8=======>

2022-01-30 · +1d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 145 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0438
145 of 145 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.22%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
52.4%
in alpha space · 25.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.56%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (145 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07740.076488-1.18%0.0975+25.97%0.2041✗2.5023.2M2022-01-31
BFCBifrostEthereum0.180140.178752-0.77%0.19016+5.56%0.0375✗1.5723k2022-01-31
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.0213.9227-0.69%14.25+1.64%0.0127✗0.68829k2022-01-31
LCXLCXEthereum0.12190.121078-0.67%0.1215-0.33%0.0198✓1.501.8M2022-01-31
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.73861.7273-0.65%1.887+8.54%0.0766✗0.762.8M2022-01-31
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.255.2169-0.63%5.73+9.14%0.0741✗1.273.1M2022-01-31
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1220.121264-0.60%0.122+0.00%0.0094✓1.00149k2022-01-31
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.39131.3837-0.55%1.2778-8.16%0.0951✓1.003.2M2022-01-31
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.54790.545029-0.52%0.549+0.20%0.0109✓1.172.1M2022-01-31
STXStacksnative1.491.4826-0.50%1.49+0.00%0.0105✓1.002.1M2022-01-31
COTICOTIEthereum0.32360.322042-0.48%0.3291+1.70%0.0025✓1.574.2M2022-01-31
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.079790.079409-0.48%0.07979+0.00%0.0074✓0.7976k2022-01-31
GTGateEthereum6.79156.7596-0.47%6.867+1.11%0.0014✓0.934.1M2022-01-31
NMRNumeraireEthereum25.7525.6325-0.46%25.21-2.10%0.0287✓0.78430k2022-01-31
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.01373.0001-0.45%3.0665+1.75%0.0058✗1.042.0M2022-01-31
API3Api3Ethereum3.633.6137-0.45%3.41-6.06%0.0614✓0.221.1M2022-01-31
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.02143.0085-0.43%3.1775+5.17%0.0412✗0.8722k2022-01-31
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.053110.052886-0.42%0.04985-6.14%0.0746✓1.005.9M2022-01-31
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.329.2814-0.41%9.62+3.22%0.0243✗0.75744k2022-01-31
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.7717.699-0.40%17.16-3.43%0.0498✓1.2284.3M2022-01-31
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.05950.059263-0.40%0.058-2.52%0.0441✓1.461.7M2022-01-31
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.55930.557077-0.40%0.5403-3.40%0.0596✓1.8748.9M2022-01-31
PROPropyEthereum2.272.2611-0.39%2.31+1.76%0.0059✗1.003.4M2022-01-31
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.1927.0889-0.37%28.07+3.24%0.0182✗1.12127.6M2022-01-31
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,834.5923,750.42-0.35%24,852.85+4.27%0.0311✗0.9218.0M2022-01-31
XTZTezosTezos3.27813.2665-0.35%3.4938+6.58%0.0462✗1.362.5M2022-01-31
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.7895.7689-0.35%5.904+1.99%0.0078✗0.99320k2022-01-31
FTTFTXEthereum41.0540.9113-0.34%43.58+6.16%0.0444✗1.2235.1M2022-01-31
ADACardanoCardano1.03591.0325-0.33%1.0524+1.59%0.0017✓1.13113.2M2022-01-31
CTKShentuOsmosis1.4141.4093-0.33%1.359-3.89%0.0561✓1.283.5M2022-01-31
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0784.0646-0.33%4.108+0.74%0.0015✓0.79381k2022-01-31
DKAdKargoEthereum0.088180.087896-0.32%0.08784-0.39%0.0192✓1.2046k2022-01-31
CBKCobakEthereum2.2432.2358-0.32%2.247+0.18%0.0118✓1.0823k2022-01-31
