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2022-01-19 · +1d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1193
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.69%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
71.9%
in alpha space · 89.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.41%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.75920.760254+0.14%0.6721-11.47%0.0977✗1.052.5M2022-01-20
MOVRMoonriverBase120.5322120.6304+0.08%119.9355-0.50%0.0217✓1.13489k2022-01-20
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum22.1422.1577+0.08%21.12-4.61%0.0024✗1.873.9M2022-01-20
LRCLoopringEthereum1.18351.1841+0.05%1.0653-9.99%0.0591✗1.911.3M2022-01-20
LCXLCXEthereum0.11910.119119+0.02%0.1141-4.20%0.0116✗1.292.1M2022-01-20
FILFilecoinFilecoin27.5927.5883-0.01%26.19-5.07%0.0254✓1.0914.5M2022-01-20
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.960.959657-0.04%0.939-2.19%0.0021✗0.982.1M2022-01-20
XYMSymbolnative0.17860.178529-0.04%0.1782-0.22%0.0148✗0.68573k2022-01-20
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.92710.926643-0.05%0.8682-6.35%0.0310✓1.401.5M2022-01-20
XVGVergenative0.012670.012664-0.05%0.01234-2.60%0.0045✗1.251.9M2022-01-20
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7091.7081-0.06%1.679-1.76%0.0111✗1.161.9M2022-01-20
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.013940.013932-0.06%0.01227-11.98%0.0951✓1.312.1M2022-01-20
SUNSun TokenTron0.018950.018939-0.06%0.018378-3.02%0.0002✓1.232.7M2022-01-20
COMPCompoundEthereum172.8172.6854-0.07%162.17-6.15%0.0343✓1.1795k2022-01-20
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain43.9973-0.07%3.9838-0.40%0.0273✗1.264.0M2022-01-20
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2941.2931-0.07%1.272-1.70%0.0170✗1.373.8M2022-01-20
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.8126.7904-0.07%25.43-5.15%0.0348✓0.71353k2022-01-20
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.015850.015838-0.08%0.01551-2.15%0.0027✓0.7522k2022-01-20
DOTPolkadotPolkadot24.0624.0416-0.08%23-4.41%0.0113✓1.3658.5M2022-01-20
QTUMQtumQtum7.40327.3975-0.08%7.057-4.68%0.0119✓1.44263k2022-01-20
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.046920.046883-0.08%0.04537-3.30%0.0061✓1.1023k2022-01-20
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.52440.523987-0.08%0.5001-4.63%0.0148✓1.3111.3M2022-01-20
QNTQuantEthereum135.59135.4831-0.08%132.32-2.41%0.0008✓0.946.7M2022-01-20
SPELLSpellEthereum0.011720.011711-0.08%0.01207+2.99%0.0896✗2.4423.2M2022-01-20
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05750.057453-0.08%0.0529-8.00%0.0582✓1.0024.3M2022-01-20
XECeCashnative0.000092270.000092192-0.08%0.00009053-1.89%0.0066✗1.026.5M2022-01-20
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.04860.048558-0.09%0.0452-7.00%0.0383✓1.371.3M2022-01-20
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000027260.000027235-0.09%0.00002648-2.86%0.0049✗1.351.7M2022-01-20
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.472.4677-0.09%2.35-4.86%0.0166✓1.323.2M2022-01-20
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.366.3538-0.10%6.14-3.46%0.0182✓0.66524k2022-01-20
LTCLitecoinLitecoin136.2136.0648-0.10%129.8-4.70%0.0142✓1.3531.1M2022-01-20
SOLSolanaSolana135.33135.1908-0.10%127.52-5.77%0.0306✓1.14147.7M2022-01-20
