2022-02-13 · +1d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1261

150 of 150 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+0.71%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

60.7%

in alpha space · 39.6% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+1.13%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.57	4.525	-0.98%	4.35	-4.81%	0.0432	✓	0.33	2.0M	2022-02-14
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2947	1.2825	-0.94%	1.226	-5.31%	0.0551	✓	0.89	1.7M	2022-02-14
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.437	2.4194	-0.72%	2.355	-3.36%	0.0382	✓	1.00	79k	2022-02-14
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04523	0.044904	-0.72%	0.04361	-3.58%	0.0374	✓	0.72	3.4M	2022-02-14
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0866	0.085991	-0.70%	0.0868	+0.23%	0.0062	✓	1.39	608k	2022-02-14
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.2	2.1851	-0.68%	2.23	+1.36%	0.0020	✓	1.99	1.0M	2022-02-14
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	17.86	17.7438	-0.65%	17.92	+0.34%	0.0018	✓	0.73	1.1M	2022-02-14
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.3168	1.3087	-0.61%	1.2512	-4.98%	0.0627	✓	1.59	120k	2022-02-14
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.387	3.3669	-0.59%	3.33	-1.68%	0.0211	✓	0.90	502k	2022-02-14
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	4.721	4.6932	-0.59%	4.666	-1.17%	0.0161	✓	0.92	779k	2022-02-14
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.4198	3.4	-0.58%	3.4806	+1.78%	0.0135	✗	0.89	30k	2022-02-14
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	11.07	11.0075	-0.56%	11.42	+3.16%	0.0287	✗	0.72	660k	2022-02-14
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.95	0.944706	-0.56%	0.94	-1.05%	0.0162	✓	1.00	274k	2022-02-14
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.823	1.8129	-0.56%	1.9224	+5.45%	0.0517	✗	0.62	2.9M	2022-02-14
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2771	0.27559	-0.54%	0.268	-3.28%	0.0401	✓	1.09	1.6M	2022-02-14
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5723	0.56923	-0.54%	0.5644	-1.38%	0.0203	✓	1.06	1.1M	2022-02-14
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.5644	0.561386	-0.53%	0.545	-3.44%	0.0508	✓	1.89	1.8M	2022-02-14
ORCA	Orca	Solana	3.06	3.0437	-0.53%	3.09	+0.98%	0.0039	✓	1.00	946k	2022-02-14
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.118	0.117379	-0.53%	0.114	-3.39%	0.0404	✓	1.00	71k	2022-02-14
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.75	2.7357	-0.52%	2.84	+3.27%	0.0262	✗	1.00	748k	2022-02-14
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.66	4.636	-0.52%	4.631	-0.62%	0.0106	✓	0.85	369k	2022-02-14
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	42,091.20	41,874.61	-0.51%	42,156.20	+0.15%	0.0042	✓	0.97	42k	2022-02-14
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.14	28.0003	-0.50%	28.49	+1.24%	0.0065	✗	0.97	1.1M	2022-02-14
STX	Stacks	native	1.46	1.4529	-0.49%	1.47	+0.68%	0.0005	✓	1.00	1.1M	2022-02-14
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.7675	3.7493	-0.48%	3.9552	+4.98%	0.0427	✗	0.97	2.2M	2022-02-14
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.016324	0.016245	-0.48%	0.016621	+1.82%	0.0096	✗	1.19	573k	2022-02-14
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.8538	5.8266	-0.46%	5.8399	-0.24%	0.0013	✓	0.32	430k	2022-02-14
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003011	0.000029972	-0.46%	0.00002958	-1.76%	0.0290	✓	1.42	1.8M	2022-02-14
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0312	0.031059	-0.45%	0.0338	+8.33%	0.0683	✗	1.46	485k	2022-02-14
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000212	0.00000211	-0.45%	0.00000213	+0.47%	0.0019	✓	1.00	14.2M	2022-02-14
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	22,889.91	22,789.33	-0.44%	23,089.90	+0.87%	0.0023	✓	0.96	7.6M	2022-02-14
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17187	0.171123	-0.43%	0.1719	+0.02%	0.0137	✓	1.63	36k	2022-02-14
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.03	4.0128	-0.43%	4.07	+0.99%	0.0013	✓	1.38	8.0M	2022-02-14
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	19.77	19.6877	-0.42%	20.74	+4.91%	0.0390	✗	1.17	24.9M	2022-02-14
XEM	NEM	native	0.11	0.109551	-0.41%	0.1094	-0.55%	0.0133	✓	1.07	37k	2022-02-14
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.45	5.4281	-0.40%	5.39	-1.10%	0.0192	✓	1.08	701k	2022-02-14
