2022-02-26 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.3102

151 of 151 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+14.77%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

60.9%

in alpha space · 29.8% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+20.46%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	78.15	69.6463	-10.88%	97.24	+24.43%	0.0756	✓	1.39	4.5M	2022-03-28
BRISE	Bitgert	Ethereum	6.98e-7	6.22e-7	-10.82%	0.000001135	+62.57%	0.4143	✗	1.00	1.3M	2022-03-28
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.56	2.2916	-10.48%	2.29	-10.55%	0.1868	✓	1.00	518k	2022-03-28
API3	Api3	Ethereum	6.528	5.8632	-10.18%	5.55	-14.98%	0.1239	✓	0.37	2.1M	2022-03-28
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.08	0.983752	-8.91%	1.05	-2.78%	0.0618	✓	0.02	286k	2022-03-28
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0712	0.064864	-8.90%	0.0805	+13.06%	0.1412	✓	1.92	76.7M	2022-03-28
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.141	0.129582	-8.10%	0.125	-11.35%	0.2136	✓	0.95	47k	2022-03-28
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.86	1.711	-8.01%	1.64	-11.83%	0.3462	✓	1.63	539k	2022-03-28
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8532	1.7178	-7.31%	3.61	+94.80%	0.6118	✗	0.70	2.6M	2022-03-28
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01194	0.011069	-7.30%	0.014818	+24.10%	0.0831	✗	1.12	33k	2022-03-28
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.808	1.6775	-7.22%	1.98	+9.51%	0.0111	✓	0.95	76k	2022-03-28
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5505	0.511207	-7.14%	0.5753	+4.50%	0.0623	✓	0.97	684k	2022-03-28
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4281	0.398072	-7.01%	0.5048	+17.92%	0.1554	✓	2.11	2.1M	2022-03-28
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03453	0.032117	-6.99%	0.04219	+22.18%	0.1102	✗	0.87	1.4M	2022-03-28
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	20,876.08	19,417.79	-6.99%	22,270.34	+6.68%	0.0508	✓	1.01	5.7M	2022-03-28
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0274	0.025548	-6.76%	0.03317	+21.06%	0.0153	✓	1.48	479k	2022-03-28
STX	Stacks	native	1.19	1.1102	-6.71%	1.41	+18.49%	0.0032	✓	1.30	646k	2022-03-28
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.794	0.740966	-6.68%	0.9441	+18.90%	0.1354	✗	0.57	1.4M	2022-03-28
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000191	0.000001784	-6.61%	0.00000209	+9.42%	0.0296	✓	0.69	14.4M	2022-03-28
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	29.89	27.9657	-6.44%	29.36	-1.77%	0.1629	✓	1.14	52.8M	2022-03-28
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.073	0.06856	-6.08%	0.0794	+8.77%	0.1186	✓	1.43	1.0M	2022-03-28
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.35	2.2108	-5.92%	2.76	+17.45%	0.0357	✓	1.00	584k	2022-03-28
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.6235	1.5276	-5.91%	1.507	-7.18%	0.2816	✓	1.44	251k	2022-03-28
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	64.8155	61.0249	-5.85%	66.3939	+2.44%	0.2014	✓	1.54	223k	2022-03-28
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	17.73	16.7395	-5.59%	21.79	+22.90%	0.0435	✓	1.18	22.1M	2022-03-28
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.02263	0.021371	-5.56%	0.039005	+72.36%	0.4046	✗	1.06	114k	2022-03-28
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	3.874	3.6735	-5.18%	5.361	+38.38%	0.1281	✗	1.34	2.3M	2022-03-28
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.438	0.415667	-5.10%	0.484	+10.50%	0.1053	✓	1.38	4.2M	2022-03-28
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.4172	3.2447	-5.05%	3.7138	+8.68%	0.1212	✓	1.38	2.1M	2022-03-28
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.048351	0.046097	-4.66%	0.043	-11.07%	0.2930	✓	1.20	8.1M	2022-03-28
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.27	5.9781	-4.66%	7.37	+17.54%	0.0684	✓	1.49	1.2M	2022-03-28
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	30.18	28.8472	-4.42%	30.82	+2.12%	0.1279	✓	1.04	1.6M	2022-03-28
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.7651	0.731558	-4.38%	1.1283	+47.47%	0.1443	✗	1.55	295k	2022-03-28
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.2359	2.1385	-4.36%	2.734	+22.28%	0.0827	✗	0.88	26k	2022-03-28
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	2.874	2.751	-4.28%	4.028	+40.15%	0.2017	✗	0.96	477k	2022-03-28
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	21.2	20.2955	-4.27%	22.99	+8.44%	0.1789	✓	1.63	325k	2022-03-28
