2022-01-22 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 143 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1787

143 of 143 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+30.41%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

30.1%

in alpha space · 42.7% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+5.58%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (143 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	16.11	17.8007	+10.49%	13.9	-13.72%	0.3465	✗	1.83	4.1M	2022-02-21
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.7316	0.790603	+8.06%	0.7421	+1.44%	0.1720	✗	2.00	1.1M	2022-02-21
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.06	6.5006	+7.27%	6.72	+10.89%	0.0216	✓	0.21	1.2M	2022-02-21
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	0.80696	0.862359	+6.87%	1.1385	+41.09%	0.2110	✓	1.23	2.4M	2022-02-21
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	98.78	105.4435	+6.75%	106.88	+8.20%	0.0418	✓	1.02	7.0M	2022-02-21
HIVE	Hive	native	0.7987	0.851162	+6.57%	0.8148	+2.02%	0.1243	✗	1.48	3.8M	2022-02-21
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.036765	0.039125	+6.42%	0.050288	+36.78%	0.1799	✓	1.31	10.3M	2022-02-21
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002053	0.00002179	+6.14%	0.00002404	+17.10%	0.0217	✓	1.41	1.7M	2022-02-21
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.9	0.954021	+6.00%	0.92	+2.22%	0.1248	✗	1.63	569k	2022-02-21
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.05675	0.060152	+6.00%	0.059472	+4.80%	0.0637	✗	0.96	486k	2022-02-21
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.319	0.337881	+5.92%	0.279	-12.54%	0.2680	✗	1.41	1.8M	2022-02-21
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.1	2.2221	+5.82%	1.25	-40.48%	0.6534	✗	1.44	2.6M	2022-02-21
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	18.76	19.7912	+5.50%	17.63	-6.02%	0.2000	✗	1.55	944k	2022-02-21
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.244	0.257277	+5.44%	0.248	+1.64%	0.0872	✗	0.93	67k	2022-02-21
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	94.59	99.5992	+5.30%	100.47	+6.22%	0.0639	✗	1.34	8.4M	2022-02-21
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0732	0.077054	+5.27%	0.0692	-5.46%	0.1741	✗	1.23	299k	2022-02-21
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.8	5.0418	+5.04%	4.83	+0.63%	0.0819	✗	0.72	491k	2022-02-21
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.61	5.8924	+5.03%	4.2	-25.13%	0.3887	✗	0.92	1.0M	2022-02-21
SOL	Solana	Solana	94.78	99.5484	+5.03%	82.97	-12.46%	0.2477	✗	1.21	142.2M	2022-02-21
XVG	Verge	native	0.00935	0.009814	+4.96%	0.00929	-0.64%	0.1277	✗	1.34	1.8M	2022-02-21
SC	Siacoin	native	0.0094	0.009864	+4.94%	0.00847	-9.89%	0.2115	✗	1.09	641k	2022-02-21
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.944	7.2806	+4.85%	6.04	-13.02%	0.2061	✗	0.36	38k	2022-02-21
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.06	5.3025	+4.79%	5.07	+0.20%	0.1004	✗	1.02	1.1M	2022-02-21
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.87	0.911333	+4.75%	0.739	-15.06%	0.2859	✗	1.40	2.3M	2022-02-21
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.711	0.744443	+4.70%	0.64	-9.99%	0.2109	✗	1.10	2.0M	2022-02-21
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	13.19	13.7934	+4.57%	12.48	-5.38%	0.1608	✗	1.12	841k	2022-02-21
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.71467	0.746811	+4.50%	0.64579	-9.64%	0.2402	✗	1.75	848k	2022-02-21
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00793	0.008268	+4.26%	0.00451	-43.13%	0.7394	✗	2.46	23.2M	2022-02-21
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	7.59	7.9113	+4.23%	8.64	+13.83%	0.0206	✓	1.24	3.0M	2022-02-21
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1135	0.118217	+4.16%	0.1229	+8.28%	0.0341	✓	1.34	4.3M	2022-02-21
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014961	0.015572	+4.08%	0.012214	-18.36%	0.3089	✗	1.22	2.7M	2022-02-21
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04896	0.050889	+3.94%	0.04508	-7.92%	0.2032	✗	1.51	1.9M	2022-02-21
XEC	eCash	native	0.00006839	0.000071042	+3.88%	0.00006783	-0.82%	0.1046	✗	1.08	6.5M	2022-02-21
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.0461	2.1254	+3.87%	1.9047	-6.91%	0.1777	✗	1.25	714k	2022-02-21
