2022-02-21 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.3798

150 of 150 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+28.87%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

65.3%

in alpha space · 53.7% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+15.87%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01937	0.020638	+6.55%	0.0444	+129.22%	0.5236	✓	1.65	10.9M	2022-03-23
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	13.9	14.6579	+5.45%	18.16	+30.65%	0.0301	✓	1.66	2.9M	2022-03-23
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.25	1.3175	+5.40%	1.39	+11.20%	0.1331	✗	1.27	1.1M	2022-03-23
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0692	0.07268	+5.03%	0.0776	+12.14%	0.1029	✗	1.14	194k	2022-03-23
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00847	0.008889	+4.95%	0.0102	+20.43%	0.0170	✓	1.05	504k	2022-03-23
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.4728	0.490821	+3.81%	1.0351	+118.93%	0.5519	✓	1.32	2.3M	2022-03-23
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	125.92	130.6833	+3.78%	161.78	+28.48%	0.0379	✓	1.19	930k	2022-03-23
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.248	0.257275	+3.74%	0.256	+3.23%	0.1414	✗	0.93	68k	2022-03-23
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.059472	0.061634	+3.63%	0.064378	+8.25%	0.0802	✗	0.84	307k	2022-03-23
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.739	0.764893	+3.50%	0.956	+29.36%	0.0231	✓	1.36	2.1M	2022-03-23
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.64	0.661215	+3.31%	0.739	+15.47%	0.0464	✗	1.07	1.9M	2022-03-23
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.003	1.0349	+3.18%	1.325	+32.10%	0.0629	✓	1.25	3.0M	2022-03-23
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	106.88	110.2628	+3.17%	126.9	+18.73%	0.0036	✓	0.98	6.6M	2022-03-23
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	1.933	1.9933	+3.12%	2.288	+18.37%	0.0171	✓	1.05	20k	2022-03-23
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.279	0.287557	+3.07%	0.652	+133.69%	0.6212	✓	1.34	2.0M	2022-03-23
SOL	Solana	Solana	82.97	85.5144	+3.07%	94.87	+14.34%	0.0792	✗	1.24	154.8M	2022-03-23
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.04	6.2241	+3.05%	7.157	+18.49%	0.0854	✓	0.37	32k	2022-03-23
XEC	eCash	native	0.00006783	0.000069567	+2.56%	0.00008358	+23.22%	0.0141	✓	1.15	4.6M	2022-03-23
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	102.78	105.3709	+2.52%	122.51	+19.20%	0.0282	✗	1.21	29.9M	2022-03-23
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002404	0.000024646	+2.52%	0.00002445	+1.71%	0.2127	✗	1.39	3.7M	2022-03-23
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.83	4.9385	+2.25%	6.71	+38.92%	0.1896	✓	0.79	431k	2022-03-23
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.0257	0.026272	+2.22%	0.02676	+4.12%	0.0955	✗	0.77	4.7M	2022-03-23
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.17816	0.182122	+2.22%	0.209453	+17.56%	0.0154	✓	1.05	21.8M	2022-03-23
XVG	Verge	native	0.00929	0.009495	+2.21%	0.01038	+11.73%	0.1022	✗	1.30	1.2M	2022-03-23
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	25	25.4915	+1.97%	45.18	+80.72%	0.4120	✓	1.09	5.2M	2022-03-23
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.72	6.8377	+1.75%	6.73	+0.15%	0.0470	✗	0.21	1.3M	2022-03-23
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.05994	0.060964	+1.71%	0.07641	+27.48%	0.1067	✓	0.81	80k	2022-03-23
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.64579	0.655824	+1.55%	0.83596	+29.45%	0.0206	✓	1.51	278k	2022-03-23
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	100.47	102.0105	+1.53%	181.99	+81.14%	0.4033	✓	1.19	7.6M	2022-03-23
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.58	1.604	+1.52%	2.265	+43.35%	0.1835	✓	1.10	3.3M	2022-03-23
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.128094	0.129952	+1.45%	0.1298	+1.33%	0.1501	✗	1.01	4.2M	2022-03-23
XEM	NEM	native	0.0927	0.094014	+1.42%	0.1089	+17.48%	0.0030	✓	1.02	38k	2022-03-23
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2293	0.232398	+1.35%	0.3077	+34.19%	0.1111	✓	1.15	469k	2022-03-23
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	37,080.10	37,563.71	+1.30%	42,312.20	+14.11%	0.0235	✗	0.97	42k	2022-03-23
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6127	1.6337	+1.30%	2.2526	+39.68%	0.1543	✓	1.13	75k	2022-03-23
ZEN	Horizen	Base	32.14	32.5584	+1.30%	45.53	+41.66%	0.1065	✓	1.55	335k	2022-03-23