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	6.0612	5.8048	-4.23%	6.1415	+1.32%	0.0149	✓	0.38	433k	2022-03-28
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.7	14.0861	-4.18%	13.55	-7.82%	0.1750	✓	0.73	1.9M	2022-03-28
XMR	Monero	Monero	157.91	151.5462	-4.03%	214.66	+35.94%	0.1618	✗	1.00	960k	2022-03-28
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	24.45	23.4819	-3.96%	28.79	+17.75%	0.0804	✓	1.53	1.7M	2022-03-28
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.3	2.2092	-3.95%	2.72	+18.26%	0.0175	✓	1.02	263k	2022-03-28
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.06	18.3088	-3.94%	25.29	+32.69%	0.0809	✗	1.30	8.6M	2022-03-28
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1506	0.144731	-3.90%	0.1695	+12.55%	0.0435	✓	1.08	420k	2022-03-28
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7459	0.717241	-3.84%	0.8484	+13.74%	0.0442	✓	1.14	9.4M	2022-03-28
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	81.79	78.6821	-3.80%	89.58	+9.52%	0.1587	✓	1.55	110.8M	2022-03-28
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8598	0.827204	-3.79%	0.9075	+5.55%	0.1379	✓	1.24	22.5M	2022-03-28
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9533	0.918822	-3.62%	1.16	+21.68%	0.0085	✓	1.30	1.9M	2022-03-28
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	50.44	48.736	-3.38%	66.44	+31.72%	0.0580	✗	1.35	6.8M	2022-03-28
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0854	0.082547	-3.34%	0.121	+41.69%	0.0870	✗	1.59	647k	2022-03-28
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.4106	6.1981	-3.31%	6.7648	+5.53%	0.0588	✓	0.79	2.9M	2022-03-28
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2767	0.267556	-3.30%	0.3353	+21.18%	0.0459	✓	1.46	413k	2022-03-28
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.139	1.1014	-3.30%	1.751	+53.73%	0.2307	✗	1.25	1.1M	2022-03-28
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0674	0.065208	-3.25%	0.08807	+30.67%	0.0977	✗	1.09	13k	2022-03-28
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	14.72	14.2485	-3.20%	16.51	+12.16%	0.0863	✓	1.26	56.1M	2022-03-28
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	43.29	41.9099	-3.19%	51.74	+19.52%	0.0032	✓	1.15	20.8M	2022-03-28
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.01882	0.018223	-3.17%	0.02025	+7.60%	0.0994	✓	1.10	2.2M	2022-03-28
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.6	3.4893	-3.07%	4.31	+19.72%	0.0410	✓	1.36	1.9M	2022-03-28
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.25	3.1533	-2.98%	3.81	+17.23%	0.0564	✓	1.32	7.0M	2022-03-28
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.7	0.67927	-2.96%	0.75	+7.14%	0.2590	✓	1.92	995k	2022-03-28
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1441	0.139853	-2.95%	0.1499	+4.02%	0.0883	✓	0.85	301k	2022-03-28
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01217	0.011829	-2.80%	0.01375	+12.98%	0.0014	✓	0.80	14k	2022-03-28
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.544581	0.529715	-2.73%	0.697186	+28.02%	0.0466	✗	1.23	2.9M	2022-03-28
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.04	17.5493	-2.72%	21.97	+21.78%	0.0276	✓	1.36	26.4M	2022-03-28
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3507	0.341208	-2.71%	0.3815	+8.78%	0.2135	✓	1.75	15.2M	2022-03-28
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.276	1.2417	-2.69%	1.596	+25.08%	0.0049	✓	1.37	1.9M	2022-03-28
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	136.67	133.0104	-2.68%	167.77	+22.76%	0.0431	✓	1.48	6.4M	2022-03-28
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	4.47	4.3543	-2.59%	5.05	+12.98%	0.0396	✓	1.01	651k	2022-03-28
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.46	4.3493	-2.48%	5.34	+19.73%	0.0990	✓	1.63	432k	2022-03-28
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.0234	3.9238	-2.48%	5.3424	+32.78%	0.0795	✗	1.23	284k	2022-03-28
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.8651	1.8194	-2.45%	2.4853	+33.25%	0.0769	✗	1.26	185k	2022-03-28
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.6813	2.6161	-2.43%	2.6767	-0.17%	0.2172	✓	1.29	3.1M	2022-03-28
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	4.934	4.8143	-2.43%	7.75	+57.07%	0.2898	✗	1.00	1.9M	2022-03-28
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1751	0.170862	-2.42%	0.2589	+47.86%	0.1462	✗	1.45	2.7M	2022-03-28
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02842	0.027741	-2.39%	0.02704	-4.86%	0.1731	✓	0.79	4.3M	2022-03-28
