8=======>

2022-02-20 · +1d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0190
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.47%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
70.7%
in alpha space · 76.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.56%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
RADRadworksEthereum7.056.9292-1.71%5.07-28.09%0.2800✓0.89682k2022-02-21
API3Api3Ethereum6.976.8736-1.38%5.72-17.93%0.1744✓0.262.0M2022-02-21
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1270.126388-0.48%0.132+3.94%0.0831✗1.0951k2022-02-21
DIADIAEthereum0.940.93571-0.46%0.91-3.19%0.0084✗1.00277k2022-02-21
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.01762.0089-0.43%1.7569-12.92%0.1155✓0.512.8M2022-02-21
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0280.027879-0.43%0.0263-6.07%0.0053✓1.46499k2022-02-21
FIDABonfidaSolana2.0392.0307-0.41%1.853-9.12%0.0553✓1.0084k2022-02-21
CELLCellframeEthereum1.81411.807-0.39%1.646-9.27%0.0386✓1.51189k2022-02-21
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.9327.8242-0.38%26.51-5.08%0.0134✓0.971.4M2022-02-21
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.1073.0953-0.38%2.889-7.02%0.0362✓0.91492k2022-02-21
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.46020.458477-0.37%0.4311-6.32%0.0088✗1.942.0M2022-02-21
PROPropyEthereum1.961.9529-0.36%1.99+1.53%0.0843✗1.81690k2022-02-21
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0512190.051043-0.34%0.050288-1.82%0.0318✗1.297.5M2022-02-21
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.7114.6613-0.33%13.77-6.39%0.0370✓0.711.8M2022-02-21
MINAMina Protocolnative2.482.4724-0.31%2.16-12.90%0.0921✓1.19359k2022-02-21
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.51190.510347-0.30%0.481-6.04%0.0262✓0.91724k2022-02-21
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,667.4620,606.06-0.30%19,642.84-4.96%0.0109✓1.026.0M2022-02-21
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07440.074184-0.29%0.0681-8.47%0.0366✓1.351.1M2022-02-21
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum18.718.6468-0.28%17.77-4.97%0.0059✓1.1723.0M2022-02-21
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.950.947304-0.28%0.8883-6.49%0.0374✓0.741.5M2022-02-21
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.779.7442-0.26%9.06-7.27%0.0485✓0.67821k2022-02-21
SUSHISushiEthereum3.633.6204-0.26%3.28-9.64%0.0489✓1.387.2M2022-02-21
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.0926.0219-0.26%23.83-8.66%0.0491✓1.0757.6M2022-02-21
BTTCBTTC0.000001970.000001965-0.24%0.00000194-1.52%0.0233✗1.0014.3M2022-02-21
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum38,642.8038,549.67-0.24%37,080.10-4.04%0.0039✓0.9742k2022-02-21
BANDBandEthereum4.384.3696-0.24%3.77-13.93%0.1025✓1.251.9M2022-02-21
UMAUMAEthereum5.365.3477-0.23%4.92-8.21%0.0475✓0.991.8M2022-02-21
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012660.012631-0.23%0.01284+1.42%0.0459✗0.8215k2022-02-21
ORCAOrcaSolana2.762.7538-0.23%2.62-5.07%0.0136✓1.00696k2022-02-21
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.064.051-0.22%3.73-8.13%0.0380✓1.232.3M2022-02-21
BFCBifrostEthereum0.156070.155724-0.22%0.15154-2.90%0.0246✗1.4330k2022-02-21
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.52.4945-0.22%2.321-7.16%0.0261✓1.27845k2022-02-21
MOVRMoonriverBase74.324274.1623-0.22%68.7997-7.43%0.0203✓1.51281k2022-02-21
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0192550.019214-0.21%0.018035-6.34%0.0217✓1.152.4M2022-02-21
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.576.5561-0.21%5.95-9.44%0.0823✓0.411.4M2022-02-21
