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2022-01-14 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2319
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+27.96%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
84.9%
in alpha space · 87.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.36%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRXTRONTron0.0676580.070614+4.37%0.064588-4.54%0.0663✗0.96552k2022-02-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum26.2826.8597+2.21%16.82-36.00%0.4241✗1.844.1M2022-02-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3660.370076+1.11%0.291-20.49%0.2222✗0.7643k2022-02-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.020490.020639+0.73%0.016324-20.33%0.2051✗1.232.5M2022-02-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin29.7229.9119+0.65%20.56-30.82%0.3490✗1.0915.5M2022-02-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,294.1043,473.28+0.41%42,091.20-2.78%0.0088✗0.9814k2022-02-13
NANOnanopayBase3.15113.1621+0.35%2.1144-32.90%0.3752✗1.14699k2022-02-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative31.9832.0806+0.31%32.5+1.63%0.0383✓1.062.9M2022-02-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.772.7782+0.30%2-27.80%0.2971✗1.323.2M2022-02-13
XYMSymbolnative0.19290.193392+0.26%0.1686-12.60%0.1210✗0.68464k2022-02-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.382.3796-0.02%1.66-30.25%0.3348✓1.062.9M2022-02-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.8531.8516-0.08%1.6-13.65%0.1185✓1.152.2M2022-02-13
LRCLoopringEthereum1.47071.4605-0.69%0.9151-37.78%0.4219✓1.911.4M2022-02-13
SOLSolanaSolana146.17145.0323-0.78%92.92-36.43%0.4183✓1.13177.1M2022-02-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.3081.2978-0.78%0.88-32.72%0.3562✓1.352.7M2022-02-13
QNTQuantEthereum165.39164.0926-0.78%121.97-26.25%0.2744✓0.936.9M2022-02-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.109330.108334-0.91%0.09518-12.94%0.1023✓1.1423k2022-02-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.686.6092-1.06%5.5-17.66%0.1679✓0.66602k2022-02-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1833170.181338-1.08%0.148727-18.87%0.1720✓1.105.4M2022-02-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.76993.7282-1.11%5.8538+55.28%0.4497✗-0.06364k2022-02-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum29.729.3641-1.13%21.38-28.01%0.2805✓1.541.0M2022-02-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.4228.0858-1.18%28.14-0.99%0.0189✗0.71360k2022-02-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.17980.177597-1.23%0.1611-10.40%0.0757✓0.91432k2022-02-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum73.772.7798-1.25%58.08-21.19%0.2000✓1.076.2M2022-02-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,090.7242,551.04-1.25%42,074.99-2.36%0.0126✓1.00679.0M2022-02-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash385.65380.697-1.28%333.81-13.44%0.1072✓1.027.6M2022-02-13
XECeCashnative0.000097020.000095739-1.32%0.00008177-15.72%0.1336✓1.016.5M2022-02-13
XVGVergenative0.013890.013705-1.33%0.01099-20.88%0.1913✓1.242.0M2022-02-13
CTKShentuOsmosis1.5091.4884-1.37%1.244-17.56%0.1468✓1.374.4M2022-02-13
COMPCompoundEthereum189.59186.9104-1.41%124.43-34.37%0.3791✓1.16149k2022-02-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin144.84142.6347-1.52%125.67-13.24%0.0940✓1.3732.2M2022-02-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0551.0384-1.57%0.747-29.19%0.3062✓0.972.2M2022-02-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.917.7814-1.63%6.49-17.95%0.1664✓0.63680k2022-02-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.047.9079-1.64%6.63-17.54%0.1579✓0.77737k2022-02-13
QTUMQtumQtum7.84427.7078-1.74%6.5106-17.00%0.1346✓1.43263k2022-02-13
CBKCobakEthereum2.8572.8059-1.79%2.388-16.42%0.1397✓0.9026k2022-02-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.57920.568381-1.87%0.4062-29.87%0.3048✓1.3012.2M2022-02-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.71070.69682-1.95%0.5345-24.79%0.2346✓1.283.7M2022-02-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.922.8628-1.96%1.9-34.93%0.3799✓1.263.1M2022-02-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.97790.958138-2.02%0.5644-42.28%0.5052✓1.013.0M2022-02-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot27.7627.1757-2.10%18.75-32.46%0.3390✓1.3564.3M2022-02-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08130.079457-2.27%0.0714-12.18%0.0805✓1.1119k2022-02-13
