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2022-01-20 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 140 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2139
140 of 140 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+30.00%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
83.6%
in alpha space · 84.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.40%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (140 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.7570.651547-13.93%0.419-44.65%0.4162✓1.8046.2M2022-02-19
BFCBifrostEthereum0.189140.169647-10.31%0.15998-15.42%0.0364✓1.586,6112022-02-19
GTCGitcoinEthereum9.528.6096-9.56%6.99-26.58%0.2059✓0.183.1M2022-02-19
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.070940.064183-9.53%0.02609-63.22%0.8861✓1.00682k2022-02-19
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.57760.524174-9.25%0.5485-5.04%0.0648✓1.381.7M2022-02-19
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos38.9735.6285-8.57%26.69-31.51%0.2754✓0.96104.1M2022-02-19
GLMRMoonbeamBase9.778.9655-8.23%3.675-62.38%0.8777✓1.001.9M2022-02-19
SPELLSpellEthereum0.012070.011097-8.06%0.0051-57.75%0.7439✓2.3823.2M2022-02-19
GITCOINGITCOIN9.4328.7714-7.00%6.873-27.13%0.2422✓0.1238k2022-02-19
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.062.8539-6.74%1.57-48.69%0.5793✓1.307.8M2022-02-19
HIVEHivenative1.06990.9993-6.60%0.9635-9.94%0.0163✓1.433.7M2022-02-19
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05290.049414-6.59%0.0593+12.10%0.1965✗1.0023.9M2022-02-19
LUNATerraTerra 277.4172.4253-6.44%50.46-34.81%0.3349✓1.887.7M2022-02-19
LPTLivepeerEthereum30.2528.3026-6.44%25.4-16.03%0.0845✓1.682.7M2022-02-19
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.58151.4811-6.35%1.9802+25.21%0.3023✗0.841.3M2022-02-19
MINAMina Protocolnative3.353.1373-6.35%2.42-27.76%0.2442✓1.09752k2022-02-19
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.81143.5696-6.34%2.3136-39.30%0.4229✓0.762,2572022-02-19
MASKMask NetworkEthereum7.967.4641-6.23%5.08-36.18%0.3744✓0.741.0M2022-02-19
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.792.6313-5.69%1.58-43.37%0.4918✓1.302.7M2022-02-19
CELLCellframeEthereum1.08391.0225-5.67%1.8854+73.95%0.6262✗1.01108k2022-02-19
CTSICartesiEthereum0.56060.529826-5.49%0.4201-25.06%0.2125✓1.392.6M2022-02-19
COTICOTIEthereum0.36930.349527-5.35%0.247-33.12%0.3259✓1.514.3M2022-02-19
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.16141.0997-5.31%0.9001-22.50%0.1832✓1.2230.5M2022-02-19
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.973.7613-5.26%2.81-29.22%0.2709✓1.4632.4M2022-02-19
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche79.3575.194-5.24%85.07+7.21%0.1406✗1.2287.3M2022-02-19
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.1112.0025-5.14%1.664-21.17%0.1690✓1.151.9M2022-02-19
MANADecentralandEthereum2.63852.5037-5.11%2.8917+9.60%0.1588✗1.054.3M2022-02-19
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,414.3029,841.77-5.01%21,669.76-31.02%0.3103✓0.6921.5M2022-02-19
API3Api3Ethereum4.193.9803-5.00%7.47+78.28%0.6434✗0.99471k2022-02-19
SUSHISushiEthereum5.815.5216-4.96%3.87-33.39%0.3371✓1.3017.0M2022-02-19
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.926.5824-4.88%5.766-16.68%0.1224✓0.71163k2022-02-19
BANDBandEthereum4.684.4552-4.80%4.93+5.34%0.1171✗1.132.3M2022-02-19