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.78590.784269-0.21%0.7113-9.49%0.0571✓1.129.9M2022-02-21
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.8219.7794-0.21%18.64-5.95%0.0148✓1.2310.5M2022-02-21
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4541.4511-0.20%1.34-7.84%0.0382✓1.142.1M2022-02-21
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.146.1279-0.20%5.83-5.05%0.0183✓0.87430k2022-02-21
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.036340.036268-0.20%0.03362-7.48%0.0496✓0.721.9M2022-02-21
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13620.135932-0.20%0.1283-5.80%0.0205✓1.03470k2022-02-21
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2114.2029-0.19%4.021-4.51%0.0139✓0.84395k2022-02-21
XMRMoneroMonero153.87153.5749-0.19%148-3.81%0.0006✓1.001.0M2022-02-21
QTUMQtumQtum6.23266.2207-0.19%5.7431-7.85%0.0268✓1.47172k2022-02-21
ZECZcashZcash108.11107.9151-0.18%100.47-7.07%0.0283✓1.197.6M2022-02-21
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.95392.9486-0.18%2.8775-2.59%0.0113✗0.982.5M2022-02-21
COMPCompoundEthereum116.98116.7742-0.18%106.4-9.04%0.0469✓1.2766k2022-02-21
XYMSymbolnative0.1540.153738-0.17%0.1488-3.38%0.0053✓0.76350k2022-02-21
DKAdKargoEthereum0.085750.085605-0.17%0.0791-7.76%0.0397✓1.0849k2022-02-21
GTGateEthereum6.25636.246-0.17%6.0829-2.77%0.0043✗0.853.5M2022-02-21
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0254740.025432-0.16%0.023018-9.64%0.0602✓1.0989k2022-02-21
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.023.015-0.16%2.8682-5.03%0.0141✓0.992.4M2022-02-21
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.7982.7934-0.16%2.583-7.68%0.0491✓0.81206k2022-02-21
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.5165.5071-0.16%5.241-4.99%0.0207✓0.8065k2022-02-21
AVTAventusEthereum2.572.5659-0.16%2.37-7.78%0.0432✓1.00681k2022-02-21
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.552.5459-0.16%2.34-8.24%0.0268✓1.5914.5M2022-02-21
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV84.4684.3297-0.15%80.87-4.25%0.0098✓0.891.1M2022-02-21
LCXLCXEthereum0.0910.090861-0.15%0.0877-3.63%0.0193✗1.51807k2022-02-21
UOSUltraEthereum1.11761.116-0.15%1.1385+1.87%0.0686✗1.342.5M2022-02-21
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash302.87302.4191-0.15%283.16-6.51%0.0304✓0.988.0M2022-02-21
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.04870.048628-0.15%0.04508-7.43%0.0256✓1.38903k2022-02-21
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24010.239748-0.15%0.2206-8.12%0.0468✓1.011.9M2022-02-21
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.75.6919-0.14%5.27-7.54%0.0465✓0.84398k2022-02-21
CBKCobakEthereum2.0672.0641-0.14%1.933-6.48%0.0278✓1.0420k2022-02-21
LUNATerraTerra 249.3349.2615-0.14%50.13+1.62%0.0676✗1.385.1M2022-02-21
SUNSun TokenTron0.013180.013162-0.14%0.012214-7.33%0.0334✓1.1481k2022-02-21
STXStacksnative1.231.2283-0.14%1.11-9.76%0.0551✓1.28817k2022-02-21
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.282.2769-0.14%2.17-4.82%0.0111✓1.02299k2022-02-21
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.84550.84434-0.14%0.7852-7.13%0.0276✓1.2424.6M2022-02-21
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche77.3977.2878-0.13%70.08-9.45%0.0454✓1.45106.7M2022-02-21
DODODODOEthereum0.4710.47043-0.12%0.444-5.73%0.0077✓1.384.5M2022-02-21
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.13752.1349-0.12%2.2241+4.05%0.0752✗0.9428k2022-02-21
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.491.4882-0.12%1.37-8.05%0.0381✓1.231.1M2022-02-21
