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2022-01-02 · +1d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2647
138 of 138 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.99%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
47.1%
in alpha space · 72.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.77%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum47,411.9047,406.04-0.01%46,018.20-2.94%0.0122✓0.9810k2022-01-03
FILFilecoinFilecoin35.7635.7459-0.04%35.08-1.90%0.0002✓1.0423.6M2022-01-03
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.654.6472-0.06%4.6279-0.48%0.0191✗1.305.0M2022-01-03
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.197.1836-0.09%7.21+0.28%0.0152✗0.64948k2022-01-03
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1744010.174245-0.09%0.170103-2.46%0.0043✓1.105.1M2022-01-03
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4170.416579-0.10%0.414-0.72%0.0069✗0.7343k2022-01-03
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.6988.6882-0.11%8.316-4.39%0.0212✓1.26367k2022-01-03
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV124.05123.9029-0.12%122.18-1.51%0.0031✗0.953.7M2022-01-03
BTCBitcoinBitcoin47,299.0747,241.04-0.12%46,459.56-1.77%0.0012✓1.00744.5M2022-01-03
NMRNumeraireEthereum32.1832.1392-0.13%31.64-1.68%0.0035✓0.68402k2022-01-03
XYMSymbolnative0.20930.209015-0.14%0.2058-1.67%0.0048✓0.60428k2022-01-03
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.3835.331-0.14%34.72-1.87%0.0012✓1.044.1M2022-01-03
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.1955.1873-0.15%5.152-0.83%0.0040✗0.60657k2022-01-03
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.3115.2856-0.16%15.18-0.85%0.0054✗0.691.3M2022-01-03
COMPCompoundEthereum211.43211.0657-0.17%222.2+5.09%0.0722✗1.16210k2022-01-03
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.858.8347-0.17%8.89+0.45%0.0171✗0.61914k2022-01-03
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.562.5554-0.18%2.56+0.00%0.0208✗1.064.1M2022-01-03
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.568.5446-0.18%8.6+0.47%0.0202✗0.77799k2022-01-03
TRXTRONTron0.0776430.077499-0.18%0.076988-0.84%0.0102✗0.94556k2022-01-03
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1724.1641-0.19%4.152-0.48%0.0090✗0.67514k2022-01-03
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.17493.1688-0.19%3.1177-1.80%0.0053✗1.203.1M2022-01-03
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash447.91447.0516-0.19%434.61-2.97%0.0101✓1.019.4M2022-01-03
NANOnanopayBase3.57643.5693-0.20%3.5792+0.08%0.0219✗1.07798k2022-01-03
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2661.2634-0.20%1.24-2.05%0.0019✓0.942.6M2022-01-03
SOLSolanaSolana176.32175.9642-0.20%170.13-3.51%0.0147✓1.06220.6M2022-01-03
XEMNEMnative0.13070.130432-0.20%0.127-2.83%0.0070✓1.10121k2022-01-03
ETHEthereumEthereum3,828.873,820.74-0.21%3,766.04-1.64%0.0042✗1.04679.6M2022-01-03
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20550.205056-0.22%0.1984-3.45%0.0168✓0.90556k2022-01-03
LINKChainlinkEthereum21.8821.8326-0.22%23.72+8.41%0.1070✗1.3469.2M2022-01-03
SUNSun TokenTron0.022330.022281-0.22%0.022053-1.24%0.0113✗1.212.4M2022-01-03
ADACardanoCardano1.37791.3748-0.22%1.3186-4.30%0.0222✓1.09100.2M2022-01-03