GTGateEthereum7.03226.6989-4.74%6.6548-5.37%0.0055✓0.864.3M2022-02-19
LSKLiskEthereum1.87071.7835-4.66%1.6691-10.78%0.0502✓1.1489k2022-02-19
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.890.848766-4.63%0.85-4.49%0.0284✓1.911.3M2022-02-19
ZENHorizenBase47.645.396-4.63%38.13-19.89%0.1531✓1.51620k2022-02-19
CVCCivicEthereum0.28250.269444-4.62%0.273-3.36%0.0278✓1.04397k2022-02-19
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.9823.868-4.45%20-19.94%0.1565✓1.4434.3M2022-02-19
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.0952.9576-4.44%2.586-16.45%0.1099✓1.731.1M2022-02-19
STORJStorjEthereum1.39451.3336-4.37%1.0275-26.32%0.2480✓0.91402k2022-02-19
FTTFTXEthereum45.1743.2553-4.24%42.78-5.29%0.0047✓1.1224.7M2022-02-19
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.977.6353-4.20%7.27-8.78%0.0489✓0.011.2M2022-02-19
UOSUltraEthereum1.13131.0846-4.13%1.1527+1.89%0.0761✗1.072.4M2022-02-19
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.906580.869319-4.11%0.75237-17.01%0.1191✓1.80866k2022-02-19
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.784.5886-4.00%4.37-8.58%0.0318✓1.213.2M2022-02-19
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.01730.977141-3.95%0.827-18.71%0.1526✓1.0122.7M2022-02-19
RADRadworksEthereum6.896.6189-3.93%5.31-22.93%0.2078✓0.891.0M2022-02-19
UMAUMAEthereum7.757.4453-3.93%5.69-26.58%0.2551✓0.983.9M2022-02-19
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4280.411298-3.90%0.325-24.07%0.2167✓1.341.8M2022-02-19
CHZChilizEthereum0.23460.225446-3.90%0.198-15.60%0.1107✓1.364.0M2022-02-19
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.4817.196-3.81%6.265-16.25%0.1204✓1.29301k2022-02-19
KCSKuCoinnative19.42918.6912-3.80%19.839+2.11%0.0825✗1.6210.7M2022-02-19
IMXImmutableEthereum3.363.2386-3.61%1.98-41.07%0.4714✓1.472.2M2022-02-19
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.64420.620947-3.61%0.5576-13.44%0.0893✓1.303.2M2022-02-19
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0260390.025109-3.57%0.020617-20.82%0.1824✓1.043.9M2022-02-19
KSMKusamaHydration239.61231.1333-3.54%151.15-36.92%0.4078✓1.201.3M2022-02-19
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.111.0708-3.53%0.99-10.81%0.0548✓1.68556k2022-02-19
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.045370.043782-3.50%0.04064-10.43%0.0590✓1.1024k2022-02-19
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV104.32100.6788-3.49%87.64-15.99%0.1251✓0.961.8M2022-02-19
DODODODOEthereum0.6820.658268-3.48%0.489-28.30%0.2759✓1.518.0M2022-02-19
DASHDashDash121.15117.0685-3.37%102.42-15.46%0.1167✓1.202.8M2022-02-19
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana7.47.1522-3.35%6.41-13.38%0.0987✓0.77638k2022-02-19
AMPAmpEthereum0.035330.034156-3.32%0.02878-18.54%0.1582✓0.938.3M2022-02-19
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7314.5753-3.29%4.472-5.47%0.0133✓0.68445k2022-02-19
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.70883.5878-3.26%5.7961+56.28%0.4789✗-0.05371k2022-02-19
SCSiacoinnative0.012170.011778-3.22%0.00967-20.54%0.1828✓1.02641k2022-02-19
CBKCobakEthereum2.5392.4573-3.22%2.168-14.61%0.1111✓1.0124k2022-02-19
AAVEAaveEthereum198.37192.0034-3.21%146.18-26.31%0.2555✓1.2217.6M2022-02-19
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.15983.0595-3.17%3.0659-2.97%0.0185✓1.172.1M2022-02-19