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	26.19	26.0876	-0.39%	27.16	+3.70%	0.0275	✗	1.14	71.8M	2022-02-14
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.6	1.5938	-0.39%	1.61	+0.63%	0.0030	✓	1.17	1.9M	2022-02-14
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.379	0.377525	-0.39%	0.364	-3.96%	0.0518	✓	1.37	2.3M	2022-02-14
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	333.81	332.5174	-0.39%	330.66	-0.94%	0.0171	✓	1.03	8.9M	2022-02-14
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.01	5.9868	-0.39%	6	-0.17%	0.0094	✓	1.04	1.9M	2022-02-14
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.7726	6.7465	-0.39%	6.6557	-1.73%	0.0236	✓	0.89	4.0M	2022-02-14
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.27	7.2423	-0.38%	7.17	-1.38%	0.0141	✓	0.36	1.7M	2022-02-14
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.388	2.3789	-0.38%	2.341	-1.97%	0.0282	✓	1.08	22k	2022-02-14
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.052	7.0258	-0.37%	7.402	+4.96%	0.0407	✗	1.03	407k	2022-02-14
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1611	0.160506	-0.37%	0.1626	+0.93%	0.0012	✓	1.05	470k	2022-02-14
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.8546	3.8404	-0.37%	3.9473	+2.40%	0.0128	✗	1.31	2.4M	2022-02-14
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0714	0.07114	-0.36%	0.0708	-0.84%	0.0173	✓	1.12	17k	2022-02-14
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1475	0.146975	-0.36%	0.1573	+6.64%	0.0526	✗	1.37	3.2M	2022-02-14
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.91	0.906778	-0.35%	0.94	+3.30%	0.0140	✗	1.96	1.0M	2022-02-14
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.021469	0.021393	-0.35%	0.021238	-1.08%	0.0211	✓	1.23	2.4M	2022-02-14
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09518	0.094845	-0.35%	0.09436	-0.86%	0.0173	✓	1.09	51k	2022-02-14
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01362	0.013574	-0.34%	0.01366	+0.29%	0.0025	✓	0.79	13k	2022-02-14
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	117.13	116.7341	-0.34%	120.62	+2.98%	0.0185	✗	1.27	7.2M	2022-02-14
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.63	6.608	-0.33%	6.76	+1.96%	0.0126	✗	0.90	416k	2022-02-14
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.47	4.4553	-0.33%	4.58	+2.46%	0.0138	✗	1.24	2.6M	2022-02-14
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	77.97	77.7203	-0.32%	81.84	+4.96%	0.0364	✗	1.36	98.5M	2022-02-14
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	32.5	32.3967	-0.32%	31.42	-3.32%	0.0425	✓	1.06	4.9M	2022-02-14
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.754	2.7452	-0.32%	2.793	+1.42%	0.0021	✓	1.35	1.0M	2022-02-14
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		92.52	92.227	-0.32%	93.76	+1.34%	0.0064	✗	0.90	1.2M	2022-02-14
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.291	0.290079	-0.32%	0.285	-2.06%	0.0283	✓	0.95	77k	2022-02-14
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.88	1.8741	-0.32%	1.81	-3.72%	0.0503	✓	1.39	2.9M	2022-02-14
XMR	Monero	Monero	174.01	173.468	-0.31%	176.38	+1.36%	0.0049	✗	1.05	1.2M	2022-02-14
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.5106	6.491	-0.30%	6.5803	+1.07%	0.0025	✓	1.45	145k	2022-02-14
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.06	4.0479	-0.30%	4.21	+3.69%	0.0252	✗	1.25	1.9M	2022-02-14
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	158.29	157.8205	-0.30%	161.11	+1.78%	0.0048	✗	1.41	8.6M	2022-02-14
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04259	0.042466	-0.29%	0.0437	+2.61%	0.0159	✗	1.14	30k	2022-02-14
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8484	0.84593	-0.29%	0.8459	-0.29%	0.0121	✓	1.08	12.4M	2022-02-14
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	125.67	125.3064	-0.29%	124.62	-0.84%	0.0199	✓	1.29	34.8M	2022-02-14
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.60939	0.607636	-0.29%	0.593972	-2.53%	0.0359	✓	1.17	3.5M	2022-02-14
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0431	1.0401	-0.29%	1.05	+0.66%	0.0032	✓	1.13	115.7M	2022-02-14
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.06	1.057	-0.29%	1.12	+5.66%	0.0421	✗	1.41	655k	2022-02-14
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.6803	4.667	-0.28%	4.6155	-1.38%	0.0249	✓	1.23	355k	2022-02-14
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.56	20.5019	-0.28%	20.75	+0.92%	0.0016	✓	1.22	10.5M	2022-02-14