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1212	0.118323	-2.37%	0.1721	+42.00%	0.1233	✗	1.35	2.9M	2022-03-28
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12.91	12.6044	-2.37%	15.64	+21.15%	0.0191	✓	1.06	340k	2022-03-28
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.1323	5.9903	-2.32%	8.1779	+33.36%	0.0406	✗	1.45	184k	2022-03-28
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	113.35	110.7306	-2.31%	122.91	+8.43%	0.1355	✓	1.29	58k	2022-03-28
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15626	0.152677	-2.29%	0.16823	+7.66%	0.1557	✓	1.36	28k	2022-03-28
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.441	1.4085	-2.26%	1.71	+18.67%	0.0933	✓	1.54	928k	2022-03-28
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,780.71	2,719.19	-2.21%	3,334.47	+19.91%	0.0027	✓	1.08	540.3M	2022-03-28
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2108	1.1843	-2.19%	1.2726	+5.10%	0.2001	✓	1.46	2.6M	2022-03-28
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.581	2.526	-2.13%	3.061	+18.60%	0.0693	✓	1.40	579k	2022-03-28
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.524	1.4916	-2.13%	1.935	+26.97%	0.0310	✗	1.23	1.8M	2022-03-28
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.576	2.5213	-2.12%	3.85	+49.46%	0.2639	✗	0.86	213k	2022-03-28
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00997	0.009763	-2.08%	0.01399	+40.32%	0.0802	✗	1.50	2.7M	2022-03-28
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	39,137.80	38,344.82	-2.03%	47,144.92	+20.46%	0.0205	✗	1.00	630.5M	2022-03-28
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04014	0.039331	-2.02%	0.04895	+21.95%	0.0142	✓	1.10	30k	2022-03-28
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	9.06	8.8825	-1.96%	10.91	+20.42%	0.0464	✓	1.35	10.8M	2022-03-28
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04782	0.046914	-1.90%	0.05633	+17.80%	0.0576	✓	1.29	703k	2022-03-28
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.058	3.9822	-1.87%	6.372	+57.02%	0.3099	✗	0.86	395k	2022-03-28
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.708	19.3638	-1.75%	19.506	-1.02%	0.1950	✓	1.09	9.5M	2022-03-28
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.98	8.8359	-1.60%	10.74	+19.60%	0.0474	✓	1.30	3.2M	2022-03-28
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.33	9.1852	-1.55%	14.47	+55.09%	0.3252	✗	0.69	853k	2022-03-28
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08727	0.08594	-1.52%	0.11222	+28.59%	0.0556	✗	1.13	46k	2022-03-28
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00431	0.004247	-1.46%	0.00426	-1.16%	0.3405	✓	1.85	12.0M	2022-03-28
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.009	4.9395	-1.39%	6.365	+27.07%	0.0968	✗	0.84	65k	2022-03-28
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.394	2.3608	-1.39%	2.585	+7.98%	0.1994	✓	1.56	13.2M	2022-03-28
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06611	0.0652	-1.38%	0.08479	+28.26%	0.0210	✗	1.30	69k	2022-03-28
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.4599	0.453596	-1.37%	0.716	+55.69%	0.1847	✗	1.46	559k	2022-03-28
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.391	5.3197	-1.32%	5.572	+3.36%	0.1444	✓	1.02	202k	2022-03-28
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.67	1.6481	-1.31%	2.2	+31.74%	0.0362	✗	1.36	2.0M	2022-03-28
DASH	Dash	Dash	93.68	92.4963	-1.26%	127.73	+36.35%	0.1052	✗	1.17	1.5M	2022-03-28
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3486	0.344214	-1.26%	0.4334	+24.33%	0.0437	✓	1.47	8.3M	2022-03-28
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	39,589.70	39,136.33	-1.15%	47,634.90	+20.32%	0.0162	✗	0.97	49k	2022-03-28
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.99036	0.979064	-1.14%	1.2969	+30.96%	0.0114	✓	1.45	165k	2022-03-28
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.895	0.886382	-0.96%	1.004	+12.18%	0.1386	✓	1.41	2.1M	2022-03-28
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	315.57	312.6496	-0.93%	368.1	+16.65%	0.0267	✓	1.02	7.2M	2022-03-28
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2129	0.211205	-0.80%	0.258	+21.18%	0.0886	✓	1.55	3.0M	2022-03-28
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007538	0.000074856	-0.69%	0.00009365	+24.24%	0.0010	✓	1.20	4.5M	2022-03-28
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.69949	0.694829	-0.67%	0.87181	+24.64%	0.0536	✓	1.51	216k	2022-03-28
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.437	1.4278	-0.64%	1.725	+20.04%	0.0398	✓	1.23	940k	2022-03-28