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.89	3.0016	+3.86%	2.34	-19.03%	0.3312	✗	1.51	32.4M	2022-02-21
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2179	0.226229	+3.82%	0.2293	+5.23%	0.0475	✗	1.12	440k	2022-02-21
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.77	1.8366	+3.77%	1.57	-11.30%	0.2315	✗	1.37	3.1M	2022-02-21
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0543	0.056327	+3.73%	0.0681	+25.41%	0.1101	✓	1.47	684k	2022-02-21
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	83.9941	87.1159	+3.72%	68.7997	-18.09%	0.3058	✗	1.29	486k	2022-02-21
ZEN	Horizen	Base	35.28	36.568	+3.65%	32.14	-8.90%	0.2140	✗	1.56	613k	2022-02-21
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	34,807.70	36,074.58	+3.64%	37,080.10	+6.53%	0.0271	✓	1.01	26k	2022-02-21
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	50.17	51.961	+3.57%	47.35	-5.62%	0.1585	✗	1.21	6.3M	2022-02-21
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.161	1.2017	+3.51%	1.003	-13.61%	0.2500	✗	1.27	4.0M	2022-02-21
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5076	0.525334	+3.49%	0.4728	-6.86%	0.1769	✗	1.32	3.2M	2022-02-21
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.01	19.6576	+3.41%	18.64	-1.95%	0.1186	✗	1.20	14.5M	2022-02-21
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4454	0.459862	+3.25%	0.4311	-3.21%	0.1330	✗	1.26	2.4M	2022-02-21
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02985	0.030748	+3.01%	0.0257	-13.90%	0.2327	✗	0.98	8.3M	2022-02-21
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.0434	2.1044	+2.99%	2.4827	+21.50%	0.1025	✓	1.16	4.3M	2022-02-21
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	24.23	24.9491	+2.97%	25	+3.18%	0.0575	✗	1.10	3.3M	2022-02-21
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.496	0.510716	+2.97%	0.444	-10.48%	0.2250	✗	1.57	8.0M	2022-02-21
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.66	5.8233	+2.89%	5.83	+3.00%	0.0447	✗	0.84	616k	2022-02-21
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.0381	1.0676	+2.84%	0.88573	-14.68%	0.2423	✗	1.02	402k	2022-02-21
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.62	1.665	+2.78%	1.37	-15.43%	0.2536	✗	1.08	2.6M	2022-02-21
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5834	0.599524	+2.76%	0.4442	-23.86%	0.3841	✗	1.55	1.4M	2022-02-21
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.133158	0.136763	+2.71%	0.128094	-3.80%	0.1241	✗	1.08	6.7M	2022-02-21
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0376	0.038616	+2.70%	0.0474	+26.06%	0.0956	✓	2.02	24.3M	2022-02-21
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	120.3	123.5223	+2.68%	106.4	-11.55%	0.2170	✗	1.25	88k	2022-02-21
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06237	0.06402	+2.65%	0.05994	-3.90%	0.1111	✗	0.83	60k	2022-02-21
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020108	0.020632	+2.60%	0.018035	-10.31%	0.1953	✗	1.12	3.7M	2022-02-21
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.65	1.6916	+2.52%	1.6127	-2.26%	0.1085	✗	1.12	95k	2022-02-21
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.63	5.7705	+2.50%	5.27	-6.39%	0.1320	✗	0.76	645k	2022-02-21
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.7106	0.728089	+2.46%	1.646	+131.64%	0.7414	✓	1.37	108k	2022-02-21
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.506	1.542	+2.39%	1.384	-8.10%	0.1771	✗	1.27	1.9M	2022-02-21
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.0068	3.0771	+2.34%	2.8682	-4.61%	0.1372	✗	1.23	3.8M	2022-02-21
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	108.41	110.8851	+2.28%	102.78	-5.19%	0.1482	✗	1.33	30.5M	2022-02-21
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.8	5.932	+2.28%	5.241	-9.64%	0.1666	✗	0.79	163k	2022-02-21
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.366	1.396	+2.20%	1.34	-1.90%	0.1058	✗	1.19	1.8M	2022-02-21
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.567	2.6209	+2.10%	2.321	-9.58%	0.2051	✗	1.54	1.1M	2022-02-21
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	190.08	194.0673	+2.10%	125.92	-33.75%	0.4981	✗	1.21	1.3M	2022-02-21
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.08	2.1235	+2.09%	1.3	-37.50%	0.5703	✗	1.47	6.6M	2022-02-21
