2022-01-26 · +1d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 143 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

-0.1291

143 of 143 tokens assessed

long-short decile

-4.02%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

49.7%

in alpha space · 46.9% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+0.94%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (143 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4593	0.462635	+0.73%	0.4535	-1.26%	0.0343	✗	1.53	2.2M	2022-01-27
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.91	1.9195	+0.50%	1.95	+2.09%	0.0021	✓	1.46	5.2M	2022-01-27
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.0078	0.007833	+0.42%	0.00534	-31.54%	0.4057	✗	2.40	21.3M	2022-01-27
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	78.4855	78.7952	+0.39%	73.6045	-6.22%	0.0796	✗	1.22	445k	2022-01-27
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.8	0.802884	+0.36%	0.81	+1.25%	0.0061	✗	1.59	538k	2022-01-27
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.26	4.2734	+0.31%	4.05	-4.93%	0.0664	✗	1.36	13.0M	2022-01-27
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2547	1.2584	+0.30%	1.2041	-4.03%	0.0535	✗	1.00	3.7M	2022-01-27
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5576	0.559263	+0.30%	0.5781	+3.68%	0.0188	✓	1.53	1.4M	2022-01-27
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.13	6.1465	+0.27%	6.37	+3.92%	0.0338	✓	0.21	1.2M	2022-01-27
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.052469	0.052607	+0.26%	0.050557	-3.64%	0.0491	✗	1.00	363k	2022-01-27
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.982	6.9993	+0.25%	6.745	-3.39%	0.0395	✗	0.26	38k	2022-01-27
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	97.63	97.8558	+0.23%	93.16	-4.58%	0.0588	✗	1.03	7.5M	2022-01-27
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.64	5.6523	+0.22%	5.62	-0.35%	0.0145	✗	0.94	990k	2022-01-27
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.87	2.8762	+0.21%	2.79	-2.79%	0.0434	✗	1.38	27.8M	2022-01-27
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	17.02	17.0562	+0.21%	16.82	-1.18%	0.0310	✗	1.81	4.0M	2022-01-27
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.501	0.502025	+0.20%	0.482	-3.79%	0.0553	✗	1.56	6.4M	2022-01-27
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.034	0.034069	+0.20%	0.0357	+5.00%	0.0330	✓	1.47	927k	2022-01-27
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.05048	0.050581	+0.20%	0.04444	-11.97%	0.1388	✗	1.00	9.1M	2022-01-27
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	18.91	18.9478	+0.20%	18.67	-1.27%	0.0293	✗	1.55	871k	2022-01-27
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002111	0.000021151	+0.20%	0.00002125	+0.66%	0.0087	✗	1.42	1.8M	2022-01-27
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.05	5.0586	+0.17%	5.07	+0.40%	0.0070	✗	0.98	1.1M	2022-01-27
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0439	0.043968	+0.16%	0.0541	+23.23%	0.1884	✓	2.02	22.4M	2022-01-27
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	13	13.0184	+0.14%	13.95	+7.31%	0.0596	✓	1.01	841k	2022-01-27
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	7.92	7.931	+0.14%	8.39	+5.93%	0.0439	✓	1.31	3.0M	2022-01-27
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.746	0.747017	+0.14%	0.725	-2.82%	0.0403	✗	1.11	2.0M	2022-01-27
XVG	Verge	native	0.00978	0.009793	+0.14%	0.00965	-1.33%	0.0272	✗	1.32	1.7M	2022-01-27
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.0491	0.049166	+0.13%	0.04978	+1.38%	0.0018	✗	1.51	1.8M	2022-01-27
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.056164	0.056239	+0.13%	0.056453	+0.51%	0.0051	✗	0.95	491k	2022-01-27
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.91	4.9157	+0.12%	5.12	+4.28%	0.0340	✓	0.72	457k	2022-01-27
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	19.86	19.8824	+0.11%	19.61	-1.26%	0.0256	✗	1.26	34.9M	2022-01-27
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.24	15.2568	+0.11%	15.23	-0.07%	0.0131	✗	1.21	84.2M	2022-01-27
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.115	0.115125	+0.11%	0.1146	-0.35%	0.0135	✗	0.95	349k	2022-01-27
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.28	19.3007	+0.11%	19.21	-0.36%	0.0158	✗	1.18	14.0M	2022-01-27