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.6932.6844-0.32%2.683-0.37%0.0242✓1.53986k2022-01-31
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.5873.5757-0.31%3.7199+3.71%0.0399✗-0.02323k2022-01-31
XYMSymbolnative0.17810.177543-0.31%0.1836+3.09%0.0231✗0.67500k2022-01-31
XEMNEMnative0.10240.10208-0.31%0.1022-0.20%0.0151✓1.0540k2022-01-31
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.83434.8193-0.31%5.0138+3.71%0.0205✗1.23430k2022-01-31
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV90.3490.0637-0.31%91.32+1.08%0.0008✓0.951.6M2022-01-31
UOSUltraEthereum1.07761.0743-0.30%1.0903+1.18%0.0052✓1.292.4M2022-01-31
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.94470.941959-0.29%0.9504+0.60%0.0091✓1.1734.5M2022-01-31
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.1383.1289-0.29%3.227+2.84%0.0174✗0.87840k2022-01-31
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash290.04289.2028-0.29%285.23-1.66%0.0300✓1.046.8M2022-01-31
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.7881.783-0.28%1.888+5.59%0.0371✗1.301.5M2022-01-31
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040350.040239-0.28%0.04045+0.25%0.0123✓1.1329k2022-01-31
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.183.1713-0.27%3.27+2.83%0.0090✗1.4024.6M2022-01-31
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0660.06582-0.27%0.0658-0.30%0.0177✓1.1221k2022-01-31
ZENHorizenBase40.2240.1106-0.27%41+1.94%0.0027✓1.59639k2022-01-31
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5533130.551838-0.27%0.567335+2.53%0.0088✗1.223.4M2022-01-31
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.146.124-0.26%6.27+2.12%0.0104✗0.85529k2022-01-31
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche67.9867.8031-0.26%69.92+2.85%0.0101✗1.3483.8M2022-01-31
QTUMQtumQtum5.98845.9731-0.26%6.0678+1.33%0.0066✓1.44204k2022-01-31
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.287.2614-0.26%7.35+0.96%0.0076✗0.301.9M2022-01-31
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4861.4822-0.25%1.547+4.10%0.0244✗1.191.6M2022-01-31
KCSKuCoinnative17.40717.3633-0.25%18.065+3.78%0.0162✗1.5210.6M2022-01-31
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.2926.225-0.25%27.02+2.78%0.0039✗1.682.6M2022-01-31
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06190.061749-0.24%0.0619+0.00%0.0196✓1.43564k2022-01-31
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013260.013228-0.24%0.01331+0.38%0.0079✓0.9117k2022-01-31
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum37,655.6037,564.91-0.24%38,589.30+2.48%0.0112✗1.0147k2022-01-31
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.39970.398759-0.24%0.409+2.33%0.0055✗1.2910.0M2022-01-31
MANADecentralandEthereum2.50782.5019-0.23%2.8223+12.54%0.1059✗0.942.6M2022-01-31
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.833040.831091-0.23%0.85261+2.35%0.0009✓1.71534k2022-01-31
XLMStellarStellar0.1953990.194947-0.23%0.199723+2.21%0.0081✗1.0426.2M2022-01-31
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.482.4743-0.23%2.5+0.81%0.0054✓1.02789k2022-01-31
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.661.6562-0.23%1.68+1.20%0.0056✓1.282.1M2022-01-31
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.047090.046986-0.22%0.04586-2.61%0.0450✓1.349.2M2022-01-31
MINAMina Protocolnative2.272.2652-0.21%2.39+5.29%0.0353✗1.18602k2022-01-31
CELLCellframeEthereum0.84830.846507-0.21%0.8388-1.12%0.0326✓1.52106k2022-01-31
DASHDashDash92.7792.5758-0.21%94.18+1.52%0.0012✓1.192.9M2022-01-31