DOTPolkadotPolkadot29.729.6326-0.23%30.09+1.31%0.0385✗1.3072.5M2022-01-03
LTCLitecoinLitecoin151.2150.8516-0.23%148.43-1.83%0.0080✗1.3540.5M2022-01-03
QNTQuantEthereum187.33186.8868-0.24%178.99-4.45%0.0261✓0.958.8M2022-01-03
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.016610.01657-0.24%0.01736+4.52%0.0699✗1.302.2M2022-01-03
XTZTezosTezos4.67034.6589-0.24%4.8156+3.11%0.0572✗1.344.9M2022-01-03
BANDBandEthereum5.285.2671-0.24%5.56+5.30%0.0757✗1.212.1M2022-01-03
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2252.2195-0.25%2.265+1.80%0.0405✗1.132.7M2022-01-03
FTTFTXEthereum40.1640.0608-0.25%40.22+0.15%0.0229✗1.0619.4M2022-01-03
SKLSKALEEthereum0.21210.211527-0.27%0.2052-3.25%0.0082✓1.244.9M2022-01-03
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.23.1913-0.27%3.25+1.56%0.0417✗1.313.2M2022-01-03
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.5110.4808-0.28%10.51+0.00%0.0162✗0.751.3M2022-01-03
QTUMQtumQtum9.23639.2106-0.28%9.2052-0.34%0.0248✗1.42273k2022-01-03
CTKShentuOsmosis1.7761.771-0.28%1.682-5.29%0.0273✓1.356.3M2022-01-03
UNIUniswapEthereum18.4118.3572-0.29%18.47+0.33%0.0292✗1.2914.1M2022-01-03
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.78453.7735-0.29%3.7914+0.18%0.0027✓-0.11393k2022-01-03
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6671.6621-0.29%1.616-3.06%0.0051✓1.293.5M2022-01-03
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.57654.5632-0.29%4.605+0.62%0.0216✗0.7019k2022-01-03
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.67650.674504-0.30%0.6582-2.71%0.0013✓1.2911.4M2022-01-03
XVSVenusEthereum16.0415.9919-0.30%15.52-3.24%0.0093✓1.153.7M2022-01-03
DASHDashDash141.99141.5592-0.30%139.05-2.07%0.0048✗1.272.0M2022-01-03
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.424.3234-0.31%24.7+1.23%0.0339✗1.041.4M2022-01-03
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.7111.673-0.32%11.56-1.28%0.0128✓-0.172.3M2022-01-03
GTGateEthereum6.60576.5847-0.32%6.4392-2.52%0.0073✓0.843.9M2022-01-03
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.42431.4197-0.32%1.3948-2.07%0.0020✓1.10947k2022-01-03
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.43.3889-0.33%3.43+0.88%0.0300✗1.00995k2022-01-03
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000034050.000033938-0.33%0.00003307-2.88%0.0036✓1.241.7M2022-01-03
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.084440.084159-0.33%0.0855+1.26%0.0377✗1.2220.9M2022-01-03
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0880.087706-0.33%0.086-2.27%0.0005✓1.0721k2022-01-03
DKAdKargoEthereum0.122510.122098-0.34%0.12106-1.18%0.0112✗1.1026k2022-01-03
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.057530.057336-0.34%0.05659-1.63%0.0066✗1.1015k2022-01-03
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum96.4296.0869-0.35%94.38-2.12%0.0007✓0.966.3M2022-01-03
KSMKusamaHydration295.23294.1991-0.35%289.65-1.89%0.0044✗1.121.3M2022-01-03
AMPAmpEthereum0.048990.048817-0.35%0.05248+7.12%0.0887✗0.918.2M2022-01-03
XLMStellarStellar0.2922730.29121-0.36%0.290288-0.68%0.0151✗1.0225.7M2022-01-03
CBKCobakEthereum3.1273.1155-0.37%3.381+8.12%0.0972✗0.8641k2022-01-03
SUSHISushiEthereum8.938.8971-0.37%8.51-4.70%0.0211✓1.3018.1M2022-01-03
