8=======>

2022-01-31 · +1d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 145 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1761
145 of 145 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.51%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
43.4%
in alpha space · 33.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.58%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (145 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0375420.037696+0.41%0.042617+13.52%0.1145✓1.40172k2022-02-01
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.3895.3946+0.10%5.365-0.45%0.0113✗1.001.4M2022-02-01
QNTQuantEthereum97.1597.2371+0.09%104.95+8.03%0.0702✓1.057.5M2022-02-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.546.5457+0.09%6.66+1.83%0.0160✓0.231.1M2022-02-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.43690.437269+0.08%0.4327-0.96%0.0198✗1.602.0M2022-02-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000021420.000021435+0.07%0.00002176+1.59%0.0068✓1.411.6M2022-02-01
MOVRMoonriverBase75.077575.129+0.07%76.2874+1.61%0.0079✓1.27410k2022-02-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7310.731465+0.06%0.756+3.42%0.0268✓1.071.7M2022-02-01
TRXTRONTron0.0591320.059163+0.05%0.059831+1.18%0.0058✓0.93431k2022-02-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.820.82026+0.03%1.17+42.68%0.3462✓1.53490k2022-02-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.152.1502+0.01%2.1-2.33%0.0327✗1.562.3M2022-02-01
XVGVergenative0.010220.010221+0.01%0.01018-0.39%0.0118✗1.341.6M2022-02-01
DODODODOEthereum0.4910.490796-0.04%0.488-0.61%0.0147✓1.545.0M2022-02-01
GITCOINGITCOIN7.3187.3144-0.05%8.052+10.03%0.0947✗0.2340k2022-02-01
XVSVenusEthereum7.947.9358-0.05%8.13+2.39%0.0165✗1.332.8M2022-02-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.007280.007276-0.05%0.00684-6.04%0.0755✓2.3423.2M2022-02-01
SCSiacoinnative0.009940.009933-0.07%0.01011+1.71%0.0116✗1.04588k2022-02-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.255.2461-0.07%5.37+2.29%0.0191✗0.73429k2022-02-01
KSMKusamaHydration159.75159.6275-0.08%170.69+6.85%0.0601✗1.181.2M2022-02-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1416460.141533-0.08%0.142489+0.60%0.0005✓1.077.1M2022-02-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.11643.1139-0.08%3.1868+2.26%0.0166✗1.132.9M2022-02-01
LSKLiskEthereum1.55261.5512-0.08%1.6048+3.36%0.0274✗1.1182k2022-02-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11360.113486-0.10%0.1161+2.20%0.0150✗1.333.8M2022-02-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.640.639357-0.10%0.7+9.37%0.0798✗1.861.1M2022-02-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2470.246745-0.10%0.255+3.24%0.0274✗0.9563k2022-02-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.3614.3433-0.12%14.66+2.09%0.0161✗0.99814k2022-02-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.5120.4854-0.12%20.94+2.10%0.0127✗1.59556k2022-02-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3180.317618-0.12%0.328+3.14%0.0242✗1.361.7M2022-02-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9150.913891-0.12%0.932+1.86%0.0116✗1.382.3M2022-02-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.009930.009918-0.12%0.00957-3.63%0.0433✓1.302.1M2022-02-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.4640.463405-0.13%0.4737+2.09%0.0138✗1.402.2M2022-02-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum52.3852.3123-0.13%53.47+2.08%0.0151✗1.168.0M2022-02-01
COMPCompoundEthereum121.39121.2276-0.13%128.16+5.58%0.0480✗1.3165k2022-02-01
XMRMoneroMonero147.48147.2823-0.13%146.32-0.79%0.0125✓1.021.9M2022-02-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.256.2415-0.14%6.27+0.32%0.0010✓0.95892k2022-02-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0392780.039224-0.14%0.03834-2.39%0.0301✓1.259.4M2022-02-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.1196.1104-0.14%5.958-2.63%0.0302✓0.86118k2022-02-01
SOLSolanaSolana99.5299.3742-0.15%110.1+10.63%0.0956✗1.19165.9M2022-02-01
BANDBandEthereum3.483.4749-0.15%3.49+0.29%0.0031✓1.272.5M2022-02-01
NANOnanopayBase2.13152.1282-0.16%2.1518+0.95%0.0038✗1.24888k2022-02-01
LRCLoopringEthereum0.99850.996913-0.16%0.9652-3.34%0.0430✓1.83929k2022-02-01
ZECZcashZcash94.5794.415-0.16%98.97+4.65%0.0392✗1.356.6M2022-02-01
STORJStorjEthereum1.16481.1628-0.17%1.1512-1.17%0.0160✓1.02352k2022-02-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.6725.6258-0.17%26.8+4.40%0.0385✗1.093.3M2022-02-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.61660.615491-0.18%0.7231+17.27%0.1522✗1.541.2M2022-02-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum20.1520.1131-0.18%19.38-3.82%0.0479✓1.853.9M2022-02-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24230.241841-0.19%0.2456+1.36%0.0086✗1.171.9M2022-02-01