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	283.16	286.3309	+1.12%	364.09	+28.58%	0.0952	✓	0.98	8.0M	2022-03-23
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.37	1.3851	+1.10%	1.614	+17.81%	0.0287	✗	1.23	1.1M	2022-03-23
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.8572	0.866276	+1.06%	1.1087	+29.34%	0.0785	✓	1.14	97.3M	2022-03-23
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.57	1.5861	+1.03%	2.1	+33.76%	0.0824	✓	1.35	2.0M	2022-03-23
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3572	0.36081	+1.01%	0.4244	+18.81%	0.0448	✗	1.41	8.7M	2022-03-23
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.321	2.3441	+1.00%	6.29	+171.00%	0.7993	✓	1.27	845k	2022-03-23
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.83	5.888	+0.99%	6.51	+11.66%	0.0305	✗	0.89	430k	2022-03-23
HIVE	Hive	native	0.8148	0.82275	+0.98%	0.9439	+15.84%	0.0921	✗	1.56	1.8M	2022-03-23
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03591	0.036253	+0.96%	0.04253	+18.43%	0.0038	✓	1.11	32k	2022-03-23
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00451	0.004551	+0.90%	0.0043	-4.66%	0.3396	✗	1.92	12.9M	2022-03-23
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2042	0.205963	+0.86%	0.2289	+12.10%	0.1216	✗	1.54	3.6M	2022-03-23
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3661	0.369	+0.79%	0.3829	+4.59%	0.1739	✗	1.43	1.5M	2022-03-23
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.2	4.231	+0.74%	4.79	+14.05%	0.0377	✗	1.10	485k	2022-03-23
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.88573	0.891991	+0.71%	1.1591	+30.87%	0.1031	✓	1.08	165k	2022-03-23
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.92	0.925288	+0.57%	1.633	+77.50%	0.3842	✓	1.25	934k	2022-03-23
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12.48	12.5483	+0.55%	16.4	+31.41%	0.1164	✓	1.03	404k	2022-03-23
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.519067	0.521658	+0.50%	0.589813	+13.63%	0.0464	✗	1.15	3.5M	2022-03-23
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.27	5.2957	+0.49%	8.26	+56.74%	0.3153	✓	0.88	398k	2022-03-23
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.332	2.3433	+0.48%	2.791	+19.68%	0.0259	✗	1.36	579k	2022-03-23
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.0791	0.079482	+0.48%	0.09904	+25.21%	0.0578	✓	1.10	49k	2022-03-23
DASH	Dash	Dash	87.04	87.253	+0.24%	129.78	+49.10%	0.2271	✓	1.15	1.5M	2022-03-23
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	16.19	16.2294	+0.24%	21.01	+29.77%	0.0614	✓	1.34	30.0M	2022-03-23
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.32	5.3325	+0.23%	5.16	-3.01%	0.1841	✗	1.03	297k	2022-03-23
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.64	8.6596	+0.23%	9.48	+9.72%	0.1011	✗	1.30	3.2M	2022-03-23
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		80.87	81.0294	+0.20%	90.8	+12.28%	0.0172	✗	0.89	1.0M	2022-03-23
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	47.35	47.4426	+0.20%	58.39	+23.32%	0.0178	✓	1.29	8.1M	2022-03-23
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1283	0.128539	+0.19%	0.1546	+20.50%	0.0323	✓	1.03	467k	2022-03-23
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.34	1.3423	+0.17%	1.701	+26.94%	0.0661	✓	1.16	2.0M	2022-03-23
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.34	2.344	+0.17%	2.385	+1.92%	0.2126	✗	1.56	14.4M	2022-03-23
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.8682	2.8712	+0.10%	4.1918	+46.15%	0.2288	✓	1.02	2.4M	2022-03-23
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2206	0.220812	+0.10%	0.2696	+22.21%	0.0483	✓	1.03	1.9M	2022-03-23
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.8775	2.8768	-0.02%	3.9164	+36.10%	0.1600	✗	1.01	2.5M	2022-03-23
KCS	KuCoin	native	18.137	18.1294	-0.04%	18.559	+2.33%	0.1516	✓	1.19	9.8M	2022-03-23
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.4442	0.443866	-0.08%	0.7088	+59.57%	0.2549	✗	1.45	586k	2022-03-23
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1686	0.168378	-0.13%	0.2141	+26.99%	0.0338	✗	1.40	3.0M	2022-03-23
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,569.00	2,565.45	-0.14%	3,038.93	+18.29%	0.0072	✗	1.10	581.4M	2022-03-23
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	106.4	106.1612	-0.22%	115.23	+8.30%	0.1084	✓	1.29	59k	2022-03-23
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.384	1.3802	-0.28%	1.533	+10.77%	0.1053	✓	1.43	970k	2022-03-23
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1385	1.1349	-0.32%	1.1317	-0.60%	0.1934	✓	1.29	2.5M	2022-03-23
