3701	✓	1.13	7.2M	2022-03-31
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.823	6.8724	+0.72%	7.189	+5.36%	0.0113	✓	1.39	27k	2022-03-31
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	112.65	113.3886	+0.66%	123.87	+9.96%	0.0613	✓	1.12	29.5M	2022-03-31
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2576	0.25922	+0.63%	0.2695	+4.62%	0.0168	✓	0.91	2.0M	2022-03-31
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.14	10.2016	+0.61%	16.52	+62.92%	0.4660	✓	0.66	928k	2022-03-31
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.9643	0.970108	+0.60%	1.1417	+18.40%	0.1359	✓	1.11	97.3M	2022-03-31
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	15.26	15.3341	+0.49%	18.07	+18.41%	0.1284	✓	1.48	2.4M	2022-03-31
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.198927	0.199788	+0.43%	0.228422	+14.83%	0.1081	✓	1.07	20.5M	2022-03-31
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	138.55	139.051	+0.36%	188.49	+36.04%	0.2763	✓	1.15	973k	2022-03-31
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04187	0.041986	+0.28%	0.05271	+25.89%	0.2035	✓	0.99	29k	2022-03-31
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	30.35	30.3398	-0.03%	47.48	+56.44%	0.4218	✗	1.08	5.2M	2022-03-31
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.224	1.2215	-0.20%	1.51	+23.37%	0.1831	✗	1.20	2.9M	2022-03-31
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09224	0.091991	-0.27%	0.12603	+36.63%	0.2892	✗	1.06	43k	2022-03-31
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.522	1.5162	-0.38%	1.775	+16.62%	0.1306	✗	1.12	939k	2022-03-31
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.9211	1.9116	-0.50%	2.4796	+29.07%	0.2317	✗	1.18	179k	2022-03-31
DASH	Dash	Dash	100.01	99.2427	-0.77%	127.13	+27.12%	0.2203	✗	1.13	1.5M	2022-03-31
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.193	3.1659	-0.85%	6.061	+89.82%	0.6264	✗	0.95	741k	2022-03-31
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1523	0.150858	-0.95%	0.1461	-4.07%	0.0517	✓	0.81	294k	2022-03-31
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7582	0.75018	-1.06%	1.1908	+57.06%	0.4283	✗	1.39	2.5M	2022-03-31
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.7053	6.6331	-1.08%	8.2842	+23.55%	0.1898	✗	1.34	226k	2022-03-31
XVG	Verge	native	0.01044	0.010325	-1.10%	0.01339	+28.26%	0.2298	✗	1.24	1.3M	2022-03-31
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	119.35	118.0275	-1.11%	137.61	+15.30%	0.1296	✗	0.99	6.4M	2022-03-31
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.75556	0.746889	-1.15%	0.86577	+14.59%	0.1145	✗	1.37	206k	2022-03-31
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2318	0.228601	-1.38%	0.2732	+17.86%	0.1426	✗	1.47	2.6M	2022-03-31
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	328.78	324.2007	-1.39%	384.15	+16.84%	0.1462	✗	0.97	7.6M	2022-03-31
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.18	2.1492	-1.41%	2.65	+21.56%	0.1813	✗	1.17	354k	2022-03-31
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.746	20.416	-1.59%	20.465	-1.35%	0.0216	✓	0.99	9.5M	2022-03-31
SOL	Solana	Solana	98.7	97.0971	-1.62%	122.86	+24.48%	0.2049	✗	1.26	131.2M	2022-03-31
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.2579	2.2209	-1.64%	2.8148	+24.66%	0.2197	✗	0.71	26k	2022-03-31
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.79	15.5241	-1.68%	13.89	-12.03%	0.1284	✓	0.71	2.2M	2022-03-31
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.546	2.5028	-1.70%	2.638	+3.61%	0.0172	✗	1.46	13.6M	2022-03-31
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.89	0.874852	-1.70%	1.212	+36.18%	0.2950	✗	1.28	2.3M	2022-03-31
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.771	5.6717	-1.72%	6.001	+3.99%	0.0311	✗	1.05	181k	2022-03-31