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	21.51	21.9538	+2.06%	26.51	+23.25%	0.1481	✓	0.75	353k	2022-02-21
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4163	0.424684	+2.01%	0.3572	-14.20%	0.2440	✗	1.31	10.8M	2022-02-21
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0799	0.081489	+1.99%	0.0877	+9.76%	0.0016	✓	1.38	2.0M	2022-02-21
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	147.18	150.0868	+1.97%	128.58	-12.64%	0.2233	✗	1.26	17.6M	2022-02-21
KCS	KuCoin	native	15.129	15.4152	+1.89%	18.137	+19.88%	0.0751	✓	1.61	10.7M	2022-02-21
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.34	2.3825	+1.81%	2.16	-7.69%	0.1625	✗	1.19	737k	2022-02-21
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	23.84	24.2726	+1.81%	21.87	-8.26%	0.1970	✗	1.71	2.7M	2022-02-21
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.26	18.5894	+1.80%	16.19	-11.34%	0.2133	✗	1.38	58.5M	2022-02-21
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03631	0.036962	+1.80%	0.03591	-1.10%	0.0903	✗	1.13	25k	2022-02-21
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.64	0.65143	+1.79%	0.72	+12.50%	0.0041	✓	1.92	1.3M	2022-02-21
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	33.44	34.0347	+1.78%	39.81	+19.05%	0.0917	✓	1.20	29.0M	2022-02-21
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,411.90	2,454.33	+1.76%	2,569.00	+6.51%	0.0153	✓	1.12	502.4M	2022-02-21
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0594	0.060419	+1.72%	0.0613	+3.20%	0.0467	✗	1.13	21k	2022-02-21
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.518861	0.527754	+1.71%	0.519067	+0.04%	0.0823	✗	1.21	2.3M	2022-02-21
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	1.979	2.0116	+1.65%	1.933	-2.32%	0.0989	✗	1.09	24k	2022-02-21
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00998	0.010144	+1.64%	0.01004	+0.60%	0.0792	✗	1.27	2.3M	2022-02-21
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.05051	0.051333	+1.63%	0.01937	-61.65%	1.0479	✗	1.35	12.0M	2022-02-21
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.5565	5.6431	+1.56%	5.7431	+3.36%	0.0607	✗	1.44	263k	2022-02-21
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1764	0.179098	+1.53%	0.1686	-4.42%	0.1369	✗	1.41	4.3M	2022-02-21
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	291.88	296.1585	+1.47%	283.16	-2.99%	0.1020	✗	1.05	7.0M	2022-02-21
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.46	2.4955	+1.44%	1.58	-35.77%	0.5450	✗	1.62	2.2M	2022-02-21
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	59.8	60.5622	+1.27%	70.08	+17.19%	0.0749	✓	1.31	87.3M	2022-02-21
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.07873	0.079733	+1.27%	0.0791	+0.47%	0.0723	✗	1.19	41k	2022-02-21
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.96	7.0393	+1.14%	5.95	-14.51%	0.1901	✗	0.41	2.8M	2022-02-21
DASH	Dash	Dash	97.07	98.1691	+1.13%	87.04	-10.33%	0.1868	✗	1.22	2.8M	2022-02-21
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.19237	0.194484	+1.10%	0.17816	-7.39%	0.1459	✗	1.07	24.9M	2022-02-21
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1498	0.151418	+1.08%	0.1488	-0.67%	0.0557	✗	0.70	536k	2022-02-21
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0326	0.032947	+1.07%	0.0263	-19.33%	0.3054	✗	1.48	1.1M	2022-02-21
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1394	0.140767	+0.98%	0.1283	-7.96%	0.1441	✗	0.95	362k	2022-02-21
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4385	0.442409	+0.89%	0.3661	-16.51%	0.2664	✗	1.42	2.6M	2022-02-21
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	2.9521	2.9773	+0.86%	2.9731	+0.71%	0.0756	✗	1.37	3.1M	2022-02-21
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.49	3.5174	+0.79%	3.77	+8.02%	0.0044	✓	1.20	2.4M	2022-02-21
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2331	0.234923	+0.78%	0.2206	-5.36%	0.1316	✗	1.27	1.9M	2022-02-21
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	35,066.43	35,298.72	+0.66%	37,023.00	+5.58%	0.0066	✗	1.00	648.0M	2022-02-21
XEM	NEM	native	0.0944	0.095023	+0.66%	0.0927	-1.80%	0.0827	✗	1.07	41k	2022-02-21
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01275	0.012832	+0.64%	0.01284	+0.71%	0.0472	✗	0.88	21k	2022-02-21
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.86	15.9534	+0.59%	13.51	-14.82%	0.2336	✗	1.24	75.4M	2022-02-21
