2022-01-12 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2737

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+25.55%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

83.5%

in alpha space · 86.3% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-3.49%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.068101	0.071346	+4.76%	0.063958	-6.08%	0.0753	✗	0.96	536k	2022-02-11
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.24	2.2831	+1.92%	1.71	-23.66%	0.2504	✗	1.09	3.1M	2022-02-11
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.162908	0.165555	+1.62%	0.14485	-11.08%	0.0938	✗	1.12	5.4M	2022-02-11
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01979	0.020092	+1.52%	0.015872	-19.80%	0.1921	✗	1.23	2.5M	2022-02-11
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.379	0.384706	+1.51%	0.301	-20.58%	0.2188	✗	0.75	40k	2022-02-11
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	27.99	28.342	+1.26%	17.24	-38.41%	0.4320	✗	1.83	4.5M	2022-02-11
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	31.15	31.515	+1.17%	32.74	+5.10%	0.0757	✓	1.06	3.0M	2022-02-11
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	43,982.00	44,324.33	+0.78%	42,347.70	-3.72%	0.0106	✗	0.98	14k	2022-02-11
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	30.77	30.9626	+0.63%	21.09	-31.46%	0.3461	✗	1.07	16.7M	2022-02-11
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2011	0.201997	+0.45%	0.1735	-13.72%	0.1282	✗	0.67	441k	2022-02-11
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.2877	3.2927	+0.15%	2.1819	-33.63%	0.3715	✗	1.12	699k	2022-02-11
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.905	1.9052	+0.01%	1.637	-14.07%	0.1109	✗	1.15	2.3M	2022-02-11
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.89	2.8898	-0.01%	2.07	-28.37%	0.2868	✓	1.32	3.2M	2022-02-11
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.11114	0.11081	-0.30%	0.09752	-12.25%	0.0871	✓	1.15	25k	2022-02-11
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	168.76	167.8715	-0.53%	129.51	-23.26%	0.2261	✓	0.94	7.3M	2022-02-11
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	142.02	141.1059	-0.64%	125.69	-11.50%	0.0673	✓	1.36	33.4M	2022-02-11
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.49	1.4802	-0.66%	1.257	-15.64%	0.1149	✓	1.37	4.9M	2022-02-11
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.9176	7.8609	-0.72%	6.5603	-17.14%	0.1301	✓	1.43	273k	2022-02-11
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.363	1.3529	-0.74%	0.96	-29.57%	0.2949	✓	1.35	2.8M	2022-02-11
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1826	0.18121	-0.76%	0.1566	-14.24%	0.1134	✓	0.92	450k	2022-02-11
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009819	0.000097409	-0.80%	0.00008391	-14.54%	0.1132	✓	1.01	6.6M	2022-02-11
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	383.83	380.5331	-0.86%	321.01	-16.37%	0.1339	✓	1.02	8.3M	2022-02-11
SOL	Solana	Solana	151.56	150.1693	-0.92%	96.5	-36.33%	0.4021	✓	1.13	191.4M	2022-02-11
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.98	6.9114	-0.98%	5.47	-21.63%	0.2105	✓	0.66	643k	2022-02-11
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.89	28.5613	-1.14%	28.06	-2.87%	0.0073	✓	0.70	360k	2022-02-11
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	31.51	31.1486	-1.15%	22.36	-29.04%	0.2769	✓	1.54	1.0M	2022-02-11
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	196.42	194.0055	-1.23%	124.54	-36.60%	0.4017	✓	1.17	153k	2022-02-11
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	43,920.37	43,377.21	-1.24%	42,386.47	-3.49%	0.0124	✓	1.00	750.1M	2022-02-11
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6995	0.690664	-1.26%	0.5696	-18.57%	0.1476	✓	1.27	4.4M	2022-02-11
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	78.16	77.1398	-1.31%	59.07	-24.42%	0.2291	✓	1.06	6.3M	2022-02-11
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.853	2.8142	-1.36%	2.354	-17.49%	0.1464	✓	0.90	27k	2022-02-11
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	27.32	26.9378	-1.40%	18.99	-30.49%	0.3024	✓	1.33	68.4M	2022-02-11
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1668	0.164453	-1.41%	0.149	-10.67%	0.0547	✓	1.24	4.2M	2022-02-11