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	125.05	125.1674	+0.09%	121.94	-2.49%	0.0382	✗	1.29	80k	2022-01-27
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	165.32	165.4619	+0.09%	164.64	-0.41%	0.0162	✗	1.19	1.3M	2022-01-27
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.03	7.036	+0.08%	6.75	-3.98%	0.0443	✗	0.30	2.2M	2022-01-27
HIVE	Hive	native	0.8673	0.868031	+0.08%	0.8838	+1.90%	0.0039	✓	1.50	3.5M	2022-01-27
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00956	0.009568	+0.08%	0.00962	+0.63%	0.0045	✗	1.06	630k	2022-01-27
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.322	0.322195	+0.06%	0.314	-2.48%	0.0391	✗	1.42	1.6M	2022-01-27
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.856	0.856473	+0.06%	0.861	+0.58%	0.0077	✗	1.38	2.4M	2022-01-27
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	49.62	49.6473	+0.06%	47.47	-4.33%	0.0562	✗	1.21	7.8M	2022-01-27
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.73	1.7309	+0.05%	1.76	+1.73%	0.0039	✓	1.36	2.9M	2022-01-27
SOL	Solana	Solana	92.18	92.2255	+0.05%	89.55	-2.85%	0.0406	✗	1.19	164.2M	2022-01-27
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	89.84	89.8842	+0.05%	88.89	-1.06%	0.0235	✗	1.32	7.8M	2022-01-27
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	146.64	146.7087	+0.05%	144.54	-1.43%	0.0274	✗	1.34	14.8M	2022-01-27
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2242	0.224304	+0.05%	0.2367	+5.58%	0.0434	✓	1.11	469k	2022-01-27
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.3	2.3009	+0.04%	2.23	-3.04%	0.0460	✗	1.56	2.6M	2022-01-27
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.247	0.247081	+0.03%	0.243	-1.62%	0.0257	✗	0.96	70k	2022-01-27
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.62	5.6218	+0.03%	5.84	+3.91%	0.0308	✓	0.78	531k	2022-01-27
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.0743	3.0753	+0.03%	3.0464	-0.91%	0.0199	✗	1.12	3.7M	2022-01-27
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.87	5.8704	+0.01%	5.67	-3.41%	0.0447	✗	1.06	2.6M	2022-01-27
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.44	3.4402	+0.00%	3.38	-1.74%	0.0293	✗	1.24	2.5M	2022-01-27
XMR	Monero	Monero	148.42	148.4209	+0.00%	144.6	-2.57%	0.0355	✗	1.00	2.3M	2022-01-27
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.552	1.552	-0.00%	1.58	+1.80%	0.0057	✗	1.30	1.8M	2022-01-27
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014587	0.014587	-0.00%	0.014097	-3.36%	0.0454	✓	1.19	2.7M	2022-01-27
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.143059	0.143046	-0.01%	0.141443	-1.13%	0.0209	✓	1.03	7.1M	2022-01-27
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.58	10.5786	-0.01%	10.32	-2.46%	0.0372	✓	1.33	12.5M	2022-01-27
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.041779	0.041773	-0.01%	0.038232	-8.49%	0.1004	✓	1.26	10.8M	2022-01-27
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.67	0.669901	-0.01%	0.65	-2.99%	0.0479	✓	1.89	1.2M	2022-01-27
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.068	1.0678	-0.02%	1.0754	+0.69%	0.0022	✓	0.99	402k	2022-01-27
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	20.41	20.4058	-0.02%	26.76	+31.11%	0.2642	✗	0.74	377k	2022-01-27
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.1607	2.1602	-0.02%	2.2527	+4.26%	0.0318	✗	1.08	3.1M	2022-01-27
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	7.333	7.3311	-0.03%	6.617	-9.76%	0.1119	✓	1.00	1.6M	2022-01-27
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.038	3.0369	-0.04%	3.107	+2.27%	0.0147	✗	0.87	993k	2022-01-27
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.05	18.0432	-0.04%	18.13	+0.44%	0.0082	✓	1.39	58.4M	2022-01-27
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1727	0.172634	-0.04%	0.1754	+1.56%	0.0029	✗	1.38	4.1M	2022-01-27
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020906	0.020898	-0.04%	0.020242	-3.18%	0.0425	✓	1.13	3.4M	2022-01-27
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007183	0.000071801	-0.04%	0.00007022	-2.24%	0.0327	✓	1.11	5.9M	2022-01-27
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	24.1	24.0898	-0.04%	24.3	+0.83%	0.0069	✓	1.66	2.7M	2022-01-27
ZEN	Horizen	Base	36.62	36.6028	-0.05%	36.7	+0.22%	0.0121	✓	1.57	626k	2022-01-27