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum27.3227.2154-0.38%29.28+7.17%0.0987✗1.4324.2M2022-01-03
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.092330.091968-0.39%0.09008-2.44%0.0053✗1.453.1M2022-01-03
AAVEAaveEthereum265.45264.398-0.40%267.25+0.68%0.0311✗1.1412.6M2022-01-03
TRBTellor TributesEthereum35.5535.4084-0.40%36.41+2.42%0.0555✗1.541.1M2022-01-03
IMXImmutableEthereum4.964.94-0.40%4.57-7.86%0.0599✓1.002.5M2022-01-03
XMRMoneroMonero239.56238.5892-0.41%231.81-3.24%0.0109✓1.003.2M2022-01-03
ZECZcashZcash153.06152.4389-0.41%150.55-1.64%0.0117✗1.3510.9M2022-01-03
XECeCashnative0.000113340.000112874-0.41%0.00011648+2.77%0.0492✗0.997.4M2022-01-03
LSKLiskEthereum2.40892.3987-0.42%2.3545-2.26%0.0015✓1.12100k2022-01-03
ARPAARPAEthereum0.10010.099676-0.42%0.1004+0.30%0.0318✗1.371.6M2022-01-03
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0650840.064805-0.43%0.0636-2.28%0.0061✗1.397.5M2022-01-03
API3Api3Ethereum4.344.3212-0.43%4.13-4.84%0.0273✓1.001.1M2022-01-03
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.38220.380524-0.44%0.3721-2.64%0.0004✓1.273.7M2022-01-03
DODODODOEthereum0.9230.918885-0.45%0.904-2.06%0.0101✗1.478.1M2022-01-03
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.12510.0797-0.45%9.436-6.80%0.0553✓0.60310k2022-01-03
LUNATerraTerra 289.3588.9475-0.45%88.92-0.48%0.0176✗1.005.3M2022-01-03
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13680.136173-0.46%0.1352-1.17%0.0121✗1.07315k2022-01-03
XVGVergenative0.017670.017588-0.46%0.01731-2.04%0.0054✗1.192.2M2022-01-03
COTICOTIEthereum0.38360.381816-0.47%0.3888+1.36%0.0449✗1.503.7M2022-01-03
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.2651.2591-0.47%1.2437-1.68%0.0128✗1.402.0M2022-01-03
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.246.2106-0.47%7.19+15.22%0.1674✗1.173.3M2022-01-03
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5643.5472-0.47%3.467-2.72%0.0059✗1.602.1M2022-01-03
ZENHorizenBase65.0664.7524-0.47%63.44-2.49%0.0065✗1.51872k2022-01-03
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.02080.020701-0.47%0.02023-2.74%0.0115✓0.6439k2022-01-03
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche113.21112.6698-0.48%108.09-4.52%0.0217✓1.11121.7M2022-01-03
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.171.1644-0.48%1.14-2.56%0.0033✓1.002.0M2022-01-03
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.67391.6658-0.48%1.7949+7.23%0.0948✗1.1330.0M2022-01-03
KCSKuCoinnative22.62422.5147-0.48%22.363-1.15%0.0225✗1.6314.9M2022-01-03
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum4.354.3287-0.49%4.17-4.14%0.0194✓1.003.4M2022-01-03
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.37231.3655-0.50%1.3842+0.87%0.0305✗0.9422.3M2022-01-03
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.7270.723328-0.51%0.7048-3.05%0.0032✓1.275.6M2022-01-03
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.12080.120183-0.51%0.1235+2.24%0.0451✗1.0033.0M2022-01-03
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.296.2577-0.51%6.1828-1.70%0.0095✗1.20621k2022-01-03
MOVRMoonriverBase200.0687199.0307-0.52%191.896-4.08%0.0158✓1.16586k2022-01-03
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.55871.5506-0.52%1.5062-3.37%0.0145✓0.814.6M2022-01-03