XEMNEMnative0.11920.116301-2.43%0.11-7.72%0.0306✓1.0557k2022-02-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV113.04110.2063-2.51%92.52-18.15%0.1521✓0.962.2M2022-02-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.1130.11004-2.62%0.084-25.66%0.2433✓1.12303k2022-02-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum20.2919.7534-2.64%15.13-25.43%0.2416✓1.05958k2022-02-13
XLMStellarStellar0.2653750.258127-2.73%0.210311-20.75%0.1801✓1.0424.2M2022-02-13
ETHEthereumEthereum3,310.453,216.03-2.85%2,872.84-13.22%0.0873✓1.07556.2M2022-02-13
ADACardanoCardano1.29311.2554-2.92%1.0431-19.33%0.1578✓1.1595.6M2022-02-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.17540.170196-2.97%0.1475-15.91%0.1130✓1.264.2M2022-02-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum7.7577.5185-3.07%5.903-23.90%0.2255✓0.69192k2022-02-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.381.3361-3.18%1.06-23.19%0.1916✓1.67569k2022-02-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030840.000029855-3.19%0.00003011-2.37%0.0407✗1.351.8M2022-02-13
ZECZcashZcash142.55137.968-3.21%117.13-17.83%0.1328✓1.3010.9M2022-02-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0150.014516-3.23%0.01193-20.47%0.1649✓1.312.2M2022-02-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.080720.078103-3.24%0.05267-34.75%0.3601✓1.422.6M2022-02-13
KSMKusamaHydration281.84272.6408-3.26%163.53-41.98%0.4829✓1.181.4M2022-02-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.05261.0182-3.27%0.8076-23.27%0.1891✓1.78974k2022-02-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum9.849.5149-3.30%7.41-24.70%0.2505✓-0.021.5M2022-02-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8674.7041-3.35%4.66-4.25%0.0067✓0.68469k2022-02-13
UNIUniswapEthereum15.8715.3384-3.35%10.35-34.78%0.3624✓1.3012.4M2022-02-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.32043.2087-3.37%3.7675+13.47%0.1890✗1.192.6M2022-02-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8453.7139-3.41%3.139-18.36%0.1513✓0.71526k2022-02-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.33210.320768-3.41%0.2771-16.56%0.1158✓1.282.2M2022-02-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3723.2565-3.42%2.754-18.33%0.1262✓1.731.2M2022-02-13
XVSVenusEthereum1413.5159-3.46%8.7-37.86%0.4133✓1.143.1M2022-02-13
RADRadworksEthereum7.927.6461-3.46%5.45-31.19%0.3176✓0.881.1M2022-02-13
FTTFTXEthereum44.7343.1807-3.46%44.32-0.92%0.0525✗1.1121.6M2022-02-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.07070.068187-3.55%0.03066-56.63%0.7701✓1.2316.4M2022-02-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.193.0752-3.60%2.52-21.00%0.1756✓0.99918k2022-02-13
XTZTezosTezos4.2854.1301-3.62%3.8546-10.04%0.0364✓1.374.3M2022-02-13
LSKLiskEthereum2.09242.0149-3.71%1.7279-17.42%0.1272✓1.1195k2022-02-13
UOSUltraEthereum1.29881.2495-3.79%1.01-22.24%0.1879✓1.053.0M2022-02-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7482050.719779-3.80%0.60939-18.55%0.1392✓1.142.5M2022-02-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0284310.027345-3.82%0.021469-24.49%0.2174✓1.035.7M2022-02-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.053420.051363-3.85%0.04259-20.27%0.1612✓1.1019k2022-02-13
SCSiacoinnative0.013860.013319-3.90%0.01036-25.25%0.2276✓0.99656k2022-02-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.041110.039501-3.91%0.03005-26.90%0.2517✓0.918.4M2022-02-13
STORJStorjEthereum1.60691.5439-3.92%1.1334-29.47%0.2882✓0.88502k2022-02-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.016660.016005-3.93%0.01362-18.25%0.1440✓0.7324k2022-02-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.225.0146-3.93%4.47-14.37%0.0868✓1.183.3M2022-02-13
KCSKuCoinnative20.0819.288-3.94%19.126-4.75%0.0300✓1.6111.0M2022-02-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.2694.0962-4.05%3.387-20.66%0.1710✓0.801.1M2022-02-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.34634.1695-4.07%3.4786-19.96%0.1511✓1.264.1M2022-02-13
AAVEAaveEthereum224.05214.4835-4.27%158.29-29.35%0.2757✓1.1817.6M2022-02-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0596540.057037-4.39%0.043319-27.38%0.2465✓1.207.5M2022-02-13
XMRMoneroMonero229.78219.5444-4.45%174.01-24.27%0.2088✓0.993.1M2022-02-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.03525.7644-4.49%4.6803-22.45%0.1794✓1.21457k2022-02-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.093360.089038-4.63%0.07534-19.30%0.1497✓0.7352k2022-02-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.6737.3146-4.67%7.052-8.09%0.0055✓1.30271k2022-02-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.13920.132683-4.68%0.1025-26.36%0.2275✓1.282.4M2022-02-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5210.496497-4.70%0.379-27.26%0.2391✓1.302.0M2022-02-13
