2022-02-27 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2657

151 of 151 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+14.18%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

56.3%

in alpha space · 23.8% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+25.82%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
API3	Api3	Ethereum	6.6	5.8996	-10.61%	5.701	-13.62%	0.1174	✓	0.36	2.2M	2022-03-29
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	72.51	65.2597	-10.00%	109.12	+50.49%	0.1921	✗	1.40	4.5M	2022-03-29
BRISE	Bitgert	Ethereum	5.53e-7	5.02e-7	-9.22%	0.000001089	+96.78%	0.5440	✗	1.00	1.3M	2022-03-29
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.41	2.1891	-9.17%	2.31	-4.15%	0.1759	✓	1.00	492k	2022-03-29
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.14	0.128688	-8.08%	0.141	+0.71%	0.1227	✓	0.93	44k	2022-03-29
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.99	0.91171	-7.91%	1.05	+6.06%	0.1153	✗	0.11	286k	2022-03-29
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.897	1.7504	-7.73%	3.4561	+82.19%	0.5223	✗	0.69	2.6M	2022-03-29
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0605	0.056289	-6.96%	0.0802	+32.56%	0.0969	✓	1.96	76.7M	2022-03-29
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4116	0.38344	-6.84%	0.594	+44.31%	0.0394	✓	2.08	2.1M	2022-03-29
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.81	1.6869	-6.80%	1.6	-11.60%	0.4221	✓	1.61	502k	2022-03-29
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.011286	0.010533	-6.67%	0.014685	+30.12%	0.0745	✗	1.12	25k	2022-03-29
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.681	1.5733	-6.41%	1.941	+15.47%	0.0181	✓	0.99	76k	2022-03-29
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0267	0.025043	-6.21%	0.03123	+16.97%	0.1163	✓	1.47	479k	2022-03-29
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000184	0.000001728	-6.10%	0.0000021	+14.13%	0.0342	✓	0.70	14.0M	2022-03-29
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5151	0.484406	-5.96%	0.5773	+12.08%	0.0492	✓	0.98	643k	2022-03-29
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.7935	0.747086	-5.85%	1.1993	+51.14%	0.3478	✗	0.55	1.3M	2022-03-29
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0698	0.065739	-5.82%	0.0861	+23.35%	0.0567	✓	1.42	1.0M	2022-03-29
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	61.5448	58.0355	-5.70%	71.4386	+16.08%	0.1427	✓	1.53	211k	2022-03-29
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	26.8	25.2773	-5.68%	30.24	+12.84%	0.0873	✓	1.16	50.3M	2022-03-29
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.541	1.4561	-5.51%	1.6089	+4.41%	0.2311	✓	1.44	262k	2022-03-29
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.022401	0.021174	-5.48%	0.036781	+64.19%	0.3175	✗	1.02	114k	2022-03-29
STX	Stacks	native	1.12	1.0597	-5.39%	1.45	+29.46%	0.0147	✓	1.30	610k	2022-03-29
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	19,385.43	18,399.79	-5.08%	23,320.96	+20.30%	0.0021	✓	1.02	5.6M	2022-03-29
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03182	0.03023	-5.00%	0.04201	+32.02%	0.1260	✗	0.88	1.3M	2022-03-29
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	17.24	16.3916	-4.92%	22.13	+28.36%	0.0300	✓	1.18	21.6M	2022-03-29
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.38	19.3861	-4.88%	26.33	+29.20%	0.0160	✓	1.26	8.6M	2022-03-29
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.23	2.122	-4.84%	2.7431	+23.01%	0.0600	✗	0.86	26k	2022-03-29
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.14	2.0365	-4.84%	2.74	+28.04%	0.0671	✗	1.00	529k	2022-03-29
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.224	3.073	-4.68%	6.443	+99.84%	0.4853	✗	1.11	687k	2022-03-29
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	3.741	3.5696	-4.58%	5.717	+52.82%	0.1648	✗	1.33	2.3M	2022-03-29
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	29.13	27.7955	-4.58%	32.72	+12.32%	0.0758	✓	1.04	1.5M	2022-03-29
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.046151	0.044069	-4.51%	0.045104	-2.27%	0.2515	✓	1.20	8.1M	2022-03-29
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.002	2.8677	-4.47%	4.125	+37.41%	0.1483	✗	0.94	477k	2022-03-29
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.64	13.9891	-4.45%	13.95	-4.71%	0.1688	✓	0.72	2.0M	2022-03-29
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.416	0.397933	-4.34%	0.513	+23.32%	0.0619	✓	1.38	4.2M	2022-03-29
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	5.93	5.6851	-4.13%	7.9	+33.22%	0.0151	✓	1.50	1.1M	2022-03-29