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0673.0607-0.20%3.042-0.82%0.0184✓0.80378k2022-01-31
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.81420.812538-0.20%0.8338+2.41%0.0088✗1.1017.8M2022-01-31
ETHEthereumEthereum2,602.892,597.66-0.20%2,689.72+3.34%0.0176✗1.11557.7M2022-01-31
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0210080.020966-0.20%0.021024+0.08%0.0148✓1.133.1M2022-01-31
UMAUMAEthereum5.925.9083-0.20%5.95+0.51%0.0096✓1.072.3M2022-01-31
AMPAmpEthereum0.029620.029562-0.20%0.02978+0.54%0.0071✓0.938.7M2022-01-31
LUNATerraTerra 246.2146.1201-0.19%52.15+12.85%0.0975✗1.648.8M2022-01-31
LTCLitecoinLitecoin108.59108.3832-0.19%109.55+0.88%0.0099✓1.3433.8M2022-01-31
CHZChilizEthereum0.18160.181257-0.19%0.1889+4.02%0.0202✗1.363.8M2022-01-31
BTCBitcoinBitcoin37,901.3537,830.42-0.19%38,491.93+1.56%0.0019✓1.00682.8M2022-01-31
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.91.8965-0.19%1.95+2.63%0.0066✗1.372.8M2022-01-31
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.166.1487-0.18%6.26+1.62%0.0058✗0.78481k2022-01-31
XECeCashnative0.000075240.000075103-0.18%0.00007633+1.45%0.0011✓1.125.8M2022-01-31
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07970.079556-0.18%0.0812+1.88%0.0013✓1.24317k2022-01-31
UNIUniswapEthereum10.810.781-0.18%11.78+9.07%0.0680✗1.3412.2M2022-01-31
IMXImmutableEthereum2.572.5655-0.17%2.69+4.67%0.0236✗1.542.2M2022-01-31
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.23980.239382-0.17%0.2423+1.04%0.0071✓1.241.9M2022-01-31
AAVEAaveEthereum149.01148.76-0.17%157.59+5.76%0.0366✗1.3612.7M2022-01-31
STORJStorjEthereum1.1581.1561-0.16%1.1648+0.59%0.0081✓1.01369k2022-01-31
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.1918.1605-0.16%19.39+6.60%0.0442✗1.3848.0M2022-01-31
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03520.035143-0.16%0.0352+0.00%0.0211✓1.47756k2022-01-31
CVCCivicEthereum0.25710.256697-0.16%0.2718+5.72%0.0396✗1.14557k2022-01-31
NANOnanopayBase2.23012.2266-0.15%2.1315-4.42%0.0629✓1.24888k2022-01-31
LRCLoopringEthereum1.00171.0002-0.15%0.9985-0.32%0.0321✓1.96984k2022-01-31
HIVEHivenative0.93750.936105-0.15%0.9619+2.60%0.0038✗1.522.0M2022-01-31
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.8419.8107-0.15%21.3+7.36%0.0541✗1.1912.6M2022-01-31
ETCEthereum Classicnative24.9224.8848-0.14%25.67+3.01%0.0144✗1.083.3M2022-01-31
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.2819.2528-0.14%19.82+2.80%0.0096✗1.2534.3M2022-01-31
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.132.127-0.14%2.16+1.41%0.0084✓1.544.2M2022-01-31
SUNSun TokenTron0.0140980.014079-0.13%0.014268+1.21%0.0051✓1.192.7M2022-01-31
ZECZcashZcash93.0292.8995-0.13%94.57+1.67%0.0028✓1.336.6M2022-01-31
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum53.453.3314-0.13%52.38-1.91%0.0360✓1.167.8M2022-01-31
RADRadworksEthereum5.095.0838-0.12%5.8+13.95%0.1164✗0.991.0M2022-01-31
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.51230.511714-0.11%0.5492+7.20%0.0496✗1.362.6M2022-01-31
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2510.250716-0.11%0.247-1.59%0.0299✓0.9761k2022-01-31
XMRMoneroMonero148.16147.9934-0.11%147.48-0.46%0.0192✓1.012.0M2022-01-31
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.59440.593754-0.11%0.6166+3.73%0.0140✗1.531.3M2022-01-31
BANDBandEthereum3.453.4462-0.11%3.48+0.87%0.0095✓1.252.5M2022-01-31
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11530.115178-0.11%0.1136-1.47%0.0341✓1.323.8M2022-01-31
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.1016.0948-0.10%6.119+0.30%0.0089✓0.83119k2022-01-31