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.1431.1085-3.02%0.861-24.67%0.2331✓1.392.3M2022-02-19
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.82.7161-3.00%2.38-15.00%0.1180✓1.00855k2022-02-19
ADACardanoCardano1.25891.2212-3.00%0.9969-20.81%0.1868✓1.14100.6M2022-02-19
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.5833.4758-2.99%2.973-17.02%0.1462✓0.71523k2022-02-19
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2721.2366-2.78%1.132-11.01%0.0689✓1.394.0M2022-02-19
XLMStellarStellar0.2314980.225185-2.73%0.204174-11.80%0.0831✓1.0524.4M2022-02-19
LINKChainlinkEthereum20.1819.6433-2.66%15.52-23.09%0.2184✓1.2273.6M2022-02-19
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16660.162177-2.65%0.1444-13.33%0.1032✓0.91362k2022-02-19
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.099.8224-2.65%9.9-1.88%0.0184✓0.75800k2022-02-19
ZECZcashZcash118.84115.7343-2.61%112.33-5.48%0.0112✓1.338.4M2022-02-19
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0506370.049343-2.56%0.059376+17.26%0.2021✗1.208.4M2022-02-19
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.015510.015115-2.54%0.01266-18.38%0.1657✓0.8221k2022-02-19
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.067850.066134-2.53%0.02516-62.92%0.9486✓1.2612.0M2022-02-19
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.081570.079516-2.52%0.07126-12.64%0.0992✓0.7456k2022-02-19
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.5914.2234-2.51%15.11+3.56%0.0701✗0.68813k2022-02-19
FILFilecoinFilecoin26.1925.5366-2.49%20.82-20.50%0.1885✓1.1114.5M2022-02-19
LRCLoopringEthereum1.06531.0388-2.49%0.8878-16.66%0.1297✓1.941.2M2022-02-19
UNIUniswapEthereum14.4914.13-2.48%10.03-30.78%0.3241✓1.3212.4M2022-02-19
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.031.9802-2.45%1.58-22.17%0.2106✓1.072.7M2022-02-19
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.10020.097773-2.42%0.0784-21.76%0.2050✓1.12244k2022-02-19
XTZTezosTezos3.7153.6255-2.41%3.6074-2.90%0.0146✓1.393.1M2022-02-19
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.04520.044124-2.38%0.03-33.63%0.3664✓1.381.2M2022-02-19
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum69.0967.4754-2.34%54.84-20.63%0.1917✓1.116.3M2022-02-19
AUCTIONBounceEthereum18.3417.9287-2.24%14.06-23.34%0.2288✓1.01807k2022-02-19
XMRMoneroMonero188.73184.5385-2.22%161.12-14.63%0.1216✓1.002.7M2022-02-19
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.86820.849122-2.20%0.5475-36.94%0.4190✓1.411.4M2022-02-19
ETHEthereumEthereum3,000.942,938.13-2.09%2,764.44-7.88%0.0458✓1.08485.8M2022-02-19
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.387.226-2.09%5.92-19.78%0.1903✓0.64652k2022-02-19
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.8613.7817-2.05%3.281-15.02%0.1307✓0.801.1M2022-02-19
TRBTellor TributesEthereum24.3923.9022-2.00%20.48-16.03%0.1325✓1.561.0M2022-02-19
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000026480.000025971-1.92%0.0000275+3.85%0.0762✗1.351.7M2022-02-19
XVSVenusEthereum11.3611.1423-1.92%9.99-12.06%0.0927✓1.172.9M2022-02-19
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.21135.112-1.90%4.2985-17.51%0.1560✓1.23443k2022-02-19
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6791.6476-1.87%1.491-11.20%0.0833✓1.171.8M2022-02-19
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.068850.067573-1.85%0.05154-25.14%0.2515✓1.372.1M2022-02-19