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	44.32	44.1954	-0.28%	44.85	+1.20%	0.0014	✓	1.19	31.6M	2022-02-14
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	124.43	124.0804	-0.28%	123.15	-1.03%	0.0219	✓	1.29	54k	2022-02-14
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.75	2.7423	-0.28%	2.91	+5.82%	0.0435	✗	1.42	18.4M	2022-02-14
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07534	0.075133	-0.28%	0.07495	-0.52%	0.0109	✓	0.76	84k	2022-02-14
HIVE	Hive	native	1.072	1.0691	-0.27%	1.0452	-2.50%	0.0392	✓	1.48	1.9M	2022-02-14
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0626	0.06243	-0.27%	0.0688	+9.90%	0.0776	✗	1.75	57.0M	2022-02-14
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.66	1.6555	-0.27%	1.7	+2.41%	0.0123	✗	1.27	1.4M	2022-02-14
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.49	6.4726	-0.27%	6.47	-0.31%	0.0099	✓	0.84	441k	2022-02-14
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.37	2.3637	-0.27%	2.68	+13.08%	0.1110	✗	1.30	383k	2022-02-14
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.139	3.1307	-0.27%	3.225	+2.74%	0.0205	✗	0.82	215k	2022-02-14
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4062	0.405124	-0.26%	0.4039	-0.57%	0.0180	✓	1.34	8.7M	2022-02-14
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	82.6677	82.4528	-0.26%	83.68	+1.22%	0.0016	✓	1.46	315k	2022-02-14
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6296	0.62798	-0.26%	0.6376	+1.27%	0.0022	✓	1.55	723k	2022-02-14
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1025	0.102237	-0.26%	0.0983	-4.10%	0.0569	✓	1.58	1.2M	2022-02-14
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05267	0.052536	-0.25%	0.05226	-0.78%	0.0211	✓	1.41	1.2M	2022-02-14
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1686	0.168183	-0.25%	0.1748	+3.68%	0.0305	✗	0.72	388k	2022-02-14
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	51.89	51.763	-0.24%	53.94	+3.95%	0.0252	✗	1.43	7.4M	2022-02-14
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.903	5.8886	-0.24%	6.017	+1.93%	0.0117	✗	0.88	72k	2022-02-14
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.6	15.5624	-0.24%	15.9	+1.92%	0.0079	✗	1.21	70.2M	2022-02-14
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.8076	0.805662	-0.24%	0.80709	-0.06%	0.0152	✓	1.51	299k	2022-02-14
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,872.84	2,866.00	-0.24%	2,931.01	+2.02%	0.0098	✗	1.13	572.6M	2022-02-14
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.8231	2.8164	-0.24%	2.8438	+0.73%	0.0018	✓	1.02	2.8M	2022-02-14
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.210311	0.209813	-0.24%	0.210709	+0.19%	0.0074	✓	1.05	23.0M	2022-02-14
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.4786	3.4704	-0.23%	3.5401	+1.77%	0.0072	✗	1.13	2.5M	2022-02-14
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4207	0.41972	-0.23%	0.4399	+4.56%	0.0270	✗	1.78	29.1M	2022-02-14
ZEN	Horizen	Base	40.16	40.0669	-0.23%	41.27	+2.76%	0.0120	✗	1.57	400k	2022-02-14
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.126	19.082	-0.23%	19.607	+2.51%	0.0118	✗	1.37	10.2M	2022-02-14
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8967	0.894641	-0.23%	0.9001	+0.38%	0.0065	✓	1.13	26.7M	2022-02-14
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	42,074.99	41,981.43	-0.22%	42,548.71	+1.13%	0.0022	✗	1.00	642.7M	2022-02-14
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.01	1.0077	-0.22%	1.039	+2.88%	0.0171	✗	1.20	2.3M	2022-02-14
XEC	eCash	native	0.00008177	0.00008159	-0.22%	0.00008178	+0.01%	0.0106	✓	1.15	5.5M	2022-02-14
DASH	Dash	Dash	102.03	101.8069	-0.22%	103.84	+1.77%	0.0070	✗	1.14	2.0M	2022-02-14
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.043319	0.043224	-0.22%	0.046133	+6.50%	0.0512	✗	1.24	7.4M	2022-02-14
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.244	1.2413	-0.22%	1.259	+1.21%	0.0000	✓	1.26	3.2M	2022-02-14
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2	1.9957	-0.22%	1.94	-3.00%	0.0430	✓	1.32	2.2M	2022-02-14
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.03066	0.030594	-0.22%	0.02976	-2.94%	0.0401	✓	1.11	9.8M	2022-02-14
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2009	0.200481	-0.21%	0.2046	+1.84%	0.0044	✗	1.42	3.7M	2022-02-14
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01193	0.011905	-0.21%	0.01219	+2.18%	0.0063	✗	1.54	1.7M	2022-02-14