AAVEAaveEthereum137.55137.3868-0.12%128.58-6.52%0.0141✓1.446.8M2022-02-21
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.614.5828-0.12%13.51-7.47%0.0330✓1.2063.5M2022-02-21
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.39170.391239-0.12%0.3572-8.81%0.0405✓1.398.7M2022-02-21
XEMNEMnative0.09880.098684-0.12%0.0927-6.17%0.0260✓1.0138k2022-02-21
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.50790.507327-0.11%0.4442-12.54%0.0814✓1.42610k2022-02-21
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5708340.570192-0.11%0.519067-9.07%0.0527✓1.143.5M2022-02-21
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.015.0045-0.11%4.83-3.59%0.0073✓0.78431k2022-02-21
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06540.065328-0.11%0.0613-6.27%0.0250✓1.0715k2022-02-21
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.6975.6909-0.11%5.32-6.62%0.0296✓1.04327k2022-02-21
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.7918.7712-0.10%17.63-6.17%0.0068✓1.54350k2022-02-21
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.411.4086-0.10%1.3-7.80%0.0304✓1.372.2M2022-02-21
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.09294.089-0.10%3.7534-8.29%0.0426✓1.19327k2022-02-21
DASHDashDash98.198.007-0.09%87.04-11.27%0.0785✓1.111.5M2022-02-21
UNIUniswapEthereum9.369.3514-0.09%8.52-8.97%0.0453✓1.3211.4M2022-02-21
KCSKuCoinnative18.96218.9455-0.09%18.137-4.35%0.0003✓1.209.8M2022-02-21
FTTFTXEthereum40.8440.8051-0.09%39.81-2.52%0.0175✗1.1627.9M2022-02-21
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13430.134189-0.08%0.1229-8.49%0.0408✓1.303.3M2022-02-21
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.706180.705604-0.08%0.64579-8.55%0.0345✓1.49298k2022-02-21
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.731.7286-0.08%1.57-9.25%0.0480✓1.332.0M2022-02-21
XTZTezosTezos3.26243.2599-0.08%2.9731-8.87%0.0458✓1.282.1M2022-02-21
NANOnanopayBase1.96891.9674-0.08%1.9047-3.26%0.0128✗1.25233k2022-02-21
MANADecentralandEthereum2.69212.6901-0.07%2.4827-7.78%0.0353✓1.243.2M2022-02-21
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.5160.515635-0.07%0.4728-8.37%0.0390✓1.322.3M2022-02-21
LRCLoopringEthereum0.82390.823321-0.07%0.7421-9.93%0.0487✓1.52417k2022-02-21
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.067540.067493-0.07%0.05994-11.25%0.0905✓0.7884k2022-02-21
HIVEHivenative0.91580.915205-0.06%0.8148-11.03%0.0596✓1.561.8M2022-02-21
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.6323.6157-0.06%21.87-7.45%0.0222✓1.511.8M2022-02-21
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.9216.9103-0.06%16.19-4.31%0.0050✗1.3431.3M2022-02-21
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.30.299831-0.06%0.279-7.00%0.0239✓1.332.2M2022-02-21
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5321.5312-0.05%1.384-9.66%0.0495✓1.421.0M2022-02-21
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.780.779589-0.05%0.72-7.69%0.0082✓1.971.2M2022-02-21
ADACardanoCardano0.93190.931448-0.05%0.8572-8.02%0.0425✓1.1297.3M2022-02-21
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.90.899632-0.04%0.92+2.22%0.0687✗1.28878k2022-02-21
STORJStorjEthereum0.985120.984764-0.04%0.88573-10.09%0.0675✓1.06180k2022-02-21
CHZChilizEthereum0.18630.186235-0.03%0.1686-9.50%0.0495✓1.383.2M2022-02-21
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.9812.9758-0.03%12.48-3.85%0.0016✓1.03448k2022-02-21
LSKLiskEthereum1.62031.6198-0.03%1.6127-0.47%0.0368✗1.1475k2022-02-21
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010780.010777-0.03%0.01004-6.86%0.0141✓1.562.2M2022-02-21