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.445	5.3489	-1.77%	6.029	+10.73%	0.0976	✗	0.91	71k	2022-03-31
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.0846	1.0651	-1.80%	1.3386	+23.42%	0.1963	✗	1.33	175k	2022-03-31
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04868	0.047794	-1.82%	0.05488	+12.74%	0.1091	✗	1.20	681k	2022-03-31
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.7553	6.6323	-1.82%	6.6752	-1.19%	0.0106	✓	0.70	2.8M	2022-03-31
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00471	0.004622	-1.87%	0.00431	-8.49%	0.1096	✓	1.64	9.6M	2022-03-31
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01223	0.012001	-1.87%	0.01312	+7.28%	0.0712	✗	0.74	13k	2022-03-31
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.318	0.311785	-1.95%	0.609	+91.51%	0.6379	✗	1.31	2.2M	2022-03-31
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.9861	1.9464	-2.00%	2.5204	+26.90%	0.2333	✗	1.04	75k	2022-03-31
ZEN	Horizen	Base	39.34	38.4745	-2.20%	48.75	+23.92%	0.2017	✗	1.45	280k	2022-03-31
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0729	0.071203	-2.33%	0.09183	+25.97%	0.2300	✗	1.01	12k	2022-03-31
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3753	0.366385	-2.38%	0.4698	+25.18%	0.2157	✗	1.36	8.7M	2022-03-31
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.071	2.9965	-2.43%	3.891	+26.70%	0.2397	✗	0.89	218k	2022-03-31
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.2804	4.1761	-2.44%	5.4868	+28.18%	0.2453	✗	1.14	244k	2022-03-31
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.8371	2.7668	-2.48%	2.6098	-8.01%	0.0875	✓	1.20	3.3M	2022-03-31
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	9.35	9.1087	-2.58%	11.81	+26.31%	0.2303	✗	1.21	3.4M	2022-03-31
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007896	0.000076911	-2.59%	0.00009285	+17.59%	0.1618	✗	1.10	4.5M	2022-03-31
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.049485	0.048168	-2.66%	0.041867	-15.39%	0.1660	✓	1.07	8.1M	2022-03-31
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	125.94	122.4709	-2.75%	149.85	+18.99%	0.1723	✗	1.22	58k	2022-03-31
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4218	0.410109	-2.77%	0.4968	+17.78%	0.1520	✗	1.64	14.7M	2022-03-31
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	46.25	44.9604	-2.79%	48.83	+5.58%	0.0567	✗	1.07	22.8M	2022-03-31
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	44,439.95	43,181.67	-2.83%	45,528.45	+2.45%	0.0287	✗	1.00	632.3M	2022-03-31
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.617	1.5711	-2.84%	2.033	+25.73%	0.2299	✗	1.15	1.8M	2022-03-31
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.328	1.2896	-2.89%	1.594	+20.03%	0.1802	✗	1.31	2.0M	2022-03-31
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5253	0.510085	-2.90%	0.6676	+27.09%	0.2358	✗	1.37	484k	2022-03-31
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01146	0.011127	-2.91%	0.01361	+18.76%	0.1677	✗	1.39	2.8M	2022-03-31
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3996	0.387881	-2.93%	0.4674	+16.97%	0.1519	✗	1.43	1.3M	2022-03-31
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	30.86	29.9515	-2.94%	31.27	+1.33%	0.0206	✓	0.93	1.5M	2022-03-31
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,977.72	2,884.71	-3.12%	3,283.08	+10.25%	0.1041	✗	1.04	561.7M	2022-03-31
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.34	10.0115	-3.18%	11.29	+9.19%	0.0917	✗	1.18	10.8M	2022-03-31
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	143.34	138.7865	-3.18%	207	+44.41%	0.3674	✗	1.34	6.8M	2022-03-31
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.3652	1.3204	-3.28%	1.2649	-7.34%	0.0759	✓	1.36	2.8M	2022-03-31
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.99	1.9233	-3.35%	2.24	+12.56%	0.1203	✗	1.33	2.0M	2022-03-31