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.1219	2.9939	-4.10%	3.8004	+21.73%	0.0750	✓	1.37	2.1M	2022-03-29
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	23.96	23.0374	-3.85%	29.4	+22.70%	0.1058	✓	1.52	1.6M	2022-03-29
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.179	1.1336	-3.85%	1.727	+46.48%	0.1407	✗	1.22	1.2M	2022-03-29
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.3355	6.0965	-3.77%	6.7628	+6.74%	0.0740	✓	0.77	2.8M	2022-03-29
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1447	0.139264	-3.76%	0.1676	+15.83%	0.0626	✓	1.08	420k	2022-03-29
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.951	5.7283	-3.74%	5.9997	+0.82%	0.0437	✓	0.39	433k	2022-03-29
XMR	Monero	Monero	150.62	145.2286	-3.58%	221.94	+47.35%	0.1926	✗	1.01	960k	2022-03-29
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.7266	0.700798	-3.55%	1.2915	+77.75%	0.2549	✗	1.55	270k	2022-03-29
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7097	0.68474	-3.52%	0.8635	+21.67%	0.0290	✓	1.14	9.6M	2022-03-29
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	19.91	19.2279	-3.43%	24.45	+22.80%	0.1349	✓	1.63	325k	2022-03-29
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.17	2.0958	-3.42%	2.76	+27.19%	0.0392	✗	1.03	254k	2022-03-29
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	75.09	72.5367	-3.40%	92.79	+23.57%	0.1096	✓	1.55	113.8M	2022-03-29
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.452	3.3352	-3.38%	4.536	+31.40%	0.0040	✓	1.36	1.9M	2022-03-29
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0644	0.062232	-3.37%	0.08818	+36.93%	0.0982	✗	1.09	12k	2022-03-29
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	47.98	46.392	-3.31%	64.18	+33.76%	0.0143	✓	1.35	6.5M	2022-03-29
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15123	0.146239	-3.30%	0.17305	+14.43%	0.1404	✓	1.34	27k	2022-03-29
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2684	0.259608	-3.28%	0.3543	+32.00%	0.0230	✓	1.45	398k	2022-03-29
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.01839	0.017795	-3.23%	0.0204	+10.93%	0.1147	✓	1.09	2.2M	2022-03-29
HIVE	Hive	native	0.8849	0.856955	-3.16%	1.1796	+33.30%	0.0290	✓	1.27	1.9M	2022-03-29
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0773	0.074906	-3.10%	0.1238	+60.16%	0.1344	✗	1.60	633k	2022-03-29
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.67	0.649446	-3.07%	0.78	+16.42%	0.2556	✓	1.91	995k	2022-03-29
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.7983	0.774063	-3.04%	0.9232	+15.65%	0.1095	✓	1.24	21.7M	2022-03-29
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	9.77	9.4737	-3.03%	11.25	+15.15%	0.1287	✓	1.31	10.8M	2022-03-29
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.7425	1.6934	-2.82%	2.499	+43.42%	0.0991	✗	1.26	181k	2022-03-29
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	41.51	40.356	-2.78%	51.11	+23.13%	0.0278	✓	1.15	19.7M	2022-03-29
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.32	6.1497	-2.69%	9.1	+43.99%	0.2062	✗	0.81	435k	2022-03-29
XYM	Symbol	native	0.141	0.137245	-2.66%	0.1493	+5.89%	0.1099	✓	0.85	299k	2022-03-29
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	17.5	17.0373	-2.64%	22.44	+28.23%	0.0331	✓	1.34	26.4M	2022-03-29
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02689	0.026187	-2.61%	0.02727	+1.41%	0.1438	✓	0.80	4.3M	2022-03-29
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.8667	5.7178	-2.54%	8.3537	+42.39%	0.0469	✗	1.45	184k	2022-03-29
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	4.795	4.6761	-2.48%	7.914	+65.05%	0.2967	✗	1.00	1.8M	2022-03-29
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.115	0.112173	-2.46%	0.2131	+85.30%	0.3312	✗	1.35	2.9M	2022-03-29
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1719	1.1439	-2.39%	1.2858	+9.72%	0.2191	✓	1.46	2.6M	2022-03-29
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1674	0.163417	-2.38%	0.2943	+75.81%	0.2578	✗	1.44	2.7M	2022-03-29
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.647	2.5843	-2.37%	4.083	+54.25%	0.2658	✗	0.83	213k	2022-03-29
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	3.8286	3.7379	-2.37%	5.6566	+47.75%	0.1340	✗	1.22	269k	2022-03-29
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.43	1.3963	-2.36%	1.952	+36.50%	0.0508	✗	1.24	1.8M	2022-03-29
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.521555	0.50963	-2.29%	0.729966	+39.96%	0.0788	✗	1.22	2.9M	2022-03-29
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.12	3.0491	-2.27%	4.22	+35.26%	0.0206	✓	1.33	6.8M	2022-03-29