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07740.077319-0.10%0.0736-4.91%0.0152✓1.40949k2022-01-20
TRBTellor TributesEthereum26.1326.1027-0.10%24.39-6.66%0.0300✓1.551.0M2022-01-20
RADRadworksEthereum7.017.0023-0.11%6.89-1.71%0.0054✗0.891.1M2022-01-20
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1617050.161528-0.11%0.155509-3.83%0.0112✓1.106.4M2022-01-20
XTZTezosTezos3.88493.8805-0.11%3.715-4.37%0.0100✓1.383.2M2022-01-20
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.956760.955633-0.12%0.90658-5.24%0.0091✓1.79866k2022-01-20
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1510.150821-0.12%0.1484-1.72%0.0146✗1.264.2M2022-01-20
IMXImmutableEthereum3.563.5557-0.12%3.36-5.62%0.0212✓1.452.2M2022-01-20
TRXTRONTron0.0691920.069105-0.13%0.067694-2.16%0.0024✗0.95489k2022-01-20
DKAdKargoEthereum0.100440.100313-0.13%0.0964-4.02%0.0119✓1.1431k2022-01-20
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.10120.101071-0.13%0.1002-0.99%0.0188✗1.13240k2022-01-20
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash369.1368.6274-0.13%357.74-3.08%0.0052✓1.026.6M2022-01-20
KSMKusamaHydration243.71243.3963-0.13%239.61-1.68%0.0134✗1.191.3M2022-01-20
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,674.2741,620.60-0.13%40,670.97-2.41%0.0013✓1.00636.6M2022-01-20
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.14213.1379-0.13%3.1598+0.56%0.0357✗1.182.1M2022-01-20
LINKChainlinkEthereum21.5621.5311-0.13%20.18-6.40%0.0355✓1.2072.8M2022-01-20
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3490.348519-0.14%0.328-6.02%0.0415✓0.7951k2022-01-20
DEXEDeXeEthereum8.358.3384-0.14%7.97-4.55%0.0454✓-0.011.3M2022-01-20
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum26.5326.4925-0.14%24.98-5.84%0.0241✓1.4234.3M2022-01-20
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.0096.9991-0.14%7.481+6.73%0.0981✗1.29271k2022-01-20
AMPAmpEthereum0.037180.037126-0.14%0.03533-4.98%0.0273✓0.918.4M2022-01-20
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07610.075986-0.15%0.0723-4.99%0.0230✓1.1021k2022-01-20
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.29820.297751-0.15%0.2832-5.03%0.0188✓1.292.0M2022-01-20
DASHDashDash126.8126.6059-0.15%121.15-4.46%0.0149✓1.192.8M2022-01-20
UNIUniswapEthereum15.1215.0967-0.15%14.49-4.17%0.0089✓1.3212.4M2022-01-20
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.2221.2201-0.15%1.143-6.46%0.0319✓1.372.4M2022-01-20
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,724.0041,658.73-0.16%41,418.10-0.73%0.0183✗0.9916k2022-01-20
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.17120.170923-0.16%0.1666-2.69%0.0033✓0.91380k2022-01-20
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana7.577.5576-0.16%7.4-2.25%0.0024✓0.77638k2022-01-20
ETHEthereumEthereum3,085.273,080.22-0.16%3,000.94-2.73%0.0001✓1.08485.8M2022-01-20
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.092.0865-0.17%2.03-2.87%0.0013✓1.072.7M2022-01-20
DODODODOEthereum0.7010.699836-0.17%0.682-2.71%0.0105✗1.498.0M2022-01-20
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.6273.621-0.17%3.583-1.21%0.0067✗0.71523k2022-01-20
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.44865.4396-0.17%5.2113-4.36%0.0130✓1.23446k2022-01-20
CHZChilizEthereum0.24630.245889-0.17%0.2346-4.75%0.0144✓1.344.0M2022-01-20