CTSICartesiEthereum0.45190.451442-0.10%0.464+2.68%0.0061✗1.382.2M2022-01-31
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.285.2747-0.10%5.25-0.57%0.0159✓0.73429k2022-01-31
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.2314.2158-0.10%14.36+0.91%0.0052✓0.99847k2022-01-31
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8970.896158-0.09%0.915+2.01%0.0005✓1.382.3M2022-01-31
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0388870.038852-0.09%0.039278+1.01%0.0081✓1.239.4M2022-01-31
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.009710.009702-0.09%0.00993+2.27%0.0035✗1.282.1M2022-01-31
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.640.639486-0.08%0.64+0.00%0.0281✓1.871.2M2022-01-31
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum19.119.0857-0.07%20.15+5.50%0.0258✗1.843.9M2022-01-31
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.12510.125011-0.07%0.1361+8.79%0.0702✗0.96285k2022-01-31
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.09593.0937-0.07%3.1164+0.66%0.0097✓1.103.3M2022-01-31
SOLSolanaSolana93.3193.2463-0.07%99.52+6.66%0.0467✗1.19152.8M2022-01-31
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3130.312787-0.07%0.318+1.60%0.0049✓1.391.6M2022-01-31
LSKLiskEthereum1.56411.563-0.07%1.5526-0.74%0.0240✓1.1182k2022-01-31
KSMKusamaHydration163.11163.0034-0.07%159.75-2.06%0.0388✓1.201.2M2022-01-31
COMPCompoundEthereum117.46117.3861-0.06%121.39+3.35%0.0138✗1.2866k2022-01-31
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.0520.0375-0.06%20.51+2.29%0.0009✓1.57687k2022-01-31
SUSHISushiEthereum4.094.0878-0.05%4.23+3.42%0.0134✗1.359.9M2022-01-31
SCSiacoinnative0.009840.009836-0.04%0.00994+1.02%0.0058✓1.06588k2022-01-31
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1393180.139258-0.04%0.141646+1.67%0.0008✗1.057.1M2022-01-31
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.925.9178-0.04%6.25+5.57%0.0397✗0.97953k2022-01-31
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00740.007398-0.03%0.00728-1.62%0.0526✓2.3622.6M2022-01-31
DODODODOEthereum0.4960.495929-0.01%0.491-1.01%0.0338✓1.545.0M2022-01-31
GITCOINGITCOIN7.2337.232-0.01%7.318+1.18%0.0079✗0.2539k2022-01-31
XVSVenusEthereum7.797.7891-0.01%7.94+1.93%0.0011✓1.312.8M2022-01-31
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.142.1407+0.03%2.15+0.47%0.0198✗1.562.4M2022-01-31
XVGVergenative0.009970.009975+0.05%0.01022+2.51%0.0037✓1.331.6M2022-01-31
TRXTRONTron0.0586920.058727+0.06%0.059132+0.75%0.0078✗0.95431k2022-01-31
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.7375.7413+0.07%5.389-6.07%0.0788✗1.001.4M2022-01-31
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7320.732672+0.09%0.731-0.14%0.0194✗1.101.7M2022-01-31
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.810.810755+0.09%0.82+1.23%0.0120✗1.51511k2022-01-31
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000021090.000021111+0.10%0.00002142+1.56%0.0073✗1.411.6M2022-01-31
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.376.3775+0.12%6.54+2.67%0.0217✓0.221.2M2022-01-31
QNTQuantEthereum94.7794.8987+0.14%97.15+2.51%0.0074✓1.047.3M2022-01-31
MOVRMoonriverBase75.091875.2034+0.15%75.0775-0.02%0.0207✗1.23410k2022-01-31
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.44440.445198+0.18%0.4369-1.69%0.0416✗1.472.0M2022-01-31
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.037430.037643+0.57%0.037542+0.30%0.0240✗1.38199k2022-01-31
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.