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.084	1.0686	-1.42%	0.771	-28.87%	0.2923	✓	0.96	2.2M	2022-02-11
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.8595	3.8042	-1.43%	6.1868	+60.30%	0.4839	✗	-0.07	364k	2022-02-11
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	41.43	40.8079	-1.50%	43.46	+4.90%	0.1021	✗	1.10	21.0M	2022-02-11
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.19	8.0634	-1.55%	6.24	-23.81%	0.2340	✓	0.63	675k	2022-02-11
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.19	8.0614	-1.57%	6.47	-21.00%	0.1925	✓	0.77	767k	2022-02-11
XEM	NEM	native	0.1192	0.117166	-1.71%	0.1086	-8.89%	0.0385	✓	1.05	62k	2022-02-11
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		112.64	110.6922	-1.73%	94.64	-15.98%	0.1228	✓	0.95	2.4M	2022-02-11
XVG	Verge	native	0.01475	0.014475	-1.86%	0.01151	-21.97%	0.1856	✓	1.23	2.1M	2022-02-11
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5942	0.583078	-1.87%	0.4181	-29.64%	0.2862	✓	1.30	12.2M	2022-02-11
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.2451	3.1834	-1.90%	3.6	+10.94%	0.1659	✗	1.21	2.5M	2022-02-11
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.6281	1.5956	-1.99%	0.9345	-42.60%	0.4671	✓	1.91	1.4M	2022-02-11
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0825	0.080805	-2.05%	0.072	-12.73%	0.0762	✓	1.10	19k	2022-02-11
XMR	Monero	Monero	199.2	194.6849	-2.27%	169.21	-15.06%	0.1034	✓	1.04	2.9M	2022-02-11
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	275.54	268.707	-2.48%	165.1	-40.08%	0.4453	✓	1.18	1.3M	2022-02-11
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.313	1.2782	-2.65%	1.0803	-17.72%	0.1279	✓	1.13	95.6M	2022-02-11
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.032	4.8965	-2.69%	4.453	-11.51%	0.0713	✓	0.67	481k	2022-02-11
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1144	0.1112	-2.80%	0.0868	-24.13%	0.2083	✓	1.11	303k	2022-02-11
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.08196	0.079638	-2.83%	0.05622	-31.41%	0.2977	✓	1.42	2.6M	2022-02-11
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.02	2.9327	-2.89%	1.99	-34.11%	0.3449	✓	1.21	3.2M	2022-02-11
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3269	0.317369	-2.92%	0.2594	-20.65%	0.1566	✓	1.27	2.2M	2022-02-11
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.922	3.8073	-2.93%	3.154	-19.58%	0.1633	✓	0.70	526k	2022-02-11
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,373.64	3,274.56	-2.94%	2,929.08	-13.18%	0.0736	✓	1.07	569.1M	2022-02-11
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	14.23	13.8106	-2.95%	8.92	-37.32%	0.3963	✓	1.15	3.2M	2022-02-11
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.88	20.2541	-3.00%	14.96	-28.35%	0.2660	✓	1.04	1.0M	2022-02-11
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01542	0.014941	-3.10%	0.01244	-19.33%	0.1365	✓	1.31	2.2M	2022-02-11
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.43	1.3852	-3.13%	1.1	-23.08%	0.1709	✓	1.68	657k	2022-02-11
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	144.49	139.7244	-3.30%	116.54	-19.34%	0.1348	✓	1.31	10.9M	2022-02-11
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.282353	0.273038	-3.30%	0.215393	-23.71%	0.2002	✓	1.04	24.9M	2022-02-11
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	16.29	15.7475	-3.33%	10.65	-34.62%	0.3451	✓	1.29	12.7M	2022-02-11
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.2739	4.1284	-3.40%	3.4051	-20.33%	0.1469	✓	1.29	4.1M	2022-02-11
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	218.61	210.9844	-3.49%	163.71	-25.11%	0.2123	✓	1.17	17.6M	2022-02-11
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.07298	0.070382	-3.56%	0.03653	-49.95%	0.6124	✓	1.22	16.9M	2022-02-11
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.752838	0.725843	-3.59%	0.616904	-18.06%	0.1218	✓	1.15	2.6M	2022-02-11
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0507	0.048872	-3.61%	0.04188	-17.40%	0.1140	✓	1.14	18k	2022-02-11
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.27	3.1521	-3.61%	2.58	-21.10%	0.1654	✓	0.98	949k	2022-02-11
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	10.07	9.706	-3.61%	7.7	-23.54%	0.2329	✓	-0.04	1.6M	2022-02-11