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0266240.026579-0.17%0.026039-2.20%0.0045✗1.034.4M2022-01-20
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.171.168-0.17%1.11-5.13%0.0102✓1.67556k2022-01-20
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0511150.051026-0.17%0.050637-0.94%0.0217✗1.208.4M2022-01-20
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.677.6564-0.18%7.38-3.78%0.0213✓0.63660k2022-01-20
XEMNEMnative0.11260.112392-0.18%0.1095-2.75%0.0003✓1.0641k2022-01-20
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6849680.683698-0.19%0.655547-4.30%0.0139✓1.152.3M2022-01-20
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.08530.085142-0.19%0.08157-4.37%0.0250✓0.7355k2022-01-20
AUCTIONBounceEthereum19.0318.9936-0.19%18.34-3.63%0.0092✓1.06841k2022-01-20
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.912.9043-0.20%2.8-3.78%0.0124✓0.99855k2022-01-20
XLMStellarStellar0.2455670.24508-0.20%0.231498-5.73%0.0317✓1.0423.9M2022-01-20
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche82.6482.4733-0.20%79.35-3.98%0.0095✓1.1992.3M2022-01-20
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum71.8271.675-0.20%69.09-3.80%0.0104✓1.086.4M2022-01-20
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9563.9478-0.21%3.861-2.40%0.0029✓0.801.1M2022-01-20
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV109.45109.2243-0.21%104.32-4.69%0.0227✓0.951.8M2022-01-20
ETCEthereum Classicnative31.2731.2053-0.21%29.37-6.08%0.0344✓1.083.2M2022-01-20
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.8514.8193-0.21%14.59-1.75%0.0010✓0.68862k2022-01-20
AAVEAaveEthereum210.15209.71-0.21%198.37-5.61%0.0262✓1.2117.6M2022-01-20
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.194.181-0.21%3.97-5.25%0.0174✓1.4132.4M2022-01-20
NANOnanopayBase3.05553.0489-0.21%2.8203-7.70%0.0503✓1.13665k2022-01-20
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.26591.2631-0.22%1.1614-8.25%0.0551✓1.1830.5M2022-01-20
SCSiacoinnative0.01270.01267-0.23%0.01217-4.17%0.0159✓1.00641k2022-01-20
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.2192.2138-0.24%2.111-4.87%0.0200✓1.131.9M2022-01-20
CBKCobakEthereum2.6232.6168-0.24%2.539-3.20%0.0081✓0.9125k2022-01-20
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.2210.1956-0.24%10.09-1.27%0.0078✗0.75808k2022-01-20
SUSHISushiEthereum6.056.0355-0.24%5.81-3.97%0.0065✓1.3017.7M2022-01-20
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.65463.6457-0.24%3.7088+1.48%0.0156✗-0.06371k2022-01-20
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7934.7811-0.25%4.731-1.29%0.0059✗0.67457k2022-01-20
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum7.2727.2538-0.25%6.92-4.84%0.0301✓0.70170k2022-01-20
XVSVenusEthereum12.5212.4884-0.25%11.36-9.27%0.0668✓1.142.7M2022-01-20
STORJStorjEthereum1.4621.4583-0.25%1.3945-4.61%0.0230✓0.89423k2022-01-20
XMRMoneroMonero201.62201.1084-0.25%188.73-6.39%0.0395✓0.992.9M2022-01-20
CVCCivicEthereum0.29830.297531-0.26%0.2825-5.30%0.0266✓1.03397k2022-01-20
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.930.927585-0.26%0.89-4.30%0.0054✗1.921.4M2022-01-20
BANDBandEthereum4.914.8972-0.26%4.68-4.68%0.0183✓1.112.2M2022-01-20
ZECZcashZcash125.87125.5245-0.27%118.84-5.59%0.0232✓1.309.5M2022-01-20