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	13.65	13.3404	-2.27%	16.99	+24.47%	0.0488	✓	1.27	52.3M	2022-03-29
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.5576	2.4997	-2.26%	2.7	+5.57%	0.2211	✓	1.30	3.1M	2022-03-29
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01158	0.01132	-2.24%	0.01373	+18.57%	0.0083	✓	0.80	13k	2022-03-29
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.377	1.3473	-2.16%	1.75	+27.09%	0.0939	✓	1.55	897k	2022-03-29
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3174	0.310575	-2.15%	0.4589	+44.58%	0.0118	✓	1.75	14.7M	2022-03-29
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	131.61	128.7888	-2.14%	222.76	+69.26%	0.2107	✗	1.47	6.5M	2022-03-29
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00965	0.009446	-2.12%	0.01376	+42.59%	0.0374	✗	1.48	2.7M	2022-03-29
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03926	0.038437	-2.10%	0.0491	+25.06%	0.0062	✓	1.09	29k	2022-03-29
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,618.01	2,563.82	-2.07%	3,401.71	+29.93%	0.0337	✗	1.08	525.4M	2022-03-29
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00404	0.003957	-2.06%	0.0043	+6.44%	0.3391	✓	1.84	11.3M	2022-03-29
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06333	0.062035	-2.05%	0.08728	+37.82%	0.0434	✗	1.30	64k	2022-03-29
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.21	4.1256	-2.01%	5.74	+36.34%	0.0402	✓	1.61	432k	2022-03-29
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	37,717.08	36,979.14	-1.96%	47,454.19	+25.82%	0.0198	✓	1.00	603.6M	2022-03-29
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	4.3	4.217	-1.93%	5.16	+20.00%	0.0300	✓	1.01	696k	2022-03-29
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.035	18.6912	-1.81%	21.714	+14.07%	0.0975	✓	1.08	9.3M	2022-03-29
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.06	3.9872	-1.79%	7.21	+77.59%	0.3974	✗	0.85	414k	2022-03-29
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12	11.7926	-1.73%	15.96	+33.00%	0.0573	✗	1.07	331k	2022-03-29
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04436	0.043595	-1.72%	0.05599	+26.22%	0.0496	✓	1.31	703k	2022-03-29
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.197	1.1764	-1.72%	1.69	+41.19%	0.0472	✗	1.37	2.0M	2022-03-29
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.35	9.1929	-1.68%	16.06	+71.76%	0.4006	✗	0.69	917k	2022-03-29
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.036	4.9531	-1.65%	5.768	+14.54%	0.0853	✓	1.03	189k	2022-03-29
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08363	0.082385	-1.49%	0.1123	+34.28%	0.0496	✗	1.13	45k	2022-03-29
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	108.08	106.4885	-1.47%	147.68	+36.64%	0.0315	✗	1.29	64k	2022-03-29
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.4	8.2896	-1.31%	11.08	+31.90%	0.0098	✓	1.31	3.2M	2022-03-29
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.6	1.5802	-1.24%	2.3	+43.75%	0.0645	✗	1.35	1.9M	2022-03-29
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	304.19	300.4813	-1.22%	373.24	+22.70%	0.0171	✓	1.02	7.2M	2022-03-29
ZEN	Horizen	Base	32.64	32.3076	-1.02%	49.11	+50.46%	0.0747	✗	1.50	280k	2022-03-29
DASH	Dash	Dash	88.3	87.4164	-1.00%	130.31	+47.58%	0.1301	✗	1.17	1.5M	2022-03-29
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3363	0.333243	-0.91%	0.4882	+45.17%	0.0438	✗	1.47	8.3M	2022-03-29
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007235	0.000071706	-0.89%	0.00009436	+30.42%	0.0004	✓	1.20	4.5M	2022-03-29
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.9359	0.927811	-0.86%	1.351	+44.35%	0.0448	✗	1.44	165k	2022-03-29
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	37,686.70	37,367.60	-0.85%	47,265.50	+25.42%	0.0121	✗	0.97	42k	2022-03-29
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.4426	0.439064	-0.80%	0.6938	+56.76%	0.1235	✗	1.45	521k	2022-03-29
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.384	1.3738	-0.74%	1.794	+29.62%	0.0137	✓	1.22	939k	2022-03-29
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.66823	0.663328	-0.73%	0.89389	+33.77%	0.0480	✓	1.51	211k	2022-03-29
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.8569	0.851776	-0.60%	1.1909	+38.98%	0.0661	✗	1.17	94.8M	2022-03-29
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3419	0.340184	-0.50%	0.4224	+23.54%	0.1303	✓	1.51	1.3M	2022-03-29
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.1985	0.197509	-0.50%	0.2879	+45.04%	0.0224	✗	1.54	2.6M	2022-03-29
