8=======>

2022-02-06 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1497
148 of 148 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+15.49%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
54.7%
in alpha space · 54.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-8.64%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GLMRMoonbeamBase6.1435.1713-15.82%2.467-59.84%0.6497✓1.001.4M2022-03-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.32661.1358-14.38%0.7371-44.44%0.3420✓1.002.5M2022-03-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.048880.04288-12.28%0.03821-21.83%0.0249✓1.005.3M2022-03-08
PROPropyEthereum2.131.9137-10.15%1.54-27.70%0.1269✓1.001.8M2022-03-08
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.46683.1736-8.46%2.0561-40.69%0.3560✓0.8626k2022-03-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.0761.905-8.24%3.0589+47.35%0.5332✗0.663.2M2022-03-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.61910.568477-8.18%0.5126-17.20%0.0055✓1.081.4M2022-03-08
SUSHISushiEthereum4.814.4237-8.03%2.9-39.71%0.2972✓1.388.3M2022-03-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0383920.035313-8.02%0.016926-55.91%0.6209✓1.27117k2022-03-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum24,634.4122,833.83-7.31%19,352.13-21.44%0.0808✓0.9412.3M2022-03-08
DIADIAEthereum1.010.940687-6.86%0.92-8.91%0.0682✓1.00298k2022-03-08
STXStacksnative1.681.5665-6.75%1.06-36.90%0.3002✓1.001.2M2022-03-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.815.4425-6.33%3.912-32.67%0.2172✓1.252.7M2022-03-08
BTTCBTTC0.000002280.000002137-6.25%0.00000181-20.61%0.0759✓1.0014.9M2022-03-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.235560.220869-6.24%0.14701-37.59%0.2601✓1.6334k2022-03-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1270.119599-5.83%0.1-21.26%0.0886✓1.0096k2022-03-08
FIDABonfidaSolana2.2412.1159-5.58%1.824-18.61%0.0581✓1.0066k2022-03-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos31.3129.5683-5.56%27.87-10.99%0.0447✓1.15103.8M2022-03-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.09290.08801-5.26%0.0566-39.07%0.2836✓1.7526.7M2022-03-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum23.3622.1819-5.04%16.86-27.83%0.1685✓1.1726.9M2022-03-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum8.588.1525-4.98%5.71-33.45%0.3244✓0.351.6M2022-03-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.2815.6011-4.17%16.34+0.37%0.1096✗0.70908k2022-03-08
MANADecentralandEthereum3.30033.1801-3.64%2.3938-27.47%0.1943✓0.992.8M2022-03-08
AAVEAaveEthereum173.57167.7834-3.33%121.68-29.90%0.1948✓1.4010.2M2022-03-08
GTGateEthereum7.16246.9289-3.26%6.5581-8.44%0.0255✓0.894.0M2022-03-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.6373.5199-3.22%2.83-22.19%0.1407✓0.86649k2022-03-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.58260.564099-3.18%0.4042-30.62%0.1690✓1.821.8M2022-03-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.0168350.016308-3.13%0.011366-32.49%0.2532✓1.192.3M2022-03-08
XTZTezosTezos3.92563.8033-3.11%3.0102-23.32%0.1148✓1.322.3M2022-03-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.95920.929889-3.06%0.7047-26.53%0.1820✓1.0513.5M2022-03-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.172.1048-3.01%1.274-41.29%0.3787✓1.363.4M2022-03-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.53050.515206-2.88%0.3413-35.66%0.2503✓1.7942.5M2022-03-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum18.0617.5411-2.87%13.09-27.52%0.1863✓1.1876.9M2022-03-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03530.034287-2.87%0.0246-30.31%0.1937✓1.53490k2022-03-08