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.16	2.1528	-0.33%	2.54	+17.59%	0.0138	✓	1.22	324k	2022-03-23
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	17.63	17.558	-0.41%	22.02	+24.90%	0.0005	✓	1.53	350k	2022-03-23
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	21.87	21.779	-0.42%	28.49	+30.27%	0.0464	✗	1.51	1.8M	2022-03-23
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	39.81	39.6407	-0.43%	46.16	+15.95%	0.0189	✓	1.16	27.6M	2022-03-23
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.018035	0.017955	-0.44%	0.0192	+6.46%	0.0997	✓	1.13	2.2M	2022-03-23
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	3.7534	3.7354	-0.48%	5.2022	+38.60%	0.1548	✗	1.20	309k	2022-03-23
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04508	0.044863	-0.48%	0.05652	+25.38%	0.0268	✗	1.39	865k	2022-03-23
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.7421	0.738036	-0.55%	1.1722	+57.96%	0.2444	✗	1.48	411k	2022-03-23
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01004	0.009977	-0.63%	0.01182	+17.73%	0.0595	✓	1.55	2.2M	2022-03-23
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	37,023.00	36,766.45	-0.69%	42,899.71	+15.87%	0.0070	✓	1.00	633.0M	2022-03-23
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	8.52	8.4593	-0.71%	10.01	+17.49%	0.0267	✓	1.32	11.2M	2022-03-23
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	13.51	13.4007	-0.81%	15.85	+17.32%	0.0111	✓	1.21	61.5M	2022-03-23
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3401	0.33671	-1.00%	0.3759	+10.53%	0.1362	✓	1.67	16.7M	2022-03-23
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.4827	2.4574	-1.02%	2.5377	+2.21%	0.1539	✓	1.26	3.2M	2022-03-23
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0613	0.060639	-1.08%	0.07674	+25.19%	0.0773	✗	1.07	14k	2022-03-23
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	128.58	127.1903	-1.08%	156.07	+21.38%	0.0083	✓	1.45	6.7M	2022-03-23
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.3	1.2838	-1.25%	1.538	+18.31%	0.0223	✓	1.38	1.9M	2022-03-23
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.7431	5.6696	-1.28%	7.8748	+37.12%	0.1107	✗	1.48	172k	2022-03-23
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.07	5.0039	-1.30%	4.93	-2.76%	0.1614	✓	0.99	682k	2022-03-23
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.7852	0.77495	-1.31%	0.8391	+6.86%	0.1037	✓	1.24	23.9M	2022-03-23
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	4.92	4.8542	-1.34%	7.615	+54.78%	0.3018	✗	1.01	1.8M	2022-03-23
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	2.9731	2.9328	-1.35%	3.4569	+16.27%	0.0265	✓	1.30	2.1M	2022-03-23
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0474	0.046755	-1.36%	0.0655	+38.19%	0.0763	✗	1.77	64.3M	2022-03-23
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.241	5.1692	-1.37%	6.073	+15.87%	0.0430	✗	0.80	65k	2022-03-23
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1229	0.121197	-1.39%	0.1425	+15.95%	0.0280	✓	1.29	3.2M	2022-03-23
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	5.95	5.8657	-1.42%	7.18	+20.67%	0.1429	✗	0.40	1.4M	2022-03-23
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15154	0.149358	-1.44%	0.15722	+3.75%	0.1567	✓	1.41	30k	2022-03-23
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.06	8.9189	-1.56%	13.31	+46.91%	0.2965	✗	0.70	758k	2022-03-23
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.021	3.9562	-1.61%	5.456	+35.69%	0.1953	✗	0.86	383k	2022-03-23
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.77	3.7075	-1.66%	4.028	+6.84%	0.1047	✓	1.27	1.9M	2022-03-23
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.583	2.539	-1.70%	3.807	+47.39%	0.2814	✗	0.84	203k	2022-03-23
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.444	0.436398	-1.71%	0.453	+2.03%	0.1659	✓	1.38	4.5M	2022-03-23
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0877	0.086173	-1.74%	0.0965	+10.03%	0.1081	✓	1.50	700k	2022-03-23
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	70.08	68.7531	-1.89%	86.01	+22.73%	0.0033	✓	1.50	106.7M	2022-03-23
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.17	2.1282	-1.93%	2.49	+14.75%	0.0068	✓	1.02	283k	2022-03-23
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.0829	5.9609	-2.00%	6.5107	+7.03%	0.0372	✓	0.85	3.2M	2022-03-23
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.023018	0.022551	-2.03%	0.03087	+34.11%	0.1509	✗	1.11	89k	2022-03-23