HIVEHivenative0.96190.96007-0.19%0.9549-0.73%0.0143✓1.542.0M2022-02-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0423.0362-0.19%3.125+2.73%0.0241✗0.81342k2022-02-01
SUSHISushiEthereum4.234.2214-0.20%4.35+2.84%0.0219✗1.409.3M2022-02-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08120.081033-0.21%0.0822+1.23%0.0071✗1.24317k2022-02-01
XECeCashnative0.000076330.000076172-0.21%0.00007722+1.17%0.0071✗1.135.8M2022-02-01
CELLCellframeEthereum0.83880.837064-0.21%0.8834+5.32%0.0451✗1.51106k2022-02-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.266.247-0.21%6.24-0.32%0.0058✓0.80504k2022-02-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin109.55109.3185-0.21%115.11+5.08%0.0438✗1.3533.8M2022-02-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0142680.014237-0.21%0.015173+6.34%0.0568✗1.172.7M2022-02-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,491.9338,409.33-0.21%38,716.88+0.58%0.0021✓1.00717.4M2022-02-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03520.035124-0.22%0.0358+1.70%0.0105✗1.47617k2022-02-01
IMXImmutableEthereum2.692.6841-0.22%2.88+7.06%0.0614✗1.552.2M2022-02-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0210240.020978-0.22%0.020954-0.33%0.0071✓1.023.1M2022-02-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.951.9457-0.22%1.98+1.54%0.0099✗1.302.8M2022-02-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.029780.029713-0.22%0.03008+1.01%0.0070✗0.908.7M2022-02-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.27180.271185-0.23%0.2826+3.97%0.0346✗1.15557k2022-02-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.162.1551-0.23%2.03-6.02%0.0688✓1.544.2M2022-02-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.54920.547938-0.23%0.565+2.88%0.0229✗1.342.7M2022-02-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.045860.045754-0.23%0.0446-2.75%0.0320✓1.119.2M2022-02-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.18890.188454-0.24%0.1885-0.21%0.0076✓1.343.8M2022-02-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.52.4939-0.24%2.53+1.20%0.0084✗1.02754k2022-02-01
ETHEthereumEthereum2,689.722,683.14-0.24%2,789.66+3.72%0.0325✗1.11557.7M2022-02-01
UMAUMAEthereum5.955.9354-0.25%5.98+0.50%0.0012✓1.092.1M2022-02-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013310.013277-0.25%0.01283-3.61%0.0395✓0.9014k2022-02-01
DASHDashDash94.1893.9461-0.25%97.23+3.24%0.0275✗1.182.9M2022-02-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.681.6757-0.25%1.7+1.19%0.0068✗1.302.1M2022-02-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06580.065633-0.25%0.0658+0.00%0.0039✓1.1121k2022-02-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.8219.769-0.26%20.15+1.66%0.0117✗1.2834.3M2022-02-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.83380.8316-0.26%0.8391+0.64%0.0024✓1.1316.8M2022-02-01
XLMStellarStellar0.1997230.199193-0.27%0.202028+1.15%0.0081✗1.0426.2M2022-02-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.276.2532-0.27%6.28+0.16%0.0008✓0.87529k2022-02-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.3919.338-0.27%19.58+0.98%0.0043✗1.4050.2M2022-02-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06190.061734-0.27%0.062+0.16%0.0034✓1.31564k2022-02-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.852610.850315-0.27%0.84367-1.05%0.0180✓1.74534k2022-02-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.4090.407878-0.27%0.4393+7.41%0.0666✗1.3110.0M2022-02-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.321.2415-0.27%20.92-1.78%0.0223✓1.2212.6M2022-02-01
QTUMQtumQtum6.06786.051-0.28%6.1797+1.84%0.0125✗1.46181k2022-02-01
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3591.3552-0.28%1.316-3.16%0.0367✓1.263.5M2022-02-01
AAVEAaveEthereum157.59157.1445-0.28%164.05+4.10%0.0349✗1.4012.7M2022-02-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040450.040334-0.29%0.04034-0.27%0.0064✓1.1229k2022-02-01
MINAMina Protocolnative2.392.3831-0.29%2.65+10.88%0.0991✗1.21602k2022-02-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum27.0226.9414-0.29%26.67-1.30%0.0198✓1.662.6M2022-02-01
ZENHorizenBase4140.8792-0.29%39.21-4.37%0.0512✓1.63626k2022-02-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash285.23284.3895-0.29%287.95+0.95%0.0063✗1.056.8M2022-02-01
KCSKuCoinnative18.06518.0109-0.30%18.496+2.39%0.0177✗1.5210.6M2022-02-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.357.3278-0.30%8.06+9.66%0.0936✗0.271.8M2022-02-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche69.9269.709-0.30%73.37+4.93%0.0434✗1.3485.3M2022-02-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5471.5423-0.31%1.525-1.42%0.0183✓1.211.6M2022-02-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5673350.565588-0.31%0.582133+2.61%0.0217✗1.223.3M2022-02-01