MINAMina Protocolnative3.042.9552-2.79%1.82-40.13%0.3728✓1.24407k2022-03-08
XMRMoneroMonero173.8168.9546-2.79%203.38+17.02%0.2793✗1.041.6M2022-03-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.3110.302959-2.59%0.2009-35.40%0.2691✓1.574.1M2022-03-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2613.1806-2.47%2.668-18.18%0.1026✓0.81206k2022-03-08
CELLCellframeEthereum1.10731.0853-1.98%1.3396+20.98%0.3457✗1.50103k2022-03-08
UMAUMAEthereum6.446.3161-1.92%7.832+21.61%0.3057✗1.001.9M2022-03-08
API3Api3Ethereum3.633.5617-1.88%5.243+44.44%0.4134✗0.301.5M2022-03-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum24.6524.1879-1.87%18.57-24.67%0.1220✓1.57411k2022-03-08
XEMNEMnative0.11210.110092-1.79%0.0953-14.99%0.0495✓1.0535k2022-03-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.2610.0817-1.74%10.15-1.07%0.0702✗0.70627k2022-03-08
LUNATerraTerra 256.1355.1578-1.73%85.48+52.29%0.5651✗1.408.4M2022-03-08
FTTFTXEthereum46.6545.8667-1.68%40.57-13.03%0.0154✓1.1933.0M2022-03-08
ETHEthereumEthereum3,058.223,007.69-1.65%2,576.72-15.74%0.0544✓1.11544.5M2022-03-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.393.3356-1.60%2.035-39.97%0.3665✓1.4120.8M2022-03-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum31.3330.8352-1.58%23.39-25.34%0.1439✓1.472.0M2022-03-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5334.4621-1.56%4.219-6.93%0.0196✗0.84351k2022-03-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.0632.0335-1.43%1.338-35.14%0.3010✓1.301.2M2022-03-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche79.0577.9198-1.43%72.98-7.68%0.0559✗1.3485.1M2022-03-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.02591.0113-1.42%0.7402-27.85%0.2133✓1.0929.2M2022-03-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.088120.087001-1.27%0.07699-12.63%0.0514✓0.7886k2022-03-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.2320.229391-1.12%0.1948-16.03%0.0379✓1.393.6M2022-03-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07120.070417-1.10%0.0696-2.25%0.1062✗1.30540k2022-03-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,415.1641,973.48-1.04%38,749.38-8.64%0.0105✓1.00638.9M2022-03-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot21.9121.6862-1.02%16.97-22.55%0.1212✓1.3741.9M2022-03-08
UNIUniswapEthereum11.711.5874-0.96%8.83-24.53%0.1530✓1.3112.2M2022-03-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.16365.1161-0.92%3.8173-26.07%0.1814✓1.23406k2022-03-08
COMPCompoundEthereum140.8139.6565-0.81%103-26.85%0.1879✓1.2959k2022-03-08
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07680.076179-0.81%0.07059-8.09%0.0231✗1.1021k2022-03-08
MOVRMoonriverBase91.457590.7659-0.76%52.05-43.09%0.4301✓1.39319k2022-03-08
HIVEHivenative1.21771.2089-0.73%0.8637-29.07%0.2023✓1.481.9M2022-03-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.732.7106-0.71%2.16-20.88%0.1357✓1.01542k2022-03-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.08785.052-0.70%5.6406+10.87%0.1356✗0.28376k2022-03-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.2927.241-0.70%4.763-34.68%0.3273✓1.01341k2022-03-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.77520.769959-0.68%0.4195-45.88%0.4670✓1.551.1M2022-03-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV98.6597.9864-0.67%78.77-20.15%0.1358✓0.911.5M2022-03-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.24723.2276-0.60%2.9495-9.17%0.0057✓0.932.0M2022-03-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7781.7689-0.51%1.529-14.00%0.0410✓1.161.5M2022-03-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.8627.7314-0.46%28.1+0.86%0.1019✗0.98513k2022-03-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin22.4622.358-0.45%18.04-19.68%0.1088✓1.1710.4M2022-03-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.101070.100616-0.45%0.08944-11.51%0.0227✓1.0547k2022-03-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.830.826427-0.43%0.6-27.71%0.1502✓1.88996k2022-03-08