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.573577	0.554088	-3.40%	0.773803	+34.91%	0.3066	✗	1.13	2.8M	2022-03-31
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1362	0.13148	-3.47%	0.2417	+77.46%	0.5777	✗	1.29	3.1M	2022-03-31
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07633	0.073665	-3.49%	0.09501	+24.47%	0.2243	✗	1.25	69k	2022-03-31
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.86	4.6855	-3.59%	6	+23.46%	0.2107	✗	1.51	456k	2022-03-31
XMR	Monero	Monero	177.8	171.1936	-3.72%	212.94	+19.76%	0.1940	✗	1.00	1.1M	2022-03-31
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.9	18.1975	-3.72%	21.35	+12.96%	0.1304	✗	1.21	29.4M	2022-03-31
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.02045	0.019685	-3.74%	0.02088	+2.10%	0.0326	✓	1.09	2.2M	2022-03-31
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.607	1.5468	-3.74%	1.795	+11.70%	0.1138	✗	1.45	863k	2022-03-31
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.12	4.9282	-3.75%	5.41	+5.66%	0.0689	✗	1.01	828k	2022-03-31
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	14.09	13.5605	-3.76%	15.65	+11.07%	0.1168	✗	1.09	331k	2022-03-31
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.626	2.5269	-3.77%	3.115	+18.62%	0.1771	✗	1.33	584k	2022-03-31
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	86.96	83.6379	-3.82%	97.42	+12.03%	0.1179	✗	1.43	118.3M	2022-03-31
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8569	0.823702	-3.87%	0.9295	+8.47%	0.0935	✗	1.13	20.7M	2022-03-31
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.9499	5.7183	-3.89%	5.834	-1.95%	0.0126	✓	0.31	433k	2022-03-31
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3058	0.293753	-3.94%	0.3602	+17.79%	0.1720	✗	1.32	328k	2022-03-31
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.123	0.118111	-3.97%	0.174	+41.46%	0.3743	✗	0.54	44k	2022-03-31
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1048	0.100582	-4.02%	0.1229	+17.27%	0.1642	✗	1.50	613k	2022-03-31
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.33	2.236	-4.03%	2.68	+15.02%	0.1569	✗	1.00	443k	2022-03-31
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8	0.767516	-4.06%	0.8523	+6.54%	0.0783	✗	1.09	9.7M	2022-03-31
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1615	0.15489	-4.09%	0.1579	-2.23%	0.0056	✓	1.03	446k	2022-03-31
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.46	2.3547	-4.28%	2.68	+8.94%	0.1052	✗	1.00	263k	2022-03-31
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.47	3.3189	-4.36%	4.41	+27.09%	0.2537	✗	1.26	6.8M	2022-03-31
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	22.02	21.0392	-4.45%	25.7	+16.71%	0.1653	✗	1.44	328k	2022-03-31
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.36	14.6749	-4.46%	16.93	+10.22%	0.1144	✗	1.18	52.2M	2022-03-31
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5765	0.550554	-4.50%	0.5966	+3.49%	0.0583	✗	0.91	642k	2022-03-31
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.203	3.0574	-4.55%	4.122	+28.69%	0.2782	✗	0.85	477k	2022-03-31
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000199	0.000001899	-4.56%	0.00000214	+7.54%	0.1033	✗	0.66	14.0M	2022-03-31
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02885	0.027512	-4.64%	0.02695	-6.59%	0.0394	✓	0.77	4.1M	2022-03-31
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.27	7.8655	-4.89%	9.25	+11.85%	0.1399	✗	0.92	461k	2022-03-31
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.78	0.740488	-5.07%	0.82	+5.13%	0.0605	✗	1.71	1.0M	2022-03-31
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1954	0.185249	-5.20%	0.2832	+44.93%	0.3914	✗	1.37	2.8M	2022-03-31
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.06	1.0045	-5.24%	1.1	+3.77%	0.0844	✗	0.27	286k	2022-03-31
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.98	19.8607	-5.34%	24.45	+16.54%	0.1808	✗	1.12	9.1M	2022-03-31