DASHDashDash141.12134.4248-4.74%102.03-27.70%0.2471✓1.202.8M2022-02-13
UMAUMAEthereum8.397.9872-4.80%6.01-28.37%0.2613✓0.974.3M2022-02-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0790.075193-4.82%0.0626-20.76%0.1594✓1.0027.8M2022-02-13
IMXImmutableEthereum3.553.3742-4.95%2.29-35.49%0.3545✓1.392.2M2022-02-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.529.9966-4.98%11.07+5.23%0.1200✗0.75955k2022-02-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.05570.052877-5.07%0.0312-43.99%0.4948✓1.371.5M2022-02-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.3350.317677-5.17%0.2688-19.76%0.1309✓1.513.8M2022-02-13
ZENHorizenBase53.850.9917-5.22%40.16-25.35%0.2032✓1.49667k2022-02-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.26680.252867-5.22%0.2009-24.70%0.1983✓1.334.0M2022-02-13
DODODODOEthereum0.8020.759182-5.34%0.499-37.78%0.3841✓1.498.0M2022-02-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08650.081865-5.36%0.0866+0.12%0.0895✗1.401.2M2022-02-13
MANADecentralandEthereum2.9552.7914-5.53%2.8231-4.46%0.0356✓1.025.2M2022-02-13
BANDBandEthereum5.75.3792-5.63%4.06-28.77%0.2550✓1.102.3M2022-02-13
SUSHISushiEthereum7.036.6335-5.64%4.03-42.67%0.4676✓1.2917.7M2022-02-13
MINAMina Protocolnative3.463.2646-5.65%2.37-31.50%0.2944✓1.09808k2022-02-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.03050.9722-5.66%0.6296-38.90%0.4010✓1.401.5M2022-02-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.32910.310465-5.66%0.2812-14.55%0.0746✓1.02397k2022-02-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.091.0282-5.67%0.91-16.51%0.0766✓1.911.6M2022-02-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.12231.0583-5.70%0.8484-24.41%0.1973✓1.0023.2M2022-02-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum32.5430.6751-5.73%19.77-39.24%0.4056✓1.4134.3M2022-02-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche90.4185.2231-5.74%77.97-13.76%0.0608✓1.18108.4M2022-02-13
GTGateEthereum6.81286.4138-5.86%6.7726-0.59%0.0749✗0.863.5M2022-02-13
API3Api3Ethereum3.923.6897-5.88%4.57+16.58%0.2329✗0.80471k2022-02-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.4152.2721-5.92%1.737-28.07%0.2419✓1.122.0M2022-02-13
HIVEHivenative1.311.2316-5.99%1.072-18.17%0.1054✓1.404.0M2022-02-13
GITCOINGITCOIN10.86610.1752-6.36%7.272-33.08%0.3333✓0.1144k2022-02-13
CELLCellframeEthereum1.06470.995789-6.47%1.3168+23.68%0.3035✗1.01108k2022-02-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum36.2533.8665-6.58%25.86-28.66%0.2301✓1.662.7M2022-02-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.9613.9761-6.58%17.86+19.39%0.2615✗0.681.1M2022-02-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum9.58.8577-6.76%5.89-38.00%0.3911✓0.711.0M2022-02-13
MOVRMoonriverBase157.2002146.531-6.79%82.6677-47.41%0.5456✓1.12515k2022-02-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.38221.2872-6.87%0.8967-35.13%0.3336✓1.1730.5M2022-02-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum25.7423.9492-6.96%15.6-39.39%0.4003✓1.1974.2M2022-02-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.41981.3202-7.02%1.823+28.40%0.3434✗0.87922k2022-02-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.354.9744-7.02%2.75-48.60%0.5593✓1.4032.4M2022-02-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,239.4929,822.62-7.50%22,889.91-29.00%0.2487✓0.6726.4M2022-02-13
LUNATerraTerra 281.4775.2494-7.64%51.89-36.31%0.3478✓1.007.4M2022-02-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.623.3376-7.80%1.88-48.07%0.5441✓1.258.5M2022-02-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.014340.013206-7.91%0.00579-59.62%0.7681✓2.3726.1M2022-02-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.71450.649724-9.07%0.443-38.00%0.3500✓1.382.7M2022-02-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.13563.7524-9.27%3.4198-17.31%0.0748✓0.762,2572022-02-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum10.989.9526-9.36%7.27-33.79%0.3099✓0.182.8M2022-02-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos40.4436.5208-9.69%26.19-35.24%0.3099✓0.9586.7M2022-02-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0836380.074947-10.39%0.027679-66.91%0.9723✓1.002.4M2022-02-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.222390.198217-10.87%0.17187-22.72%0.1046✓1.595,3602022-02-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.62720.557987-11.04%0.5723-8.75%0.0583✓1.38736k2022-02-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.96050.835976-12.96%0.4207-56.20%0.6448✓1.7638.7M2022-02-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.