ADACardanoCardano1.14361.1388-0.42%0.8021-29.86%0.2498✓1.11108.7M2022-03-08
BANDBandEthereum3.973.9568-0.33%3.473-12.52%0.0150✓1.282.0M2022-03-08
KCSKuCoinnative20.00119.9375-0.32%18.038-9.81%0.0221✗1.3510.4M2022-03-08
CTKShentuOsmosis1.4891.4851-0.26%1.132-23.98%0.1556✓1.283.4M2022-03-08
GITCOINGITCOIN8.4668.4442-0.26%5.667-33.06%0.3689✓0.3339k2022-03-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.1290.128686-0.24%0.0836-35.19%0.2868✓1.601.6M2022-03-08
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013480.013451-0.21%0.01218-9.64%0.0249✓0.8213k2022-03-08
DASHDashDash108.83108.7785-0.05%96.39-11.43%0.0186✓1.132.5M2022-03-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.059740.05977+0.05%0.04783-19.94%0.0936✗1.431.5M2022-03-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.861.861+0.06%1.298-30.22%0.2459✗1.271.8M2022-03-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6599060.660275+0.06%0.497835-24.56%0.1775✗1.163.3M2022-03-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.942620.943685+0.11%0.65836-30.16%0.2237✗1.51334k2022-03-08
XYMSymbolnative0.19040.190673+0.14%0.1326-30.36%0.2978✗0.72423k2022-03-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.31940.31987+0.15%0.2596-18.72%0.1069✗1.13533k2022-03-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.221.2226+0.21%1.006-17.54%0.0731✗1.35490k2022-03-08
NANOnanopayBase2.23812.2436+0.24%1.6748-25.17%0.1866✗1.17845k2022-03-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.56.5275+0.42%7.88+21.23%0.2605✓0.80441k2022-03-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00002850.000028627+0.45%0.0000229-19.65%0.1009✗1.351.3M2022-03-08
STORJStorjEthereum1.34791.3545+0.49%0.93442-30.67%0.2766✗1.05326k2022-03-08
QTUMQtumQtum7.12577.1632+0.53%5.7399-19.45%0.0897✗1.46156k2022-03-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.2796.3137+0.55%4.714-24.92%0.2124✗0.8881k2022-03-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1310.131738+0.56%0.1137-13.21%0.0229✗1.383.2M2022-03-08
UOSUltraEthereum1.1971.2039+0.58%1.1917-0.44%0.0969✓1.192.3M2022-03-08
ZENHorizenBase47.4947.77+0.59%39.86-16.07%0.0393✗1.57531k2022-03-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01260.012682+0.65%0.01185-5.95%0.0602✓1.421.7M2022-03-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash324.8327.0062+0.68%284.53-12.40%0.0474✗1.026.8M2022-03-08
DODODODOEthereum0.5560.559931+0.71%0.391-29.68%0.2285✗1.454.6M2022-03-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.7842.8052+0.76%3.365+20.87%0.3020✓1.33911k2022-03-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.182.1975+0.80%1.69-22.48%0.1442✗1.312.2M2022-03-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.916.9665+0.82%3.99-42.26%0.4654✗1.02818k2022-03-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin127.68128.9346+0.98%100.75-21.09%0.1315✗1.2730.6M2022-03-08
XECeCashnative0.000086130.000087073+1.09%0.00006915-19.71%0.1272✗1.145.4M2022-03-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.045030.045549+1.15%0.03904-13.30%0.0524✗1.1329k2022-03-08
RADRadworksEthereum5.795.8573+1.16%4.34-25.04%0.2051✗1.05802k2022-03-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.50740.513385+1.18%0.3058-39.73%0.3885✗1.432.0M2022-03-08