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.05	2.0375	-0.61%	2.59	+26.34%	0.0078	✗	1.25	343k	2022-03-28
ZEN	Horizen	Base	33.26	33.0673	-0.58%	47.68	+43.36%	0.0820	✗	1.53	281k	2022-03-28
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3655	0.364049	-0.40%	0.4031	+10.29%	0.1796	✓	1.51	1.3M	2022-03-28
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	28.91	28.8757	-0.12%	47.08	+62.85%	0.2773	✗	1.14	5.1M	2022-03-28
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.8873	0.886262	-0.12%	1.1694	+31.79%	0.0586	✗	1.17	96.0M	2022-03-28
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.226	0.225736	-0.12%	0.2732	+20.88%	0.0016	✓	1.03	1.9M	2022-03-28
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.38	5.3775	-0.05%	8.52	+58.36%	0.2965	✗	0.88	398k	2022-03-28
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.29	0.290444	+0.15%	0.581	+100.34%	0.4280	✓	1.43	2.0M	2022-03-28
XVG	Verge	native	0.00985	0.009881	+0.31%	0.01205	+22.34%	0.0460	✗	1.31	1.2M	2022-03-28
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.148	1.1522	+0.37%	1.358	+18.29%	0.0837	✗	1.33	2.8M	2022-03-28
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		84.76	85.1033	+0.41%	95.28	+12.41%	0.0527	✗	0.89	915k	2022-03-28
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.192899	0.193719	+0.43%	0.229783	+19.12%	0.0423	✗	1.14	19.8M	2022-03-28
SOL	Solana	Solana	90.32	90.836	+0.57%	105.84	+17.18%	0.0888	✗	1.30	131.2M	2022-03-28
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.5733	1.5845	+0.72%	2.5454	+61.79%	0.2808	✓	1.04	69k	2022-03-28
XEM	NEM	native	0.101	0.101836	+0.83%	0.1127	+11.58%	0.0969	✗	1.07	38k	2022-03-28
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	107.8	108.8854	+1.01%	192.22	+78.31%	0.3529	✓	1.16	7.4M	2022-03-28
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.5	1.5164	+1.09%	2.68	+78.67%	0.3655	✓	1.10	3.4M	2022-03-28
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.305	2.3317	+1.16%	6.28	+172.45%	0.7581	✓	1.25	687k	2022-03-28
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.285	2.3127	+1.21%	2.688	+17.64%	0.0519	✗	1.09	20k	2022-03-28
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.245	6.3229	+1.25%	7.142	+14.36%	0.1489	✗	1.45	28k	2022-03-28
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.7384	2.7755	+1.36%	4.1594	+51.89%	0.2257	✓	0.96	2.9M	2022-03-28
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.7102	2.7483	+1.41%	4.2216	+55.77%	0.2423	✓	1.00	2.2M	2022-03-28
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.679	0.689681	+1.57%	0.763	+12.37%	0.1206	✗	1.19	2.2M	2022-03-28
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.127595	0.129658	+1.62%	0.142307	+11.53%	0.0963	✗	1.02	3.7M	2022-03-28
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	108.29	110.0851	+1.66%	127.59	+17.82%	0.0771	✗	1.21	29.3M	2022-03-28
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	110.79	112.6985	+1.72%	142.25	+28.40%	0.0367	✓	1.05	6.3M	2022-03-28
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	14.09	14.3608	+1.92%	18.66	+32.43%	0.0230	✗	1.53	2.5M	2022-03-28
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.24	1.2641	+1.94%	1.39	+12.10%	0.1431	✗	1.28	885k	2022-03-28
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.7	5.814	+2.00%	6.42	+12.63%	0.0582	✗	0.85	425k	2022-03-28
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	124.78	127.3832	+2.09%	168.16	+34.77%	0.0533	✓	1.21	930k	2022-03-28
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.27	6.4106	+2.24%	7	+11.64%	0.0014	✓	0.47	1.1M	2022-03-28
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.504	0.519097	+3.00%	1.2251	+143.08%	0.6063	✓	1.36	2.1M	2022-03-28
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00906	0.009344	+3.13%	0.01178	+30.02%	0.0217	✓	1.36	563k	2022-03-28
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.68	4.8268	+3.14%	7	+49.57%	0.2262	✓	0.78	459k	2022-03-28
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.059459	0.061413	+3.29%	0.069168	+16.33%	0.0369	✗	0.84	270k	2022-03-28
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0685	0.0709	+3.50%	0.0824	+20.29%	0.0507	✗	1.08	163k	2022-03-28
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002435	0.000025231	+3.62%	0.00002648	+8.75%	0.2035	✗	1.35	3.8M	2022-03-28
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.232	0.240738	+3.77%	0.268	+15.52%	0.0565	✗	0.88	57k	2022-03-28
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01784	0.019109	+7.12%	0.03419	+91.65%	0.2731	✓	1.66	12.7M	2022-03-28

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.