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.3843	4.2219	-3.70%	4.3129	-1.63%	0.0695	✗	1.36	4.6M	2022-02-11
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.895	5.6763	-3.71%	4.7016	-20.24%	0.1447	✓	1.23	446k	2022-02-11
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.43	5.2278	-3.72%	4.9	-9.76%	0.0232	✓	1.17	3.3M	2022-02-11
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	8.13	7.8211	-3.80%	5.4	-33.58%	0.3388	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-02-11
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.1488	2.0666	-3.82%	1.7756	-17.37%	0.1122	✓	1.11	83k	2022-02-11
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.0000315	0.000030284	-3.86%	0.00002872	-8.83%	0.0058	✓	1.33	1.7M	2022-02-11
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.1158	1.0718	-3.95%	0.82329	-26.22%	0.2006	✓	1.78	1.0M	2022-02-11
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01729	0.016578	-4.12%	0.01359	-21.40%	0.1735	✓	0.71	25k	2022-02-11
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.372	19.5183	-4.19%	19.087	-6.31%	0.0350	✓	1.61	12.5M	2022-02-11
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.779	7.4518	-4.21%	7.219	-7.20%	0.0149	✓	1.31	271k	2022-02-11
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.416	4.2263	-4.30%	3.29	-25.50%	0.2224	✓	0.79	1.1M	2022-02-11
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.060875	0.058258	-4.30%	0.047719	-21.61%	0.1572	✓	1.19	7.4M	2022-02-11
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	8.452	8.0876	-4.31%	6.01	-28.89%	0.2732	✓	0.67	209k	2022-02-11
DASH	Dash	Dash	143.32	137.1393	-4.31%	103.99	-27.44%	0.2336	✓	1.21	2.5M	2022-02-11
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.667	1.5951	-4.32%	1.1623	-30.28%	0.2857	✓	0.87	581k	2022-02-11
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04277	0.040909	-4.35%	0.03298	-22.89%	0.1833	✓	0.90	8.5M	2022-02-11
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01401	0.013397	-4.38%	0.01056	-24.63%	0.2029	✓	0.99	730k	2022-02-11
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.029842	0.028501	-4.49%	0.022611	-24.23%	0.1950	✓	1.03	6.3M	2022-02-11
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.3521	1.2909	-4.53%	1.0976	-18.83%	0.1252	✓	1.04	3.3M	2022-02-11
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.52	10.0357	-4.60%	10.1	-3.99%	0.0332	✓	0.75	994k	2022-02-11
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.605	3.4347	-4.72%	2.754	-23.61%	0.1593	✓	1.73	1.2M	2022-02-11
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.09754	0.092838	-4.82%	0.07747	-20.58%	0.1556	✓	0.71	48k	2022-02-11
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.64	5.3603	-4.96%	4.25	-24.65%	0.1917	✓	1.14	2.4M	2022-02-11
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	7.12	6.7648	-4.99%	4.09	-42.56%	0.4569	✓	1.30	17.7M	2022-02-11
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.833	0.790548	-5.10%	0.52	-37.58%	0.3666	✓	1.47	8.0M	2022-02-11
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.89	8.4309	-5.16%	5.96	-32.96%	0.3129	✓	0.96	4.4M	2022-02-11
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2778	0.263311	-5.22%	0.2056	-25.99%	0.2002	✓	1.33	4.4M	2022-02-11
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0875	0.082908	-5.25%	0.0869	-0.69%	0.0963	✗	1.39	1.2M	2022-02-11
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0604	0.057221	-5.26%	0.0319	-47.19%	0.5363	✓	1.35	1.5M	2022-02-11
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1554	0.147096	-5.34%	0.1086	-30.12%	0.2586	✓	1.26	2.4M	2022-02-11
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0819	0.077477	-5.40%	0.0654	-20.15%	0.1339	✓	1.00	28.2M	2022-02-11
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.539	0.509685	-5.44%	0.375	-30.43%	0.2608	✓	1.29	2.1M	2022-02-11
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.1869	1.1221	-5.46%	0.6358	-46.43%	0.5334	✓	0.97	3.1M	2022-02-11
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.73	3.5229	-5.55%	2.31	-38.07%	0.3735	✓	1.37	2.3M	2022-02-11
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.79	3.5792	-5.56%	3.97	+4.75%	0.1302	✗	0.75	481k	2022-02-11