SOLSolanaSolana90.7890.7594-0.02%82.97-8.60%0.0452✓1.23171.7M2022-02-21
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05310.053092-0.02%0.0474-10.73%0.0500✓1.7564.3M2022-02-21
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.177.1691-0.01%6.72-6.28%0.0574✓0.201.4M2022-02-21
LTCLitecoinLitecoin110.69110.6758-0.01%102.78-7.15%0.0303✓1.2130.0M2022-02-21
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,389.0338,385.01-0.01%37,023.00-3.56%0.0001✓1.00633.0M2022-02-21
ZENHorizenBase34.7534.7466-0.01%32.14-7.51%0.0215✓1.56364k2022-02-21
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.7355.7346-0.01%5.8395+1.82%0.0321✗0.38430k2022-02-21
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.039140.039137-0.01%0.03591-8.25%0.0463✓1.1032k2022-02-21
XVSVenusEthereum8.958.9495-0.01%8.64-3.46%0.0121✗1.313.2M2022-02-21
ETCEthereum Classicnative27.2327.229-0.00%25-8.19%0.0465✓1.075.2M2022-02-21
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0631.063-0.00%1.003-5.64%0.0128✓1.253.0M2022-02-21
XLMStellarStellar0.1946470.194664+0.01%0.17816-8.47%0.0511✗1.0421.8M2022-02-21
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07290.072908+0.01%0.0692-5.08%0.0112✗1.13194k2022-02-21
IMXImmutableEthereum1.821.8202+0.01%1.58-13.19%0.1033✗1.063.2M2022-02-21
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.654.6508+0.02%4.2-9.68%0.0627✗1.08510k2022-02-21
CVCCivicEthereum0.25250.252541+0.02%0.2293-9.19%0.0560✗1.12518k2022-02-21
GITCOINGITCOIN6.5916.5929+0.03%6.04-8.36%0.0740✗0.3835k2022-02-21
XECeCashnative0.000074370.000074392+0.03%0.00006783-8.79%0.0513✗1.134.7M2022-02-21
ETHEthereumEthereum2,622.472,623.38+0.03%2,569.00-2.04%0.0195✓1.12581.4M2022-02-21
KSMKusamaHydration138.87138.9412+0.05%125.92-9.33%0.0558✗1.17930k2022-02-21
COTICOTIEthereum0.22130.221421+0.05%0.2042-7.73%0.0253✗1.543.6M2022-02-21
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.37850.378727+0.06%0.3401-10.15%0.0470✗1.6716.9M2022-02-21
AMPAmpEthereum0.027150.027167+0.06%0.0257-5.34%0.0243✗0.865.0M2022-02-21
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum52.152.1391+0.08%47.35-9.12%0.0498✗1.298.7M2022-02-21
CTSICartesiEthereum0.39610.396414+0.08%0.3661-7.57%0.0277✗1.431.6M2022-02-21
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.70.7006+0.09%0.64-8.57%0.0521✗1.062.0M2022-02-21
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7960.796687+0.09%0.739-7.16%0.0256✗1.372.2M2022-02-21
PHAPHALAEthereum0.240.240223+0.09%0.248+3.33%0.0659✓0.9468k2022-02-21
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.021160.02118+0.10%0.01937-8.46%0.0311✗1.6110.9M2022-02-21
TRXTRONTron0.062010.062071+0.10%0.059472-4.09%0.0125✗0.84307k2022-02-21
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1367140.136853+0.10%0.128094-6.31%0.0297✗1.004.7M2022-02-21
SCSiacoinnative0.009120.009131+0.12%0.00847-7.13%0.0379✗1.03504k2022-02-21
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004650.004656+0.12%0.00451-3.01%0.0386✓1.9413.2M2022-02-21
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.2315.2552+0.17%13.9-8.73%0.0314✗1.703.0M2022-02-21
XVGVergenative0.009620.009636+0.17%0.00929-3.43%0.0104✓1.301.2M2022-02-21
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025470.000025518+0.19%0.00002404-5.61%0.0094✗1.393.7M2022-02-21
QNTQuantEthereum107.71107.9346+0.21%106.88-0.77%0.0266✓1.016.6M2022-02-21
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.441.4441+0.28%1.25-13.19%0.0998✗1.231.2M2022-02-21
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.8282.8397+0.41%2.332-17.54%0.1504✗1.28579k2022-02-21
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.