QNTQuantEthereum135.95137.572+1.19%111.08-18.29%0.1264✗0.977.5M2022-03-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.1540.155844+1.20%0.1485-3.57%0.0450✓1.03337k2022-03-08
XLMStellarStellar0.2239260.226715+1.25%0.173136-22.68%0.1776✗1.0224.4M2022-03-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.40893.4529+1.29%2.9137-14.53%0.0700✗1.102.5M2022-03-08
KSMKusamaHydration195.98198.5479+1.31%122.46-37.51%0.3724✗1.231.0M2022-03-08
CBKCobakEthereum2.5832.6182+1.36%2.146-16.92%0.1022✗1.0722k2022-03-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.646.7325+1.39%5.92-10.84%0.0495✗0.88444k2022-03-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,902.9042,492.13+1.41%38,942.90-7.06%0.0004✓0.9636k2022-03-08
IMXImmutableEthereum2.822.8606+1.44%1.518-46.17%0.5495✗0.932.3M2022-03-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.04080.041404+1.48%0.01098-73.09%1.2272✗1.119.0M2022-03-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum68.3269.3496+1.51%46.4-32.08%0.2899✗1.247.8M2022-03-08
XVSVenusEthereum8.919.0552+1.63%8.61-3.37%0.0640✓1.272.3M2022-03-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.465.5508+1.66%5.13-6.04%0.0094✓0.77356k2022-03-08
SOLSolanaSolana115.32117.2535+1.68%82.35-28.59%0.2408✗1.25181.0M2022-03-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative29.8930.4158+1.76%26.77-10.44%0.0335✗1.043.5M2022-03-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.26070.265291+1.76%0.2233-14.35%0.0793✗1.031.7M2022-03-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.032080.032659+1.80%0.02495-22.23%0.1884✗0.897.4M2022-03-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.85211.8862+1.84%1.8748+1.23%0.0942✓1.1172k2022-03-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.15380.156845+1.98%0.116967-23.95%0.2006✗1.037.1M2022-03-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.5615.8864+2.10%12.75-18.06%0.1270✗1.03616k2022-03-08
ZECZcashZcash124.6127.3421+2.20%138.68+11.30%0.2014✓1.286.6M2022-03-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.4730.483998+2.33%0.3352-29.13%0.2478✗1.329.3M2022-03-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.270.276739+2.50%0.234-13.33%0.0817✗0.9567k2022-03-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.332.3905+2.60%1.17-49.79%0.6069✗1.192.3M2022-03-08
XVGVergenative0.011520.01182+2.60%0.01031-10.50%0.0185✓1.311.3M2022-03-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0070.007198+2.83%0.00376-46.29%0.4663✗2.0220.0M2022-03-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.257.4674+3.00%6.17-14.90%0.1618✗0.321.1M2022-03-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.022030.022691+3.00%0.01691-23.24%0.1848✗1.212.5M2022-03-08
SCSiacoinnative0.01160.011967+3.17%0.00889-23.36%0.2057✗1.01550k2022-03-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.0161.0485+3.19%0.805-20.77%0.1393✗1.382.3M2022-03-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.59760.618962+3.57%0.6773+13.34%0.2082✓1.312.6M2022-03-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0397480.041321+3.96%0.040538+1.99%0.0852✓1.158.4M2022-03-08
LRCLoopringEthereum1.12221.1668+3.97%0.734-34.59%0.3263✗1.52672k2022-03-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.8160.850442+4.22%0.641-21.45%0.1838✗1.091.6M2022-03-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08940.093469+4.55%0.0685-23.38%0.2008✗1.22244k2022-03-08
TRXTRONTron0.0662560.06947+4.85%0.060594-8.55%0.0550✗0.90362k2022-03-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3670.385531+5.05%0.27-26.43%0.2362✗1.331.7M2022-03-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum20.8622.6299+8.48%13.87-33.51%0.3331✗1.733.8M2022-03-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.