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	26.51	25.93	-2.19%	29.88	+12.71%	0.0020	✓	0.98	1.5M	2022-03-23
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.72	0.704055	-2.21%	0.7	-2.78%	0.2963	✓	1.97	1.1M	2022-03-23
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	18.64	18.223	-2.24%	19.33	+3.70%	0.1236	✓	1.24	10.1M	2022-03-23
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.9047	1.8612	-2.29%	2.2764	+19.51%	0.0192	✓	1.24	218k	2022-03-23
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.28	3.2038	-2.32%	3.69	+12.50%	0.0640	✓	1.39	7.1M	2022-03-23
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	50.13	48.9638	-2.33%	94.83	+89.17%	0.4622	✗	1.35	4.8M	2022-03-23
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01284	0.012495	-2.68%	0.01289	+0.39%	0.0834	✓	0.78	15k	2022-03-23
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7113	0.692187	-2.69%	0.782	+9.94%	0.0455	✓	1.14	9.9M	2022-03-23
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.8395	5.6652	-2.99%	6.0468	+3.55%	0.0085	✓	0.38	412k	2022-03-23
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	3.73	3.6137	-3.12%	5.38	+44.24%	0.2146	✗	1.24	2.3M	2022-03-23
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	23.83	23.0086	-3.45%	28.26	+18.59%	0.0438	✗	1.10	56.2M	2022-03-23
XMR	Monero	Monero	148	142.8874	-3.45%	197.42	+33.39%	0.1754	✗	1.00	1.0M	2022-03-23
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.2241	2.1463	-3.50%	2.4625	+10.72%	0.0020	✓	0.92	28k	2022-03-23
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	13.77	13.2648	-3.67%	13.17	-4.36%	0.1160	✓	0.74	1.8M	2022-03-23
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	2.889	2.7825	-3.69%	4.014	+38.94%	0.2290	✗	0.93	481k	2022-03-23
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1488	0.143195	-3.77%	0.1488	+0.00%	0.0828	✓	0.82	362k	2022-03-23
STX	Stacks	native	1.11	1.0677	-3.81%	1.34	+20.72%	0.0345	✓	1.31	782k	2022-03-23
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	68.7997	66.0109	-4.05%	62.4298	-9.26%	0.2776	✓	1.51	257k	2022-03-23
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0681	0.06533	-4.07%	0.0759	+11.45%	0.0532	✓	1.38	1.1M	2022-03-23
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.050288	0.048149	-4.25%	0.04101	-18.45%	0.3477	✓	1.27	7.5M	2022-03-23
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.012214	0.011655	-4.57%	0.013267	+8.62%	0.0404	✓	1.15	61k	2022-03-23
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	17.77	16.9567	-4.58%	18.98	+6.81%	0.0599	✓	1.17	23.0M	2022-03-23
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	19,642.84	18,701.90	-4.79%	20,440.44	+4.06%	0.0625	✓	1.03	5.8M	2022-03-23
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.37	2.2541	-4.89%	2.4	+1.27%	0.0846	✓	1.00	639k	2022-03-23
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.481	0.457078	-4.97%	0.5216	+8.44%	0.0036	✓	0.92	684k	2022-03-23
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.853	1.7552	-5.28%	1.801	-2.81%	0.1216	✓	1.00	85k	2022-03-23
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03362	0.031742	-5.59%	0.03928	+16.84%	0.1050	✗	0.73	1.7M	2022-03-23
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.646	1.5507	-5.79%	1.442	-12.39%	0.2986	✓	1.53	191k	2022-03-23
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4311	0.405205	-6.01%	0.4731	+9.74%	0.1283	✓	1.92	2.0M	2022-03-23
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0263	0.024698	-6.09%	0.02566	-2.43%	0.1749	✓	1.45	497k	2022-03-23
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000194	0.000001819	-6.23%	0.00000189	-2.58%	0.1091	✓	1.00	14.4M	2022-03-23
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.7569	1.6449	-6.38%	3.1827	+81.15%	0.5813	✗	0.53	2.8M	2022-03-23
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.91	0.851904	-6.38%	0.97	+6.59%	0.0175	✓	1.00	281k	2022-03-23
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.8883	0.825302	-7.09%	0.7758	-12.66%	0.1731	✓	0.76	1.5M	2022-03-23
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.62	2.4332	-7.13%	2.15	-17.94%	0.2711	✓	1.00	694k	2022-03-23
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.99	1.8306	-8.01%	1.56	-21.61%	0.4175	✓	1.75	680k	2022-03-23
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.132	0.121233	-8.16%	0.106	-19.70%	0.2864	✓	1.03	51k	2022-03-23
API3	Api3	Ethereum	5.72	5.2236	-8.68%	5.084	-11.12%	0.0776	✓	0.34	2.0M	2022-03-23

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.