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.059	3.0726	+0.44%	2.889	-5.56%	0.1089	✗	0.87	1.1M	2022-02-21
XMR	Monero	Monero	152.34	152.901	+0.37%	148	-2.85%	0.0875	✗	1.01	2.6M	2022-02-21
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.33	2.3364	+0.27%	2.17	-6.87%	0.1295	✗	1.03	819k	2022-02-21
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.78	0.781676	+0.21%	0.7113	-8.81%	0.1543	✗	1.10	22.7M	2022-02-21
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.11	6.1218	+0.19%	4.92	-19.48%	0.2758	✗	1.05	3.9M	2022-02-21
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.42	4.4234	+0.08%	3.28	-25.79%	0.3717	✗	1.34	16.1M	2022-02-21
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.6015	3.6004	-0.03%	5.8395	+62.14%	0.4828	✗	0.01	371k	2022-02-21
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.804	2.8019	-0.08%	2.583	-7.88%	0.1243	✓	0.79	523k	2022-02-21
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.665	3.6621	-0.08%	4.021	+9.71%	0.0513	✗	0.78	445k	2022-02-21
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.2394	4.2258	-0.32%	3.7534	-11.46%	0.1838	✓	1.20	443k	2022-02-21
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.7227	2.7117	-0.40%	2.8775	+5.69%	0.0033	✓	1.03	2.2M	2022-02-21
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9512	0.946175	-0.53%	0.7852	-17.45%	0.2522	✓	1.21	34.7M	2022-02-21
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.16	11.09	-0.63%	8.52	-23.66%	0.3360	✓	1.33	12.7M	2022-02-21
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	22,897.64	22,726.26	-0.75%	19,642.84	-14.21%	0.1924	✓	0.86	21.5M	2022-02-21
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		89.24	88.4964	-0.83%	80.87	-9.38%	0.1418	✓	0.95	1.8M	2022-02-21
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	3.78	3.7472	-0.87%	3.73	-1.32%	0.0710	✓	1.22	3.2M	2022-02-21
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0713	1.0593	-1.12%	0.8572	-19.99%	0.2732	✓	1.13	104.1M	2022-02-21
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.424	6.3504	-1.15%	5.32	-17.19%	0.2358	✓	1.08	301k	2022-02-21
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15638	0.1545	-1.20%	0.15154	-3.10%	0.1026	✓	1.53	7,011	2022-02-21
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.54	20.288	-1.23%	17.77	-13.49%	0.2052	✓	1.34	34.9M	2022-02-21
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	8.68	8.5292	-1.74%	9.06	+4.38%	0.0197	✗	0.75	800k	2022-02-21
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2645	0.259665	-1.83%	0.2042	-22.80%	0.3278	✓	1.61	4.6M	2022-02-21
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.054184	0.053136	-1.93%	0.023018	-57.52%	0.8909	✓	1.00	575k	2022-02-21
GT	Gate	Ethereum	5.6708	5.5322	-2.44%	6.0829	+7.27%	0.0444	✗	0.93	4.5M	2022-02-21
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	62.89	60.9808	-3.04%	50.13	-20.29%	0.2938	✓	1.80	7.8M	2022-02-21
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.9642	2.8653	-3.34%	2.2241	-24.97%	0.3008	✓	0.87	2,942	2022-02-21
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	12.62	12.1696	-3.57%	13.77	+9.11%	0.0855	✗	0.70	813k	2022-02-21
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.15	2.0671	-3.86%	1.99	-7.44%	0.0923	✓	1.00	5.4M	2022-02-21
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	29.27	27.9682	-4.45%	23.83	-18.59%	0.2155	✓	1.02	109.3M	2022-02-21
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5482	0.523034	-4.59%	0.3401	-37.96%	0.5302	✓	1.84	48.9M	2022-02-21
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.82	4.5381	-5.85%	5.72	+18.67%	0.2104	✗	0.39	471k	2022-02-21
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.5039	1.4146	-5.94%	1.7569	+16.82%	0.1721	✗	0.82	1.6M	2022-02-21
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	7.392	6.9453	-6.04%	2.332	-68.45%	1.1456	✓	1.00	1.6M	2022-02-21
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5658	0.528239	-6.64%	0.481	-14.99%	0.1598	✓	1.22	1.8M	2022-02-21
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.4442	1.3462	-6.78%	0.8883	-38.49%	0.4701	✓	1.00	4.1M	2022-02-21
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.07202	0.066365	-7.85%	0.03362	-53.32%	0.7343	✓	1.00	12.6M	2022-02-21

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.