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.352.3092-1.74%1.82-22.55%0.2193✓1.333.1M2022-02-19
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.67210.660496-1.73%0.4814-28.37%0.3011✓1.082.5M2022-02-19
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.50010.491536-1.71%0.4172-16.58%0.1455✓1.3110.8M2022-02-19
XECeCashnative0.000090530.000089012-1.68%0.00007811-13.72%0.1162✓1.026.5M2022-02-19
XEMNEMnative0.10950.107697-1.65%0.1018-7.03%0.0413✓1.0741k2022-02-19
COMPCompoundEthereum162.17159.5038-1.64%121.25-25.23%0.2575✓1.1995k2022-02-19
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6555470.645712-1.50%0.594043-9.38%0.0670✓1.162.3M2022-02-19
DOTPolkadotPolkadot2322.6708-1.43%17.86-22.35%0.2192✓1.3758.5M2022-02-19
DKAdKargoEthereum0.09640.09505-1.40%0.08925-7.42%0.0467✓1.1634k2022-02-19
QTUMQtumQtum7.0576.9603-1.37%6.787-3.83%0.0048✓1.45251k2022-02-19
MOVRMoonriverBase119.9355118.3428-1.33%84.5568-29.50%0.3198✓1.16489k2022-02-19
LCXLCXEthereum0.11410.112596-1.32%0.0963-15.60%0.1381✓1.292.0M2022-02-19
QNTQuantEthereum132.32130.8701-1.10%110.71-16.33%0.1540✓0.946.7M2022-02-19
SUNSun TokenTron0.0183780.018184-1.05%0.015145-17.59%0.1656✓1.222.7M2022-02-19
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash357.74354.3199-0.96%312.05-12.77%0.1126✓1.036.6M2022-02-19
SKLSKALEEthereum0.14840.147008-0.94%0.1472-0.81%0.0191✗1.274.2M2022-02-19
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07360.072991-0.83%0.0806+9.51%0.1191✗1.42826k2022-02-19
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3280.32535-0.81%0.254-22.56%0.2363✓0.8051k2022-02-19
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.28320.280965-0.79%0.2512-11.30%0.0938✓1.291.9M2022-02-19
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.98383.9525-0.78%3.0416-23.65%0.2453✓1.183.9M2022-02-19
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07230.071736-0.78%0.0679-6.09%0.0393✓1.1121k2022-02-19
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1555090.154317-0.77%0.141002-9.33%0.0746✓1.116.5M2022-02-19
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.9390.93188-0.76%0.749-20.23%0.2045✓0.992.0M2022-02-19
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.146.1017-0.62%5.28-14.01%0.1353✓0.67505k2022-02-19
SOLSolanaSolana127.52126.7768-0.58%91.34-28.37%0.3115✓1.16142.2M2022-02-19
XYMSymbolnative0.17820.17722-0.55%0.1581-11.28%0.1045✓0.69573k2022-02-19
LTCLitecoinLitecoin129.8129.149-0.50%115.59-10.95%0.0918✓1.3630.5M2022-02-19
NMRNumeraireEthereum25.4325.3428-0.34%30.94+21.67%0.2097✗0.72342k2022-02-19
XVGVergenative0.012340.012339-0.01%0.01032-16.37%0.1610✓1.261.8M2022-02-19
BTCBitcoinBitcoin40,670.9740,671.11+0.00%40,101.94-1.40%0.0000✗1.00636.6M2022-02-19
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.012270.012286+0.13%0.01191-2.93%0.0125✗1.322.1M2022-02-19
ETCEthereum Classicnative29.3729.6047+0.80%28.7-2.28%0.0157✗1.093.3M2022-02-19
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum21.1221.3749+1.21%16.06-23.96%0.2596✗1.874.1M2022-02-19
TRXTRONTron0.0676940.068546+1.26%0.063482-6.22%0.0633✗0.95486k2022-02-19
NANOnanopayBase2.82032.8591+1.38%2.071-26.57%0.3062✗1.16665k2022-02-19
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,418.1042,385.27+2.34%39,901.00-3.66%0.0465✗0.9816k2022-02-19
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.