UOSUltraEthereum1.55521.5469-0.53%1.5394-1.02%0.0121✗0.954.0M2022-01-03
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8884520.883719-0.53%0.94026+5.83%0.0823✗1.132.8M2022-01-03
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum41.0840.8568-0.54%39.23-4.50%0.0085✓1.796.1M2022-01-03
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos35.5435.3455-0.55%39.29+10.55%0.1224✗0.9343.4M2022-01-03
MINAMina Protocolnative3.783.7571-0.61%3.57-5.56%0.0318✓1.07643k2022-01-03
CELLCellframeEthereum1.0071.0008-0.61%1.0025-0.45%0.0196✗1.00146k2022-01-03
STORJStorjEthereum1.92631.9145-0.62%1.8521-3.85%0.0189✓0.80741k2022-01-03
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.30011.292-0.63%1.3019+0.14%0.0393✗1.771.3M2022-01-03
CHZChilizEthereum0.31190.309931-0.63%0.3005-3.66%0.0076✓1.304.8M2022-01-03
CTSICartesiEthereum0.7140.709438-0.64%0.6942-2.77%0.0020✓1.322.9M2022-01-03
UMAUMAEthereum9.499.4264-0.67%9.27-2.32%0.0032✓1.114.1M2022-01-03
BFCBifrostEthereum0.20380.202371-0.70%0.19941-2.15%0.0134✗1.576,6152022-01-03
RADRadworksEthereum11.1411.0617-0.70%11.29+1.35%0.0355✗0.841.2M2022-01-03
SCSiacoinnative0.016180.016065-0.71%0.01573-2.78%0.0040✓0.95847k2022-01-03
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.8592.8383-0.72%2.796-2.20%0.0032✓1.022.0M2022-01-03
LRCLoopringEthereum2.0952.0796-0.74%2.0456-2.36%0.0171✗1.871.5M2022-01-03
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.831.8163-0.75%1.72-6.01%0.0238✓1.711.1M2022-01-03
CRVCurve DAOEthereum6.056.0047-0.75%6.53+7.93%0.1084✗1.3729.3M2022-01-03
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6420.637093-0.76%0.64-0.31%0.0272✗1.272.2M2022-01-03
MANADecentralandEthereum3.34013.3141-0.78%3.2506-2.68%0.0026✓0.946.2M2022-01-03
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.115310.114409-0.78%0.11092-3.81%0.0196✓0.6355k2022-01-03
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0790.078382-0.78%0.0731-7.47%0.0449✓1.391.7M2022-01-03
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.0124.9715-0.81%4.777-4.69%0.0264✓0.751.0M2022-01-03
LPTLivepeerEthereum40.6440.2914-0.86%41.84+2.95%0.0674✗1.662.8M2022-01-03
LCXLCXEthereum0.21210.210269-0.86%0.197-7.12%0.0441✓1.182.4M2022-01-03
BICOBiconomyEthereum4.224.1825-0.89%3.89-7.82%0.0490✓1.3111.9M2022-01-03
GITCOINGITCOIN14.89814.7655-0.89%13.612-8.63%0.0827✓-0.07111k2022-01-03
YFIyearn.financeEthereum39,116.5138,766.98-0.89%38,753.93-0.93%0.0105✗0.6015.7M2022-01-03
SPELLSpellEthereum0.024020.023775-1.02%0.02216-7.74%0.0524✓1.0029.5M2022-01-03
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.03460.034244-1.03%0.033837-2.21%0.0064✓1.027.8M2022-01-03
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.94350.932753-1.14%0.8413-10.83%0.0729✓1.6931.1M2022-01-03
MASKMask NetworkEthereum13.9913.8283-1.16%12.81-8.43%0.0660✓0.591.3M2022-01-03
GTCGitcoinEthereum14.7514.5527-1.34%13.72-6.98%0.0592✓-0.023.9M2022-01-03
CVCCivicEthereum0.39570.389703-1.52%0.374-5.48%0.0235✓0.99293k2022-01-03
HIVEHivenative1.72491.6918-1.92%1.6303-5.48%0.0125✓1.375.5M2022-01-03
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.75680.719791-4.89%0.64-15.43%0.0932✓1.36650k2022-01-03
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.