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	2.9426	2.9412	-0.05%	2.9095	-1.12%	0.0237	✓	1.37	2.6M	2022-01-27
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5015	0.501252	-0.05%	0.5092	+1.54%	0.0030	✗	1.35	2.9M	2022-01-27
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.051	6.0479	-0.05%	5.873	-2.94%	0.0370	✓	0.81	156k	2022-01-27
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.887	2.8855	-0.05%	2.955	+2.36%	0.0164	✗	0.79	478k	2022-01-27
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0472	0.047175	-0.05%	0.04646	-1.57%	0.0277	✓	1.33	9.9M	2022-01-27
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1184	0.118335	-0.05%	0.1127	-4.81%	0.0612	✓	1.32	4.1M	2022-01-27
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01035	0.010344	-0.06%	0.01041	+0.58%	0.0056	✓	1.27	2.3M	2022-01-27
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4503	0.450018	-0.06%	0.4474	-0.64%	0.0188	✓	1.38	2.6M	2022-01-27
DASH	Dash	Dash	93.16	93.0952	-0.07%	91.73	-1.53%	0.0258	✓	1.18	3.1M	2022-01-27
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01218	0.012171	-0.07%	0.01439	+18.14%	0.1590	✗	0.89	19k	2022-01-27
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6506	1.6494	-0.07%	1.5616	-5.39%	0.0651	✓	1.11	93k	2022-01-27
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02988	0.029859	-0.07%	0.02909	-2.64%	0.0348	✓	0.93	9.2M	2022-01-27
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8025	0.801898	-0.08%	0.8032	+0.09%	0.0087	✓	1.10	20.8M	2022-01-27
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.68	5.6757	-0.08%	5.9	+3.87%	0.0309	✗	0.84	561k	2022-01-27
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	36,316.90	36,286.79	-0.08%	37,269.30	+2.62%	0.0172	✗	1.01	53k	2022-01-27
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,465.00	2,462.89	-0.09%	2,425.82	-1.59%	0.0256	✓	1.11	569.1M	2022-01-27
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.541	2.5387	-0.09%	2.637	+3.78%	0.0237	✗	1.52	1.0M	2022-01-27
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	24.34	24.3178	-0.09%	24.33	-0.04%	0.0096	✓	1.08	4.1M	2022-01-27
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.235	0.234779	-0.09%	0.2343	-0.30%	0.0136	✓	1.23	1.9M	2022-01-27
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.32	2.3178	-0.09%	2.3	-0.86%	0.0173	✓	1.02	800k	2022-01-27
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.80993	0.809119	-0.10%	0.83214	+2.74%	0.0114	✗	1.78	698k	2022-01-27
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	24,190.20	24,163.51	-0.11%	23,910.78	-1.16%	0.0192	✓	0.93	20.9M	2022-01-27
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.63	1.6282	-0.11%	1.59	-2.45%	0.0356	✓	1.26	2.3M	2022-01-27
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.2234	4.2186	-0.11%	4.2126	-0.25%	0.0127	✓	1.21	403k	2022-01-27
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	107	106.8753	-0.12%	106.92	-0.07%	0.0121	✓	1.34	35.8M	2022-01-27
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.31	2.3073	-0.12%	2.26	-2.16%	0.0318	✓	1.18	667k	2022-01-27
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0799	0.079803	-0.12%	0.0794	-0.63%	0.0167	✓	1.24	342k	2022-01-27
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4047	0.404195	-0.12%	0.4054	+0.17%	0.0091	✓	1.28	11.7M	2022-01-27
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.3802	2.3772	-0.13%	2.3156	-2.71%	0.0383	✓	1.29	841k	2022-01-27
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	36,840.63	36,793.38	-0.13%	37,188.37	+0.94%	0.0013	✗	1.00	734.4M	2022-01-27
KCS	KuCoin	native	16.167	16.1459	-0.13%	16.064	-0.64%	0.0194	✓	1.53	10.9M	2022-01-27
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9233	0.922096	-0.13%	0.9364	+1.42%	0.0045	✗	1.16	38.4M	2022-01-27
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.5942	5.5867	-0.13%	5.5654	-0.51%	0.0172	✓	1.42	229k	2022-01-27
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1625	0.162276	-0.14%	0.1614	-0.68%	0.0115	✓	0.65	570k	2022-01-27
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2561	0.255724	-0.15%	0.2772	+8.24%	0.0662	✗	1.53	4.3M	2022-01-27
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	65.89	65.7915	-0.15%	64.73	-1.76%	0.0286	✓	1.31	92.3M	2022-01-27
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03832	0.038261	-0.15%	0.0403	+5.17%	0.0414	✗	1.12	30k	2022-01-27