UOSUltraEthereum1.09031.0869-0.31%1.1475+5.25%0.0471✗1.232.4M2022-02-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.6832.6747-0.31%2.683+0.00%0.0058✓1.53986k2022-02-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV91.3291.0311-0.32%91.69+0.41%0.0017✓0.951.6M2022-02-01
UNIUniswapEthereum11.7811.7426-0.32%11.11-5.69%0.0633✓1.3712.5M2022-02-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1084.0949-0.32%4.228+2.92%0.0273✗0.81367k2022-02-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.0580.057813-0.32%0.05811+0.19%0.0032✓1.431.7M2022-02-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.087840.087556-0.32%0.08902+1.34%0.0102✗1.0946k2022-02-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.95040.947303-0.33%0.967+1.75%0.0137✗1.1834.5M2022-02-01
XEMNEMnative0.10220.101865-0.33%0.104+1.76%0.0148✗1.0241k2022-02-01
CBKCobakEthereum2.2472.2395-0.33%2.247+0.00%0.0030✓1.0923k2022-02-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum38,589.3038,460.21-0.33%38,691.90+0.27%0.0001✓1.0251k2022-02-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2273.216-0.34%3.337+3.41%0.0320✗0.85819k2022-02-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.01384.9966-0.34%4.8991-2.29%0.0270✓1.26430k2022-02-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.8881.8815-0.34%1.837-2.70%0.0312✓1.241.5M2022-02-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.1617.0987-0.36%17-0.93%0.0129✓1.2288.8M2022-02-01
XYMSymbolnative0.18360.18294-0.36%0.1825-0.60%0.0064✓0.68495k2022-02-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.273.2582-0.36%3.46+5.81%0.0516✗1.4524.6M2022-02-01
ADACardanoCardano1.05241.0486-0.37%1.0965+4.19%0.0380✗1.14113.2M2022-02-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum25.2125.1132-0.38%25.47+1.03%0.0096✗0.78447k2022-02-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.9045.8805-0.40%5.979+1.27%0.0105✗1.04341k2022-02-01
LUNATerraTerra 252.1551.9404-0.40%52.21+0.12%0.0047✓1.698.8M2022-02-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.71993.7049-0.40%4.2589+14.49%0.1394✗-0.02350k2022-02-01
XTZTezosTezos3.49383.4795-0.41%3.7479+7.27%0.0662✗1.402.4M2022-02-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.54030.538057-0.42%0.5296-1.98%0.0268✓1.8948.9M2022-02-01
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.049850.049643-0.42%0.04829-3.13%0.0335✓1.005.5M2022-02-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.629.5797-0.42%9.72+1.04%0.0101✗0.75744k2022-02-01
API3Api3Ethereum3.413.3955-0.42%3.57+4.69%0.0490✗0.191.4M2022-02-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.06653.0532-0.43%3.0959+0.96%0.0078✗1.052.0M2022-02-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.0727.9477-0.44%28.86+2.81%0.0254✗1.15120.6M2022-02-01
MANADecentralandEthereum2.82232.8097-0.44%2.6803-5.03%0.0528✓0.982.8M2022-02-01
FTTFTXEthereum43.5843.3799-0.46%45.2+3.72%0.0339✗1.2337.0M2022-02-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.32910.327508-0.48%0.3087-6.20%0.0686✓1.634.2M2022-02-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum24,852.8524,730.56-0.49%25,472.18+2.49%0.0241✗0.9416.4M2022-02-01
GTGateEthereum6.8676.8332-0.49%6.9364+1.01%0.0095✗0.954.2M2022-02-01
PROPropyEthereum2.312.2986-0.49%2.23-3.46%0.0361✓1.003.4M2022-02-01
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.27781.2715-0.50%1.2044-5.74%0.0600✓1.003.1M2022-02-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13610.135424-0.50%0.1425+4.70%0.0452✗0.98312k2022-02-01
RADRadworksEthereum5.85.7699-0.52%5.6-3.45%0.0361✓1.061.0M2022-02-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.12150.120863-0.52%0.1189-2.14%0.0251✓1.501.7M2022-02-01
STXStacksnative1.491.482-0.54%1.5+0.67%0.0063✗1.002.0M2022-02-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.5490.545947-0.56%0.5575+1.55%0.0141✗1.172.1M2022-02-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.17753.1596-0.56%3.2091+0.99%0.0103✗0.9022k2022-02-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.2514.1674-0.58%14.46+1.47%0.0164✗0.70841k2022-02-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.079790.079318-0.59%0.07836-1.79%0.0164✓0.7384k2022-02-01
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1220.121263-0.60%0.133+9.02%0.0866✗1.00141k2022-02-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.190160.18888-0.67%0.20659+8.64%0.0802✗1.6224k2022-02-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.735.6809-0.86%5.37-6.28%0.0639✓1.313.2M2022-02-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.8871.8704-0.88%1.8742-0.68%0.0022✓0.733.1M2022-02-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.09750.095565-1.98%0.0861-11.69%0.1198✓2.6524.9M2022-02-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.