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2326	0.231536	-0.46%	0.2784	+19.69%	0.0467	✓	1.01	1.9M	2022-03-29
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	4.682	4.6609	-0.45%	6.172	+31.82%	0.0863	✗	0.85	65k	2022-03-29
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.8883	2.8755	-0.44%	4.3834	+51.76%	0.2001	✗	0.96	2.3M	2022-03-29
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	1.97	1.9625	-0.38%	2.62	+32.99%	0.0034	✓	1.24	343k	2022-03-29
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.812	0.810105	-0.23%	1.065	+31.16%	0.0542	✓	1.43	2.1M	2022-03-29
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.185	2.1828	-0.10%	2.81	+28.60%	0.1098	✓	1.58	13.2M	2022-03-29
XEM	NEM	native	0.1	0.099966	-0.03%	0.1222	+22.20%	0.0405	✓	1.05	38k	2022-03-29
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.31	1.3103	+0.02%	1.49	+13.74%	0.1535	✗	1.23	934k	2022-03-29
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.5293	1.5304	+0.07%	2.6166	+71.09%	0.2987	✓	1.03	69k	2022-03-29
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		81.71	81.779	+0.08%	97.8	+19.69%	0.0258	✗	0.89	908k	2022-03-29
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	27.37	27.419	+0.18%	49.3	+80.12%	0.3249	✓	1.14	5.1M	2022-03-29
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.358	2.3631	+0.22%	3.305	+40.16%	0.0117	✓	1.41	584k	2022-03-29
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.28	0.280838	+0.30%	0.598	+113.57%	0.4302	✓	1.42	2.1M	2022-03-29
XVG	Verge	native	0.00923	0.009262	+0.34%	0.01201	+30.12%	0.0433	✗	1.32	1.2M	2022-03-29
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.181008	0.181638	+0.35%	0.233124	+28.79%	0.0147	✗	1.15	19.2M	2022-03-29
SOL	Solana	Solana	85.7	86.0131	+0.37%	111.64	+30.27%	0.0372	✗	1.30	127.4M	2022-03-29
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.081	1.0883	+0.68%	1.383	+27.94%	0.0672	✗	1.34	2.8M	2022-03-29
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	102.66	103.7354	+1.05%	196.15	+91.07%	0.3716	✓	1.16	7.4M	2022-03-29
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.859	2.8895	+1.07%	4.592	+60.62%	0.2482	✓	0.94	3.3M	2022-03-29
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.123115	0.124436	+1.07%	0.144391	+17.28%	0.0837	✗	1.01	3.7M	2022-03-29
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.412	1.4276	+1.11%	2.696	+90.93%	0.3834	✓	1.10	3.4M	2022-03-29
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.379	2.4064	+1.15%	2.707	+13.79%	0.1244	✗	1.05	20k	2022-03-29
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.06	6.1439	+1.38%	7.08	+16.83%	0.0347	✓	0.47	1.1M	2022-03-29
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.648	0.658493	+1.62%	0.77	+18.83%	0.1149	✗	1.18	2.4M	2022-03-29
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	105.8	107.6647	+1.76%	144.61	+36.68%	0.0534	✓	1.05	6.3M	2022-03-29
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.65	5.7526	+1.82%	6.82	+20.71%	0.0215	✗	0.83	430k	2022-03-29
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	13.22	13.4631	+1.84%	19.21	+45.31%	0.0016	✓	1.54	2.5M	2022-03-29
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	103.05	104.9737	+1.87%	130.08	+26.23%	0.0623	✗	1.21	28.8M	2022-03-29
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		5.854	5.9645	+1.89%	7.838	+33.89%	0.0630	✗	1.46	27k	2022-03-29
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	117.66	120.4801	+2.40%	184.23	+56.58%	0.1487	✓	1.20	930k	2022-03-29
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0675	0.069286	+2.65%	0.0857	+26.96%	0.0327	✗	1.07	163k	2022-03-29
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00867	0.008907	+2.74%	0.01179	+35.99%	0.0298	✗	1.35	546k	2022-03-29
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.058112	0.059706	+2.74%	0.069428	+19.47%	0.0403	✗	0.83	270k	2022-03-29
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.4859	0.499579	+2.82%	1.1997	+146.90%	0.5655	✓	1.35	2.2M	2022-03-29
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.64	4.7726	+2.86%	7.67	+65.30%	0.2966	✓	0.77	483k	2022-03-29
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002342	0.000024157	+3.15%	0.00002734	+16.74%	0.1858	✗	1.35	3.8M	2022-03-29
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.217	0.225044	+3.71%	0.284	+30.88%	0.0277	✓	0.89	59k	2022-03-29
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01609	0.017241	+7.16%	0.03452	+114.54%	0.3114	✓	1.67	12.7M	2022-03-29

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.