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.52	2.5148	-0.20%	2.56	+1.59%	0.0062	✗	1.04	415k	2022-02-14
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2688	0.268251	-0.20%	0.2742	+2.01%	0.0045	✗	1.56	4.2M	2022-02-14
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.084	0.083829	-0.20%	0.0819	-2.50%	0.0371	✓	1.24	195k	2022-02-14
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03005	0.029991	-0.20%	0.02945	-2.00%	0.0280	✓	0.87	6.2M	2022-02-14
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	21.38	21.3393	-0.19%	21.2	-0.84%	0.0241	✓	1.57	375k	2022-02-14
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.75	18.7145	-0.19%	18.7	-0.27%	0.0161	✓	1.37	34.9M	2022-02-14
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.29	2.2857	-0.19%	2.29	+0.00%	0.0090	✓	0.97	3.0M	2022-02-14
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	25.86	25.8119	-0.19%	26.44	+2.24%	0.0069	✗	1.53	2.0M	2022-02-14
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.41	7.3963	-0.19%	7.22	-2.56%	0.0275	✓	0.30	1.2M	2022-02-14
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.7	8.6842	-0.18%	9.58	+10.11%	0.0833	✗	1.33	2.8M	2022-02-14
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.35	10.3315	-0.18%	10.62	+2.61%	0.0125	✗	1.34	12.5M	2022-02-14
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.5	5.4904	-0.18%	5.47	-0.55%	0.0128	✓	0.81	398k	2022-02-14
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	15.13	15.1035	-0.17%	15.4	+1.78%	0.0075	✗	1.06	483k	2022-02-14
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1334	1.1314	-0.17%	1.1301	-0.29%	0.0130	✓	1.06	239k	2022-02-14
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5345	0.533607	-0.17%	0.5481	+2.54%	0.0120	✗	1.32	2.4M	2022-02-14
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.737	1.7341	-0.17%	1.753	+0.92%	0.0039	✓	1.32	1.1M	2022-02-14
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.88	0.878552	-0.16%	0.909	+3.30%	0.0185	✗	1.39	2.4M	2022-02-14
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	58.08	57.9861	-0.16%	56.82	-2.17%	0.0343	✓	1.25	8.8M	2022-02-14
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	163.53	163.2767	-0.15%	167.33	+2.32%	0.0109	✗	1.22	930k	2022-02-14
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.7279	1.7253	-0.15%	1.7556	+1.60%	0.0049	✗	1.12	69k	2022-02-14
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.1144	2.1112	-0.15%	2.1432	+1.36%	0.0013	✓	1.22	486k	2022-02-14
SOL	Solana	Solana	92.92	92.7818	-0.15%	96.43	+3.78%	0.0244	✗	1.27	179.7M	2022-02-14
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.027679	0.027639	-0.14%	0.028657	+3.53%	0.0217	✗	1.29	102k	2022-02-14
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.499	0.498432	-0.11%	0.502	+0.60%	0.0093	✓	1.47	4.5M	2022-02-14
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00579	0.005784	-0.11%	0.00566	-2.25%	0.0443	✓	2.02	18.8M	2022-02-14
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2812	0.280907	-0.10%	0.2886	+2.63%	0.0144	✗	1.12	538k	2022-02-14
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.89	5.8841	-0.10%	5.66	-3.90%	0.0512	✓	1.10	599k	2022-02-14
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.272	7.2653	-0.09%	7.128	-1.98%	0.0230	✓	0.35	38k	2022-02-14
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9151	0.914286	-0.09%	0.9283	+1.44%	0.0021	✓	1.54	637k	2022-02-14
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.148727	0.148596	-0.09%	0.145821	-1.95%	0.0305	✓	1.04	7.0M	2022-02-14
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.443	0.44265	-0.08%	0.4478	+1.08%	0.0053	✓	1.51	2.0M	2022-02-14
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	121.97	121.8998	-0.06%	121.35	-0.51%	0.0161	✓	1.03	7.8M	2022-02-14
XVG	Verge	native	0.01099	0.010984	-0.05%	0.01132	+3.00%	0.0144	✗	1.40	1.2M	2022-02-14
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01036	0.010357	-0.03%	0.01033	-0.29%	0.0142	✓	1.04	489k	2022-02-14
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.9	1.8994	-0.03%	1.84	-3.16%	0.0451	✓	1.19	1.4M	2022-02-14
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.064588	0.064569	-0.03%	0.064484	-0.16%	0.0116	✓	0.92	344k	2022-02-14
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	16.82	16.8155	-0.03%	17.04	+1.31%	0.0063	✓	1.75	3.7M	2022-02-14
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.747	0.746922	-0.01%	0.759	+1.61%	0.0036	✗	1.11	1.6M	2022-02-14

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.