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.788	3.7821	-0.15%	3.89	+2.69%	0.0207	✗	0.79	396k	2022-01-27
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.401	1.3988	-0.16%	1.399	-0.14%	0.0110	✓	1.18	1.8M	2022-01-27
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.530813	0.529959	-0.16%	0.530399	-0.08%	0.0107	✓	1.23	3.4M	2022-01-27
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	36.48	36.4202	-0.16%	38.35	+5.13%	0.0404	✗	1.20	33.0M	2022-01-27
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0991	0.098931	-0.17%	0.0947	-4.44%	0.0577	✓	1.49	1.9M	2022-01-27
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.196933	0.196592	-0.17%	0.194019	-1.48%	0.0230	✓	1.05	27.5M	2022-01-27
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.086	2.0823	-0.18%	2.121	+1.68%	0.0081	✗	1.10	23k	2022-01-27
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0618	0.061688	-0.18%	0.0638	+3.24%	0.0232	✗	1.12	21k	2022-01-27
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06885	0.068725	-0.18%	0.07195	+4.50%	0.0384	✗	0.79	60k	2022-01-27
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.48	2.4754	-0.18%	2.38	-4.03%	0.0487	✓	1.00	4.3M	2022-01-27
XEM	NEM	native	0.0977	0.097518	-0.19%	0.0984	+0.72%	0.0009	✓	1.05	43k	2022-01-27
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8612	0.859511	-0.20%	0.8569	-0.50%	0.0172	✓	1.51	107k	2022-01-27
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08331	0.083141	-0.20%	0.08437	+1.27%	0.0035	✗	1.18	45k	2022-01-27
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.0283	1.0262	-0.21%	0.99692	-3.05%	0.0409	✓	1.27	2.4M	2022-01-27
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.0722	1.0698	-0.22%	0.9645	-10.04%	0.1222	✓	1.98	1.2M	2022-01-27
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	289.23	288.5875	-0.22%	289.64	+0.14%	0.0062	✓	1.04	8.5M	2022-01-27
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.333	1.3298	-0.24%	1.42	+6.53%	0.0536	✗	1.27	3.6M	2022-01-27
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	58.8	58.6536	-0.25%	54.08	-8.03%	0.0976	✓	1.75	8.6M	2022-01-27
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0645	0.064338	-0.25%	0.065	+0.78%	0.0035	✓	1.47	605k	2022-01-27
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.6906	2.6838	-0.25%	2.7628	+2.68%	0.0194	✗	1.02	1.9M	2022-01-27
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.8665	2.8592	-0.26%	2.7225	-5.02%	0.0570	✓	0.86	4,332	2022-01-27
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		90.62	90.3778	-0.27%	89.31	-1.45%	0.0208	✓	0.95	1.7M	2022-01-27
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.876	5.8603	-0.27%	5.722	-2.62%	0.0331	✓	0.98	320k	2022-01-27
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6029	0.601281	-0.27%	0.6525	+8.23%	0.0641	✗	1.88	52.0M	2022-01-27
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.594	3.5841	-0.28%	3.4851	-3.03%	0.0279	✓	-0.01	375k	2022-01-27
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	8.86	8.8341	-0.29%	8.93	+0.79%	0.0038	✗	0.74	744k	2022-01-27
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0784	1.0751	-0.31%	1.0428	-3.30%	0.0411	✓	1.13	113.2M	2022-01-27
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	12.63	12.5881	-0.33%	12.75	+0.95%	0.0064	✗	0.68	801k	2022-01-27
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.3615	6.3376	-0.38%	6.5312	+2.67%	0.0213	✗	0.94	4.3M	2022-01-27
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	32.35	32.224	-0.39%	30	-7.26%	0.0824	✓	1.15	125.9M	2022-01-27
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3	2.9882	-0.39%	2.65	-11.67%	0.1348	✓	1.56	2.2M	2022-01-27
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.63	4.6107	-0.42%	4.57	-1.30%	0.0207	✓	1.26	3.1M	2022-01-27
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.78	3.7641	-0.42%	3.97	+5.03%	0.0511	✗	0.23	493k	2022-01-27
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5301	0.527789	-0.44%	0.5303	+0.04%	0.0062	✓	1.16	2.1M	2022-01-27
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.16532	0.164567	-0.46%	0.17087	+3.36%	0.0229	✗	1.57	16k	2022-01-27
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.7265	1.7152	-0.65%	1.8043	+4.51%	0.0432	✗	0.80	2.4M	2022-01-27

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.