UOSUltraEthereum1.16931.1661-0.28%1.1313-3.25%0.0044✓1.062.4M2022-01-20
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.072180.071972-0.29%0.06885-4.61%0.0095✓1.432.3M2022-01-20
KCSKuCoinnative19.95119.8927-0.29%19.429-2.62%0.0156✗1.6110.6M2022-01-20
ADACardanoCardano1.33661.3326-0.30%1.2589-5.81%0.0295✓1.1399.0M2022-01-20
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.94.8847-0.31%4.78-2.45%0.0075✗1.203.2M2022-01-20
ZENHorizenBase49.9349.7719-0.32%47.6-4.67%0.0082✓1.49636k2022-01-20
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.04921.0457-0.33%1.0173-3.04%0.0035✓0.9923.2M2022-01-20
GITCOINGITCOIN10.27410.2395-0.34%9.432-8.20%0.0797✓0.1040k2022-01-20
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,142.2932,033.11-0.34%31,414.30-2.26%0.0029✓0.6821.5M2022-01-20
MINAMina Protocolnative3.393.3783-0.35%3.35-1.18%0.0181✗1.09808k2022-01-20
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4690.467362-0.35%0.428-8.74%0.0560✓1.311.8M2022-01-20
LPTLivepeerEthereum32.4332.3152-0.35%30.25-6.72%0.0254✓1.672.7M2022-01-20
CTSICartesiEthereum0.57840.576351-0.35%0.5606-3.08%0.0061✗1.392.7M2022-01-20
GTGateEthereum7.17.0743-0.36%7.0322-0.95%0.0149✗0.864.3M2022-01-20
LUNATerraTerra 281.2780.975-0.36%77.41-4.75%0.0004✓1.867.7M2022-01-20
LSKLiskEthereum2.05092.0434-0.37%1.8707-8.79%0.0612✓1.1189k2022-01-20
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.68380.681266-0.37%0.6442-5.79%0.0248✓1.283.3M2022-01-20
MANADecentralandEthereum2.73462.7236-0.40%2.6385-3.51%0.0065✓1.044.5M2022-01-20
HIVEHivenative1.13861.134-0.41%1.0699-6.03%0.0239✓1.413.7M2022-01-20
UMAUMAEthereum8.268.2258-0.41%7.75-6.17%0.0362✓0.964.1M2022-01-20
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.13.087-0.42%2.79-10.00%0.0707✓1.252.7M2022-01-20
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.333.3158-0.43%3.06-8.11%0.0489✓1.298.5M2022-01-20
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.5371.5299-0.46%1.5815+2.90%0.0537✗0.841.2M2022-01-20
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.075110.074751-0.48%0.07094-5.55%0.0280✓1.00719k2022-01-20
COTICOTIEthereum0.3660.364234-0.48%0.3693+0.90%0.0504✗1.504.1M2022-01-20
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos37.0736.8881-0.49%38.97+5.13%0.0786✗0.9798.5M2022-01-20
FTTFTXEthereum46.6746.4365-0.50%45.17-3.21%0.0007✓1.1124.3M2022-01-20
MASKMask NetworkEthereum8.438.386-0.52%7.96-5.58%0.0344✓0.73995k2022-01-20
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.2823.2647-0.53%3.095-5.70%0.0114✓1.721.2M2022-01-20
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.071620.07122-0.56%0.06785-5.26%0.0189✓1.2112.4M2022-01-20
CELLCellframeEthereum1.04571.0398-0.56%1.0839+3.65%0.0675✗1.07108k2022-01-20
GTCGitcoinEthereum10.2110.1444-0.64%9.52-6.76%0.0595✓0.162.8M2022-01-20
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.57010.56636-0.66%0.5776+1.32%0.0536✗1.391.5M2022-01-20
API3Api3Ethereum4.354.3133-0.84%4.19-3.68%0.0052✓0.98471k2022-01-20
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.84660.838905-0.91%0.757-10.58%0.0594✓1.7846.2M2022-01-20
BFCBifrostEthereum0.199130.196464-1.34%0.18914-5.02%0.0002✓1.576,5192022-01-20
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.99393.9341-1.50%3.8114-4.57%0.0134✓0.752,2572022-01-20
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.