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	31.14	29.4365	-5.47%	28.9	-7.19%	0.0461	✓	1.14	50.3M	2022-03-31
STX	Stacks	native	1.29	1.2191	-5.50%	1.44	+11.63%	0.1376	✗	1.20	596k	2022-03-31
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.245	1.1761	-5.54%	2.101	+68.76%	0.5545	✗	1.06	1.3M	2022-03-31
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.81	1.7081	-5.63%	1.839	+1.60%	0.0531	✓	0.86	76k	2022-03-31
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	27.26	25.7059	-5.70%	27.75	+1.80%	0.0432	✓	1.38	1.6M	2022-03-31
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.227	3.9845	-5.74%	4.893	+15.76%	0.1738	✗	1.30	1.8M	2022-03-31
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	57.19	53.9042	-5.75%	63.53	+11.09%	0.1329	✗	1.30	6.7M	2022-03-31
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.4918	3.2909	-5.75%	3.7255	+6.69%	0.0930	✗	1.28	2.1M	2022-03-31
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.022682	0.021376	-5.76%	0.03269	+44.12%	0.4039	✗	0.86	124k	2022-03-31
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0282	0.026566	-5.79%	0.03408	+20.85%	0.2170	✗	1.33	500k	2022-03-31
HIVE	Hive	native	1.0352	0.974736	-5.84%	1.2151	+17.38%	0.1916	✗	1.19	2.1M	2022-03-31
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.177	3.932	-5.86%	6.818	+63.23%	0.5206	✗	1.23	2.3M	2022-03-31
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.82	6.4071	-6.05%	7.31	+7.18%	0.0976	✗	1.41	942k	2022-03-31
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	66.4156	62.3832	-6.07%	66.8749	+0.69%	0.0361	✓	1.38	223k	2022-03-31
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.7018	1.5944	-6.31%	1.3868	-18.51%	0.1702	✓	1.27	278k	2022-03-31
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	19.34	18.0545	-6.65%	21	+8.58%	0.1232	✗	1.16	20.6M	2022-03-31
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.7268	0.677769	-6.75%	1.071	+47.36%	0.4492	✗	0.35	1.2M	2022-03-31
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.8359	0.777125	-7.03%	1.1619	+39.00%	0.3671	✗	1.45	270k	2022-03-31
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.5394	0.499587	-7.38%	0.5827	+8.03%	0.1053	✗	2.01	2.1M	2022-03-31
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0786	0.072633	-7.59%	0.0852	+8.40%	0.1280	✗	1.31	1.0M	2022-03-31
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03426	0.031618	-7.71%	0.0405	+18.21%	0.2258	✗	0.90	1.2M	2022-03-31
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.84	1.6976	-7.74%	1.57	-14.67%	0.1074	✓	1.21	452k	2022-03-31
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	21,756.24	20,049.84	-7.84%	22,229.80	+2.18%	0.0795	✓	0.98	5.9M	2022-03-31
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01249	0.011459	-8.26%	0.016106	+28.95%	0.3155	✗	1.03	15k	2022-03-31
BRISE	Bitgert	Ethereum	6.11e-7	5.60e-7	-8.28%	8.72e-7	+42.71%	0.4179	✗	1.00	1.1M	2022-03-31
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.479	0.438454	-8.46%	0.518	+8.14%	0.1356	✗	1.29	4.2M	2022-03-31
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.5724	2.3429	-8.92%	3.2595	+26.71%	0.3088	✗	0.88	2.7M	2022-03-31
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0703	0.063762	-9.30%	0.0684	-2.70%	0.0275	✓	1.76	76.7M	2022-03-31
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.447	8.4646	-10.40%	7.803	-17.40%	0.1157	✓	1.42	1.9M	2022-03-31
API3	Api3	Ethereum	8.094	7.2008	-11.04%	5.195	-35.82%	0.3383	✓	0.49	2.9M	2022-03-31
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.58	2.2845	-11.45%	2.3	-10.85%	0.0174	✓	1.00	488k	2022-03-31
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	89.72	79.2373	-11.68%	102.96	+14.76%	0.2272	✗	1.43	4.8M	2022-03-31

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.