ZEN	Horizen	Base	59.25	55.8962	-5.66%	40.36	-31.88%	0.2723	✓	1.50	711k	2022-02-11
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3542	0.333715	-5.78%	0.2888	-18.46%	0.0909	✓	1.51	3.6M	2022-02-11
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.8813	6.4766	-5.88%	6.7399	-2.05%	0.0705	✗	0.86	3.8M	2022-02-11
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.59	3.3768	-5.94%	2.54	-29.25%	0.2472	✓	1.06	807k	2022-02-11
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0716	1.0067	-6.06%	0.6537	-39.00%	0.3821	✓	1.40	1.6M	2022-02-11
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.1883	1.1159	-6.10%	0.8754	-26.33%	0.2077	✓	0.98	23.2M	2022-02-11
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.91	4.6064	-6.18%	2.89	-41.14%	0.4160	✓	1.41	30.4M	2022-02-11
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.521	2.3645	-6.21%	1.833	-27.29%	0.2153	✓	1.11	1.9M	2022-02-11
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	34.99	32.8135	-6.22%	19.82	-43.36%	0.4549	✓	1.38	31.1M	2022-02-11
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0214	0.957181	-6.29%	1.1483	+12.42%	0.2174	✗	0.99	116k	2022-02-11
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3384	0.317038	-6.31%	0.2842	-16.02%	0.0733	✓	1.01	397k	2022-02-11
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.17	1.095	-6.41%	0.92	-21.37%	0.1067	✓	1.90	1.7M	2022-02-11
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.4029	1.3127	-6.43%	1.9151	+36.51%	0.4085	✗	0.87	922k	2022-02-11
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	96.02	89.8307	-6.45%	81.81	-14.80%	0.0519	✓	1.17	110.4M	2022-02-11
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.33	14.3399	-6.46%	16.98	+10.76%	0.1930	✗	0.68	1.1M	2022-02-11
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.0897	2.8835	-6.67%	2.9222	-5.42%	0.0489	✓	1.00	5.3M	2022-02-11
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	26.76	24.8571	-7.11%	16.22	-39.39%	0.3852	✓	1.17	70.9M	2022-02-11
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	169.994	157.7338	-7.21%	84.8321	-50.10%	0.5802	✓	1.13	540k	2022-02-11
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	39.17	36.297	-7.33%	29.96	-23.51%	0.1333	✓	1.65	2.7M	2022-02-11
HIVE	Hive	native	1.3807	1.2781	-7.43%	1.074	-22.21%	0.1247	✓	1.39	4.3M	2022-02-11
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.9279	3.6285	-7.62%	3.5941	-8.50%	0.0173	✓	0.75	2,942	2022-02-11
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		11.904	10.9902	-7.68%	7.923	-33.44%	0.3240	✓	0.09	54k	2022-02-11
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	10.21	9.4247	-7.69%	5.99	-41.33%	0.4285	✓	0.70	1.1M	2022-02-11
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.18305	0.168902	-7.73%	0.18907	+3.29%	0.1685	✗	1.57	5,360	2022-02-11
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	81.93	75.4634	-7.89%	50.35	-38.55%	0.3691	✓	1.00	7.4M	2022-02-11
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.4989	1.3806	-7.90%	0.9169	-38.83%	0.3683	✓	1.15	30.5M	2022-02-11
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	33,839.55	31,115.76	-8.05%	23,115.13	-31.69%	0.2743	✓	0.65	26.4M	2022-02-11
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.75	3.4281	-8.59%	1.95	-48.00%	0.5182	✓	1.29	9.1M	2022-02-11
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6859	0.62384	-9.05%	0.4583	-33.18%	0.2584	✓	1.41	2.7M	2022-02-11
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	40.25	36.3547	-9.68%	26.56	-34.01%	0.2812	✓	0.92	72.1M	2022-02-11
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01576	0.014223	-9.75%	0.0062	-60.66%	0.7460	✓	2.37	26.8M	2022-02-11
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.081805	0.07321	-10.51%	0.032124	-60.73%	0.7882	✓	1.00	2.7M	2022-02-11
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	12	10.739	-10.51%	7.97	-33.58%	0.2928	✓	0.15	2.8M	2022-02-11
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6228	0.555544	-10.80%	0.5956	-4.37%	0.1204	✗	1.43	736k	2022-02-11
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.7422	0.657863	-11.36%	0.4503	-39.33%	0.3154	✓	1.79	38.7M	2022-02-11

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.